Comparison of incubation period distribution of human infections with MERS-CoV in South Korea and Saudi Arabia
Identifieur interne : 001816 ( Ncbi/Checkpoint ); précédent : 001815; suivant : 001817Comparison of incubation period distribution of human infections with MERS-CoV in South Korea and Saudi Arabia
Auteurs : Victor Virlogeux ; Vicky J. Fang ; Minah Park ; Joseph T. Wu ; Benjamin J. CowlingSource :
- Scientific Reports [ 2045-2322 ] ; 2016.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Arabie saoudite (épidémiologie), Coronavirus du syndrome respiratoire du Moyen-Orient (pathogénicité), Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Femelle, Humains, Infections à coronavirus (virologie), Infections à coronavirus (épidémiologie), Jeune adulte, Mâle, Nourrisson, Nouveau-né, Période d'incubation de maladie infectieuse, République de Corée (épidémiologie), Sujet âgé.
- MESH :
- pathogénicité : Coronavirus du syndrome respiratoire du Moyen-Orient.
- virologie : Infections à coronavirus.
- épidémiologie : Arabie saoudite, Infections à coronavirus, République de Corée.
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Femelle, Humains, Jeune adulte, Mâle, Nourrisson, Nouveau-né, Période d'incubation de maladie infectieuse, Sujet âgé.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Child, Child, Preschool, Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology), Coronavirus Infections (virology), Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Infectious Disease Incubation Period, Male, Middle Aged, Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (pathogenicity), Republic of Korea (epidemiology), Saudi Arabia (epidemiology), Young Adult.
- MESH :
- epidemiology : Coronavirus Infections, Republic of Korea, Saudi Arabia.
- pathogenicity : Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus.
- virology : Coronavirus Infections.
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Child, Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Infectious Disease Incubation Period, Male, Middle Aged, Young Adult.
Abstract
The incubation period is an important epidemiologic distribution, it is often incorporated in case definitions, used to determine appropriate quarantine periods, and is an input to mathematical modeling studies. Middle East Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus (MERS) is an emerging infectious disease in the Arabian Peninsula. There was a large outbreak of MERS in South Korea in 2015. We examined the incubation period distribution of MERS coronavirus infection for cases in South Korea and in Saudi Arabia. Using parametric and nonparametric methods, we estimated a mean incubation period of 6.9 days (95% credibility interval: 6.3–7.5) for cases in South Korea and 5.0 days (95% credibility interval: 4.0–6.6) among cases in Saudi Arabia. In a log-linear regression model, the mean incubation period was 1.42 times longer (95% credibility interval: 1.18–1.71) among cases in South Korea compared to Saudi Arabia. The variation that we identified in the incubation period distribution between locations could be associated with differences in ascertainment or reporting of exposure dates and illness onset dates, differences in the source or mode of infection, or environmental differences.
Url:
DOI: 10.1038/srep35839
PubMed: 27775012
PubMed Central: 5075793
Affiliations:
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Cowling</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff2"><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="GRID">grid.194645.b</institution-id><institution-id institution-id-type="ISNI">0000000121742757</institution-id><institution>WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region,</institution></institution-wrap>China</nlm:aff></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Scientific Reports</title><idno type="eISSN">2045-2322</idno><imprint><date when="2016">2016</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adult</term><term>Aged</term><term>Child</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology)</term><term>Coronavirus Infections (virology)</term><term>Female</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Infant, Newborn</term><term>Infectious Disease Incubation Period</term><term>Male</term><term>Middle Aged</term><term>Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (pathogenicity)</term><term>Republic of Korea (epidemiology)</term><term>Saudi Arabia (epidemiology)</term><term>Young Adult</term></keywords><keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adulte</term><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term><term>Arabie saoudite (épidémiologie)</term><term>Coronavirus du syndrome respiratoire du Moyen-Orient (pathogénicité)</term><term>Enfant</term><term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term><term>Femelle</term><term>Humains</term><term>Infections à coronavirus (virologie)</term><term>Infections à coronavirus (épidémiologie)</term><term>Jeune adulte</term><term>Mâle</term><term>Nourrisson</term><term>Nouveau-né</term><term>Période d'incubation de maladie infectieuse</term><term>République de Corée (épidémiologie)</term><term>Sujet âgé</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Coronavirus Infections</term><term>Republic of Korea</term><term>Saudi Arabia</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="pathogenicity" xml:lang="en"><term>Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="pathogénicité" xml:lang="fr"><term>Coronavirus du syndrome respiratoire du Moyen-Orient</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="virologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Infections à coronavirus</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="virology" xml:lang="en"><term>Coronavirus Infections</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Arabie saoudite</term><term>Infections à coronavirus</term><term>République de