H2N2V1, Main, Merge, bibRecord, 001729

Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999

Identifieur interne : 001729 ( Main/Merge ); précédent : 001728; suivant : 001730

Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999

Auteurs : Thomas A. Reichert [États-Unis] ; Lone Simonsen [États-Unis] ; Ashutosh Sharma [États-Unis] ; Scott A. Pardo [France] ; David S. Fedson [France] ; Mark A. Miller [États-Unis]

Source :

American journal of epidemiology [ 0002-9262 ] ; 2004.

RBID : Pascal:04-0605452

Descripteurs français

Pascal (Inist)
- Infection, Grippe, Hiver, Augmentation, Mortalité, Epidémiologie, Etats Unis, 1999, Classe âge, Homme, Voie respiratoire, Saison.
Wicri :
- topic : Mortalité, Homme.

English descriptors

KwdEn :
- 1999, Age distribution, Epidemiology, Human, Increase, Infection, Influenza, Mortality, Respiratory tract, Season, United States, Winter.

Abstract

In economically developed countries, mortality increases distinctly during winter. Many causes have been suggested, including light-dark cycles, temperature/weather, and infectious agents. The authors analyzed monthly mortality in the United States during the period 1959-1999 for four major disease classes. The authors isolated the seasonal component of mortality by removing trends and standardizing the time series. They evaluated four properties: coincidence in mortality peaks, autocorrelation structure and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, magnitude, and age distribution. Peak months of mortality for ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and diabetes mellitus coincided appropriately with peaks in pneumonia and influenza, and coefficients of autocorrelation and ARIMA models were essentially indistinguishable. The magnitude of the seasonal component was highly correlated with traditional measures of excess mortality and was significantly larger in seasons dominated by influenza A(H2N2) and A(H3N2) viruses than in seasons dominated by A(H1N1) or B viruses. There was an age shift in mortality during and after the 1968/69 pandemic in each disease class, with features specific to influenza A(H3N2). These findings suggest that the cause of the winter increase in US mortality is singular and probably influenza. Weather and other factors may determine the timing and modulate the magnitude of the winter-season increase in mortality, but the primary determinant appears to be the influenza virus.

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Pascal:04-0605452

Le document en format XML

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<author><name sortKey="Sharma, Ashutosh" sort="Sharma, Ashutosh" uniqKey="Sharma A" first="Ashutosh" last="Sharma">Ashutosh Sharma</name>
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<profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>1999</term>
<term>Age distribution</term>
<term>Epidemiology</term>
<term>Human</term>
<term>Increase</term>
<term>Infection</term>
<term>Influenza</term>
<term>Mortality</term>
<term>Respiratory tract</term>
<term>Season</term>
<term>United States</term>
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<term>Etats Unis</term>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">In economically developed countries, mortality increases distinctly during winter. Many causes have been suggested, including light-dark cycles, temperature/weather, and infectious agents. The authors analyzed monthly mortality in the United States during the period 1959-1999 for four major disease classes. The authors isolated the seasonal component of mortality by removing trends and standardizing the time series. They evaluated four properties: coincidence in mortality peaks, autocorrelation structure and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, magnitude, and age distribution. Peak months of mortality for ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and diabetes mellitus coincided appropriately with peaks in pneumonia and influenza, and coefficients of autocorrelation and ARIMA models were essentially indistinguishable. The magnitude of the seasonal component was highly correlated with traditional measures of excess mortality and was significantly larger in seasons dominated by influenza A(H2N2) and A(H3N2) viruses than in seasons dominated by A(H1N1) or B viruses. There was an age shift in mortality during and after the 1968/69 pandemic in each disease class, with features specific to influenza A(H3N2). These findings suggest that the cause of the winter increase in US mortality is singular and probably influenza. Weather and other factors may determine the timing and modulate the magnitude of the winter-season increase in mortality, but the primary determinant appears to be the influenza virus.</div>
</front>
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<name sortKey="Miller, Mark A" sort="Miller, Mark A" uniqKey="Miller M" first="Mark A." last="Miller">Mark A. Miller</name>
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Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999

Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999

Source :

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)

Links to Exploration step

Le document en format XML

Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)

Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri