Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages
Identifieur interne : 005707 ( Main/Curation ); précédent : 005706; suivant : 005708Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages
Auteurs : Camille Albouy [France] ; François Guilhaumon [Portugal] ; Miguel B. Araújo [Portugal, Espagne, Danemark] ; David Mouillot [France, Australie] ; Fabien Leprieur [France]Source :
- Global Change Biology [ 1354-1013 ] ; 2012-10.
Descripteurs français
- Pascal (Inist)
- Wicri :
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Adriatic, Adriatic seas, Aegean seas, Animal community, Araujo, Assemblage, Assemblage composition, Assemblage moves, Baselga, Baseline time period, Beta, Beta diversity, Bioclimate, Bioclimatic envelope modelling, Bioclimatic envelope models, Biodiversity, Biodiversity chair, Bjac, Bjne, Bjtu, Blackwell publishing, Bratio, Bratio index, Bratio values, Case study, Climate change, Climate change impacts, Climate change scenarios, Climate warming, Coastal, Coastal mediterranean, Continental shelf, Development core team, Different processes, Different scenarios, Dissimilarity, Dissimilarity index, Eastern mediterranean, Ecological abundance, Ecology, Ecology evolution, Ecology letters, Ecoregions, Ecosystem, Ensemble forecasting, Environmental conditions, Fauna, Froese pauly, Full species replacement, Functional redundancy, Functional traits, Geographical ranges, Global, Global change, Global change biology, Global ecology, Global warming scenario, Joint exploration, Lasram, Local assemblages, Mapping strategy, Marine ecology progress series, Marine ecoregions, Marine environment, Marine science, Mediterranean, Mediterranean Sea, Mediterranean system, Models, National academy, Nested subset, Nestedness, Nestedness component, Nestedness components, Northern part, Occurrence maps, Phylogenetic diversity, Pisces, Potential effects, Potential future, Previous studies, Rais, Rais lasram, Relative contribution, Richness, Richness difference, Scenario, Second modelled periods, Second period, Several areas, Several regions, Sole driver, Spatial patterns, Species, Species assemblages, Species composition, Species distribution, Species distribution models, Species distributions, Species gain, Species gains, Species loss, Species replacement, Species replacement component, Species richness, Temporal turnover, Thuiller, Time periods, Time step, True skill statistic, Turnover, Turnover index.
- Teeft :
- Adriatic, Adriatic seas, Aegean seas, Araujo, Assemblage, Assemblage composition, Assemblage moves, Baselga, Baseline time period, Beta, Beta diversity, Bioclimatic envelope modelling, Bioclimatic envelope models, Biodiversity, Biodiversity chair, Bjac, Bjne, Bjtu, Blackwell publishing, Bratio, Bratio index, Bratio values, Case study, Climate change, Climate change impacts, Climate change scenarios, Climate warming, Coastal, Coastal mediterranean, Continental shelf, Development core team, Different processes, Different scenarios, Dissimilarity, Dissimilarity index, Eastern mediterranean, Ecology, Ecology evolution, Ecology letters, Ecoregions, Ecosystem, Ensemble forecasting, Environmental conditions, Fauna, Froese pauly, Full species replacement, Functional redundancy, Functional traits, Geographical ranges, Global, Global change, Global change biology, Global ecology, Global warming scenario, Joint exploration, Lasram, Local assemblages, Mapping strategy, Marine ecology progress series, Marine ecoregions, Marine science, Mediterranean, Mediterranean system, National academy, Nestedness, Nestedness component, Nestedness components, Northern part, Occurrence maps, Phylogenetic diversity, Potential effects, Potential future, Previous studies, Rais, Rais lasram, Relative contribution, Richness, Richness difference, Scenario, Second modelled periods, Second period, Several areas, Several regions, Sole driver, Spatial patterns, Species, Species assemblages, Species composition, Species distribution, Species distribution models, Species distributions, Species gain, Species gains, Species loss, Species replacement, Species replacement component, Species richness, Temporal turnover, Thuiller, Time periods, Time step, True skill statistic, Turnover, Turnover index.
Abstract
Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.