Corée</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adult</term><term>Aged</term><term>Child</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>Female</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Infant, Newborn</term><term>Infectious Disease Incubation Period</term><term>Male</term><term>Middle Aged</term><term>Young Adult</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adulte</term><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term><term>Enfant</term><term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term><term>Femelle</term><term>Humains</term><term>Jeune adulte</term><term>Mâle</term><term>Nourrisson</term><term>Nouveau-né</term><term>Période d'incubation de maladie infectieuse</term><term>Sujet âgé</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>The incubation period is an important epidemiologic distribution, it is often incorporated in case definitions, used to determine appropriate quarantine periods, and is an input to mathematical modeling studies. Middle East Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus (MERS) is an emerging infectious disease in the Arabian Peninsula. There was a large outbreak of MERS in South Korea in 2015. We examined the incubation period distribution of MERS coronavirus infection for cases in South Korea and in Saudi Arabia. Using parametric and nonparametric methods, we estimated a mean incubation period of 6.9 days (95% credibility interval: 6.3–7.5) for cases in South Korea and 5.0 days (95% credibility interval: 4.0–6.6) among cases in Saudi Arabia. In a log-linear regression model, the mean incubation period was 1.42 times longer (95% credibility interval: 1.18–1.71) among cases in South Korea compared to Saudi Arabia. The variation that we identified in the incubation period distribution between locations could be associated with differences in ascertainment or reporting of exposure dates and illness onset dates, differences in the source or mode of infection, or environmental differences.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Zaki, Am" uniqKey="Zaki A">AM Zaki</name></author><author><name sortKey="Van Boheemen, S" uniqKey="Van Boheemen S">S van Boheemen</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bestebroer, Tm" uniqKey="Bestebroer T">TM Bestebroer</name></author><author><name sortKey="Osterhaus, Adme" uniqKey="Osterhaus A">ADME Osterhaus</name></author><author><name sortKey="Fouchier, Ram" uniqKey="Fouchier R">RAM Fouchier</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Vynnycky, E" uniqKey="Vynnycky E">E Vynnycky</name></author><author><name sortKey="Fine, Pe" uniqKey="Fine P">PE Fine</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Chowell, G" uniqKey="Chowell G">G Chowell</name></author><author><name sortKey="Blumberg, S" uniqKey="Blumberg S">S Blumberg</name></author><author><name sortKey="Simonsen, L" uniqKey="Simonsen L">L Simonsen</name></author><author><name sortKey="Miller, Ma" uniqKey="Miller M">MA Miller</name></author><author><name sortKey="Viboud, C" uniqKey="Viboud C">C Viboud</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Assiri, A" uniqKey="Assiri A">A Assiri</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Assiri, A" uniqKey="Assiri A">A Assiri</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Guery, B" uniqKey="Guery B">B Guery</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Cauchemez, S" uniqKey="Cauchemez S">S Cauchemez</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Cotten, M" uniqKey="Cotten M">M Cotten</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Madani, Ta" uniqKey="Madani T">TA Madani</name></author><author><name sortKey="Azhar, Ei" uniqKey="Azhar E">EI Azhar</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hashem, Am" uniqKey="Hashem A">AM Hashem</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Kim, Km" uniqKey="Kim K">KM Kim</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="De Gruttola, V" uniqKey="De Gruttola V">V De Gruttola</name></author><author><name sortKey="Lagakos, Sw" uniqKey="Lagakos S">SW Lagakos</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Farewell, Vt" uniqKey="Farewell V">VT Farewell</name></author><author><name sortKey="Herzberg, Am" uniqKey="Herzberg A">AM Herzberg</name></author><author><name sortKey="James, Kw" uniqKey="James K">KW James</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ho, Lm" uniqKey="Ho L">LM Ho</name></author><author><name sortKey="Leung, Gm" uniqKey="Leung G">GM Leung</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Sartwell, Pe" uniqKey="Sartwell P">PE Sartwell</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Turnbull, B" uniqKey="Turnbull B">B Turnbull</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bechhofer, R" uniqKey="Bechhofer R">R Bechhofer</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Cauchemez, S" uniqKey="Cauchemez S">S Cauchemez</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Virlogeux, V" uniqKey="Virlogeux V">V Virlogeux</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Kuk, Ayc" uniqKey="Kuk A">AYC Kuk</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ma, S" uniqKey="Ma S">S Ma</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><affiliations><list></list><tree><noCountry><name sortKey="Cowling, Benjamin J" sort="Cowling, Benjamin J" uniqKey="Cowling B" first="Benjamin J." last="Cowling">Benjamin J. Cowling</name><name sortKey="Fang, Vicky J" sort="Fang, Vicky J" uniqKey="Fang V" first="Vicky J." last="Fang">Vicky J. Fang</name><name sortKey="Park, Minah" sort="Park, Minah" uniqKey="Park M" first="Minah" last="Park">Minah Park</name><name sortKey="Virlogeux, Victor" sort="Virlogeux, Victor" uniqKey="Virlogeux V" first="Victor" last="Virlogeux">Victor Virlogeux</name><name sortKey="Wu, Joseph T" sort="Wu, Joseph T" uniqKey="Wu J" first="Joseph T." last="Wu">Joseph T. Wu</name></noCountry></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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