Evaluation of measures to reduce international spread of SARS
Identifieur interne : 004097 ( Main/Merge ); précédent : 004096; suivant : 004098Evaluation of measures to reduce international spread of SARS
Auteurs : K. Glass [Australie] ; N. G. Becker [Australie]Source :
- Epidemiology and Infection [ 0950-2688 ] ; 2006.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Australie (épidémiologie), Contrôle des maladies contagieuses (), Dépistage systématique (organisation et administration), Flambées de maladies (), Humains, Modèles statistiques, Syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère (), Syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère (épidémiologie), Virus du SRAS (isolement et purification), Voyage.
- MESH :
- isolement et purification : Virus du SRAS.
- organisation et administration : Dépistage systématique.
- épidémiologie : Australie, Syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère.
- Contrôle des maladies contagieuses, Flambées de maladies, Humains, Modèles statistiques, Syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère, Voyage.
- Wicri :
- geographic : Australie.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Australia (epidemiology), Communicable Disease Control (methods), Disease Outbreaks (prevention & control), Humans, Mass Screening (organization & administration), Models, Statistical, SARS Virus (isolation & purification), Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (epidemiology), Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (prevention & control), Travel.
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Australia.
- epidemiology : Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome.
- isolation & purification : SARS Virus.
- methods : Communicable Disease Control.
- organization & administration : Mass Screening.
- prevention & control : Disease Outbreaks, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome.
- Humans, Models, Statistical, Travel.
Abstract
Mathematical models are used to quantify the effect of border control measures in reducing the international spread of SARS. Border screening is shown to play a relatively minor role in reducing disease spread. Assuming detection rates similar to those reported for arrival screening in Australia, screening can detect up to 10% (95% CI 3–23) of infected travellers, and reduce the probability of a large outbreak by up to 7% (95% CI 2–17). Rapid reductions in the time to diagnosis and effective facilities for the isolation of cases are essential to ensure that there will not be a large outbreak, and each week of delay in responding to imported infection approximately doubles the total number of cases. While the control response is being developed in a currently uninfected region, border screening can provide up to one week's additional time in which to improve methods for early isolation of cases.
Url:
DOI: 10.1017/S0950268806005863
PubMed: 16476169
PubMed Central: 2870475
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PMC:2870475Le document en format XML
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Border screening is shown to play a relatively minor role in reducing disease spread. Assuming detection rates similar to those reported for arrival screening in Australia, screening can detect up to 10% (95% CI 3–23) of infected travellers, and reduce the probability of a large outbreak by up to 7% (95% CI 2–17). Rapid reductions in the time to diagnosis and effective facilities for the isolation of cases are essential to ensure that there will not be a large outbreak, and each week of delay in responding to imported infection approximately doubles the total number of cases. While the control response is being developed in a currently uninfected region, border screening can provide up to one week's additional time in which to improve methods for early isolation of cases.</p></div></front></TEI></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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