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Potential Impact of Influenza A/H1N1 Pandemic and Hand-Gels on Acute Diarrhea Epidemic in France

Identifieur interne : 001744 ( Ncbi/Merge ); précédent : 001743; suivant : 001745

Potential Impact of Influenza A/H1N1 Pandemic and Hand-Gels on Acute Diarrhea Epidemic in France

Auteurs : Pascal Crépey [France] ; Mathilde Pivette [France] ; Moïse Desvarieux [France, États-Unis]

Source :

RBID : PMC:3790785

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

Background

The 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic has received a great deal of attention from public health authorities. Our study examines whether this pandemic and the resulting public health measures could have impacted acute diarrhea, a prevalent, highly transmissible and historically monitored disease.

Methods

Using augmentation procedures of national data for the previous five years (2004–2009), we estimated the expected timing and incidence of acute diarrhea in France in 2009–2010 and evaluated differences with the observed. We also reviewed national hand gels for the same period.

Findings

Number of episodes of acute diarrhea in France in 2009–2010 was significantly lower than expected until the third week of December (−24%, 95% CI [−36%; −9%]), then significantly higher (+40%, 95% CI [22%; 62%]), leading to a surplus of 574,440 episodes. The epidemic was delayed by 5 weeks with a peak 1.3 times higher than expected. Hand-gels sales inversely correlated with incidence of both influenza-like illness and acute diarrheal disease. Among individuals >65 yo, no excess cases of influenza and no excess rebound in acute diarrhea were observed, despite similar delay in the onset of the seasonal diarrheal epidemic.

Interpretation

Our results suggest that at least one endemic disease had an unexpected behavior in 2009–2010. Acute diarrhea seems to have been controlled during the beginning of the pandemic in all age groups, but later peaked higher than expected in the younger population. The all-age delay in seasonal onset seems partly attributable to hand-gels use, while the differential magnitude of the seasonal epidemic between young and old, concurrent for both influenza and acute diarrhea, is compatible with disease interaction.


Url:
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0075226
PubMed: 24124479
PubMed Central: 3790785