Url:
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02772.x
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xml:lang="en"><term>Adriatic</term><term>Adriatic seas</term><term>Aegean seas</term><term>Animal community</term><term>Araujo</term><term>Assemblage</term><term>Assemblage composition</term><term>Assemblage moves</term><term>Baselga</term><term>Baseline time period</term><term>Beta</term><term>Beta diversity</term><term>Bioclimate</term><term>Bioclimatic envelope modelling</term><term>Bioclimatic envelope models</term><term>Biodiversity</term><term>Biodiversity chair</term><term>Bjac</term><term>Bjne</term><term>Bjtu</term><term>Blackwell publishing</term><term>Bratio</term><term>Bratio index</term><term>Bratio values</term><term>Case study</term><term>Climate change</term><term>Climate change impacts</term><term>Climate change scenarios</term><term>Climate warming</term><term>Coastal</term><term>Coastal mediterranean</term><term>Continental shelf</term><term>Development core team</term><term>Different processes</term><term>Different scenarios</term><term>Dissimilarity</term><term>Dissimilarity index</term><term>Eastern mediterranean</term><term>Ecological abundance</term><term>Ecology</term><term>Ecology evolution</term><term>Ecology letters</term><term>Ecoregions</term><term>Ecosystem</term><term>Ensemble forecasting</term><term>Environmental conditions</term><term>Fauna</term><term>Froese pauly</term><term>Full species replacement</term><term>Functional redundancy</term><term>Functional traits</term><term>Geographical ranges</term><term>Global</term><term>Global change</term><term>Global change biology</term><term>Global ecology</term><term>Global warming scenario</term><term>Joint exploration</term><term>Lasram</term><term>Local assemblages</term><term>Mapping strategy</term><term>Marine ecology progress series</term><term>Marine ecoregions</term><term>Marine environment</term><term>Marine science</term><term>Mediterranean</term><term>Mediterranean Sea</term><term>Mediterranean system</term><term>Models</term><term>National academy</term><term>Nested subset</term><term>Nestedness</term><term>Nestedness component</term><term>Nestedness components</term><term>Northern part</term><term>Occurrence maps</term><term>Phylogenetic diversity</term><term>Pisces</term><term>Potential effects</term><term>Potential future</term><term>Previous studies</term><term>Rais</term><term>Rais lasram</term><term>Relative contribution</term><term>Richness</term><term>Richness difference</term><term>Scenario</term><term>Second modelled periods</term><term>Second period</term><term>Several areas</term><term>Several regions</term><term>Sole driver</term><term>Spatial patterns</term><term>Species</term><term>Species assemblages</term><term>Species composition</term><term>Species distribution</term><term>Species distribution models</term><term>Species distributions</term><term>Species gain</term><term>Species gains</term><term>Species loss</term><term>Species replacement</term><term>Species replacement component</term><term>Species richness</term><term>Temporal turnover</term><term>Thuiller</term><term>Time periods</term><term>Time step</term><term>True skill statistic</term><term>Turnover</term><term>Turnover index</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Pascal" xml:lang="fr"><term>Abondance écologique</term><term>Bioclimat</term><term>Changement climatique</term><term>Communauté animale</term><term>Diversité bêta</term><term>Mer Méditerranée</term><term>Milieu marin</term><term>Modèle</term><term>Pisces</term><term>Richesse spécifique</term><term>Série emboîtée</term><term>Turnover</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Teeft" xml:lang="en"><term>Adriatic</term><term>Adriatic seas</term><term>Aegean seas</term><term>Araujo</term><term>Assemblage</term><term>Assemblage composition</term><term>Assemblage moves</term><term>Baselga</term><term>Baseline time period</term><term>Beta</term><term>Beta diversity</term><term>Bioclimatic envelope modelling</term><term>Bioclimatic envelope models</term><term>Biodiversity</term><term>Biodiversity chair</term><term>Bjac</term><term>Bjne</term><term>Bjtu</term><term>Blackwell publishing</term><term>Bratio</term><term>Bratio index</term><term>Bratio values</term><term>Case study</term><term>Climate change</term><term>Climate change impacts</term><term>Climate change scenarios</term><term>Climate warming</term><term>Coastal</term><term>Coastal mediterranean</term><term>Continental shelf</term><term>Development core team</term><term>Different processes</term><term>Different scenarios</term><term>Dissimilarity</term><term>Dissimilarity index</term><term>Eastern mediterranean</term><term>Ecology</term><term>Ecology evolution</term><term>Ecology letters</term><term>Ecoregions</term><term>Ecosystem</term><term>Ensemble forecasting</term><term>Environmental conditions</term><term>Fauna</term><term>Froese pauly</term><term>Full species replacement</term><term>Functional redundancy</term><term>Functional traits</term><term>Geographical ranges</term><term>Global</term><term>Global change</term><term>Global change biology</term><term>Global ecology</term><term>Global warming scenario</term><term>Joint exploration</term><term>Lasram</term><term>Local assemblages</term><term>Mapping strategy</term><term>Marine ecology progress series</term><term>Marine