Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages
Identifieur interne : 001345 ( Istex/Corpus ); précédent : 001344; suivant : 001346Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages
Auteurs : Camille Albouy ; François Guilhaumon ; Miguel B. Araújo ; David Mouillot ; Fabien LeprieurSource :
- Global Change Biology [ 1354-1013 ] ; 2012-10.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Adriatic, Adriatic seas, Aegean seas, Araujo, Assemblage, Assemblage composition, Assemblage moves, Baselga, Baseline time period, Beta, Beta diversity, Bioclimatic envelope modelling, Bioclimatic envelope models, Biodiversity, Biodiversity chair, Bjac, Bjne, Bjtu, Blackwell publishing, Bratio, Bratio index, Bratio values, Case study, Climate change, Climate change impacts, Climate change scenarios, Climate warming, Coastal, Coastal mediterranean, Continental shelf, Development core team, Different processes, Different scenarios, Dissimilarity, Dissimilarity index, Eastern mediterranean, Ecology, Ecology evolution, Ecology letters, Ecoregions, Ecosystem, Ensemble forecasting, Environmental conditions, Fauna, Froese pauly, Full species replacement, Functional redundancy, Functional traits, Geographical ranges, Global, Global change, Global change biology, Global ecology, Global warming scenario, Joint exploration, Lasram, Local assemblages, Mapping strategy, Marine ecology progress series, Marine ecoregions, Marine science, Mediterranean, Mediterranean system, National academy, Nestedness, Nestedness component, Nestedness components, Northern part, Occurrence maps, Phylogenetic diversity, Potential effects, Potential future, Previous studies, Rais, Rais lasram, Relative contribution, Richness, Richness difference, Scenario, Second modelled periods, Second period, Several areas, Several regions, Sole driver, Spatial patterns, Species, Species assemblages, Species composition, Species distribution, Species distribution models, Species distributions, Species gain, Species gains, Species loss, Species replacement, Species replacement component, Species richness, Temporal turnover, Thuiller, Time periods, Time step, True skill statistic, Turnover, Turnover index.
- Teeft :
- Adriatic, Adriatic seas, Aegean seas, Araujo, Assemblage, Assemblage composition, Assemblage moves, Baselga, Baseline time period, Beta, Beta diversity, Bioclimatic envelope modelling, Bioclimatic envelope models, Biodiversity, Biodiversity chair, Bjac, Bjne, Bjtu, Blackwell publishing, Bratio, Bratio index, Bratio values, Case study, Climate change, Climate change impacts, Climate change scenarios, Climate warming, Coastal, Coastal mediterranean, Continental shelf, Development core team, Different processes, Different scenarios, Dissimilarity, Dissimilarity index, Eastern mediterranean, Ecology, Ecology evolution, Ecology letters, Ecoregions, Ecosystem, Ensemble forecasting, Environmental conditions, Fauna, Froese pauly, Full species replacement, Functional redundancy, Functional traits, Geographical ranges, Global, Global change, Global change biology, Global ecology, Global warming scenario, Joint exploration, Lasram, Local assemblages, Mapping strategy, Marine ecology progress series, Marine ecoregions, Marine science, Mediterranean, Mediterranean system, National academy, Nestedness, Nestedness component, Nestedness components, Northern part, Occurrence maps, Phylogenetic diversity, Potential effects, Potential future, Previous studies, Rais, Rais lasram, Relative contribution, Richness, Richness difference, Scenario, Second modelled periods, Second period, Several areas, Several regions, Sole driver, Spatial patterns, Species, Species assemblages, Species composition, Species distribution, Species distribution models, Species distributions, Species gain, Species gains, Species loss, Species replacement, Species replacement component, Species richness, Temporal turnover, Thuiller, Time periods, Time step, True skill statistic, Turnover, Turnover index.
Abstract
Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.
