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Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages

Identifieur interne : 004F61 ( PascalFrancis/Curation ); précédent : 004F60; suivant : 004F62

Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages

Auteurs : Camille Albouy [France] ; François Guilh Aumon [Portugal] ; Miguel B. Araujo [Portugal, Espagne, Danemark] ; David Mouillot [France, Australie] ; Fabien Leprieur [France]

Source :

RBID : Pascal:12-0389191

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species-level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a 'cul-de-sac' effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision-makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.
pA  
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A08 01  1  ENG  @1 Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages
A11 01  1    @1 ALBOUY (Camille)
A11 02  1    @1 GUILH AUMON (François)
A11 03  1    @1 ARAUJO (Miguel B.)
A11 04  1    @1 MOUILLOT (David)
A11 05  1    @1 LEPRIEUR (Fabien)
A14 01      @1 Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon @2 34095, Montpellier @3 FRA @Z 1 aut. @Z 4 aut. @Z 5 aut.
A14 02      @1 Laboratoire Ecosystèmes Marins Exploités UMR 212, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, avenue Jean Monnet BP171 @2 34203, Sète @3 FRA @Z 1 aut.
A14 03      @1 Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair, CIBIO, University of Évora, Casa Cordovil, 2° Andar, Rua Dr. Joaguim Henrique da Fonseca @2 7000-890 c @3 PRT @Z 2 aut. @Z 3 aut.
A14 04      @1 Departamento de Biodiversidad y Biologia Evolutiva, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, CSIC, C/José Gutierrez Abascal, 2 @2 28006, Madrid @3 ESP @Z 3 aut.
A14 05      @1 Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15 @2 2100, Copenhagen @3 DNK @Z 3 aut.
A14 06      @1 ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University @2 Townsville, Qld 4811 @3 AUS @Z 4 aut.
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C01 01    ENG  @0 Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species-level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a 'cul-de-sac' effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision-makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.
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C03 01  X  FRE  @0 Richesse spécifique @5 01
C03 01  X  ENG  @0 Species richness @5 01
C03 01  X  SPA  @0 Riqueza específica @5 01
C03 02  X  FRE  @0 Abondance écologique @5 02
C03 02  X  ENG  @0 Ecological abundance @5 02
C03 02  X  SPA  @0 Abundancia ecológica @5 02
C03 03  X  FRE  @0 Changement climatique @5 03
C03 03  X  ENG  @0 Climate change @5 03
C03 03  X  SPA  @0 Cambio climático @5 03
C03 04  X  FRE  @0 Communauté animale @5 04
C03 04  X  ENG  @0 Animal community @5 04
C03 04  X  SPA  @0 Comunidad animal @5 04
C03 05  X  FRE  @0 Bioclimat @5 05
C03 05  X  ENG  @0 Bioclimate @5 05
C03 05  X  SPA  @0 Bioclima @5 05
C03 06  X  FRE  @0 Modèle @5 06
C03 06  X  ENG  @0 Models @5 06
C03 06  X  SPA  @0 Modelo @5 06
C03 07  X  FRE  @0 Mer Méditerranée @2 NG @5 07
C03 07  X  ENG  @0 Mediterranean Sea @2 NG @5 07
C03 07  X  SPA  @0 Mar Mediterráneo @2 NG @5 07
C03 08  X  FRE  @0 Turnover @5 08
C03 08  X  ENG  @0 Turnover @5 08
C03 08  X  SPA  @0 Turnover @5 08
C03 09  X  FRE  @0 Milieu marin @5 23
C03 09  X  ENG  @0 Marine environment @5 23
C03 09  X  SPA  @0 Medio marino @5 23
C03 10  X  FRE  @0 Pisces @2 NS @5 49
C03 10  X  ENG  @0 Pisces @2 NS @5 49
C03 10  X  SPA  @0 Pisces @2 NS @5 49
C03 11  X  FRE  @0 Diversité bêta @4 CD @5 96
C03 11  X  ENG  @0 Beta diversity @4 CD @5 96
C03 11  X  SPA  @0 Diversidad beta @4 CD @5 96
C03 12  X  FRE  @0 Série emboîtée @4 CD @5 97
C03 12  X  ENG  @0 Nested subset @4 CD @5 97
C07 01  X  FRE  @0 Climatologie dynamique
C07 01  X  ENG  @0 Dynamical climatology
C07 01  X  SPA  @0 Climatología dinámica
C07 02  X  FRE  @0 Vertebrata @2 NS
C07 02  X  ENG  @0 Vertebrata @2 NS
C07 02  X  SPA  @0 Vertebrata @2 NS
N21       @1 303
N44 01      @1 OTO
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<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species-level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a 'cul-de-sac' effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision-makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</div>
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<sZ>3 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="04">
<s1>Departamento de Biodiversidad y Biologia Evolutiva, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, CSIC, C/José Gutierrez Abascal, 2</s1>
<s2>28006, Madrid</s2>
<s3>ESP</s3>
<sZ>3 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="05">
<s1>Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15</s1>
<s2>2100, Copenhagen</s2>
<s3>DNK</s3>
<sZ>3 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="06">
<s1>ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University</s1>
<s2>Townsville, Qld 4811</s2>
<s3>AUS</s3>
<sZ>4 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA20>
<s1>2995-3003</s1>
</fA20>
<fA21>
<s1>2012</s1>
</fA21>
<fA23 i1="01">
<s0>ENG</s0>
</fA23>
<fA43 i1="01">
<s1>INIST</s1>
<s2>27882</s2>
<s5>354000505309490020</s5>
</fA43>
<fA44>
<s0>0000</s0>
<s1>© 2012 INIST-CNRS. All rights reserved.</s1>
</fA44>
<fA45>
<s0>1 p.</s0>
</fA45>
<fA47 i1="01" i2="1">
<s0>12-0389191</s0>
</fA47>
<fA60>
<s1>P</s1>
</fA60>
<fA61>
<s0>A</s0>
</fA61>
<fA64 i1="01" i2="1">
<s0>Global change biology : (Print)</s0>
</fA64>
<fA66 i1="01">
<s0>GBR</s0>
</fA66>
<fC01 i1="01" l="ENG">
<s0>Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species-level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a 'cul-de-sac' effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision-makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</s0>
</fC01>
<fC02 i1="01" i2="X">
<s0>002A14B01</s0>
</fC02>
<fC02 i1="02" i2="2">
<s0>001E02D10</s0>
</fC02>