ecoregions</term><term>Marine science</term><term>Mediterranean</term><term>Mediterranean system</term><term>National academy</term><term>Nestedness</term><term>Nestedness component</term><term>Nestedness components</term><term>Northern part</term><term>Occurrence maps</term><term>Phylogenetic diversity</term><term>Potential effects</term><term>Potential future</term><term>Previous studies</term><term>Rais</term><term>Rais lasram</term><term>Relative contribution</term><term>Richness</term><term>Richness difference</term><term>Scenario</term><term>Second modelled periods</term><term>Second period</term><term>Several areas</term><term>Several regions</term><term>Sole driver</term><term>Spatial patterns</term><term>Species</term><term>Species assemblages</term><term>Species composition</term><term>Species distribution</term><term>Species distribution models</term><term>Species distributions</term><term>Species gain</term><term>Species gains</term><term>Species loss</term><term>Species replacement</term><term>Species replacement component</term><term>Species richness</term><term>Temporal turnover</term><term>Thuiller</term><term>Time periods</term><term>Time step</term><term>True skill statistic</term><term>Turnover</term><term>Turnover index</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Wicri" type="topic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Biodiversité</term><term>Changement climatique</term><term>Mer Méditerranée</term><term>Milieu marin</term><term>étude de cas</term><term>Changement climatique</term><term>Plateau continental</term><term>écologie</term><term>écosystème</term><term>Chiffre d'affaires</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract">Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</div></front></TEI><double idat="1354-1013:2012:Albouy C:combining:projected:changes"><INIST><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en" level="a">Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages</title><author><name sortKey="Albouy, Camille" sort="Albouy, Camille" uniqKey="Albouy C" first="Camille" last="Albouy">Camille Albouy</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><inist:fA14 i1="01"><s1>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon</s1><s2>34095, Montpellier</s2><s3>FRA</s3><sZ>1 aut.</sZ><sZ>4 aut.</sZ><sZ>5 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>France</country><placeName><region type="region">Occitanie (région administrative)</region><region type="old region">Languedoc-Roussillon</region><settlement type="city">Montpellier</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="02"><s1>Laboratoire Ecosystèmes Marins Exploités UMR 212, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, avenue Jean Monnet BP171</s1><s2>34203, Sète</s2><s3>FRA</s3><sZ>1 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>France</country><wicri:noRegion>Sète</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>avenue Jean Monnet BP171</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>34203, Sète</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Guilh Aumon, Francois" sort="Guilh Aumon, Francois" uniqKey="Guilh Aumon F" first="François" last="Guilh Aumon">François Guilh Aumon</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="03"><s1>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair, CIBIO, University of Évora, Casa Cordovil, 2° Andar, Rua Dr. Joaguim Henrique da Fonseca</s1><s2>7000-890 c</s2><s3>PRT</s3><sZ>2 aut.</sZ><sZ>3 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Portugal</country><wicri:noRegion>7000-890 c</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Araujo, Miguel B" sort="Araujo, Miguel B" uniqKey="Araujo M" first="Miguel B." last="Araujo">Miguel B. Araujo</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="03"><s1>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair, CIBIO, University of Évora, Casa Cordovil, 2° Andar, Rua Dr. Joaguim Henrique da Fonseca</s1><s2>7000-890 c</s2><s3>PRT</s3><sZ>2 aut.</sZ><sZ>3 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Portugal</country><wicri:noRegion>7000-890 c</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="3"><inist:fA14 i1="04"><s1>Departamento de Biodiversidad y Biologia Evolutiva, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, CSIC, C/José Gutierrez Abascal, 2</s1><s2>28006, Madrid</s2><s3>ESP</s3><sZ>3 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Espagne</country><placeName><settlement type="city">Madrid</settlement><region nuts="2" type="region">Communauté de Madrid</region></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="3"><inist:fA14 i1="05"><s1>Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15</s1><s2>2100, Copenhagen</s2><s3>DNK</s3><sZ>3 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Danemark</country><placeName><settlement type="city">Copenhague</settlement><region type="région" nuts="2">Hovedstaden</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mouillot, David" sort="Mouillot, David" uniqKey="Mouillot D" first="David" last="Mouillot">David Mouillot</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><inist:fA14 i1="01"><s1>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon</s1><s2>34095, Montpellier</s2><s3>FRA</s3><sZ>1 aut.</sZ><sZ>4 aut.