Url:
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02772.x
Links to Exploration step
ISTEX:6789AF469E8177E4334A8CF96EF3BE3BF62C374DLe document en format XML
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Bataillon, 34095, Montpellier Cedex 5, France</mods:affiliation></affiliation></author></analytic><monogr></monogr><series><title level="j" type="main">Global Change Biology</title><title level="j" type="alt">GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY</title><idno type="ISSN">1354-1013</idno><idno type="eISSN">1365-2486</idno><imprint><biblScope unit="vol">18</biblScope><biblScope unit="issue">10</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" from="2995">2995</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" to="3003">3003</biblScope><biblScope unit="page-count">9</biblScope><date type="published" when="2012-10">2012-10</date></imprint><idno type="ISSN">1354-1013</idno></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc><seriesStmt><idno type="ISSN">1354-1013</idno></seriesStmt></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Adriatic</term><term>Adriatic seas</term><term>Aegean seas</term><term>Araujo</term><term>Assemblage</term><term>Assemblage composition</term><term>Assemblage 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composition</term><term>Assemblage moves</term><term>Baselga</term><term>Baseline time period</term><term>Beta</term><term>Beta diversity</term><term>Bioclimatic envelope modelling</term><term>Bioclimatic envelope models</term><term>Biodiversity</term><term>Biodiversity chair</term><term>Bjac</term><term>Bjne</term><term>Bjtu</term><term>Blackwell publishing</term><term>Bratio</term><term>Bratio index</term><term>Bratio values</term><term>Case study</term><term>Climate change</term><term>Climate change impacts</term><term>Climate change scenarios</term><term>Climate warming</term><term>Coastal</term><term>Coastal mediterranean</term><term>Continental shelf</term><term>Development core team</term><term>Different processes</term><term>Different scenarios</term><term>Dissimilarity</term><term>Dissimilarity index</term><term>Eastern mediterranean</term><term>Ecology</term><term>Ecology evolution</term><term>Ecology letters</term><term>Ecoregions</term><term>Ecosystem</term><term>Ensemble forecasting</term><term>Environmental conditions</term><term>Fauna</term><term>Froese pauly</term><term>Full species replacement</term><term>Functional redundancy</term><term>Functional traits</term><term>Geographical ranges</term><term>Global</term><term>Global change</term><term>Global change biology</term><term>Global ecology</term><term>Global warming scenario</term><term>Joint exploration</term><term>Lasram</term><term>Local assemblages</term><term>Mapping strategy</term><term>Marine ecology progress series</term><term>Marine ecoregions</term><term>Marine science</term><term>Mediterranean</term><term>Mediterranean system</term><term>National academy</term><term>Nestedness</term><term>Nestedness component</term><term>Nestedness components</term><term>Northern part</term><term>Occurrence maps</term><term>Phylogenetic diversity</term><term>Potential effects</term><term>Potential future</term><term>Previous studies</term><term>Rais</term><term>Rais lasram</term><term>Relative contribution</term><term>Richness</term><term>Richness difference</term><term>Scenario</term><term>Second modelled periods</term><term>Second period</term><term>Several areas</term><term>Several regions</term><term>Sole driver</term><term>Spatial patterns</term><term>Species</term><term>Species assemblages</term><term>Species composition</term><term>Species distribution</term><term>Species distribution models</term><term>Species distributions</term><term>Species gain</term><term>Species gains</term><term>Species loss</term><term>Species replacement</term><term>Species replacement component</term><term>Species richness</term><term>Temporal turnover</term><term>Thuiller</term><term>Time periods</term><term>Time step</term><term>True skill statistic</term><term>Turnover</term><term>Turnover index</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract">Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</div></front></TEI><istex><corpusName>wiley</corpusName><keywords><teeft><json:string>species richness</json:string><json:string>nestedness</json:string><json:string>species replacement</json:string><json:string>bjac</json:string><json:string>climate change</json:string><json:string>bratio</json:string><json:string>thuiller</json:string><json:string>ecology</json:string><json:string>biodiversity</json:string><json:string>global change biology</json:string><json:string>dissimilarity</json:string><json:string>assemblage composition</json:string><json:string>beta diversity</json:string><json:string>bjtu</json:string><json:string>ecosystem</json:string><json:string>araujo</json:string><json:string>species composition</json:string><json:string>rais lasram</json:string><json:string>lasram</json:string><json:string>rais</json:string><json:string>blackwell publishing</json:string><json:string>scenario</json:string><json:string>dissimilarity index</json:string><json:string>baselga</json:string><json:string>ecoregions</json:string><json:string>bjne</json:string><json:string>time