Effect of Information Disclosure Policy on Control of Infectious Disease: MERS-CoV Outbreak in South Korea
Identifieur interne : 000D43 ( Pmc/Curation ); précédent : 000D42; suivant : 000D44Effect of Information Disclosure Policy on Control of Infectious Disease: MERS-CoV Outbreak in South Korea
Auteurs : Jin-Won Noh [Pays-Bas] ; Ki-Bong Yoo ; Young Dae Kwon ; Jin Hyuk Hong ; Yejin Lee ; Kisoo Park [Corée du Sud]Source :
- International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health [ 1661-7827 ] ; 2020.
Abstract
This study examined the effect of disclosing a list of hospitals with Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) patients on the number of laboratory-confirmed MERS-CoV cases in South Korea. MERS-CoV data from 20 May 2015 to 5 July 2015 were from the Korean Ministry of Health & Welfare website and analyzed using segmented linear autoregressive error models for interrupted time series. This study showed that the number of laboratory-confirmed cases was increased by 9.632 on 5 June (
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DOI: 10.3390/ijerph17010305
PubMed: 31906369
PubMed Central: 6981968
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<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Effect of Information Disclosure Policy on Control of Infectious Disease: MERS-CoV Outbreak in South Korea</title><author><name sortKey="Noh, Jin Won" sort="Noh, Jin Won" uniqKey="Noh J" first="Jin-Won" last="Noh">Jin-Won Noh</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="af1-ijerph-17-00305">Department of Health Administration, College of Health Science, Dankook University, Cheonan 31116, Korea;<email>jinwon.noh@gmail.com</email></nlm:aff></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af2-ijerph-17-00305">Department of Health Sciences, Global Health, University Medical Centre Groningen/University of Groningen, 9713 GZ Groningen, The Netherlands</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Health Sciences, Global Health, University Medical Centre Groningen/University of Groningen, 9713 GZ Groningen</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Yoo, Ki Bong" sort="Yoo, Ki Bong" uniqKey="Yoo K" first="Ki-Bong" last="Yoo">Ki-Bong Yoo</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="af3-ijerph-17-00305">Department of Health Administration, College of Health Sciences, Yonsei University, Wonju 26493, Korea;<email>ykbong@yonsei.ac.kr</email></nlm:aff></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kwon, Young Dae" sort="Kwon, Young Dae" uniqKey="Kwon Y" first="Young Dae" last="Kwon">Young Dae Kwon</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="af4-ijerph-17-00305">Department of Humanities and Social Medicine, College of Medicine and Catholic Institute for Healthcare Management, the Catholic University of Korea, Seoul 06591, Korea;<email>healthcare@catholic.ac.kr</email></nlm:aff></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hong, Jin Hyuk" sort="Hong, Jin Hyuk" uniqKey="Hong J" first="Jin Hyuk" last="Hong">Jin Hyuk Hong</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="af5-ijerph-17-00305">Department of Biostatistics, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea;<email>hongjh0513@korea.ac.kr</email></nlm:aff></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Lee, Yejin" sort="Lee, Yejin" uniqKey="Lee Y" first="Yejin" last="Lee">Yejin Lee</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="af6-ijerph-17-00305">Department of Healthcare Management, Eulji University, Seongnam 13135, Korea;<email>yiye1110@gmail.com</email></nlm:aff></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Park, Kisoo" sort="Park, Kisoo" uniqKey="Park K" first="Kisoo" last="Park">Kisoo Park</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af7-ijerph-17-00305">Institute for Occupational & Environmental Health, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute for Occupational & Environmental Health, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno><idno type="pmid">31906369</idno><idno 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Korea;<email>jinwon.noh@gmail.com</email></nlm:aff></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af2-ijerph-17-00305">Department of Health Sciences, Global Health, University Medical Centre Groningen/University of Groningen, 9713 GZ Groningen, The Netherlands</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Health Sciences, Global Health, University Medical Centre Groningen/University of Groningen, 9713 GZ Groningen</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Yoo, Ki Bong" sort="Yoo, Ki Bong" uniqKey="Yoo K" first="Ki-Bong" last="Yoo">Ki-Bong Yoo</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="af3-ijerph-17-00305">Department of Health Administration, College of Health Sciences, Yonsei University, Wonju 26493, Korea;<email>ykbong@yonsei.ac.kr</email></nlm:aff></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kwon, Young Dae" sort="Kwon, Young Dae" uniqKey="Kwon Y" first="Young Dae" last="Kwon">Young Dae Kwon</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="af4-ijerph-17-00305">Department of Humanities and Social Medicine, College of Medicine and Catholic Institute for Healthcare Management, the Catholic University of Korea, Seoul 06591, Korea;<email>healthcare@catholic.ac.kr</email></nlm:aff></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hong, Jin Hyuk" sort="Hong, Jin Hyuk" uniqKey="Hong J" first="Jin Hyuk" last="Hong">Jin Hyuk Hong</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="af5-ijerph-17-00305">Department of Biostatistics, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea;<email>hongjh0513@korea.ac.kr</email></nlm:aff></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Lee, Yejin" sort="Lee, Yejin" uniqKey="Lee Y" first="Yejin" last="Lee">Yejin Lee</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="af6-ijerph-17-00305">Department of Healthcare Management, Eulji University, Seongnam 