A conceptual model for the outbreak of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action
Identifieur interne : 000212 ( 2020/Analysis ); précédent : 000211; suivant : 000213A conceptual model for the outbreak of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action
Auteurs : Qianying Lin [États-Unis] ; Shi Zhao [République populaire de Chine] ; Daozhou Gao [République populaire de Chine] ; Yijun Lou [République populaire de Chine] ; Shu Yang [République populaire de Chine] ; Salihu S. Musa [République populaire de Chine] ; Maggie H. Wang [République populaire de Chine] ; Yongli Cai [République populaire de Chine] ; Weiming Wang [République populaire de Chine] ; Lin Yang [République populaire de Chine] ; Daihai He [République populaire de Chine]Source :
- International Journal of Infectious Diseases [ 1201-9712 ] ; 2020.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Chine (épidémiologie), Flambées de maladies, Gouvernement, Humains, Infections à coronavirus (épidémiologie), Modèles biologiques, Pandémie de grippe de 1918-1919 (), Pandémies, Pneumopathie virale (épidémiologie), Quarantaine, Royaume-Uni (épidémiologie), Réglementation gouvernementale, Santé publique (législation et jurisprudence), Voyage (législation et jurisprudence).
- MESH :
- législation et jurisprudence : Santé publique, Voyage.
- épidémiologie : Chine, Infections à coronavirus, Pneumopathie virale, Royaume-Uni.
- Flambées de maladies, Gouvernement, Humains, Modèles biologiques, Pandémie de grippe de 1918-1919, Pandémies, Quarantaine, Réglementation gouvernementale.
- Wicri :
- geographic : République populaire de Chine, Royaume-Uni.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Betacoronavirus, China (epidemiology), Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology), Disease Outbreaks, Government, Government Regulation, Humans, Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 (statistics & numerical data), Models, Biological, Pandemics, Pneumonia, Viral (epidemiology), Public Health (legislation & jurisprudence), Quarantine, Travel (legislation & jurisprudence), United Kingdom (epidemiology).
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : China, United Kingdom.
- epidemiology : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- legislation & jurisprudence : Public Health, Travel.
- statistics & numerical data : Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919.
- Betacoronavirus, Disease Outbreaks, Government, Government Regulation, Humans, Models, Biological, Pandemics, Quarantine.
Abstract
For the ongoing novel coronavirus disease (CODID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China, the Chinese government has implemented control measures such as city lockdown to mitigate the impact of the epidemic. We model the outbreak in Wuhan with individual reaction and governmental action (holiday extension, city lockdown, hospitalisation and quarantine) based on some parameters of the 1918 influenza pandemic in London, United Kingdom. We show the different effects of individual reaction and governmental action and preliminarily estimate the magnitude of these effects. We also preliminarily estimate the time-varying reporting ratio.
Url:
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.02.058
PubMed: 32145465
PubMed Central: 7102659
Affiliations:
- République populaire de Chine, États-Unis
- Guangdong, Michigan
- Sha Tin, Shenzhen
- Université chinoise de Hong Kong
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PMC:7102659Le document en format XML
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><title>Highlights</title>
<p><list list-type="simple" id="list0005"><list-item id="listitem0005"><label>•</label>
<p id="p0005">For the ongoing novel coronavirus disease (CODID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China, the Chinese government has implemented control measures such as city lockdown to mitigate the impact of the epidemic.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item id="listitem0010"><label>•</label>
<p id="p0010">We model the outbreak in Wuhan with individual reaction and governmental action (holiday extension, city lockdown, hospitalisation and quarantine) based on some parameters of the 1918 influenza pandemic in London, United Kingdom.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item id="listitem0015"><label>•</label>
<p id="p0015">We show the different effects of individual reaction and governmental action and preliminarily estimate the magnitude of these effects.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item id="listitem0020"><label>•</label>
<p id="p0020">We also preliminarily estimate the time-varying reporting ratio.</p>
</list-item>
</list>
</p>
</div>
</front>
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</div1>
</back>
</TEI>
<affiliations><list><country><li>République populaire de Chine</li>
<li>États-Unis</li>
</country>
<region><li>Guangdong</li>
<li>Michigan</li>
</region>
<settlement><li>Sha Tin</li>
<li>Shenzhen</li>
</settlement>
<orgName><li>Université chinoise de Hong Kong</li>
</orgName>
</list>
<tree><country name="États-Unis"><region name="Michigan"><name sortKey="Lin, Qianying" sort="Lin, Qianying" uniqKey="Lin Q" first="Qianying" last="Lin">Qianying Lin</name>
</region>
</country>
<country name="République populaire de Chine"><noRegion><name sortKey="Zhao, Shi" sort="Zhao, Shi" uniqKey="Zhao S" first="Shi" last="Zhao">Shi Zhao</name>
</noRegion>
<name sortKey="Cai, Yongli" sort="Cai, Yongli" uniqKey="Cai Y" first="Yongli" last="Cai">Yongli Cai</name>
<name sortKey="Gao, Daozhou" sort="Gao, Daozhou" uniqKey="Gao D" first="Daozhou" last="Gao">Daozhou Gao</name>
<name sortKey="He, Daihai" sort="He, Daihai" uniqKey="He D" first="Daihai" last="He">Daihai He</name>
<name sortKey="Lou, Yijun" sort="Lou, Yijun" uniqKey="Lou Y" first="Yijun" last="Lou">Yijun Lou</name>
<name sortKey="Musa, Salihu S" sort="Musa, Salihu S" uniqKey="Musa S" first="Salihu S" last="Musa">Salihu S. Musa</name>
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<name sortKey="Yang, Lin" sort="Yang, Lin" uniqKey="Yang L" first="Lin" last="Yang">Lin Yang</name>
<name sortKey="Yang, Shu" sort="Yang, Shu" uniqKey="Yang S" first="Shu" last="Yang">Shu Yang</name>
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</country>
</tree>
</affiliations>
</record>
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