Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages
Identifieur interne : 001345 ( Istex/Corpus ); précédent : 001344; suivant : 001346Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages
Auteurs : Camille Albouy ; François Guilhaumon ; Miguel B. Araújo ; David Mouillot ; Fabien LeprieurSource :
- Global Change Biology [ 1354-1013 ] ; 2012-10.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Adriatic, Adriatic seas, Aegean seas, Araujo, Assemblage, Assemblage composition, Assemblage moves, Baselga, Baseline time period, Beta, Beta diversity, Bioclimatic envelope modelling, Bioclimatic envelope models, Biodiversity, Biodiversity chair, Bjac, Bjne, Bjtu, Blackwell publishing, Bratio, Bratio index, Bratio values, Case study, Climate change, Climate change impacts, Climate change scenarios, Climate warming, Coastal, Coastal mediterranean, Continental shelf, Development core team, Different processes, Different scenarios, Dissimilarity, Dissimilarity index, Eastern mediterranean, Ecology, Ecology evolution, Ecology letters, Ecoregions, Ecosystem, Ensemble forecasting, Environmental conditions, Fauna, Froese pauly, Full species replacement, Functional redundancy, Functional traits, Geographical ranges, Global, Global change, Global change biology, Global ecology, Global warming scenario, Joint exploration, Lasram, Local assemblages, Mapping strategy, Marine ecology progress series, Marine ecoregions, Marine science, Mediterranean, Mediterranean system, National academy, Nestedness, Nestedness component, Nestedness components, Northern part, Occurrence maps, Phylogenetic diversity, Potential effects, Potential future, Previous studies, Rais, Rais lasram, Relative contribution, Richness, Richness difference, Scenario, Second modelled periods, Second period, Several areas, Several regions, Sole driver, Spatial patterns, Species, Species assemblages, Species composition, Species distribution, Species distribution models, Species distributions, Species gain, Species gains, Species loss, Species replacement, Species replacement component, Species richness, Temporal turnover, Thuiller, Time periods, Time step, True skill statistic, Turnover, Turnover index.
- Teeft :
- Adriatic, Adriatic seas, Aegean seas, Araujo, Assemblage, Assemblage composition, Assemblage moves, Baselga, Baseline time period, Beta, Beta diversity, Bioclimatic envelope modelling, Bioclimatic envelope models, Biodiversity, Biodiversity chair, Bjac, Bjne, Bjtu, Blackwell publishing, Bratio, Bratio index, Bratio values, Case study, Climate change, Climate change impacts, Climate change scenarios, Climate warming, Coastal, Coastal mediterranean, Continental shelf, Development core team, Different processes, Different scenarios, Dissimilarity, Dissimilarity index, Eastern mediterranean, Ecology, Ecology evolution, Ecology letters, Ecoregions, Ecosystem, Ensemble forecasting, Environmental conditions, Fauna, Froese pauly, Full species replacement, Functional redundancy, Functional traits, Geographical ranges, Global, Global change, Global change biology, Global ecology, Global warming scenario, Joint exploration, Lasram, Local assemblages, Mapping strategy, Marine ecology progress series, Marine ecoregions, Marine science, Mediterranean, Mediterranean system, National academy, Nestedness, Nestedness component, Nestedness components, Northern part, Occurrence maps, Phylogenetic diversity, Potential effects, Potential future, Previous studies, Rais, Rais lasram, Relative contribution, Richness, Richness difference, Scenario, Second modelled periods, Second period, Several areas, Several regions, Sole driver, Spatial patterns, Species, Species assemblages, Species composition, Species distribution, Species distribution models, Species distributions, Species gain, Species gains, Species loss, Species replacement, Species replacement component, Species richness, Temporal turnover, Thuiller, Time periods, Time step, True skill statistic, Turnover, Turnover index.
Abstract
Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.