periods</json:string><json:string>assemblage</json:string><json:string>species distributions</json:string><json:string>turnover</json:string><json:string>nestedness components</json:string><json:string>richness difference</json:string><json:string>climate change impacts</json:string><json:string>species replacement component</json:string><json:string>climate warming</json:string><json:string>species assemblages</json:string><json:string>coastal mediterranean</json:string><json:string>richness</json:string><json:string>nestedness component</json:string><json:string>previous studies</json:string><json:string>time step</json:string><json:string>local assemblages</json:string><json:string>relative contribution</json:string><json:string>aegean seas</json:string><json:string>mediterranean</json:string><json:string>beta</json:string><json:string>fauna</json:string><json:string>global</json:string><json:string>species loss</json:string><json:string>ecology letters</json:string><json:string>development core team</json:string><json:string>spatial patterns</json:string><json:string>marine ecoregions</json:string><json:string>continental shelf</json:string><json:string>functional redundancy</json:string><json:string>case study</json:string><json:string>baseline time period</json:string><json:string>northern part</json:string><json:string>species</json:string><json:string>adriatic</json:string><json:string>coastal</json:string><json:string>bioclimatic envelope modelling</json:string><json:string>potential future</json:string><json:string>bioclimatic envelope models</json:string><json:string>full species replacement</json:string><json:string>mapping strategy</json:string><json:string>sole driver</json:string><json:string>bratio values</json:string><json:string>global change</json:string><json:string>species gains</json:string><json:string>environmental conditions</json:string><json:string>occurrence maps</json:string><json:string>climate change scenarios</json:string><json:string>geographical ranges</json:string><json:string>froese pauly</json:string><json:string>species distribution models</json:string><json:string>different scenarios</json:string><json:string>true skill statistic</json:string><json:string>second modelled periods</json:string><json:string>potential effects</json:string><json:string>species distribution</json:string><json:string>temporal turnover</json:string><json:string>bratio index</json:string><json:string>joint exploration</json:string><json:string>several regions</json:string><json:string>assemblage moves</json:string><json:string>second period</json:string><json:string>adriatic seas</json:string><json:string>several areas</json:string><json:string>species gain</json:string><json:string>turnover index</json:string><json:string>functional traits</json:string><json:string>phylogenetic diversity</json:string><json:string>mediterranean system</json:string><json:string>biodiversity chair</json:string><json:string>different processes</json:string><json:string>global warming scenario</json:string><json:string>ensemble forecasting</json:string><json:string>ecology evolution</json:string><json:string>global ecology</json:string><json:string>marine ecology progress series</json:string><json:string>eastern mediterranean</json:string><json:string>marine science</json:string><json:string>national academy</json:string></teeft></keywords><author><json:item><name>Camille Albouy</name><affiliations><json:string>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon, 34095, Montpellier Cedex 5, France</json:string><json:string>Laboratoire Ecosystèmes Marins Exploités UMR 212, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, avenue Jean Monnet BP171, 34203, Sète Cedex, France</json:string><json:string>Correspondence:Camille Albouy, tel: + 33 4 67 14 39 26, fax: + 33 4 67 17 37 19, e‐mail:</json:string><json:string>E-mail: albouycamille@gmail.com</json:string></affiliations></json:item><json:item><name>François Guilhaumon</name><affiliations><json:string>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair, CIBIO, University of Évora, Casa Cordovil, 2º Andar, Rua Dr. Joaquim Henrique da Fonseca, 7000‐890 c, Portugal</json:string></affiliations></json:item><json:item><name>Miguel B. Araújo</name><affiliations><json:string>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair, CIBIO, University of Évora, Casa Cordovil, 2º Andar, Rua Dr. Joaquim Henrique da Fonseca, 7000‐890 c, Portugal</json:string><json:string>Departamento de Biodiversidad y Biologia Evolutiva, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, CSIC, C/José Gutiérrez Abascal, 2, 28006Madrid, Spain</json:string><json:string>Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark</json:string></affiliations></json:item><json:item><name>David Mouillot</name><affiliations><json:string>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon, 34095, Montpellier Cedex 5, France</json:string><json:string>ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Qld, 4811, Townsville, Australia</json:string></affiliations></json:item><json:item><name>Fabien Leprieur</name><affiliations><json:string>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon, 34095, Montpellier Cedex 5, France</json:string></affiliations></json:item></author><subject><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>beta