<fC03 i1="01" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Richesse spécifique</s0>
<s5>01</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="01" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Species richness</s0>
<s5>01</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="01" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Riqueza específica</s0>
<s5>01</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="02" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Abondance écologique</s0>
<s5>02</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="02" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Ecological abundance</s0>
<s5>02</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="02" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Abundancia ecológica</s0>
<s5>02</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="03" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Changement climatique</s0>
<s5>03</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="03" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Climate change</s0>
<s5>03</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="03" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Cambio climático</s0>
<s5>03</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="04" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Communauté animale</s0>
<s5>04</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="04" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Animal community</s0>
<s5>04</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="04" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Comunidad animal</s0>
<s5>04</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="05" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Bioclimat</s0>
<s5>05</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="05" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Bioclimate</s0>
<s5>05</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="05" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Bioclima</s0>
<s5>05</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="06" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Modèle</s0>
<s5>06</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="06" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Models</s0>
<s5>06</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="06" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Modelo</s0>
<s5>06</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="07" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Mer Méditerranée</s0>
<s2>NG</s2>
<s5>07</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="07" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Mediterranean Sea</s0>
<s2>NG</s2>
<s5>07</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="07" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Mar Mediterráneo</s0>
<s2>NG</s2>
<s5>07</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="08" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Turnover</s0>
<s5>08</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="08" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Turnover</s0>
<s5>08</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="08" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Turnover</s0>
<s5>08</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="09" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Milieu marin</s0>
<s5>23</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="09" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Marine environment</s0>
<s5>23</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="09" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Medio marino</s0>
<s5>23</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="10" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Pisces</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
<s5>49</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="10" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Pisces</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
<s5>49</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="10" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Pisces</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
<s5>49</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="11" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Diversité bêta</s0>
<s4>CD</s4>
<s5>96</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="11" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Beta diversity</s0>
<s4>CD</s4>
<s5>96</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="11" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Diversidad beta</s0>
<s4>CD</s4>
<s5>96</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="12" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Série emboîtée</s0>
<s4>CD</s4>
<s5>97</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="12" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Nested subset</s0>
<s4>CD</s4>
<s5>97</s5>
</fC03>
<fC07 i1="01" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Climatologie dynamique</s0>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="01" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Dynamical climatology</s0>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="01" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Climatología dinámica</s0>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="02" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Vertebrata</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="02" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Vertebrata</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="02" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Vertebrata</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
</fC07>
<fN21>
<s1>303</s1>
</fN21>
<fN44 i1="01">
<s1>OTO</s1>
</fN44>
<fN82>
<s1>OTO</s1>
</fN82>
</pA>
</standard>
</inist>
</record>

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