Potential scenarios for the progression of a COVID-19 epidemic in the European Union and the European Economic Area, March 2020
Identifieur interne : 000F98 ( Pmc/Curation ); précédent : 000F97; suivant : 000F99Potential scenarios for the progression of a COVID-19 epidemic in the European Union and the European Economic Area, March 2020
Auteurs : Helen C. Johnson [Suède] ; Céline M. Gossner [Suède] ; Edoardo Colzani [Suède] ; John Kinsman [Suède] ; Leonidas Alexakis [Suède] ; Julien Beauté [Suède] ; Andrea Würz [Suède] ; Svetla Tsolova [Suède] ; Nick Bundle [Suède] ; Karl Ekdahl [Suède]Source :
- Eurosurveillance [ 1025-496X ] ; 2020.
Abstract
Two months after the emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the possibility of established and widespread community transmission in the European Union and European Economic Area (EU/EEA) is becoming more likely. We provide scenarios for use in preparedness for a possible widespread epidemic. The EU/EEA is moving towards the ‘limited sustained transmission’ phase. We propose actions to prepare for potential mitigation phases and coordinate efforts to protect the health of citizens.
Url:
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.9.2000202
PubMed: 32156332
PubMed Central: 7068161
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
- to stream Pmc, to step Corpus: Pour aller vers cette notice dans l'étape Curation :000F98
Links to Exploration step
PMC:7068161Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Potential scenarios for the progression of a COVID-19 epidemic in the European Union and the European Economic Area, March 2020</title><author><name sortKey="Johnson, Helen C" sort="Johnson, Helen C" uniqKey="Johnson H" first="Helen C" last="Johnson">Helen C. Johnson</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation><nlm:aff id="aff2">These authors contributed equally</nlm:aff></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Gossner, Celine M" sort="Gossner, Celine M" uniqKey="Gossner C" first="Céline M" last="Gossner">Céline M. Gossner</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation><nlm:aff id="aff2">These authors contributed equally</nlm:aff></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Colzani, Edoardo" sort="Colzani, Edoardo" uniqKey="Colzani E" first="Edoardo" last="Colzani">Edoardo Colzani</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kinsman, John" sort="Kinsman, John" uniqKey="Kinsman J" first="John" last="Kinsman">John Kinsman</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Alexakis, Leonidas" sort="Alexakis, Leonidas" uniqKey="Alexakis L" first="Leonidas" last="Alexakis">Leonidas Alexakis</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Beaute, Julien" sort="Beaute, Julien" uniqKey="Beaute J" first="Julien" last="Beauté">Julien Beauté</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wurz, Andrea" sort="Wurz, Andrea" uniqKey="Wurz A" first="Andrea" last="Würz">Andrea Würz</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Tsolova, Svetla" sort="Tsolova, Svetla" uniqKey="Tsolova S" first="Svetla" last="Tsolova">Svetla Tsolova</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Bundle, Nick" sort="Bundle, Nick" uniqKey="Bundle N" first="Nick" last="Bundle">Nick Bundle</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ekdahl, Karl" sort="Ekdahl, Karl" uniqKey="Ekdahl K" first="Karl" last="Ekdahl">Karl Ekdahl</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno><idno type="pmid">32156332</idno><idno type="pmc">7068161</idno><idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7068161</idno><idno type="RBID">PMC:7068161</idno><idno type="doi">10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.9.2000202</idno><date when="2020">2020</date><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">000F98</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">000F98</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">000F98</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Curation">000F98</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Potential scenarios for the progression of a COVID-19 epidemic in the European Union and the European Economic Area, March 2020</title><author><name sortKey="Johnson, Helen C" sort="Johnson, Helen C" uniqKey="Johnson H" first="Helen C" last="Johnson">Helen C. Johnson</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation><nlm:aff id="aff2">These authors contributed equally</nlm:aff></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Gossner, Celine M" sort="Gossner, Celine M" uniqKey="Gossner C" first="Céline M" last="Gossner">Céline M. Gossner</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation><nlm:aff id="aff2">These authors contributed equally</nlm:aff></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Colzani, Edoardo" sort="Colzani, Edoardo" uniqKey="Colzani E" first="Edoardo" last="Colzani">Edoardo Colzani</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kinsman, John" sort="Kinsman, John" uniqKey="Kinsman J" first="John" last="Kinsman">John Kinsman</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Alexakis, Leonidas" sort="Alexakis, Leonidas" uniqKey="Alexakis L" first="Leonidas" last="Alexakis">Leonidas Alexakis</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Beaute, Julien" sort="Beaute, Julien" uniqKey="Beaute J" first="Julien" last="Beauté">Julien Beauté</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wurz, Andrea" sort="Wurz, Andrea" uniqKey="Wurz A" first="Andrea" last="Würz">Andrea Würz</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Tsolova, Svetla" sort="Tsolova, Svetla" uniqKey="Tsolova S" first="Svetla" last="Tsolova">Svetla Tsolova</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Bundle, Nick" sort="Bundle, Nick" uniqKey="Bundle N" first="Nick" last="Bundle">Nick Bundle</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ekdahl, Karl" sort="Ekdahl, Karl" uniqKey="Ekdahl K" first="Karl" last="Ekdahl">Karl Ekdahl</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Eurosurveillance</title><idno type="ISSN">1025-496X</idno><idno type="eISSN">1560-7917</idno><imprint><date when="2020">2020</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Two months after the emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the possibility of established and widespread community transmission in the European Union and European Economic Area (EU/EEA) is becoming more likely. We provide scenarios for use in preparedness for a possible widespread epidemic. The EU/EEA is moving towards the ‘limited sustained transmission’ phase. We propose actions to prepare for potential mitigation phases and coordinate efforts to protect the health of citizens.