H2N2V1, PascalFrancis, Corpus, bibRecord, 000054

Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999

Identifieur interne : 000054 ( PascalFrancis/Corpus ); précédent : 000053; suivant : 000055

Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999

Auteurs : Thomas A. Reichert ; Lone Simonsen ; Ashutosh Sharma ; Scott A. Pardo ; David S. Fedson ; Mark A. Miller

Source :

American journal of epidemiology [ 0002-9262 ] ; 2004.

RBID : Pascal:04-0605452

Descripteurs français

Pascal (Inist)
- Infection, Grippe, Hiver, Augmentation, Mortalité, Epidémiologie, Etats Unis, 1999, Classe âge, Homme, Voie respiratoire, Saison.

English descriptors

KwdEn :
- 1999, Age distribution, Epidemiology, Human, Increase, Infection, Influenza, Mortality, Respiratory tract, Season, United States, Winter.

Abstract

In economically developed countries, mortality increases distinctly during winter. Many causes have been suggested, including light-dark cycles, temperature/weather, and infectious agents. The authors analyzed monthly mortality in the United States during the period 1959-1999 for four major disease classes. The authors isolated the seasonal component of mortality by removing trends and standardizing the time series. They evaluated four properties: coincidence in mortality peaks, autocorrelation structure and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, magnitude, and age distribution. Peak months of mortality for ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and diabetes mellitus coincided appropriately with peaks in pneumonia and influenza, and coefficients of autocorrelation and ARIMA models were essentially indistinguishable. The magnitude of the seasonal component was highly correlated with traditional measures of excess mortality and was significantly larger in seasons dominated by influenza A(H2N2) and A(H3N2) viruses than in seasons dominated by A(H1N1) or B viruses. There was an age shift in mortality during and after the 1968/69 pandemic in each disease class, with features specific to influenza A(H3N2). These findings suggest that the cause of the winter increase in US mortality is singular and probably influenza. Weather and other factors may determine the timing and modulate the magnitude of the winter-season increase in mortality, but the primary determinant appears to be the influenza virus.

Notice en format standard (ISO 2709)

Pour connaître la documentation sur le format Inist Standard.

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Format Inist (serveur)

NO :	PASCAL 04-0605452 INIST
ET :	Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999
AU :	REICHERT (Thomas A.); SIMONSEN (Lone); SHARMA (Ashutosh); PARDO (Scott A.); FEDSON (David S.); MILLER (Mark A.)
AF :	Entropy Research Institute/Upper Saddle River, NJ/Etats-Unis (1 aut.); National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases/Bethesda, MD/Etats-Unis (2 aut.); Vyteris, Inc./Fairlawn, NJ/Etats-Unis (3 aut.); Becton Dickinson and Company, Inc./Franklin Lakes, NJ/France (4 aut.); Sergy Haut/France (5 aut.); Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health/Bethesda, MD/Etats-Unis (6 aut.)
DT :	Publication en série; Niveau analytique
SO :	American journal of epidemiology; ISSN 0002-9262; Coden AJEPAS; Etats-Unis; Da. 2004; Vol. 160; No. 5; Pp. 492-502; Bibl. 46 ref.
LA :	Anglais
EA :	In economically developed countries, mortality increases distinctly during winter. Many causes have been suggested, including light-dark cycles, temperature/weather, and infectious agents. The authors analyzed monthly mortality in the United States during the period 1959-1999 for four major disease classes. The authors isolated the seasonal component of mortality by removing trends and standardizing the time series. They evaluated four properties: coincidence in mortality peaks, autocorrelation structure and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, magnitude, and age distribution. Peak months of mortality for ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and diabetes mellitus coincided appropriately with peaks in pneumonia and influenza, and coefficients of autocorrelation and ARIMA models were essentially indistinguishable. The magnitude of the seasonal component was highly correlated with traditional measures of excess mortality and was significantly larger in seasons dominated by influenza A(H2N2) and A(H3N2) viruses than in seasons dominated by A(H1N1) or B viruses. There was an age shift in mortality during and after the 1968/69 pandemic in each disease class, with features specific to influenza A(H3N2). These findings suggest that the cause of the winter increase in US mortality is singular and probably influenza. Weather and other factors may determine the timing and modulate the magnitude of the winter-season increase in mortality, but the primary determinant appears to be the influenza virus.
CC :	002B30A01A2
FD :	Infection; Grippe; Hiver; Augmentation; Mortalité; Epidémiologie; Etats Unis; 1999; Classe âge; Homme; Voie respiratoire; Saison
FG :	Virose; Amérique du Nord; Amérique; Appareil respiratoire
ED :	Infection; Influenza; Winter; Increase; Mortality; Epidemiology; United States; 1999; Age distribution; Human; Respiratory tract; Season
EG :	Viral disease; North America; America; Respiratory system
SD :	Infección; Gripe; Invierno; Aumentación; Mortalidad; Epidemiología; Estados Unidos; 1999; Clase edad; Hombre; Vía respiratoria; Estación
LO :	INIST-663.354000122250910110
ID :	04-0605452