Url:
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02772.x
Links to Exploration step
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<front><div type="abstract">Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</div>
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<p>Species Temporal Turnover (<hi rend="fc">STT</hi>
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mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of <hi rend="fc">STT</hi>
that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (<hi rend="fc">BEM</hi>
s) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</p>
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<correspondenceTo><lineatedText><line>Correspondence:</line>
<line>Camille Albouy, tel: + 33 4 67 14 39 26, fax: + 33 4 67 17 37 19, e‐mail: <email>albouycamille@gmail.com</email>
</line>
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<contentMeta><titleGroup><title type="main">Combining projected changes in species richness and composition reveals climate change impacts on coastal Mediterranean fish assemblages</title>
<title type="shortAuthors">C. albouy <i>et al</i>
.</title>
</titleGroup>
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<creator affiliationRef="#gcb2772-aff-0003 #gcb2772-aff-0004 #gcb2772-aff-0005" creatorRole="author" xml:id="gcb2772-cr-0003"><personName><givenNames>Miguel B.</givenNames>
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<affiliationGroup><affiliation countryCode="FR" type="organization" xml:id="gcb2772-aff-0001"><orgDiv>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119</orgDiv>
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<address><street>cc 093, Place E. Bataillon</street>
<postCode>34095</postCode>
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<country>France</country>
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<city>Sète Cedex</city>
<country>France</country>
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<affiliation countryCode="PT" type="organization" xml:id="gcb2772-aff-0003"><orgDiv>Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair</orgDiv>
<orgName>CIBIO, University of Évora</orgName>
<address><street>Casa Cordovil, 2º Andar, Rua Dr. Joaquim Henrique da Fonseca</street>
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<country>Portugal</country>
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<country>Spain</country>
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<affiliation countryCode="DK" type="organization" xml:id="gcb2772-aff-0005"><orgName>Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate</orgName>
<orgName>University of Copenhagen</orgName>
<address><street>Universitetsparken 15</street>
<postCode>2100</postCode>
<city>Copenhagen</city>
<country>Denmark</country>
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<affiliation countryCode="AU" type="organization" xml:id="gcb2772-aff-0006"><orgName>ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies</orgName>
<orgName>James Cook University</orgName>
<address><city>Townsville</city>
<countryPart>Qld</countryPart>
<postCode>4811</postCode>
<country>Australia</country>
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<keywordGroup type="author"><keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0001">beta diversity</keyword>
<keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0002">Bioclimatic Envelop Model</keyword>
<keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0003">Mediterranean coastal fish</keyword>
<keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0004">Mediterranean Sea</keyword>
<keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0005">nestedness</keyword>
<keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0006">Nestedness</keyword>
<keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0007">Species Temporal Turnover</keyword>
<keyword xml:id="gcb2772-kwd-0008">turnover</keyword>
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<caption><b>Figure S1.</b>
Representation of the species replacement component (β<sub>jtu</sub>
) of STT between the baseline time period (1961–1980) and the future (2040–2059 (a); 2080–2099 (b)) for the fish assemblages of the Mediterranean continental shelf.</caption>
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<abstractGroup><abstract type="main" xml:id="gcb2772-abs-0001"><title type="main">Abstract</title>
<p>Species Temporal Turnover (<fc>STT</fc>
) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, <fc>STT</fc>
mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of <fc>STT</fc>
that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (<fc>BEM</fc>
s) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</p>
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<affiliation>Laboratoire Ecologie des Systèmes Marins Côtiers UMR 5119, CNRS, IRD, IFREMER, UM2, UM1, cc 093, Place E. Bataillon, 34095, Montpellier Cedex 5, France</affiliation>
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<affiliation>Correspondence:Camille Albouy, tel: + 33 4 67 14 39 26, fax: + 33 4 67 17 37 19, e‐mail:</affiliation>
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<name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Miguel B.</namePart>
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<affiliation>Departamento de Biodiversidad y Biologia Evolutiva, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, CSIC, C/José Gutiérrez Abascal, 2, 28006Madrid, Spain</affiliation>
<affiliation>Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark</affiliation>
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<name type="personal"><namePart type="given">David</namePart>
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<affiliation>ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Qld, 4811, Townsville, Australia</affiliation>
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<name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Fabien</namePart>
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<abstract>Species Temporal Turnover (STT) is one of the most familiar metrics to assess changes in assemblage composition as a consequence of climate change. However, STT mixes two components in one metric, changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species loss or gain (i.e. the nestedness component) and changes in assemblage composition caused by a process of species replacement (i.e. the species replacement component). Drawing on previous studies investigating spatial patterns of beta diversity, we propose measures of STT that allow analysing each component (species replacement vs. nestedness), separately. We also present a mapping strategy to simultaneously visualize changes in species richness and assemblage composition. To illustrate our approach, we used the Mediterranean coastal fish fauna as a case study. Using Bioclimatic Envelope Models (BEMs) we first projected the potential future climatic niches of 288 coastal Mediterranean fish species based on a global warming scenario. We then aggregated geographically the species‐level projections to analyse the projected changes in species richness and composition. Our results show that projected changes in assemblage composition are caused by different processes (species replacement vs. nestedness) in several areas of the Mediterranean Sea. In addition, our mapping strategy highlights that the coastal fish fauna in several regions of the Mediterranean Sea could experience a ‘cul‐de‐sac’ effect if exposed to climate warming. Overall, the joint exploration of changes in species richness and composition coupled with the distinction between species replacement and nestedness bears important information for understanding the nature of climate change impacts on biodiversity. These methodological advances should help decision‐makers in prioritizing action in the areas facing the greatest vulnerability to climate.</abstract>
<note type="additional physical form">Figure S1. Representation of the species replacement component (βjtu) of STT between the baseline time period (1961–1980) and the future (2040–2059 (a); 2080–2099 (b)) for the fish assemblages of the Mediterranean continental shelf. </note>
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