PandemieGrippaleV1, Hal, Corpus, bibRecord, 000169

Does the weather play a role in the spread of pandemic influenza ? A study of H1N1pdm09 infections in France during 2009-2010

Identifieur interne : 000169 ( Hal/Corpus ); précédent : 000168; suivant : 000170

Does the weather play a role in the spread of pandemic influenza ? A study of H1N1pdm09 infections in France during 2009-2010

Auteurs : M. Vittecoq ; B. Roche ; J. M. Cohen ; François Renaud ; Frédéric Thomas ; Michel Gauthier-Clerc

Source :

Epidemiology and Infection [ 0950-2688 ] ; 2015-06-26.

RBID : Hal:hal-01215148

English descriptors

mix :
- Influenza A, Modelling, Pandemic, Spread of disease.

Abstract

Understanding patterns of influenza spread and persistence is crucial for pandemic preparedness. The H1N1pdm09 virus caused the first influenza pandemic of the 21st century which resulted in at least 18500 deaths. Based on laboratory-confirmed primary-care case reports we investigated the role of weather conditions and socio-demographic variables in its initial spread and subsequent presence in France. Our findings suggest that low relative humidity and high population density were determinants in shaping the early spread of the virus at the national level. Those conditions also favoured the persistence of viral presence throughout the first 33 weeks of the pandemic. Additionally this persistence was significantly favoured by low insolation. These results confirm the increasingly recognized role of humidity in influenza dynamics and underlie the concomitant effect of insolation. Therefore climatic factors should be taken into account when designing influenza control and prevention measures.

Url:

https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01215148

DOI: 10.1017/S0950268815000941

Links to Exploration step

Hal:hal-01215148

Le document en format XML

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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">              <p>Understanding patterns of influenza spread and persistence is crucial for pandemic preparedness. The H1N1pdm09 virus caused the first influenza pandemic of the 21st century which resulted in at least 18500 deaths. Based on laboratory-confirmed primary-care case reports we investigated the role of weather conditions and socio-demographic variables in its initial spread and subsequent presence in France. Our findings suggest that low relative humidity and high population density were determinants in shaping the early spread of the virus at the national level. Those conditions also favoured the persistence of viral presence throughout the first 33 weeks of the pandemic. Additionally this persistence was significantly favoured by low insolation. These results confirm the increasingly recognized role of humidity in influenza dynamics and underlie the concomitant effect of insolation. Therefore climatic factors should be taken into account when designing influenza control and prevention measures.</p>
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Does the weather play a role in the spread of pandemic influenza ? A study of H1N1pdm09 infections in France during 2009-2010

Does the weather play a role in the spread of pandemic influenza ? A study of H1N1pdm09 infections in France during 2009-2010

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