Natality Decline and Spatial Variation in Excess Death Rates During the 1918–1920 Influenza Pandemic in Arizona, United States
Identifieur interne : 001F02 ( Ncbi/Merge ); précédent : 001F01; suivant : 001F03Natality Decline and Spatial Variation in Excess Death Rates During the 1918–1920 Influenza Pandemic in Arizona, United States
Auteurs : Sushma Dahal [Géorgie (pays)] ; Kenji Mizumoto [Géorgie (pays), Japon] ; Bob Bolin [États-Unis] ; Cécile Viboud ; Gerardo Chowell [Géorgie (pays), États-Unis]Source :
- American Journal of Epidemiology [ 0002-9262 ] ; 2018.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Analyse spatiale, Arizona (épidémiologie), Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Facteurs socioéconomiques, Grippe humaine (ethnologie), Grippe humaine (histoire), Grippe humaine (mortalité), Grippe humaine (épidémiologie), Histoire du 20ème siècle, Humains, Indiens d'Amérique Nord (), Nourrisson, Pandémie de grippe de 1918-1919 (histoire), Pandémie de grippe de 1918-1919 (mortalité), Population d'origine européenne (), Taux de natalité (tendances).
- MESH :
- ethnologie : Grippe humaine.
- histoire : Grippe humaine, Pandémie de grippe de 1918-1919.
- mortalité : Grippe humaine, Pandémie de grippe de 1918-1919.
- tendances : Taux de natalité.
- épidémiologie : Arizona, Grippe humaine.
- Analyse spatiale, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Facteurs socioéconomiques, Histoire du 20ème siècle, Humains, Indiens d'Amérique Nord, Nourrisson, Population d'origine européenne.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Arizona (epidemiology), Birth Rate (trends), Child, Preschool, European Continental Ancestry Group (statistics & numerical data), History, 20th Century, Humans, Indians, North American (statistics & numerical data), Infant, Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 (history), Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 (mortality), Influenza, Human (epidemiology), Influenza, Human (ethnology), Influenza, Human (history), Influenza, Human (mortality), Socioeconomic Factors, Spatial Analysis.
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Arizona.
- epidemiology : Influenza, Human.
- ethnology : Influenza, Human.
- history : Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919, Influenza, Human.
- mortality : Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919, Influenza, Human.
- statistics & numerical data : European Continental Ancestry Group, Indians, North American.
- trends : Birth Rate.
- Child, Preschool, History, 20th Century, Humans, Infant, Socioeconomic Factors, Spatial Analysis.
Abstract
A large body of epidemiologic research has concentrated on the 1918 influenza pandemic, but more work is needed to understand spatial variation in pandemic mortality and its effects on natality. We collected and analyzed 35,151 death records from Arizona for 1915–1921 and 21,334 birth records from Maricopa county for 1915–1925. We estimated the number of excess deaths and births before, during, and after the pandemic period, and we found a significant decline in the number of births occurring 9–11 months after peak pandemic mortality. Moreover, excess mortality rates were highest in northern Arizona counties, where Native Americans were historically concentrated, suggesting a link between ethnic and/or sociodemographic factors and risk of pandemic-related death. The relationship between birth patterns and pandemic mortality risk should be further studied at different spatial scales and in different ethnic groups.
Url:
DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwy146
PubMed: 30508194
PubMed Central: 6269250
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PMC:6269250Le document en format XML
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xml:lang="fr"><term>Arizona</term><term>Grippe humaine</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>History, 20th Century</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Socioeconomic Factors</term><term>Spatial Analysis</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Analyse spatiale</term><term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term><term>Facteurs socioéconomiques</term><term>Histoire du 20ème siècle</term><term>Humains</term><term>Indiens d'Amérique Nord</term><term>Nourrisson</term><term>Population d'origine européenne</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><title>Abstract</title><p>A large body of epidemiologic research has concentrated on the 1918 influenza pandemic, but more work is needed to understand spatial variation in pandemic mortality and its effects on natality. We collected and analyzed 35,151 death records from Arizona for 1915–1921 and 21,334 birth records from Maricopa county for 1915–1925. We estimated the number of excess deaths and births before, during, and after the pandemic period, and we found a significant decline in the number of births occurring 9–11 months after peak pandemic mortality. Moreover, excess mortality rates were highest in northern Arizona counties, where Native Americans were historically concentrated, suggesting a link between ethnic and/or sociodemographic factors and risk of pandemic-related death. The relationship between birth patterns and pandemic mortality risk should be further studied at different spatial scales and in different ethnic groups.</p></div></front></TEI><double pmid="30508194"><pmc><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Natality Decline and Spatial Variation in Excess Death Rates During the 1918–1920 Influenza Pandemic in Arizona, United States</title><author><name sortKey="Dahal, Sushma" sort="Dahal, Sushma" uniqKey="Dahal S" first="Sushma" last="Dahal">Sushma Dahal</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="AF0001">Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Géorgie (pays)</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Atlanta</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mizumoto, Kenji" sort="Mizumoto, Kenji" uniqKey="Mizumoto K" first="Kenji" last="Mizumoto">Kenji Mizumoto</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="AF0001">Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Géorgie (pays)</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Atlanta</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="AF0002">Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Hokkaido, Japan</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country><wicri:regionArea>Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Hokkaido</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Hokkaido</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Bolin, Bob" sort="Bolin, Bob" uniqKey="Bolin