diversity</value></json:item><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>Bioclimatic Envelop Model</value></json:item><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>Mediterranean coastal fish</value></json:item><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>Mediterranean Sea</value></json:item><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>nestedness</value></json:item><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>Nestedness</value></json:item><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>Species Temporal Turnover</value></json:item><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>turnover</value></json:item><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>Turnover</value></json:item></subject><articleId><json:string>GCB2772</json:string></articleId><arkIstex>ark:/67375/WNG-CWRMW6XN-1</arkIstex><language><json:string>eng</json:string></language><originalGenre><json:string>article</json:string></originalGenre><abstract>Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</abstract><qualityIndicators><score>10</score><pdfWordCount>6300</pdfWordCount><pdfCharCount>38500</pdfCharCount><pdfVersion>1.7</pdfVersion><pdfPageCount>9</pdfPageCount><pdfPageSize>595.276 x 782.362 pts</pdfPageSize><refBibsNative>true</refBibsNative><abstractWordCount>267</abstractWordCount><abstractCharCount>1895</abstractCharCount><keywordCount>9</keywordCount></qualityIndicators><title>Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages</title><genre><json:string>article</json:string></genre><host><title>Global Change Biology</title><language><json:string>unknown</json:string></language><doi><json:string>10.1111/(ISSN)1365-2486</json:string></doi><issn><json:string>1354-1013</json:string></issn><eissn><json:string>1365-2486</json:string></eissn><publisherId><json:string>GCB</json:string></publisherId><volume>18</volume><issue>10</issue><pages><first>2995</first><last>3003</last><total>9</total></pages><genre><json:string>journal</json:string></genre><subject><json:item><value>Primary Research Article</value></json:item></subject></host><namedEntities><unitex><date><json:string>2012-07-03</json:string><json:string>21st century</json:string><json:string>during the 21st century</json:string></date><geogName><json:string>Balearic Sea</json:string><json:string>Sea Surface Temperatures</json:string><json:string>Mediterranean Sea</json:string><json:string>Red Sea</json:string><json:string>Adriatic Sea</json:string><json:string>Aegean Sea</json:string><json:string>Ionian Sea</json:string><json:string>Sea Adriatic Sea Aegean Sea Levantine Sea</json:string><json:string>Tyrrhenian Sea</json:string><json:string>Alboran Sea</json:string></geogName><orgName><json:string>R Development Core Team</json:string><json:string>STT</json:string><json:string>University of Copenhagen</json:string><json:string>ETOPO2v2</json:string><json:string>James Cook University</json:string><json:string>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</json:string><json:string>CSIC</json:string><json:string>Australia Abstract Species Temporal Turnover</json:string><json:string>Spanish Research Council</json:string><json:string>Fonda´</json:string><json:string>Fondation Total</json:string></orgName><orgName_funder><json:string>Fonda´</json:string><json:string>Fondation Total</json:string></orgName_funder><orgName_provider></orgName_provider><persName><json:string>Reef Studies</json:string><json:string>Rui Nabeiro</json:string><json:string>Jose Gutierrez</json:string><json:string>Exploites</json:string><json:string>Joaquim Henrique</json:string><json:string>Sidra Ionian</json:string><json:string>Baselga</json:string><json:string>Ben Rais</json:string><json:string>Camille Albouy</json:string><json:string>E. Bataillon</json:string></persName><placeName><json:string>Madrid</json:string><json:string>Townsville</json:string><json:string>Adriatic Sea</json:string><json:string>Denmark</json:string><json:string>Aegean Sea</json:string><json:string>France</json:string><json:string>Copenhagen</json:string><json:string>Spain</json:string></placeName><ref_url><json:string>http://CRAN.R-project.org/</json:string></ref_url><ref_bibl><json:string>2010, 2012</json:string><json:string>Mann & Blackburn, 1991</json:string><json:string>Legendre & Legendre, 1998</json:string><json:string>1À bjtu; Baselga, 2010</json:string><json:string>Araujo et al., 2006</json:string><json:string>Lasram et al., 2010</json:string><json:string>Tingley et al., 2009</json:string><json:string>Burreson & Sypek, 1981</json:string><json:string>Ben Rais Lasram et al., 2008</json:string><json:string>Koleff et al., 2003</json:string><json:string>Azzurro et al., 2011</json:string><json:string>Jackson & Sax, 2010</json:string><json:string>Hoegh-Guldberg & Bruno, 2010</json:string><json:string>Suding et al., 2008</json:string><json:string>Buisson et al., 2008</json:string><json:string>Baselga, 2010</json:string><json:string>Giorgi, 2006</json:string><json:string>Baselga (2012)</json:string><json:string>Spalding et al. (2007)</json:string><json:string>see Vaughn, 2010</json:string><json:string>Dulvy et al., 2008</json:string><json:string>Allouche et al., 2006</json:string><json:string>ETOPO2v2, 2010</json:string><json:string>Anderson et al., 2011</json:string><json:string>ter Hofstede & Rijnsdorp, 