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Reusken, Cbem" uniqKey="Reusken C">CBEM Reusken</name></author><author><name sortKey="Broberg, Ek" uniqKey="Broberg E">EK Broberg</name></author><author><name sortKey="Haagmans, B" uniqKey="Haagmans B">B Haagmans</name></author><author><name sortKey="Meijer, A" uniqKey="Meijer A">A Meijer</name></author><author><name sortKey="Corman, Vm" uniqKey="Corman V">VM Corman</name></author><author><name sortKey="Papa, A" uniqKey="Papa A">A Papa</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Wu, Jt" uniqKey="Wu J">JT Wu</name></author><author><name sortKey="Leung, K" uniqKey="Leung K">K Leung</name></author><author><name sortKey="Leung, Gm" uniqKey="Leung G">GM Leung</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Rothe, C" uniqKey="Rothe C">C Rothe</name></author><author><name sortKey="Schunk, M" uniqKey="Schunk M">M Schunk</name></author><author><name sortKey="Sothmann, P" uniqKey="Sothmann P">P Sothmann</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bretzel, G" uniqKey="Bretzel G">G Bretzel</name></author><author><name sortKey="Froeschl, G" uniqKey="Froeschl G">G Froeschl</name></author><author><name sortKey="Wallrauch, C" uniqKey="Wallrauch C">C Wallrauch</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><pmc article-type="research-article"><pmc-dir>properties open_access</pmc-dir>
<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Euro Surveill</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">Euro Surveill</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">ES</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Eurosurveillance</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1025-496X</issn><issn pub-type="epub">1560-7917</issn><publisher><publisher-name>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">32156332</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">7068161</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">2000202</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.9.2000202</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">2000202</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Rapid Communication</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Potential scenarios for the progression of a COVID-19 epidemic in the European Union and the European Economic Area, March 2020</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid" authenticated="false">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6660-6521</contrib-id><name><surname>Johnson</surname><given-names>Helen C</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid" authenticated="false">http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9345-5511</contrib-id><name><surname>Gossner</surname><given-names>Céline M</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Colzani</surname><given-names>Edoardo</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Kinsman</surname><given-names>John</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Alexakis</surname><given-names>Leonidas</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Beauté</surname><given-names>Julien</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Würz</surname><given-names>Andrea</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid" authenticated="false">http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1359-2503</contrib-id><name><surname>Tsolova</surname><given-names>Svetla</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid" authenticated="false">http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6482-3207</contrib-id><name><surname>Bundle</surname><given-names>Nick</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Ekdahl</surname><given-names>Karl</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><aff id="aff1"><label>1</label>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</aff><aff id="aff2"><label>2</label>These authors contributed equally</aff></contrib-group><author-notes><fn id="afn1"><p>Correspondence: Céline M. Gossner (<email xlink:href="Celine.Gossner@ecdc.europa.eu">Celine.Gossner@ecdc.europa.eu</email>)</p></fn></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="ppub"><day>05</day><month>3</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><volume>25</volume><issue>9</issue><elocation-id>2000202</elocation-id><history><date date-type="received"><day>27</day><month>2</month><year>2020</year></date><date date-type="accepted"><day>04</day><month>3</month><year>2020</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>This article is copyright of the authors or their affiliated institutions, 2020.</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2020</copyright-year><copyright-holder>The authors or their affiliated institutions</copyright-holder><license license-type="open-access" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><license-p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) Licence. You may share and adapt the material, but must give appropriate credit to the source, provide a link to the licence, and indicate if changes were made.</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>Two months after the emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the possibility of established and widespread community transmission in the European Union and European Economic Area (EU/EEA) is becoming more likely. We provide scenarios for use in preparedness for a possible widespread epidemic. The EU/EEA is moving towards the ‘limited sustained transmission’ phase. We propose actions to prepare for potential mitigation phases and coordinate efforts to protect the health of citizens.</p></abstract><kwd-group><title>Keywords: </title><kwd>SARS-CoV-2</kwd><kwd>coronavirus</kwd><kwd>pandemic</kwd><kwd>COVID-19</kwd><kwd>Europe</kwd><kwd>preparedness</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front></pmc></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Sante/explor/SrasV1/Data/Pmc/Curation
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 000F98 | SxmlIndent | more
Ou
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Pmc/Curation/biblio.hfd -nk 000F98 | SxmlIndent | more
Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri
{{Explor lien
|wiki= Sante
|area= SrasV1
|flux= Pmc
|étape= Curation
|type= RBID
|clé= PMC:7068161
|texte= Potential scenarios for the progression of a COVID-19 epidemic in the European Union and the European Economic Area, March 2020
}}
Pour générer des pages wiki
HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Pmc/Curation/RBID.i -Sk "pubmed:32156332" \
| HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Pmc/Curation/biblio.hfd \
| NlmPubMed2Wicri -a SrasV1
| This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.33. |  |