</sZ><sZ>5 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>France</country><placeName><region type="region">Occitanie (région administrative)</region><region type="old region">Languedoc-Roussillon</region><settlement type="city">Montpellier</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="06"><s1>ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University</s1><s2>Townsville, Qld 4811</s2><s3>AUS</s3><sZ>4 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Australie</country><wicri:noRegion>Townsville, Qld 4811</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Leprieur, Fabien" sort="Leprieur, Fabien" uniqKey="Leprieur F" first="Fabien" last="Leprieur">Fabien Leprieur</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><inist:fA14 i1="01"><s1>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon</s1><s2>34095, Montpellier</s2><s3>FRA</s3><sZ>1 aut.</sZ><sZ>4 aut.</sZ><sZ>5 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>France</country><placeName><region type="region">Occitanie (région administrative)</region><region type="old region">Languedoc-Roussillon</region><settlement type="city">Montpellier</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">INIST</idno><idno type="inist">12-0389191</idno><date when="2012">2012</date><idno type="stanalyst">PASCAL 12-0389191 INIST</idno><idno type="RBID">Pascal:12-0389191</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PascalFrancis/Corpus">000F60</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PascalFrancis/Curation">004F61</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PascalFrancis/Checkpoint">001266</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PascalFrancis" wicri:step="Checkpoint">001266</idno><idno type="wicri:doubleKey">1354-1013:2012:Albouy C:combining:projected:changes</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Merge">006101</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a">Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages</title><author><name sortKey="Albouy, Camille" sort="Albouy, Camille" uniqKey="Albouy C" first="Camille" last="Albouy">Camille Albouy</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><inist:fA14 i1="01"><s1>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon</s1><s2>34095, Montpellier</s2><s3>FRA</s3><sZ>1 aut.</sZ><sZ>4 aut.</sZ><sZ>5 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>France</country><placeName><region type="region">Occitanie (région administrative)</region><region type="old region">Languedoc-Roussillon</region><settlement type="city">Montpellier</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="02"><s1>Laboratoire Ecosystèmes Marins Exploités UMR 212, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, avenue Jean Monnet BP171</s1><s2>34203, Sète</s2><s3>FRA</s3><sZ>1 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>France</country><wicri:noRegion>Sète</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>avenue Jean Monnet BP171</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>34203, Sète</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Guilh Aumon, Francois" sort="Guilh Aumon, Francois" uniqKey="Guilh Aumon F" first="François" last="Guilh Aumon">François Guilh Aumon</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="03"><s1>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair, CIBIO, University of Évora, Casa Cordovil, 2° Andar, Rua Dr. Joaguim Henrique da Fonseca</s1><s2>7000-890 c</s2><s3>PRT</s3><sZ>2 aut.</sZ><sZ>3 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Portugal</country><wicri:noRegion>7000-890 c</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Araujo, Miguel B" sort="Araujo, Miguel B" uniqKey="Araujo M" first="Miguel B." last="Araujo">Miguel B. Araujo</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="03"><s1>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair, CIBIO, University of Évora, Casa Cordovil, 2° Andar, Rua Dr. Joaguim Henrique da Fonseca</s1><s2>7000-890 c</s2><s3>PRT</s3><sZ>2 aut.</sZ><sZ>3 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Portugal</country><wicri:noRegion>7000-890 c</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="3"><inist:fA14 i1="04"><s1>Departamento de Biodiversidad y Biologia Evolutiva, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, CSIC, C/José Gutierrez Abascal, 2</s1><s2>28006, Madrid</s2><s3>ESP</s3><sZ>3 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Espagne</country><placeName><settlement type="city">Madrid</settlement><region nuts="2" type="region">Communauté de Madrid</region></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="3"><inist:fA14 i1="05"><s1>Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15</s1><s2>2100, Copenhagen</s2><s3>DNK</s3><sZ>3 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Danemark</country><placeName><settlement type="city">Copenhague</settlement><region type="région" nuts="2">Hovedstaden</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mouillot, David" sort="Mouillot, David" uniqKey="Mouillot D" first="David" last="Mouillot">David Mouillot</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><inist:fA14 i1="01"><s1>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon</s1><s2>34095, Montpellier</s2><s3>FRA</s3><sZ>1 aut.</sZ><sZ>4 aut.