B" first="Bob" last="Bolin">Bob Bolin</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0003">School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><placeName><region type="state">Arizona</region></placeName><wicri:cityArea>School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe</wicri:cityArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Viboud, Cecile" sort="Viboud, Cecile" uniqKey="Viboud C" first="Cécile" last="Viboud">Cécile Viboud</name></author><author><name sortKey="Chowell, Gerardo" sort="Chowell, Gerardo" uniqKey="Chowell G" first="Gerardo" last="Chowell">Gerardo Chowell</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="AF0001">Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Géorgie (pays)</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Atlanta</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0004">Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><placeName><region type="state">Maryland</region></placeName><wicri:cityArea>Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda</wicri:cityArea></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno><idno type="pmid">30508194</idno><idno type="pmc">6269250</idno><idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6269250</idno><idno type="RBID">PMC:6269250</idno><idno type="doi">10.1093/aje/kwy146</idno><date when="2018">2018</date><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">000E81</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">000E81</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">000E81</idno><idno 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sortKey="Mizumoto, Kenji" sort="Mizumoto, Kenji" uniqKey="Mizumoto K" first="Kenji" last="Mizumoto">Kenji Mizumoto</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="AF0001">Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Géorgie (pays)</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Atlanta</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="AF0002">Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Hokkaido, Japan</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country><wicri:regionArea>Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Hokkaido</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Hokkaido</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Bolin, Bob" sort="Bolin, Bob" uniqKey="Bolin B" first="Bob" last="Bolin">Bob Bolin</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0003">School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><placeName><region type="state">Arizona</region></placeName><wicri:cityArea>School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe</wicri:cityArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Viboud, Cecile" sort="Viboud, Cecile" uniqKey="Viboud C" first="Cécile" last="Viboud">Cécile Viboud</name></author><author><name sortKey="Chowell, Gerardo" sort="Chowell, Gerardo" uniqKey="Chowell G" first="Gerardo" last="Chowell">Gerardo Chowell</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="AF0001">Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Géorgie (pays)</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Atlanta</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0004">Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><placeName><region type="state">Maryland</region></placeName><wicri:cityArea>Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda</wicri:cityArea></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">American Journal of Epidemiology</title><idno type="ISSN">0002-9262</idno><idno type="eISSN">1476-6256</idno><imprint><date when="2018">2018</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><title>Abstract</title><p>A large body of epidemiologic research has concentrated on the 1918 influenza pandemic, but more work is needed to understand spatial variation in pandemic mortality and its effects on natality. We collected and analyzed 35,151 death records from Arizona for 1915–1921 and 21,334 birth records from Maricopa county for 1915–1925. We estimated the number of excess deaths and births before, during, and after the pandemic period, and we found a significant decline in the number of births occurring 9–11 months after peak pandemic mortality. Moreover, excess mortality rates were highest in northern Arizona counties, where Native Americans were historically concentrated, suggesting a link between ethnic and/or sociodemographic factors and risk of pandemic-related death. The relationship between birth patterns and pandemic mortality risk should be further studied at different spatial scales and in different ethnic groups.</p></div></front></TEI></pmc><pubmed><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Natality Decline and Spatial Variation in Excess Death Rates During the 1918-1920 Influenza Pandemic in Arizona, United States.</title><author><name sortKey="Dahal, Sushma" sort="Dahal, Sushma" uniqKey="Dahal S" first="Sushma" last="Dahal">Sushma Dahal</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Géorgie (pays)</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Atlanta</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mizumoto, Kenji" sort="Mizumoto, Kenji" uniqKey="Mizumoto K" first="Kenji" last="Mizumoto">Kenji Mizumoto</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Géorgie (pays)</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Atlanta</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Bolin, Bob" sort="Bolin, Bob" uniqKey="Bolin B" first="Bob" last="Bolin">Bob Bolin</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><placeName><region type="state">Arizona</region></placeName><wicri:cityArea>School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe</wicri:cityArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Viboud, Cecile" sort="Viboud, Cecile" uniqKey="Viboud C" first="Cécile" last="Viboud">Cécile Viboud</name></author><author><name sortKey="Chowell, Gerardo" sort="Chowell, Gerardo" uniqKey="Chowell G" first="Gerardo" last="Chowell">Gerardo Chowell</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Géorgie (pays)</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Atlanta</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2018">2018</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:30508194</idno><idno type="pmid">30508194</idno><idno type="doi">10.1093/aje/kwy146</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">000188</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000188</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Curation">000188</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Curation">000188</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Checkpoint">000262</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Checkpoint" wicri:step="PubMed">000262</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">Natality Decline and Spatial Variation in Excess Death Rates During the 1918-1920 Influenza Pandemic in Arizona, United States.