Estimating the risk of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) death during the course of the outbreak in the Republic of Korea, 2015
Identifieur interne : 001232 ( Ncbi/Merge ); précédent : 001231; suivant : 001233Estimating the risk of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) death during the course of the outbreak in the Republic of Korea, 2015
Auteurs : Kenji Mizumoto [Japon] ; Masaya Saitoh [Japon] ; Gerardo Chowell [États-Unis] ; Yuichiro Miyamatsu [Japon] ; Hiroshi Nishiura [Japon]Source :
- International Journal of Infectious Diseases [ 1201-9712 ] ; 2015.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- MESH :
- mortalité : Infections à coronavirus.
- épidémiologie : Infections à coronavirus, République de Corée.
- Adulte d'âge moyen, Flambées de maladies, Humains, Risque.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- epidemiology : Coronavirus Infections, Republic of Korea.
- mortality : Coronavirus Infections.
- Disease Outbreaks, Humans, Middle Aged, Risk.
Abstract
A large cluster of MERS was observed from May to July 2015 in the Republic of Korea. Accounting for the time delay from illness onset to death, the risk of MERS death was estimated. The estimated CFR in Korea was consistent with 20%, one of published estimates among secondary cases. The estimated CFR decreased with time, perhaps due to increased case ascertainment during the course of outbreak.
Url:
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2015.08.005
PubMed: 26275845
PubMed Central: 7110731
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PMC:7110731Le document en format XML
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<term>Humans</term>
<term>Middle Aged</term>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><title>Highlights</title>
<p><list list-type="simple" id="lis0005"><list-item id="lsti0005"><label>•</label>
<p id="par0005">A large cluster of MERS was observed from May to July 2015 in the Republic of Korea.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item id="lsti0010"><label>•</label>
<p id="par0010">Accounting for the time delay from illness onset to death, the risk of MERS death was estimated.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item id="lsti0015"><label>•</label>
<p id="par0015">The estimated CFR in Korea was consistent with 20%, one of published estimates among secondary cases.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item id="lsti0020"><label>•</label>
<p id="par0020">The estimated CFR decreased with time, perhaps due to increased case ascertainment during the course of outbreak.</p>
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<author><name sortKey="Miyamatsu, Yuichiro" sort="Miyamatsu, Yuichiro" uniqKey="Miyamatsu Y" first="Yuichiro" last="Miyamatsu">Yuichiro Miyamatsu</name>
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<orgName type="university">Université de Tokyo</orgName>
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</affiliation>
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<sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Estimating the risk of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) death during the course of the outbreak in the Republic of Korea, 2015</title>
<author><name sortKey="Mizumoto, Kenji" sort="Mizumoto, Kenji" uniqKey="Mizumoto K" first="Kenji" last="Mizumoto">Kenji Mizumoto</name>
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<country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, The University of Tokyo, 3-8-1 Komaba, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 1538902</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
<region type="région">Région de Kantō</region>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université de Tokyo</orgName>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
<region type="province">Région de Kantō</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Saitoh, Masaya" sort="Saitoh, Masaya" uniqKey="Saitoh M" first="Masaya" last="Saitoh">Masaya Saitoh</name>
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</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université de Tokyo</orgName>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
<region type="province">Région de Kantō</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff0015">CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama, 332-0012 Japan</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country>
<wicri:regionArea>CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Saitama</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Chowell, Gerardo" sort="Chowell, Gerardo" uniqKey="Chowell G" first="Gerardo" last="Chowell">Gerardo Chowell</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff0020">School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Miyamatsu, Yuichiro" sort="Miyamatsu, Yuichiro" uniqKey="Miyamatsu Y" first="Yuichiro" last="Miyamatsu">Yuichiro Miyamatsu</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff0010">Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 1130033, Japan</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 1130033</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
<region type="région">Région de Kantō</region>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université de Tokyo</orgName>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
<region type="province">Région de Kantō</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff0015">CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama, 332-0012 Japan</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country>
<wicri:regionArea>CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Saitama</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Nishiura, Hiroshi" sort="Nishiura, Hiroshi" uniqKey="Nishiura H" first="Hiroshi" last="Nishiura">Hiroshi Nishiura</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff0010">Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 1130033, Japan</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 1130033</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
<region type="région">Région de Kantō</region>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université de Tokyo</orgName>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
<region type="province">Région de Kantō</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff0015">CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama, 332-0012 Japan</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country>
<wicri:regionArea>CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Saitama</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
</analytic>
<series><title level="j">International Journal of Infectious Diseases</title>
<idno type="ISSN">1201-9712</idno>
<idno type="eISSN">1878-3511</idno>
<imprint><date when="2015">2015</date>
</imprint>
</series>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><title>Highlights</title>
<p><list list-type="simple" id="lis0005"><list-item id="lsti0005"><label>•</label>
<p id="par0005">A large cluster of MERS was observed from May to July 2015 in the Republic of Korea.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item id="lsti0010"><label>•</label>
<p id="par0010">Accounting for the time delay from illness onset to death, the risk of MERS death was estimated.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item id="lsti0015"><label>•</label>
