Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020
Identifieur interne : 001000 ( Pmc/Curation ); précédent : 000F99; suivant : 001001Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020
Auteurs : Julien Riou [Suisse] ; Christian L. Althaus [Suisse]Source :
- Eurosurveillance [ 1025-496X ] ; 2020.
Abstract
Since December 2019, China has been experiencing a large outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We estimated the basic reproduction number
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DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058
PubMed: 32019669
PubMed Central: 7001239
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Althaus</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno><idno type="pmid">32019669</idno><idno type="pmc">7001239</idno><idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7001239</idno><idno type="RBID">PMC:7001239</idno><idno type="doi">10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058</idno><date when="2020">2020</date><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">001000</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">001000</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">001000</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Curation">001000</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020</title><author><name sortKey="Riou, Julien" sort="Riou, Julien" uniqKey="Riou J" first="Julien" last="Riou">Julien Riou</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Althaus, Christian L" sort="Althaus, Christian L" uniqKey="Althaus C" first="Christian L." last="Althaus">Christian L. Althaus</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Eurosurveillance</title><idno type="ISSN">1025-496X</idno><idno type="eISSN">1560-7917</idno><imprint><date when="2020">2020</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Since December 2019, China has been experiencing a large outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We estimated the basic reproduction number <italic>R<sub>0</sub></italic> of 2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density interval: 1.4–3.8), indicating the potential for sustained human-to-human transmission. Transmission characteristics appear to be of similar magnitude to severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Huang, C" uniqKey="Huang C">C Huang</name></author><author><name sortKey="Wang, Y" uniqKey="Wang Y">Y Wang</name></author><author><name sortKey="Li, X" uniqKey="Li X">X Li</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ren, L" uniqKey="Ren L">L Ren</name></author><author><name sortKey="Zhao, J" uniqKey="Zhao J">J Zhao</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hu, Y" uniqKey="Hu Y">Y Hu</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Chan, Jf" uniqKey="Chan J">JF Chan</name></author><author><name sortKey="Yuan, S" uniqKey="Yuan S">S Yuan</name></author><author><name sortKey="Kok, Kh" uniqKey="Kok K">KH Kok</name></author><author><name sortKey="To, Kk" uniqKey="To K">KK To</name></author><author><name sortKey="Chu, H" uniqKey="Chu H">H Chu</name></author><author><name sortKey="Yang, J" uniqKey="Yang J">J Yang</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Lloyd Smith, Jo" uniqKey="Lloyd Smith J">JO Lloyd-Smith</name></author><author><name sortKey="Schreiber, Sj" uniqKey="Schreiber S">SJ Schreiber</name></author><author><name sortKey="Kopp, Pe" uniqKey="Kopp P">PE Kopp</name></author><author><name sortKey="Getz, Wm" uniqKey="Getz W">WM Getz</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Althaus, Cl" uniqKey="Althaus C">CL Althaus</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Kucharski, Aj" uniqKey="Kucharski A">AJ Kucharski</name></author><author><name sortKey="Althaus, Cl" uniqKey="Althaus C">CL Althaus</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Breban, R" uniqKey="Breban R">R Breban</name></author><author><name sortKey="Riou, J" uniqKey="Riou J">J Riou</name></author><author><name sortKey="Fontanet, A" uniqKey="Fontanet A">A Fontanet</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Cowling, Bj" uniqKey="Cowling B">BJ Cowling</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ho, Lm" uniqKey="Ho L">LM Ho</name></author><author><name sortKey="Leung, Gm" uniqKey="Leung G">GM Leung</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Fraser, C" uniqKey="Fraser C">C Fraser</name></author><author><name sortKey="Cummings, Dat" uniqKey="Cummings D">DAT Cummings</name></author><author><name sortKey="Klinkenberg, D" uniqKey="Klinkenberg D">D Klinkenberg</name></author><author><name sortKey="Burke, Ds" uniqKey="Burke D">DS Burke</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ferguson, Nm" uniqKey="Ferguson N">NM Ferguson</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Oh, Md" uniqKey="Oh M">MD Oh</name></author><author><name sortKey="Choe, Pg" uniqKey="Choe P">PG Choe</name></author><author><name sortKey="Oh, Hs" uniqKey="Oh H">HS Oh</name></author><author><name sortKey="Park, Wb" uniqKey="Park W">WB Park</name></author><author><name sortKey="Lee, S M" uniqKey="Lee S">S-M Lee</name></author><author><name sortKey="Park, J" uniqKey="Park J">J Park</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Assiri, A" uniqKey="Assiri A">A Assiri</name></author><author><name sortKey="Mcgeer, A" uniqKey="Mcgeer A">A McGeer</name></author><author><name sortKey="Perl, Tm" uniqKey="Perl T">TM Perl</name></author><author><name sortKey="Price, Cs" uniqKey="Price C">CS Price</name></author><author><name sortKey="Al Rabeeah, Aa" uniqKey="Al Rabeeah A">AA Al Rabeeah</name></author><author><name sortKey="Cummings, Da" uniqKey="Cummings D">DA Cummings</name></author></analytic></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><pmc article-type="research-article"><pmc-dir>properties open_access</pmc-dir>
<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Euro Surveill</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">Euro Surveill</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">eurosurveillance</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Eurosurveillance</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1025-496X</issn><issn pub-type="epub">1560-7917</issn><publisher><publisher-name>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">32019669</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">7001239</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">2000058</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">2000058</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Rapid Communication</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Riou</surname><given-names>Julien</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Althaus</surname><given-names>Christian L.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><aff id="aff1"><label>1</label>Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland</aff></contrib-group><author-notes><fn id="afn1"><p>Correspondence: Julien Riou (<email xlink:href="julien.riou@ispm.unibe.ch">julien.riou@ispm.unibe.ch</email>)</p></fn></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="ppub"><day>30</day><month>1</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><volume>25</volume><issue>4</issue><elocation-id>2000058</elocation-id><history><date date-type="received"><day>24</day><month>1</month><year>2020</year></date><date date-type="accepted"><day>30</day><month>1</month><year>2020</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>This article is copyright of the authors or their affiliated institutions, 2020.</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2020</copyright-year><copyright-holder>The authors or their affiliated institutions</copyright-holder><license license-type="open-access" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><license-p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) Licence. You may share and adapt the material, but must give appropriate credit to the source, provide a link to the licence, and indicate if changes were made.</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>Since December 2019, China has been experiencing a large outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We estimated the basic reproduction number <italic>R<sub>0</sub></italic> of 2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density interval: 1.4–3.8), indicating the potential for sustained human-to-human transmission. Transmission characteristics appear to be of similar magnitude to severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.</p></abstract><kwd-group><title>Keywords: </title><kwd>2019-nCoV</kwd><kwd>emerging infectious disease</kwd><kwd>mathematical modelling</kwd><kwd>Wuhan</kwd><kwd>coronavirus</kwd></kwd-group><custom-meta-group><custom-meta><meta-name>sequence</meta-name><meta-value>2</meta-value></custom-meta></custom-meta-group></article-meta></front></pmc></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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