</sZ><sZ>5 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>France</country><placeName><region type="region">Occitanie (région administrative)</region><region type="old region">Languedoc-Roussillon</region><settlement type="city">Montpellier</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="06"><s1>ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University</s1><s2>Townsville, Qld 4811</s2><s3>AUS</s3><sZ>4 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Australie</country><wicri:noRegion>Townsville, Qld 4811</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Leprieur, Fabien" sort="Leprieur, Fabien" uniqKey="Leprieur F" first="Fabien" last="Leprieur">Fabien Leprieur</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><inist:fA14 i1="01"><s1>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon</s1><s2>34095, Montpellier</s2><s3>FRA</s3><sZ>1 aut.</sZ><sZ>4 aut.</sZ><sZ>5 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>France</country><placeName><region type="region">Occitanie (région administrative)</region><region type="old region">Languedoc-Roussillon</region><settlement type="city">Montpellier</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j" type="main">Global change biology : (Print)</title><title level="j" type="abbreviated">Glob. chang. biol. : (Print)</title><idno type="ISSN">1354-1013</idno><imprint><date when="2012">2012</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc><seriesStmt><title level="j" type="main">Global change biology : (Print)</title><title level="j" type="abbreviated">Glob. chang. biol. : (Print)</title><idno type="ISSN">1354-1013</idno></seriesStmt></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Animal community</term><term>Beta diversity</term><term>Bioclimate</term><term>Climate change</term><term>Ecological abundance</term><term>Marine environment</term><term>Mediterranean Sea</term><term>Models</term><term>Nested subset</term><term>Pisces</term><term>Species richness</term><term>Turnover</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Pascal" xml:lang="fr"><term>Richesse spécifique</term><term>Abondance écologique</term><term>Changement climatique</term><term>Communauté animale</term><term>Bioclimat</term><term>Modèle</term><term>Mer Méditerranée</term><term>Turnover</term><term>Milieu marin</term><term>Pisces</term><term>Diversité bêta</term><term>Série emboîtée</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Wicri" type="topic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Changement climatique</term><term>Mer Méditerranée</term><term>Milieu marin</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species-level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a 'cul-de-sac' effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision-makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</div></front></TEI></INIST><ISTEX><TEI wicri:istexFullTextTei="biblStruct"><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages</title><author><name sortKey="Albouy, Camille" sort="Albouy, Camille" uniqKey="Albouy C" first="Camille" last="Albouy">Camille Albouy</name></author><author><name sortKey="Guilhaumon, Francois" sort="Guilhaumon, Francois" uniqKey="Guilhaumon F" first="François" last="Guilhaumon">François Guilhaumon</name></author><author><name sortKey="Araujo, Miguel B" sort="Araujo, Miguel B" uniqKey="Araujo M" first="Miguel B." last="Araújo">Miguel B. Araújo</name></author><author><name sortKey="Mouillot, David" sort="Mouillot, David" uniqKey="Mouillot D" first="David" last="Mouillot">David Mouillot</name></author><author><name sortKey="Leprieur, Fabien" sort="Leprieur, Fabien" uniqKey="Leprieur F" first="Fabien" last="Leprieur">Fabien Leprieur</name></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">ISTEX</idno><idno type="RBID">ISTEX:6789AF469E8177E4334A8CF96EF3BE3BF62C374D</idno><date when="2012" year="2012">2012</date><idno type="doi">10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02772.x</idno><idno type="url">https://api.istex.fr/document/6789AF469E8177E4334A8CF96EF3BE3BF62C374D/fulltext/pdf</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Istex/Corpus">001345</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Istex" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="ISTEX">001345</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Istex/Curation">001345</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Istex/Checkpoint">000632</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Istex" wicri:step="Checkpoint">000632</idno><idno type="wicri:doubleKey">1354-1013:2012:Albouy C:combining:projected:changes</idno><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><idno type="RBID">pubmed:28741816</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">003B64</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">003B64</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Curation">003A26</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Curation">003A26</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Checkpoint">003A26</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Checkpoint" wicri:step="PubMed">003A26</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Merge">004B81</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Curation">004B81</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Checkpoint">004B81</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Merge">005974</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title level="a" type="main">Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages</title><author><name