2011</json:string><json:string>Garcia et al., 2011</json:string><json:string>Leprieur et al., 2011</json:string><json:string>Neuheimer et al., 2011</json:string><json:string>Buisson & Grenouillet, 2009</json:string><json:string>Novak et al., 2011</json:string><json:string>Guisan & Thuiller, 2005</json:string><json:string>Beuvier et al., 2010</json:string><json:string>Somero, 2012</json:string><json:string>Wardle et al., 2011</json:string><json:string>Thuiller et al., 2005</json:string><json:string>Coll et al., 2010</json:string><json:string>Baselga, 2010, 2012</json:string><json:string>Mouillot et al., 2011</json:string><json:string>Araujo & New, 2007</json:string><json:string>Raitsos et al., 2010</json:string><json:string>Louisy, 2005</json:string><json:string>Dobrovolski et al., 2011</json:string><json:string>Froese & Pauly, 2010</json:string><json:string>Peterson et al., 2002</json:string><json:string>Spalding et al., 2007</json:string><json:string>Ben Rais Lasram et al., 2009, 2010</json:string><json:string>Ben Rais Lasram et al., 2010</json:string><json:string>IPCC, 2007</json:string><json:string>Thuiller et al., 2009</json:string><json:string>Dolnicar et al. (1999)</json:string><json:string>Ben Rais Lasram et al., 2009</json:string><json:string>Whitehead et al., 1986</json:string><json:string>R Development Core Team, 2011</json:string><json:string>Williams et al., 1999</json:string><json:string>Hillebrand et al., 2010</json:string><json:string>Parmesan & Yohe, 2003</json:string></ref_bibl><bibl></bibl></unitex></namedEntities><ark><json:string>ark:/67375/WNG-CWRMW6XN-1</json:string></ark><categories><wos><json:string>1 - science</json:string><json:string>2 - environmental sciences</json:string><json:string>2 - ecology</json:string><json:string>2 - biodiversity conservation</json:string></wos><scienceMetrix><json:string>1 - natural sciences</json:string><json:string>2 - biology</json:string><json:string>3 - ecology</json:string></scienceMetrix><scopus></scopus></categories><publicationDate>2012</publicationDate><copyrightDate>2012</copyrightDate><doi><json:string>10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02772.x</json:string></doi><id>6789AF469E8177E4334A8CF96EF3BE3BF62C374D</id><score>1</score><fulltext><json:item><extension>pdf</extension><original>true</original><mimetype>application/pdf</mimetype><uri>https://api.istex.fr/document/6789AF469E8177E4334A8CF96EF3BE3BF62C374D/fulltext/pdf</uri></json:item><json:item><extension>zip</extension><original>false</original><mimetype>application/zip</mimetype><uri>https://api.istex.fr/document/6789AF469E8177E4334A8CF96EF3BE3BF62C374D/fulltext/zip</uri></json:item><istex:fulltextTEI uri="https://api.istex.fr/document/6789AF469E8177E4334A8CF96EF3BE3BF62C374D/fulltext/tei"><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title level="a" type="main">Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages</title></titleStmt><publicationStmt><authority>ISTEX</authority><publisher>Wiley Publishing Ltd</publisher><availability><licence>© 2012 Blackwell Publishing Ltd</licence></availability><date type="published" when="2012-10"></date></publicationStmt><notesStmt><note type="content-type" subtype="article" source="article" scheme="https://content-type.data.istex.fr/ark:/67375/XTP-6N5SZHKN-D">article</note><note type="publication-type" subtype="journal" scheme="https://publication-type.data.istex.fr/ark:/67375/JMC-0GLKJH51-B">journal</note></notesStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct type="article"><analytic><title level="a" type="main">Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages</title><author xml:id="author-0000" role="corresp"><persName><forename type="first">Camille</forename><surname>Albouy</surname></persName><affiliation><orgName>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119</orgName><orgName>CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1</orgName><address><street>cc 093, Place E. Bataillon</street><settlement type="city">Montpellier Cedex 5</settlement><postCode>34095</postCode><country key="FR">France</country></address></affiliation><affiliation><orgName>Laboratoire Ecosystèmes Marins Exploités UMR 212</orgName><orgName>IRD, IFREMER, UM2</orgName><address><street>avenue Jean Monnet BP171</street><settlement type="city">Sète Cedex</settlement><postCode>34203</postCode><country key="FR">France</country></address></affiliation><note type="foot"></note><affiliation>Correspondence: Camille Albouy, tel: + 33 4 67 14 39 26, fax: + 33 4 67 17 37 19, e‐mail: albouycamille@gmail.com</affiliation></author><author xml:id="author-0001"><persName><forename type="first">François</forename><surname>Guilhaumon</surname></persName><affiliation><orgName>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair</orgName><orgName>CIBIO, University of Évora</orgName><address><street>Casa Cordovil, 2º Andar, Rua Dr. Joaquim Henrique da Fonseca</street><postCode>7000‐890 c</postCode><country key="PT">Portugal</country></address></affiliation><note type="foot"></note></author><author xml:id="author-0002"><persName><forename type="first">Miguel B.