Comparison of incubation period distribution of human infections with MERS-CoV in South Korea and Saudi Arabia.
Identifieur interne : 000F30 ( PubMed/Corpus ); précédent : 000F29; suivant : 000F31Comparison of incubation period distribution of human infections with MERS-CoV in South Korea and Saudi Arabia.
Auteurs : Victor Virlogeux ; Vicky J. Fang ; Minah Park ; Joseph T. Wu ; Benjamin J. CowlingSource :
- Scientific reports [ 2045-2322 ] ; 2016.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Child, Child, Preschool, Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology), Coronavirus Infections (virology), Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Infectious Disease Incubation Period, Male, Middle Aged, Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (pathogenicity), Republic of Korea (epidemiology), Saudi Arabia (epidemiology), Young Adult.
- MESH :
- epidemiology : Coronavirus Infections, Republic of Korea, Saudi Arabia.
- pathogenicity : Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus.
- virology : Coronavirus Infections.
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Child, Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Infectious Disease Incubation Period, Male, Middle Aged, Young Adult.
Abstract
The incubation period is an important epidemiologic distribution, it is often incorporated in case definitions, used to determine appropriate quarantine periods, and is an input to mathematical modeling studies. Middle East Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus (MERS) is an emerging infectious disease in the Arabian Peninsula. There was a large outbreak of MERS in South Korea in 2015. We examined the incubation period distribution of MERS coronavirus infection for cases in South Korea and in Saudi Arabia. Using parametric and nonparametric methods, we estimated a mean incubation period of 6.9 days (95% credibility interval: 6.3-7.5) for cases in South Korea and 5.0 days (95% credibility interval: 4.0-6.6) among cases in Saudi Arabia. In a log-linear regression model, the mean incubation period was 1.42 times longer (95% credibility interval: 1.18-1.71) among cases in South Korea compared to Saudi Arabia. The variation that we identified in the incubation period distribution between locations could be associated with differences in ascertainment or reporting of exposure dates and illness onset dates, differences in the source or mode of infection, or environmental differences.
DOI: 10.1038/srep35839
PubMed: 27775012
Links to Exploration step
pubmed:27775012Le document en format XML
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Fang</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Park, Minah" sort="Park, Minah" uniqKey="Park M" first="Minah" last="Park">Minah Park</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wu, Joseph T" sort="Wu, Joseph T" uniqKey="Wu J" first="Joseph T" last="Wu">Joseph T. Wu</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Cowling, Benjamin J" sort="Cowling, Benjamin J" uniqKey="Cowling B" first="Benjamin J" last="Cowling">Benjamin J. 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Fang</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Park, Minah" sort="Park, Minah" uniqKey="Park M" first="Minah" last="Park">Minah Park</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wu, Joseph T" sort="Wu, Joseph T" uniqKey="Wu J" first="Joseph T" last="Wu">Joseph T. Wu</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Cowling, Benjamin J" sort="Cowling, Benjamin J" uniqKey="Cowling B" first="Benjamin J" last="Cowling">Benjamin J. Cowling</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Scientific reports</title><idno type="eISSN">2045-2322</idno><imprint><date when="2016" type="published">2016</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adult</term><term>Aged</term><term>Child</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology)</term><term>Coronavirus Infections (virology)</term><term>Female</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Infant, Newborn</term><term>Infectious Disease Incubation Period</term><term>Male</term><term>Middle Aged</term><term>Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (pathogenicity)</term><term>Republic of Korea (epidemiology)</term><term>Saudi Arabia (epidemiology)</term><term>Young Adult</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Coronavirus Infections</term><term>Republic of Korea</term><term>Saudi Arabia</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="pathogenicity" xml:lang="en"><term>Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="virology" xml:lang="en"><term>Coronavirus Infections</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adult</term><term>Aged</term><term>Child</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>Female</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Infant, Newborn</term><term>Infectious Disease Incubation Period</term><term>Male</term><term>Middle Aged</term><term>Young Adult</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The incubation period is an important epidemiologic distribution, it is often incorporated in case definitions, used to determine appropriate quarantine periods, and is an input to mathematical modeling studies. Middle East Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus (MERS) is an emerging infectious disease in the Arabian Peninsula. There was a large outbreak of MERS in South Korea in 2015. We examined the incubation period distribution of MERS coronavirus infection for cases in South Korea and in Saudi Arabia. Using parametric and nonparametric methods, we estimated a mean incubation period of 6.9 days (95% credibility interval: 6.3-7.5) for cases in South Korea and 5.0 days (95% credibility interval: 4.0-6.6) among cases in Saudi Arabia. In a log-linear regression model, the mean incubation period was 1.42 times longer (95% credibility interval: 1.18-1.71) among cases in South Korea compared to Saudi Arabia. The variation that we identified in the incubation period distribution between locations could be associated with differences in ascertainment or reporting of exposure dates and illness onset dates, differences in the source or mode of infection, or environmental differences.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">27775012</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2018</Year><Month>06</Month><Day>21</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2018</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>13</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">2045-2322</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>6</Volume><PubDate><Year>2016</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>24</Day></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Scientific reports</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Sci Rep</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Comparison of incubation period distribution of human infections with MERS-CoV in South Korea and Saudi Arabia.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>35839</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1038/srep35839</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText>The incubation period is an important epidemiologic distribution, it is often incorporated in case definitions, used to determine appropriate quarantine periods, and is an input to mathematical modeling studies. Middle East Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus (MERS) is an emerging infectious disease in the Arabian Peninsula. There was a large outbreak of MERS in South Korea in 2015. We examined the incubation period distribution of MERS coronavirus infection for cases in South Korea and in Saudi Arabia. Using parametric and nonparametric methods, we estimated a mean incubation period of 6.9 days (95% credibility interval: 6.3-7.5) for cases in South Korea and 5.0 days (95% credibility interval: 4.0-6.6) among cases in Saudi Arabia. In a log-linear regression model, the mean incubation period was 1.42 times longer (95% credibility interval: 1.18-1.71) among cases in South Korea compared to Saudi Arabia. The variation that we identified in the incubation period distribution between locations could be associated with differences in ascertainment or reporting of exposure dates and illness onset dates, differences in the source or mode of infection, or environmental differences.