Links to Exploration step

Pascal:04-0605452

Le document en format XML

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<fC03 i1="02" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Grippe</s0>
<s5>02</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="02" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Influenza</s0>
<s5>02</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="02" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Gripe</s0>
<s5>02</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="03" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Hiver</s0>
<s5>03</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="03" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Winter</s0>
<s5>03</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="03" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Invierno</s0>
<s5>03</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="04" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Augmentation</s0>
<s5>05</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="04" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Increase</s0>
<s5>05</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="04" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Aumentación</s0>
<s5>05</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="05" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Mortalité</s0>
<s5>06</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="05" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Mortality</s0>
<s5>06</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="05" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Mortalidad</s0>
<s5>06</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="06" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Epidémiologie</s0>
<s5>08</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="06" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Epidemiology</s0>
<s5>08</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="06" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Epidemiología</s0>
<s5>08</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="07" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Etats Unis</s0>
<s2>NG</s2>
<s5>09</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="07" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>United States</s0>
<s2>NG</s2>
<s5>09</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="07" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Estados Unidos</s0>
<s2>NG</s2>
<s5>09</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="08" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>1999</s0>
<s5>11</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="08" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>1999</s0>
<s5>11</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="08" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>1999</s0>
<s5>11</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="09" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Classe âge</s0>
<s5>12</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="09" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Age distribution</s0>
<s5>12</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="09" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Clase edad</s0>
<s5>12</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="10" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Homme</s0>
<s5>13</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="10" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Human</s0>
<s5>13</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="10" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Hombre</s0>
<s5>13</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="11" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Voie respiratoire</s0>
<s5>18</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="11" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Respiratory tract</s0>
<s5>18</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="11" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Vía respiratoria</s0>
<s5>18</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="12" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Saison</s0>
<s5>19</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="12" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Season</s0>
<s5>19</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="12" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Estación</s0>
<s5>19</s5>
</fC03>
<fC07 i1="01" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Virose</s0>
<s2>NM</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="01" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Viral disease</s0>
<s2>NM</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="01" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Virosis</s0>
<s2>NM</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="02" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Amérique du Nord</s0>
<s2>NG</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="02" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>North America</s0>
<s2>NG</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="02" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>America del norte</s0>
<s2>NG</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="03" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Amérique</s0>
<s2>NG</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="03" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>America</s0>
<s2>NG</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="03" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>America</s0>
<s2>NG</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="04" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Appareil respiratoire</s0>
<s5>37</s5>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="04" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Respiratory system</s0>
<s5>37</s5>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="04" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Aparato respiratorio</s0>
<s5>37</s5>
</fC07>
<fN21><s1>348</s1>
</fN21>
<fN44 i1="01"><s1>PSI</s1>
</fN44>
<fN82><s1>PSI</s1>
</fN82>
</pA>
</standard>
<server><NO>PASCAL 04-0605452 INIST</NO>
<ET>Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999</ET>
<AU>REICHERT (Thomas A.); SIMONSEN (Lone); SHARMA (Ashutosh); PARDO (Scott A.); FEDSON (David S.); MILLER (Mark A.)</AU>
<AF>Entropy Research Institute/Upper Saddle River, NJ/Etats-Unis (1 aut.); National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases/Bethesda, MD/Etats-Unis (2 aut.); Vyteris, Inc./Fairlawn, NJ/Etats-Unis (3 aut.); Becton Dickinson and Company, Inc./Franklin Lakes, NJ/France (4 aut.); Sergy Haut/France (5 aut.); Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health/Bethesda, MD/Etats-Unis (6 aut.)</AF>
<DT>Publication en série; Niveau analytique</DT>
<SO>American journal of epidemiology; ISSN 0002-9262; Coden AJEPAS; Etats-Unis; Da. 2004; Vol. 160; No. 5; Pp. 492-502; Bibl. 46 ref.</SO>
<LA>Anglais</LA>
<EA>In economically developed countries, mortality increases distinctly during winter. Many causes have been suggested, including light-dark cycles, temperature/weather, and infectious agents. The authors analyzed monthly mortality in the United States during the period 1959-1999 for four major disease classes. The authors isolated the seasonal component of mortality by removing trends and standardizing the time series. They evaluated four properties: coincidence in mortality peaks, autocorrelation structure and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, magnitude, and age distribution. Peak months of mortality for ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and diabetes mellitus coincided appropriately with peaks in pneumonia and influenza, and coefficients of autocorrelation and ARIMA models were essentially indistinguishable. The magnitude of the seasonal component was highly correlated with traditional measures of excess mortality and was significantly larger in seasons dominated by influenza A(H2N2) and A(H3N2) viruses than in seasons dominated by A(H1N1) or B viruses. There was an age shift in mortality during and after the 1968/69 pandemic in each disease class, with features specific to influenza A(H3N2). These findings suggest that the cause of the winter increase in US mortality is singular and probably influenza. Weather and other factors may determine the timing and modulate the magnitude of the winter-season increase in mortality, but the primary determinant appears to be the influenza virus.</EA>
<CC>002B30A01A2</CC>
<FD>Infection; Grippe; Hiver; Augmentation; Mortalité; Epidémiologie; Etats Unis; 1999; Classe âge; Homme; Voie respiratoire; Saison</FD>
<FG>Virose; Amérique du Nord; Amérique; Appareil respiratoire</FG>
<ED>Infection; Influenza; Winter; Increase; Mortality; Epidemiology; United States; 1999; Age distribution; Human; Respiratory tract; Season</ED>
<EG>Viral disease; North America; America; Respiratory system</EG>
<SD>Infección; Gripe; Invierno; Aumentación; Mortalidad; Epidemiología; Estados Unidos; 1999; Clase edad; Hombre; Vía respiratoria; Estación</SD>
<LO>INIST-663.354000122250910110</LO>
<ID>04-0605452</ID>
</server>
</inist>
</record>

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Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999

Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999

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