</forename><surname>Araújo</surname></persName><affiliation><orgName>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair</orgName><orgName>CIBIO, University of Évora</orgName><address><street>Casa Cordovil, 2º Andar, Rua Dr. Joaquim Henrique da Fonseca</street><postCode>7000‐890 c</postCode><country key="PT">Portugal</country></address></affiliation><affiliation><orgName>Departamento de Biodiversidad y Biologia Evolutiva</orgName><orgName>Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, CSIC</orgName><address><street>C/José Gutiérrez Abascal, 2</street><settlement type="city">28006Madrid</settlement><country key="ES">Spain</country></address></affiliation><affiliation><orgName>Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate</orgName><orgName>University of Copenhagen</orgName><address><street>Universitetsparken 15</street><settlement type="city">Copenhagen</settlement><postCode>2100</postCode><country key="DK">Denmark</country></address></affiliation></author><author xml:id="author-0003"><persName><forename type="first">David</forename><surname>Mouillot</surname></persName><affiliation><orgName>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119</orgName><orgName>CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1</orgName><address><street>cc 093, Place E. Bataillon</street><settlement type="city">Montpellier Cedex 5</settlement><postCode>34095</postCode><country key="FR">France</country></address></affiliation><affiliation><orgName>ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies</orgName><orgName>James Cook University</orgName><address><settlement type="city">Townsville</settlement><postCode>4811</postCode><region>Qld</region><country key="AU">Australia</country></address></affiliation></author><author xml:id="author-0004"><persName><forename type="first">Fabien</forename><surname>Leprieur</surname></persName><affiliation><orgName>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119</orgName><orgName>CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1</orgName><address><street>cc 093, Place E. Bataillon</street><settlement type="city">Montpellier Cedex 5</settlement><postCode>34095</postCode><country key="FR">France</country></address></affiliation></author><idno type="istex">6789AF469E8177E4334A8CF96EF3BE3BF62C374D</idno><idno type="ark">ark:/67375/WNG-CWRMW6XN-1</idno><idno type="DOI">10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02772.x</idno><idno type="unit">GCB2772</idno><idno type="toTypesetVersion">file:GCB.GCB2772.pdf</idno></analytic><monogr><title level="j" type="main">Global Change Biology</title><title level="j" type="alt">GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY</title><idno type="pISSN">1354-1013</idno><idno type="eISSN">1365-2486</idno><idno type="book-DOI">10.1111/(ISSN)1365-2486</idno><idno type="book-part-DOI">10.1111/gcb.2012.18.issue-10</idno><idno type="product">GCB</idno><imprint><biblScope unit="vol">18</biblScope><biblScope unit="issue">10</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" from="2995">2995</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" to="3003">3003</biblScope><biblScope unit="page-count">9</biblScope><date type="published" when="2012-10"></date></imprint></monogr></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><abstract style="main" xml:id="gcb2772-abs-0001"><head>Abstract</head><p>Species Temporal Turnover (<hi rend="fc">STT</hi>) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, <hi rend="fc">STT</hi> mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of <hi rend="fc">STT</hi> that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (<hi rend="fc">BEM</hi>s) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</p></abstract><textClass><keywords><term xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0001">beta diversity</term><term xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0002">Bioclimatic Envelop Model</term><term xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0003">Mediterranean coastal fish</term><term xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0004">Mediterranean Sea</term><term xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0005">nestedness</term><term xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0006">Nestedness</term><term xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0007">Species Temporal Turnover</term><term xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0008">turnover</term><term xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0009">Turnover</term></keywords><keywords rend="articleCategory"><term>Primary Research Article</term></keywords><keywords rend="tocHeading1"><term>Primary Research Articles</term></keywords></textClass><langUsage><language 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href="file:GCB.GCB2772.pdf"></link></linkGroup></publicationMeta><contentMeta><titleGroup><title type="main">Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages</title><title type="shortAuthors">C. albouy <i>et al</i>.</title></titleGroup><creators><creator affiliationRef="#gcb2772-aff-0001 #gcb2772-aff-0002" corresponding="yes" creatorRole="author" noteRef="#gcb2772-note-0001" xml:id="gcb2772-cr-0001"><personName><givenNames>Camille</givenNames> <familyName>Albouy</familyName></personName></creator><creator affiliationRef="#gcb2772-aff-0003" creatorRole="author" noteRef="#gcb2772-note-0001" xml:id="gcb2772-cr-0002"><personName><givenNames>François</givenNames> <familyName>Guilhaumon</familyName></personName></creator><creator affiliationRef="#gcb2772-aff-0003 #gcb2772-aff-0004 #gcb2772-aff-0005" creatorRole="author" xml:id="gcb2772-cr-0003"><personName><givenNames>Miguel B.