Assessing Regional Risks From Pandemic Influenza: A Scenario Analysis
Identifieur interne : 001185 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 001184; suivant : 001186Assessing Regional Risks From Pandemic Influenza: A Scenario Analysis
Auteurs : George Verikios [Australie] ; Maura Sullivan [Royaume-Uni] ; Pane Stojanovski [États-Unis] ; James Giesecke [Australie] ; Gordon Woo [Royaume-Uni]Source :
- The World Economy [ 0378-5920 ] ; 2016-08.
Abstract
We analyse the economic risks from two influenza pandemics that represent extremes along the virulence‐infectiousness continuum of possible pandemics: a high virulence–low infectiousness event and a low virulence–high infectiousness event. Our analysis involves linking an epidemiological model and a quarterly computable general equilibrium model. We find that global economic activity is more strongly affected by a pandemic with high infection rates rather than high virulence rates, all else being equal. Regions with a higher degree of economic integration with the world economy face greater risks of negative effects than less integrated regions.
Url:
DOI: 10.1111/twec.12296
Affiliations:
- Australie, Royaume-Uni, États-Unis
- Californie, District de Columbia, Victoria (État)
- Melbourne, San Francisco, Washington (district de Columbia)
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along the virulence‐infectiousness continuum of possible pandemics: a high virulence–low infectiousness event and a low virulence–high infectiousness event. Our analysis involves linking an epidemiological model and a quarterly computable general equilibrium model. We find that global economic activity is more strongly affected by a pandemic with high infection rates rather than high virulence rates, all else being equal. Regions with a higher degree of economic integration with the world economy face greater risks of negative effects than less integrated regions.</div></front></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>Australie</li><li>Royaume-Uni</li><li>États-Unis</li></country><region><li>Californie</li><li>District de Columbia</li><li>Victoria (État)</li></region><settlement><li>Melbourne</li><li>San Francisco</li><li>Washington (district de Columbia)</li></settlement></list><tree><country name="Australie"><noRegion><name sortKey="Verikios, George" sort="Verikios, George" uniqKey="Verikios G" first="George" last="Verikios">George Verikios</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Giesecke, James" sort="Giesecke, James" uniqKey="Giesecke J" first="James" last="Giesecke">James Giesecke</name></country><country name="Royaume-Uni"><region name="District de Columbia"><name sortKey="Sullivan, Maura" sort="Sullivan, Maura" uniqKey="Sullivan M" first="Maura" last="Sullivan">Maura Sullivan</name></region><name sortKey="Woo, Gordon" sort="Woo, Gordon" uniqKey="Woo G" first="Gordon" last="Woo">Gordon Woo</name></country><country name="États-Unis"><region name="Californie"><name sortKey="Stojanovski, Pane" sort="Stojanovski, Pane" uniqKey="Stojanovski P" first="Pane" last="Stojanovski">Pane Stojanovski</name></region></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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