sortKey="Albouy, Camille" sort="Albouy, Camille" uniqKey="Albouy C" first="Camille" last="Albouy">Camille Albouy</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon, 34095, Montpellier Cedex 5</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region" nuts="2">Occitanie (région administrative)</region><region type="old region" nuts="2">Languedoc-Roussillon</region><settlement type="city">Montpellier</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Laboratoire Ecosystèmes Marins Exploités UMR 212, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, avenue Jean Monnet BP171, 34203, Sète Cedex</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>34203, Sète Cedex</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>Sète Cedex</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation></affiliation><affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Guilhaumon, Francois" sort="Guilhaumon, Francois" uniqKey="Guilhaumon F" first="François" last="Guilhaumon">François Guilhaumon</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><country xml:lang="fr">Portugal</country><wicri:regionArea>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair, CIBIO, University of Évora, Casa Cordovil, 2º Andar, Rua Dr. Joaquim Henrique da Fonseca, 7000‐890 c</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>7000‐890 c</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Araujo, Miguel B" sort="Araujo, Miguel B" uniqKey="Araujo M" first="Miguel B." last="Araújo">Miguel B. Araújo</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><country xml:lang="fr">Portugal</country><wicri:regionArea>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair, CIBIO, University of Évora, Casa Cordovil, 2º Andar, Rua Dr. Joaquim Henrique da Fonseca, 7000‐890 c</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>7000‐890 c</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Biodiversidad y Biologia Evolutiva, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, CSIC, C/José Gutiérrez Abascal, 2, 28006Madrid</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>28006Madrid</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="3"><country xml:lang="fr">Danemark</country><wicri:regionArea>Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15, 2100, Copenhagen</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Copenhague</settlement><region type="région" nuts="2">Hovedstaden</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mouillot, David" sort="Mouillot, David" uniqKey="Mouillot D" first="David" last="Mouillot">David Mouillot</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon, 34095, Montpellier Cedex 5</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>34095, Montpellier Cedex 5</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>Montpellier Cedex 5</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Qld, 4811, Townsville</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Townsville</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Leprieur, Fabien" sort="Leprieur, Fabien" uniqKey="Leprieur F" first="Fabien" last="Leprieur">Fabien Leprieur</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon, 34095, Montpellier Cedex 5</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region" nuts="2">Occitanie (région administrative)</region><region type="old region" nuts="2">Languedoc-Roussillon</region><settlement type="city">Montpellier</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author></analytic><monogr></monogr><series><title level="j" type="main">Global Change Biology</title><title level="j" type="alt">GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY</title><idno type="ISSN">1354-1013</idno><idno type="eISSN">1365-2486</idno><imprint><biblScope unit="vol">18</biblScope><biblScope unit="issue">10</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" from="2995">2995</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" to="3003">3003</biblScope><biblScope unit="page-count">9</biblScope><date type="published" when="2012-10">2012-10</date></imprint><idno type="ISSN">1354-1013</idno></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc><seriesStmt><idno type="ISSN">1354-1013</idno></seriesStmt></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Adriatic</term><term>Adriatic seas</term><term>Aegean seas</term><term>Araujo</term><term>Assemblage</term><term>Assemblage composition</term><term>Assemblage moves</term><term>Baselga</term><term>Baseline time period</term><term>Beta</term><term>Beta diversity</term><term>Bioclimatic envelope modelling</term><term>Bioclimatic envelope models</term><term>Biodiversity</term><term>Biodiversity chair</term><term>Bjac</term><term>Bjne</term><term>Bjtu</term><term>Blackwell publishing</term><term>Bratio</term><term>Bratio index</term><term>Bratio values</term><term>Case study</term><term>Climate change</term><term>Climate change impacts</term><term>Climate change scenarios</term><term>Climate warming</term><term>Coastal</term><term>Coastal mediterranean</term><term>Continental shelf</term><term>Development core team</term><term>Different processes</term><term>Different scenarios</term><term>Dissimilarity</term><term>Dissimilarity index</term><term>Eastern mediterranean</term><term>Ecology</term><term>Ecology evolution</term><term>Ecology letters</term><term>Ecoregions</term><term>Ecosystem</term><term>Ensemble