</givenNames> <familyName>Araújo</familyName></personName></creator><creator affiliationRef="#gcb2772-aff-0001 #gcb2772-aff-0006" creatorRole="author" xml:id="gcb2772-cr-0004"><personName><givenNames>David</givenNames> <familyName>Mouillot</familyName></personName></creator><creator affiliationRef="#gcb2772-aff-0001" creatorRole="author" xml:id="gcb2772-cr-0005"><personName><givenNames>Fabien</givenNames> <familyName>Leprieur</familyName></personName></creator></creators><affiliationGroup><affiliation countryCode="FR" type="organization" xml:id="gcb2772-aff-0001"><orgDiv>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119</orgDiv> <orgName>CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1</orgName> <address><street>cc 093, Place E. Bataillon</street> <postCode>34095</postCode> <city>Montpellier Cedex 5</city> <country>France</country></address></affiliation><affiliation countryCode="FR" type="organization" xml:id="gcb2772-aff-0002"><orgDiv>Laboratoire Ecosystèmes Marins Exploités UMR 212</orgDiv> <orgName>IRD, IFREMER, UM2</orgName> <address><street>avenue Jean Monnet BP171</street> <postCode>34203</postCode> <city>Sète Cedex</city> <country>France</country></address></affiliation><affiliation countryCode="PT" type="organization" xml:id="gcb2772-aff-0003"><orgDiv>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair</orgDiv> <orgName>CIBIO, University of Évora</orgName> <address><street>Casa Cordovil, 2º Andar, Rua Dr. Joaquim Henrique da Fonseca</street> <postCode>7000‐890 c</postCode> <country>Portugal</country></address></affiliation><affiliation countryCode="ES" type="organization" xml:id="gcb2772-aff-0004"><orgDiv>Departamento de Biodiversidad y Biologia Evolutiva</orgDiv> <orgName>Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, CSIC</orgName> <address><street>C/José Gutiérrez Abascal, 2</street> <city>28006</city> <city>Madrid</city> <country>Spain</country></address></affiliation><affiliation countryCode="DK" type="organization" xml:id="gcb2772-aff-0005"><orgName>Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate</orgName> <orgName>University of Copenhagen</orgName> <address><street>Universitetsparken 15</street> <postCode>2100</postCode> <city>Copenhagen</city> <country>Denmark</country></address></affiliation><affiliation countryCode="AU" type="organization" xml:id="gcb2772-aff-0006"><orgName>ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies</orgName> <orgName>James Cook University</orgName> <address><city>Townsville</city> <countryPart>Qld</countryPart> <postCode>4811</postCode> <country>Australia</country></address></affiliation></affiliationGroup><keywordGroup type="author"><keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0001">beta diversity</keyword><keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0002">Bioclimatic Envelop Model</keyword><keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0003">Mediterranean coastal fish</keyword><keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0004">Mediterranean Sea</keyword><keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0005">nestedness</keyword><keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0006">Nestedness</keyword><keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0007">Species Temporal Turnover</keyword><keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0008">turnover</keyword><keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0009">Turnover</keyword></keywordGroup><supportingInformation><supportingInfoItem><mediaResource alt="supporting" mimeType="image/tif" rendition="webOriginal" href="urn-x:wiley:13541013:media:gcb2772:gcb2772-sup-0001-SupportingInformation"></mediaResource><caption><b>Figure S1.</b> Representation of the species replacement component (β<sub>jtu</sub>) of STT between the baseline time period (1961–1980) and the future (2040–2059 (a); 2080–2099 (b)) for the fish assemblages of the Mediterranean continental shelf.</caption></supportingInfoItem><supportingInfoItem><mediaResource alt="supporting" mimeType="application/msword" href="urn-x:wiley:13541013:media:gcb2772:gcb2772-sup-0002-FigureS1"></mediaResource><caption> </caption></supportingInfoItem></supportingInformation><abstractGroup><abstract type="main" xml:id="gcb2772-abs-0001"><title type="main">Abstract</title><p>Species Temporal Turnover (<fc>STT</fc>) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, <fc>STT</fc> mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of <fc>STT</fc> that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (<fc>BEM</fc>s) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</p></abstract></abstractGroup></contentMeta><noteGroup xml:id="gcb2772-ntgp-0001"><note xml:id="gcb2772-note-0001">co first author</note></noteGroup></header></component></istex:document></istex:metadataXml><mods version="3.6"><titleInfo lang="en"><title>Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages</title></titleInfo><titleInfo type="alternative" contentType="CDATA" lang="en"><title>Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages</title></titleInfo><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Camille</namePart><namePart type="family">Albouy</namePart><affiliation>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon, 34095, Montpellier Cedex 5, France</affiliation><affiliation>Laboratoire Ecosystèmes Marins Exploités UMR 212, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, avenue Jean Monnet BP171, 34203, Sète Cedex, France</affiliation><description>co first author</description><affiliation>Correspondence:Camille Albouy, tel: + 33 4 67 14 39 26, fax: + 33 4 67 17 37 19, e‐mail:</affiliation><affiliation>E-mail: albouycamille@gmail.com</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">François</namePart><namePart type="family">Guilhaumon</namePart><affiliation>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair, CIBIO, University of Évora, Casa Cordovil, 2º Andar, Rua Dr. Joaquim Henrique da Fonseca, 7000‐890 c, Portugal</affiliation><description>co first author</description><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Miguel B.</namePart><namePart type="family">Araújo</namePart><affiliation>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair, CIBIO, University of Évora, Casa Cordovil, 2º Andar, Rua Dr. Joaquim Henrique da Fonseca, 7000‐890 c, Portugal</affiliation><affiliation>Departamento de Biodiversidad y Biologia Evolutiva, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, CSIC, C/José Gutiérrez Abascal, 2, 28006Madrid, Spain</affiliation><affiliation>Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">David</namePart><namePart type="family">Mouillot</namePart><affiliation>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon, 34095, Montpellier Cedex 5, France</affiliation><affiliation>ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Qld, 4811, Townsville, Australia</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Fabien</namePart><namePart type="family">Leprieur</namePart><affiliation>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon, 34095, Montpellier Cedex 5, France</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><typeOfResource>text</typeOfResource><genre type="article" displayLabel="article" authority="ISTEX" authorityURI="https://content-type.data.istex.fr" valueURI="https://content-type.data.istex.fr/ark:/67375/XTP-6N5SZHKN-D">article</genre><originInfo><publisher>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><dateIssued encoding="w3cdtf">2012-10</dateIssued><dateCreated encoding="w3cdtf">2012-07-03</dateCreated><dateCaptured encoding="w3cdtf">2012-02-21</dateCaptured><dateValid encoding="w3cdtf">2012-06-15</dateValid><copyrightDate encoding="w3cdtf">2012</copyrightDate></originInfo><language><languageTerm type="code" authority="rfc3066">en</languageTerm><languageTerm type="code" authority="iso639-2b">eng</languageTerm></language><abstract>Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</abstract><note type="additional physical form">Figure S1. Representation of the species replacement component (βjtu) of STT between the baseline time period (1961–1980) and the future (2040–2059 (a); 2080–2099 (b)) for the fish assemblages of the Mediterranean continental shelf. </note><subject><genre>keywords</genre><topic>beta diversity</topic><topic>Bioclimatic Envelop Model</topic><topic>Mediterranean coastal fish</topic><topic>Mediterranean Sea</topic><topic>nestedness</topic><topic>Nestedness</topic><topic>Species Temporal Turnover</topic><topic>turnover</topic><topic>Turnover</topic></subject><relatedItem type="host"><titleInfo><title>Global Change Biology</title></titleInfo><titleInfo type="abbreviated"><title>Glob Change Biol</title></titleInfo><genre type="journal" authority="ISTEX" authorityURI="https://publication-type.data.istex.fr" valueURI="https://publication-type.data.istex.fr/ark:/67375/JMC-0GLKJH51-B">journal</genre><subject><genre>article-category</genre><topic>Primary Research Article</topic></subject><identifier type="ISSN">1354-1013</identifier><identifier type="eISSN">1365-2486</identifier><identifier type="DOI">10.1111/(ISSN)1365-2486</identifier><identifier type="PublisherID">GCB</identifier><part><date>2012</date><detail type="volume"><caption>vol.</caption><number>18</number></detail><detail type="issue"><caption>no.</caption><number>10</number></detail><extent unit="pages"><start>2995</start><end>3003</end><total>9</total></extent></part></relatedItem><identifier type="istex">6789AF469E8177E4334A8CF96EF3BE3BF62C374D</identifier><identifier type="ark">ark:/67375/WNG-CWRMW6XN-1</identifier><identifier type="DOI">10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02772.x</identifier><identifier type="ArticleID">GCB2772</identifier><accessCondition type="use and reproduction" contentType="copyright">Copyright © 2012 Blackwell Publishing Ltd© 2012 Blackwell Publishing Ltd</accessCondition><recordInfo><recordContentSource authority="ISTEX" authorityURI="https://loaded-corpus.data.istex.fr" valueURI="https://loaded-corpus.data.istex.fr/ark:/67375/XBH-L0C46X92-X">wiley</recordContentSource></recordInfo></mods><json:item><extension>json</extension><original>false</original><mimetype>application/json</mimetype><uri>https://api.istex.fr/document/6789AF469E8177E4334A8CF96EF3BE3BF62C374D/metadata/json</uri></json:item></metadata><serie></serie></istex></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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