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A conceptual model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action.

Identifieur interne : 000042 ( PubMed/Corpus ); précédent : 000041; suivant : 000043

A conceptual model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action.

Auteurs : Qianying Lin ; Shi Zhao ; Daozhou Gao ; Yijun Lou ; Shu Yang ; Salihu S. Musa ; Maggie H. Wang ; Yongli Cai ; Weiming Wang ; Lin Yang ; Daihai He

Source :

RBID : pubmed:32145465

English descriptors

Abstract

The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak, emerged in Wuhan, China in the end of 2019, has claimed more than 2600 lives as of 24 February 2020 and posed a huge threat to global public health. The Chinese government has implemented control measures including setting up special hospitals and travel restriction to mitigate the spread. We propose conceptual models for the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan with the consideration of individual behavioural reaction and governmental actions, e.g., holiday extension, travel restriction, hospitalisation and quarantine. We employe the estimates of these two key components from the 1918 influenza pandemic in London, United Kingdom, incorporated zoonotic introductions and the emigration, and then compute future trends and the reporting ratio. The model is concise in structure, and it successfully captures the course of the COVID-19 outbreak, and thus sheds light on understanding the trends of the outbreak.

DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.02.058
PubMed: 32145465

Links to Exploration step

pubmed:32145465

Le document en format XML

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<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak, emerged in Wuhan, China in the end of 2019, has claimed more than 2600 lives as of 24 February 2020 and posed a huge threat to global public health. The Chinese government has implemented control measures including setting up special hospitals and travel restriction to mitigate the spread. We propose conceptual models for the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan with the consideration of individual behavioural reaction and governmental actions, e.g., holiday extension, travel restriction, hospitalisation and quarantine. We employe the estimates of these two key components from the 1918 influenza pandemic in London, United Kingdom, incorporated zoonotic introductions and the emigration, and then compute future trends and the reporting ratio. The model is concise in structure, and it successfully captures the course of the COVID-19 outbreak, and thus sheds light on understanding the trends of the outbreak.</div>
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HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/PubMed/Corpus/RBID.i   -Sk "pubmed:32145465" \
       | HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/PubMed/Corpus/biblio.hfd   \
       | NlmPubMed2Wicri -a PandemieGrippaleV1 

Wicri

This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.34.
Data generation: Wed Jun 10 11:04:28 2020. Site generation: Sun Mar 28 09:10:28 2021