</AbstractText></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Virlogeux</LastName><ForeName>Victor</ForeName><Initials>V</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Biology, Ecole Normale Supérieure de Lyon, Lyon, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Cancer Research Center of Lyon, UMR Inserm U1052, CNRS 5286, Lyon, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Fang</LastName><ForeName>Vicky J</ForeName><Initials>VJ</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Park</LastName><ForeName>Minah</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Wu</LastName><ForeName>Joseph T</ForeName><Initials>JT</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Cowling</LastName><ForeName>Benjamin J</ForeName><Initials>BJ</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><GrantList CompleteYN="Y"><Grant><GrantID>U54 GM088558</GrantID><Acronym>GM</Acronym><Agency>NIGMS NIH HHS</Agency><Country>United States</Country></Grant></GrantList><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D003160">Comparative Study</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D052061">Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D013485">Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2016</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>24</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>England</Country><MedlineTA>Sci Rep</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>101563288</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>2045-2322</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><MeshHeadingList><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000293" MajorTopicYN="N">Adolescent</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000328" MajorTopicYN="N">Adult</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000368" MajorTopicYN="N">Aged</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D002648" MajorTopicYN="N">Child</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D002675" MajorTopicYN="N">Child, Preschool</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D018352" MajorTopicYN="N">Coronavirus Infections</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="Y">epidemiology</QualifierName><QualifierName UI="Q000821" MajorTopicYN="N">virology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D005260" MajorTopicYN="N">Female</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006801" MajorTopicYN="N">Humans</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D007223" MajorTopicYN="N">Infant</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D007231" MajorTopicYN="N">Infant, Newborn</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D055256" MajorTopicYN="Y">Infectious Disease Incubation Period</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D008297" MajorTopicYN="N">Male</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D008875" MajorTopicYN="N">Middle Aged</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D065207" MajorTopicYN="N">Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000472" MajorTopicYN="Y">pathogenicity</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D056910" MajorTopicYN="N">Republic of Korea</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D012529" MajorTopicYN="N">Saudi Arabia</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D055815" MajorTopicYN="N">Young Adult</DescriptorName></MeshHeading></MeshHeadingList><CoiStatement>BJC reports receipt of research funding from MedImmune Inc. and Sanofi Pasteur, and consults for Crucell NV. The authors report no other potential conflicts of interest.</CoiStatement></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received"><Year>2016</Year><Month>05</Month><Day>09</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2016</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>05</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2016</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>25</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2018</Year><Month>6</Month><Day>22</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2016</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>25</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>epublish</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">27775012</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pii">srep35839</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="doi">10.1038/srep35839</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pmc">PMC5075793</ArticleId></ArticleIdList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>Euro Surveill. 2015 Jun 25;20(25):1-6</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">26132766</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Lancet. 2016 Sep 3;388(10048):994-1001</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">27402381</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>N Engl J Med. 2012 Nov 8;367 (19):1814-20</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">23075143</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>N Engl J Med. 2014 Oct 2;371(14 ):1360</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">25271614</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Am J Hyg. 1950 May;51(3):310-8</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">15413610</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Biometrics. 1989 Mar;45(1):1-11</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">2497809</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Lancet. 2013 Jun 29;381(9885):2265-72</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">23727167</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Am J Epidemiol. 2015 Oct 15;182(8):723-9</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">26409239</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Osong Public Health Res Perspect. 2015 Aug;6(4):269-78</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">26473095</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Epidemics. 2014 Dec;9:40-51</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">25480133</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Stat Med. 2005 Aug 30;24(16):2525-37</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">16013037</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Lancet Infect Dis. 2014 Jan;14(1):50-6</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">24239323</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Emerg Infect Dis. 2016 Mar;22(3):526-8</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">26890291</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Epidemiology. 2015 Sep;26(5):666-9</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">26133021</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Lancet. 2013 Dec 14;382(9909):1993-2002</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">24055451</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Epidemiol Health. 2015 Sep 17;37:e2015041</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">26725225</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>N Engl J Med. 2013 Aug 1;369(5):407-16</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">23782161</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Euro Surveill. 2013 Mar 14;18(11):20427</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">23517868</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Am J Epidemiol. 2000 Aug 1;152(3):247-63</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">10933272</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Stat Med. 2005 Nov 30;24(22):3431-45</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">16237660</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Euro Surveill. 2015 Jun 25;20(25):7-13</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">26132767</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList></PubmedData></pubmed></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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