</title><author><name sortKey="Dahal, Sushma" sort="Dahal, Sushma" uniqKey="Dahal S" first="Sushma" last="Dahal">Sushma Dahal</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Géorgie (pays)</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Atlanta</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mizumoto, Kenji" sort="Mizumoto, Kenji" uniqKey="Mizumoto K" first="Kenji" last="Mizumoto">Kenji Mizumoto</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Géorgie (pays)</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Atlanta</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Bolin, Bob" sort="Bolin, Bob" uniqKey="Bolin B" first="Bob" last="Bolin">Bob Bolin</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><placeName><region type="state">Arizona</region></placeName><wicri:cityArea>School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe</wicri:cityArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Viboud, Cecile" sort="Viboud, Cecile" uniqKey="Viboud C" first="Cécile" last="Viboud">Cécile Viboud</name></author><author><name sortKey="Chowell, Gerardo" sort="Chowell, Gerardo" uniqKey="Chowell G" first="Gerardo" last="Chowell">Gerardo Chowell</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Géorgie (pays)</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Atlanta</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">American journal of epidemiology</title><idno type="eISSN">1476-6256</idno><imprint><date when="2018" type="published">2018</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Arizona (epidemiology)</term><term>Birth Rate (trends)</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>European Continental Ancestry Group (statistics & numerical data)</term><term>History, 20th Century</term><term>Humans</term><term>Indians, North American (statistics & numerical data)</term><term>Infant</term><term>Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 (history)</term><term>Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 (mortality)</term><term>Influenza, Human (epidemiology)</term><term>Influenza, Human (ethnology)</term><term>Influenza, Human (history)</term><term>Influenza, Human (mortality)</term><term>Socioeconomic Factors</term><term>Spatial Analysis</term></keywords><keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Analyse spatiale</term><term>Arizona (épidémiologie)</term><term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term><term>Facteurs socioéconomiques</term><term>Grippe humaine (ethnologie)</term><term>Grippe humaine (histoire)</term><term>Grippe humaine (mortalité)</term><term>Grippe humaine (épidémiologie)</term><term>Histoire du 20ème siècle</term><term>Humains</term><term>Indiens d'Amérique Nord ()</term><term>Nourrisson</term><term>Pandémie de grippe de 1918-1919 (histoire)</term><term>Pandémie de grippe de 1918-1919 (mortalité)</term><term>Population d'origine européenne ()</term><term>Taux de natalité (tendances)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Arizona</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="ethnologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Grippe humaine</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="ethnology" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="histoire" xml:lang="fr"><term>Grippe humaine</term><term>Pandémie de grippe de 1918-1919</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="history" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919</term><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortality" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919</term><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortalité" xml:lang="fr"><term>Grippe humaine</term><term>Pandémie de grippe de 1918-1919</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="statistics & numerical data" xml:lang="en"><term>European Continental Ancestry Group</term><term>Indians, North American</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="tendances" xml:lang="fr"><term>Taux de natalité</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="trends" xml:lang="en"><term>Birth Rate</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Arizona</term><term>Grippe humaine</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>History, 20th Century</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Socioeconomic Factors</term><term>Spatial Analysis</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Analyse spatiale</term><term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term><term>Facteurs socioéconomiques</term><term>Histoire du 20ème siècle</term><term>Humains</term><term>Indiens d'Amérique Nord</term><term>Nourrisson</term><term>Population d'origine européenne</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">A large body of epidemiologic research has concentrated on the 1918 influenza pandemic, but more work is needed to understand spatial variation in pandemic mortality and its effects on natality. We collected and analyzed 35,151 death records from Arizona for 1915-1921 and 21,334 birth records from Maricopa county for 1915-1925. We estimated the number of excess deaths and births before, during, and after the pandemic period, and we found a significant decline in the number of births occurring 9-11 months after peak pandemic mortality. Moreover, excess mortality rates were highest in northern Arizona counties, where Native Americans were historically concentrated, suggesting a link between ethnic and/or sociodemographic factors and risk of pandemic-related death. The relationship between birth patterns and pandemic mortality risk should be further studied at different spatial scales and in different ethnic groups.</div></front></TEI></pubmed></double></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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