Using Benford’s law to investigate Natural Hazard dataset homogeneity
Identifieur interne : 002663 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 002662; suivant : 002664Using Benford’s law to investigate Natural Hazard dataset homogeneity
Auteurs : Renaud Joannes-Boyau [Australie] ; Thomas Bodin [États-Unis, France] ; Anja Scheffers [Australie] ; Malcolm Sambridge [Australie] ; Simon Matthias May [Allemagne]Source :
- Scientific Reports [ 2045-2322 ] ; 2015.
Abstract
Working with a large temporal dataset spanning several decades often represents a challenging task, especially when the record is heterogeneous and incomplete. The use of statistical laws could potentially overcome these problems. Here we apply Benford’s Law (also called the “First-Digit Law”) to the traveled distances of tropical cyclones since 1842. The record of tropical cyclones has been extensively impacted by improvements in detection capabilities over the past decades. We have found that, while the first-digit distribution for the entire record follows Benford’s Law prediction, specific changes such as satellite detection have had serious impacts on the dataset. The
Url:
DOI: 10.1038/srep12046
PubMed: 26156060
PubMed Central: 4496784
Affiliations:
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strict</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Bodin, Thomas" sort="Bodin, Thomas" uniqKey="Bodin T" first="Thomas" last="Bodin">Thomas Bodin</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="a2"><institution>Earth and Planetary Science, University of California Berkeley</institution>, CA,<country>USA</country></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea># see nlm:aff country strict</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="a5"><institution>Laboratoire de Géologie de Lyon, Ecole Normale Supérieure de Lyon, Université de Lyon-1, CNRS</institution>, 69364 Lyon Cedex 07,<country>France</country></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea># see nlm:aff country strict</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Scheffers, Anja" sort="Scheffers, Anja" uniqKey="Scheffers A" first="Anja" last="Scheffers">Anja Scheffers</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="a1"><institution>Southern Cross GeoScience, Southern Cross University</institution>, Lismore, NSW, 2480,<country>Australia</country></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea># see nlm:aff country strict</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Sambridge, Malcolm" sort="Sambridge, Malcolm" uniqKey="Sambridge M" first="Malcolm" last="Sambridge">Malcolm Sambridge</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="a3"><institution>Research School of Earth Sciences, Australian National University</institution>, Canberra, ACT, 0200,<country>Australia</country></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea># see nlm:aff country strict</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="May, Simon Matthias" sort="May, Simon Matthias" uniqKey="May S" first="Simon Matthias" last="May">Simon Matthias May</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="a4"><institution>Institute of Geography, University of Cologne</institution>, 50923, Cologne,<country>Germany</country></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea># see nlm:aff country strict</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Scientific Reports</title><idno type="eISSN">2045-2322</idno><imprint><date when="2015">2015</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Working with a large temporal dataset spanning several decades often represents a challenging task, especially when the record is heterogeneous and incomplete. The use of statistical laws could potentially overcome these problems. Here we apply Benford’s Law (also called the “First-Digit Law”) to the traveled distances of tropical cyclones since 1842. The record of tropical cyclones has been extensively impacted by improvements in detection capabilities over the past decades. We have found that, while the first-digit distribution for the entire record follows Benford’s Law prediction, specific changes such as satellite detection have had serious impacts on the dataset. The <italic>least-square misfit measure</italic> is used as a proxy to observe temporal variations, allowing us to assess data quality and homogeneity over the entire record, and at the same time over specific periods. Such information is crucial when running climatic models and Benford’s Law could potentially be used to overcome and correct for data heterogeneity and/or to select the most appropriate part of the record for detailed studies.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Benford, F" uniqKey="Benford F">F. Benford</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Newcomb, S" uniqKey="Newcomb S">S. Newcomb</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hill, T" uniqKey="Hill T">T. Hill</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Fewster, R" uniqKey="Fewster R">R. Fewster</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Scott, P" uniqKey="Scott P">P. Scott</name></author><author><name sortKey="Fasli, M" uniqKey="Fasli M">M. 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Smith</name></author></analytic></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>Allemagne</li><li>Australie</li><li>France</li><li>États-Unis</li></country></list><tree><country name="Australie"><noRegion><name sortKey="Joannes Boyau, Renaud" sort="Joannes Boyau, Renaud" uniqKey="Joannes Boyau R" first="Renaud" last="Joannes-Boyau">Renaud Joannes-Boyau</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Sambridge, Malcolm" sort="Sambridge, Malcolm" uniqKey="Sambridge M" first="Malcolm" last="Sambridge">Malcolm Sambridge</name><name sortKey="Scheffers, Anja" sort="Scheffers, Anja" uniqKey="Scheffers A" first="Anja" last="Scheffers">Anja Scheffers</name></country><country name="États-Unis"><noRegion><name sortKey="Bodin, Thomas" sort="Bodin, Thomas" uniqKey="Bodin T" first="Thomas" last="Bodin">Thomas Bodin</name></noRegion></country><country name="France"><noRegion><name sortKey="Bodin, Thomas" sort="Bodin, Thomas" uniqKey="Bodin T" first="Thomas" last="Bodin">Thomas Bodin</name></noRegion></country><country name="Allemagne"><noRegion><name sortKey="May, Simon Matthias" sort="May, Simon Matthias" uniqKey="May S" first="Simon Matthias" last="May">Simon Matthias May</name></noRegion></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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