forecasting</term><term>Environmental conditions</term><term>Fauna</term><term>Froese pauly</term><term>Full species replacement</term><term>Functional redundancy</term><term>Functional traits</term><term>Geographical ranges</term><term>Global</term><term>Global change</term><term>Global change biology</term><term>Global ecology</term><term>Global warming scenario</term><term>Joint exploration</term><term>Lasram</term><term>Local assemblages</term><term>Mapping strategy</term><term>Marine ecology progress series</term><term>Marine ecoregions</term><term>Marine science</term><term>Mediterranean</term><term>Mediterranean system</term><term>National academy</term><term>Nestedness</term><term>Nestedness component</term><term>Nestedness components</term><term>Northern part</term><term>Occurrence maps</term><term>Phylogenetic diversity</term><term>Potential effects</term><term>Potential future</term><term>Previous studies</term><term>Rais</term><term>Rais lasram</term><term>Relative contribution</term><term>Richness</term><term>Richness difference</term><term>Scenario</term><term>Second modelled periods</term><term>Second period</term><term>Several areas</term><term>Several regions</term><term>Sole driver</term><term>Spatial patterns</term><term>Species</term><term>Species assemblages</term><term>Species composition</term><term>Species distribution</term><term>Species distribution models</term><term>Species distributions</term><term>Species gain</term><term>Species gains</term><term>Species loss</term><term>Species replacement</term><term>Species replacement component</term><term>Species richness</term><term>Temporal turnover</term><term>Thuiller</term><term>Time periods</term><term>Time step</term><term>True skill statistic</term><term>Turnover</term><term>Turnover index</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Teeft" xml:lang="en"><term>Adriatic</term><term>Adriatic seas</term><term>Aegean seas</term><term>Araujo</term><term>Assemblage</term><term>Assemblage composition</term><term>Assemblage moves</term><term>Baselga</term><term>Baseline time period</term><term>Beta</term><term>Beta diversity</term><term>Bioclimatic envelope modelling</term><term>Bioclimatic envelope models</term><term>Biodiversity</term><term>Biodiversity chair</term><term>Bjac</term><term>Bjne</term><term>Bjtu</term><term>Blackwell publishing</term><term>Bratio</term><term>Bratio index</term><term>Bratio values</term><term>Case study</term><term>Climate change</term><term>Climate change impacts</term><term>Climate change scenarios</term><term>Climate warming</term><term>Coastal</term><term>Coastal mediterranean</term><term>Continental shelf</term><term>Development core team</term><term>Different processes</term><term>Different scenarios</term><term>Dissimilarity</term><term>Dissimilarity index</term><term>Eastern mediterranean</term><term>Ecology</term><term>Ecology evolution</term><term>Ecology letters</term><term>Ecoregions</term><term>Ecosystem</term><term>Ensemble forecasting</term><term>Environmental conditions</term><term>Fauna</term><term>Froese pauly</term><term>Full species replacement</term><term>Functional redundancy</term><term>Functional traits</term><term>Geographical ranges</term><term>Global</term><term>Global change</term><term>Global change biology</term><term>Global ecology</term><term>Global warming scenario</term><term>Joint exploration</term><term>Lasram</term><term>Local assemblages</term><term>Mapping strategy</term><term>Marine ecology progress series</term><term>Marine ecoregions</term><term>Marine science</term><term>Mediterranean</term><term>Mediterranean system</term><term>National academy</term><term>Nestedness</term><term>Nestedness component</term><term>Nestedness components</term><term>Northern part</term><term>Occurrence maps</term><term>Phylogenetic diversity</term><term>Potential effects</term><term>Potential future</term><term>Previous studies</term><term>Rais</term><term>Rais lasram</term><term>Relative contribution</term><term>Richness</term><term>Richness difference</term><term>Scenario</term><term>Second modelled periods</term><term>Second period</term><term>Several areas</term><term>Several regions</term><term>Sole driver</term><term>Spatial patterns</term><term>Species</term><term>Species assemblages</term><term>Species composition</term><term>Species distribution</term><term>Species distribution models</term><term>Species distributions</term><term>Species gain</term><term>Species gains</term><term>Species loss</term><term>Species replacement</term><term>Species replacement component</term><term>Species richness</term><term>Temporal turnover</term><term>Thuiller</term><term>Time periods</term><term>Time step</term><term>True skill statistic</term><term>Turnover</term><term>Turnover index</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Wicri" type="topic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Biodiversité</term><term>étude de cas</term><term>Changement climatique</term><term>Plateau continental</term><term>écologie</term><term>écosystème</term><term>Chiffre d'affaires</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract">Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</div></front></TEI></ISTEX></double></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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