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Links to Exploration step

PMC:3790785

Le document en format XML

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<p>Using augmentation procedures of national data for the previous five years (2004–2009), we estimated the expected timing and incidence of acute diarrhea in France in 2009–2010 and evaluated differences with the observed. We also reviewed national hand gels for the same period.</p>
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<p>Number of episodes of acute diarrhea in France in 2009–2010 was significantly lower than expected until the third week of December (−24%, 95% CI [−36%; −9%]), then significantly higher (+40%, 95% CI [22%; 62%]), leading to a surplus of 574,440 episodes. The epidemic was delayed by 5 weeks with a peak 1.3 times higher than expected. Hand-gels sales inversely correlated with incidence of both influenza-like illness and acute diarrheal disease. Among individuals >65 yo, no excess cases of influenza and no excess rebound in acute diarrhea were observed, despite similar delay in the onset of the seasonal diarrheal epidemic.</p>
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<p>Our results suggest that at least one endemic disease had an unexpected behavior in 2009–2010. Acute diarrhea seems to have been controlled during the beginning of the pandemic in all age groups, but later peaked higher than expected in the younger population. The all-age delay in seasonal onset seems partly attributable to hand-gels use, while the differential magnitude of the seasonal epidemic between young and old, concurrent for both influenza and acute diarrhea, is compatible with disease interaction.</p>
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<name sortKey="Crepey, Pascal" sort="Crepey, Pascal" uniqKey="Crepey P" first="Pascal" last="Crépey">Pascal Crépey</name>
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<addr-line>École des hautes études en santé publique Rennes, Sorbonne Paris Cité, Paris, France</addr-line>
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<addr-line>U 738, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, Paris, France</addr-line>
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<title level="j">PLoS ONE</title>
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<sec>
<title>Background</title>
<p>The 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic has received a great deal of attention from public health authorities. Our study examines whether this pandemic and the resulting public health measures could have impacted acute diarrhea, a prevalent, highly transmissible and historically monitored disease.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Methods</title>
<p>Using augmentation procedures of national data for the previous five years (2004–2009), we estimated the expected timing and incidence of acute diarrhea in France in 2009–2010 and evaluated differences with the observed. We also reviewed national hand gels for the same period.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Findings</title>
<p>Number of episodes of acute diarrhea in France in 2009–2010 was significantly lower than expected until the third week of December (−24%, 95% CI [−36%; −9%]), then significantly higher (+40%, 95% CI [22%; 62%]), leading to a surplus of 574,440 episodes. The epidemic was delayed by 5 weeks with a peak 1.3 times higher than expected. Hand-gels sales inversely correlated with incidence of both influenza-like illness and acute diarrheal disease. Among individuals >65 yo, no excess cases of influenza and no excess rebound in acute diarrhea were observed, despite similar delay in the onset of the seasonal diarrheal epidemic.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Interpretation</title>
<p>Our results suggest that at least one endemic disease had an unexpected behavior in 2009–2010. Acute diarrhea seems to have been controlled during the beginning of the pandemic in all age groups, but later peaked higher than expected in the younger population. The all-age delay in seasonal onset seems partly attributable to hand-gels use, while the differential magnitude of the seasonal epidemic between young and old, concurrent for both influenza and acute diarrhea, is compatible with disease interaction.</p>
</sec>
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<title xml:lang="en">Potential impact of influenza A/H1N1 pandemic and hand-gels on acute diarrhea epidemic in France.</title>
<author>
<name sortKey="Crepey, Pascal" sort="Crepey, Pascal" uniqKey="Crepey P" first="Pascal" last="Crépey">Pascal Crépey</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="3">
<nlm:affiliation>École des hautes études en santé publique Rennes, Sorbonne Paris Cité, Paris, France ; UMR EPV Emergence des Pathologies Virales -190, Aix-Marseille University, Marseille, France.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">France</country>
<wicri:regionArea>École des hautes études en santé publique Rennes, Sorbonne Paris Cité, Paris, France ; UMR EPV Emergence des Pathologies Virales -190, Aix-Marseille University, Marseille</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region>
<region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region>
<settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Pivette, Mathilde" sort="Pivette, Mathilde" uniqKey="Pivette M" first="Mathilde" last="Pivette">Mathilde Pivette</name>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Desvarieux, Moise" sort="Desvarieux, Moise" uniqKey="Desvarieux M" first="Moïse" last="Desvarieux">Moïse Desvarieux</name>
</author>
</analytic>
<series>
<title level="j">PloS one</title>
<idno type="eISSN">1932-6203</idno>
<imprint>
<date when="2013" type="published">2013</date>
</imprint>
</series>
</biblStruct>
</sourceDesc>
</fileDesc>
<profileDesc>
<textClass>
<keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en">
<term>Diarrhea (epidemiology)</term>
<term>France</term>
<term>Humans</term>
<term>Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype (pathogenicity)</term>
<term>Influenza, Human (epidemiology)</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr">
<term>Diarrhée (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>France</term>
<term>Grippe humaine (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Humains</term>
<term>Sous-type H1N1 du virus de la grippe A (pathogénicité)</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" xml:lang="en">
<term>France</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en">
<term>Diarrhea</term>
<term>Influenza, Human</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="pathogenicity" xml:lang="en">
<term>Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="pathogénicité" xml:lang="fr">
<term>Sous-type H1N1 du virus de la grippe A</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr">
<term>Diarrhée</term>
<term>Grippe humaine</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en">
<term>Humans</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr">
<term>France</term>
<term>Humains</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr">
<term>France</term>
</keywords>
</textClass>
</profileDesc>
</teiHeader>
<front>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic has received a great deal of attention from public health authorities. Our study examines whether this pandemic and the resulting public health measures could have impacted acute diarrhea, a prevalent, highly transmissible and historically monitored disease.</div>
</front>
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