<p id="par0015">The estimated CFR in Korea was consistent with 20%, one of published estimates among secondary cases.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item id="lsti0020"><label>•</label>
<p id="par0020">The estimated CFR decreased with time, perhaps due to increased case ascertainment during the course of outbreak.</p>
</list-item>
</list>
</p>
</div>
</front>
<back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Dyer, O" uniqKey="Dyer O">O. Dyer</name>
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<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Wong, J Y" uniqKey="Wong J">J.Y. Wong</name>
</author>
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<orgName type="university">Université de Tokyo</orgName>
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<author><name sortKey="Saitoh, Masaya" sort="Saitoh, Masaya" uniqKey="Saitoh M" first="Masaya" last="Saitoh">Masaya Saitoh</name>
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<orgName type="university">Université de Tokyo</orgName>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
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</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Chowell, Gerardo" sort="Chowell, Gerardo" uniqKey="Chowell G" first="Gerardo" last="Chowell">Gerardo Chowell</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Miyamatsu, Yuichiro" sort="Miyamatsu, Yuichiro" uniqKey="Miyamatsu Y" first="Yuichiro" last="Miyamatsu">Yuichiro Miyamatsu</name>
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<country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 1130033, Japan; CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama</wicri:regionArea>
<orgName type="university">Université de Tokyo</orgName>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
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</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Nishiura, Hiroshi" sort="Nishiura, Hiroshi" uniqKey="Nishiura H" first="Hiroshi" last="Nishiura">Hiroshi Nishiura</name>
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<country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country>
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<orgName type="university">Université de Tokyo</orgName>
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<author><name sortKey="Mizumoto, Kenji" sort="Mizumoto, Kenji" uniqKey="Mizumoto K" first="Kenji" last="Mizumoto">Kenji Mizumoto</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, The University of Tokyo, 3-8-1 Komaba, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 1538902, Japan.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, The University of Tokyo, 3-8-1 Komaba, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 1538902</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
<region type="région">Région de Kantō</region>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université de Tokyo</orgName>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
<region type="province">Région de Kantō</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Saitoh, Masaya" sort="Saitoh, Masaya" uniqKey="Saitoh M" first="Masaya" last="Saitoh">Masaya Saitoh</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 1130033, Japan; CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama, 332-0012 Japan.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 1130033, Japan; CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama</wicri:regionArea>
<orgName type="university">Université de Tokyo</orgName>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
<region type="province">Région de Kantō</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Chowell, Gerardo" sort="Chowell, Gerardo" uniqKey="Chowell G" first="Gerardo" last="Chowell">Gerardo Chowell</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Miyamatsu, Yuichiro" sort="Miyamatsu, Yuichiro" uniqKey="Miyamatsu Y" first="Yuichiro" last="Miyamatsu">Yuichiro Miyamatsu</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 1130033, Japan; CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama, 332-0012 Japan.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 1130033, Japan; CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama</wicri:regionArea>
<orgName type="university">Université de Tokyo</orgName>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
<region type="province">Région de Kantō</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Nishiura, Hiroshi" sort="Nishiura, Hiroshi" uniqKey="Nishiura H" first="Hiroshi" last="Nishiura">Hiroshi Nishiura</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 1130033, Japan; CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama, 332-0012 Japan. Electronic address: nishiurah@m.u-tokyo.ac.jp.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 1130033, Japan; CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama</wicri:regionArea>
<orgName type="university">Université de Tokyo</orgName>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Tokyo</settlement>
<region type="province">Région de Kantō</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
</analytic>
<series><title level="j">International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases</title>
<idno type="eISSN">1878-3511</idno>
<imprint><date when="2015" type="published">2015</date>
</imprint>
</series>
</biblStruct>
</sourceDesc>
</fileDesc>
<profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology)</term>
<term>Coronavirus Infections (mortality)</term>
<term>Disease Outbreaks</term>
<term>Humans</term>
<term>Middle Aged</term>
<term>Republic of Korea (epidemiology)</term>
<term>Risk</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term>
<term>Flambées de maladies</term>
<term>Humains</term>
<term>Infections à coronavirus (mortalité)</term>
<term>Infections à coronavirus (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Risque</term>
<term>République de Corée (épidémiologie)</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Coronavirus Infections</term>
<term>Republic of Korea</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortality" xml:lang="en"><term>Coronavirus Infections</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortalité" xml:lang="fr"><term>Infections à coronavirus</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Infections à coronavirus</term>
<term>République de Corée</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Disease Outbreaks</term>
<term>Humans</term>
<term>Middle Aged</term>
<term>Risk</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term>
<term>Flambées de maladies</term>
<term>Humains</term>
<term>Risque</term>
</keywords>
</textClass>
</profileDesc>
</teiHeader>
<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">A large cluster of the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) linked to healthcare setting occurred from May to July 2015 in the Republic of Korea. The present study aimed to estimate the case fatality ratio (CFR) by appropriately taking into account the time delay from illness onset to death. We then compare our estimate against previously published values of the CFR for MERS, i.e., 20% and 40%.</div>
</front>
</TEI>
</pubmed>
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