13135, Korea;<email>yiye1110@gmail.com</email></nlm:aff></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Park, Kisoo" sort="Park, Kisoo" uniqKey="Park K" first="Kisoo" last="Park">Kisoo Park</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af7-ijerph-17-00305">Institute for Occupational & Environmental Health, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute for Occupational & Environmental Health, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health</title><idno type="ISSN">1661-7827</idno><idno type="eISSN">1660-4601</idno><imprint><date when="2020">2020</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>This study examined the effect of disclosing a list of hospitals with Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) patients on the number of laboratory-confirmed MERS-CoV cases in South Korea. MERS-CoV data from 20 May 2015 to 5 July 2015 were from the Korean Ministry of Health & Welfare website and analyzed using segmented linear autoregressive error models for interrupted time series. This study showed that the number of laboratory-confirmed cases was increased by 9.632 on 5 June (<italic>p</italic> < 0.001). However, this number was significantly decreased following disclosure of a list of hospitals with MERS-CoV cases (Estimate = −0.699; <italic>p</italic> < 0.001). Disclosing the list of hospitals exposed to MERS-CoV was critical to the prevention of further infection. It reduced the number of confirmed MERS-CoV cases. Thus, providing accurate and timely information is a key to critical care response.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Cowling, B J" uniqKey="Cowling B">B.J. Cowling</name></author><author><name sortKey="Park, M" uniqKey="Park M">M. 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<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Int J Environ Res Public Health</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">Int J Environ Res Public Health</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">ijerph</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1661-7827</issn><issn pub-type="epub">1660-4601</issn><publisher><publisher-name>MDPI</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">31906369</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">6981968</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3390/ijerph17010305</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">ijerph-17-00305</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Effect of Information Disclosure Policy on Control of Infectious Disease: MERS-CoV Outbreak in South Korea</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Noh</surname><given-names>Jin-Won</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="af1-ijerph-17-00305">1</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="af2-ijerph-17-00305">2</xref><xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn1-ijerph-17-00305">†</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid" authenticated="true">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2955-6948</contrib-id><name><surname>Yoo</surname><given-names>Ki-Bong</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="af3-ijerph-17-00305">3</xref><xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn1-ijerph-17-00305">†</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Kwon</surname><given-names>Young Dae</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="af4-ijerph-17-00305">4</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Hong</surname><given-names>Jin Hyuk</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="af5-ijerph-17-00305">5</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid" authenticated="true">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1782-0406</contrib-id><name><surname>Lee</surname><given-names>Yejin</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="af6-ijerph-17-00305">6</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid" authenticated="true">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7976-6572</contrib-id><name><surname>Park</surname><given-names>Kisoo</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="af7-ijerph-17-00305">7</xref><xref rid="c1-ijerph-17-00305" ref-type="corresp">*</xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="af1-ijerph-17-00305"><label>1</label>Department of Health Administration, College of Health Science, Dankook University, Cheonan 31116, Korea;<email>jinwon.noh@gmail.com</email></aff><aff id="af2-ijerph-17-00305"><label>2</label>Department of Health Sciences, Global Health, University Medical Centre Groningen/University of Groningen, 9713 GZ Groningen, The Netherlands</aff><aff id="af3-ijerph-17-00305"><label>3</label>Department of Health Administration, College of Health Sciences, Yonsei University, Wonju 26493, Korea;<email>ykbong@yonsei.ac.kr</email></aff><aff id="af4-ijerph-17-00305"><label>4</label>Department of Humanities and Social Medicine, College of Medicine and Catholic Institute for Healthcare Management, the Catholic University of Korea, Seoul 06591, Korea;<email>healthcare@catholic.ac.kr</email></aff><aff id="af5-ijerph-17-00305"><label>5</label>Department of Biostatistics, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea;<email>hongjh0513@korea.ac.kr</email></aff><aff id="af6-ijerph-17-00305"><label>6</label>Department of Healthcare Management, Eulji University, Seongnam 13135, Korea;<email>yiye1110@gmail.com</email></aff><aff id="af7-ijerph-17-00305"><label>7</label>Institute for Occupational & Environmental Health, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea</aff><author-notes><corresp id="c1-ijerph-17-00305"><label>*</label>Correspondence: <email>blesspark@naver.com</email>; Tel.: +82-43-719-7996; Fax: +82-43-719-7781</corresp><fn id="fn1-ijerph-17-00305"><label>†</label><p>Contributed equally to this study as first authors.</p></fn></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>01</day><month>1</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="ppub"><month>1</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><volume>17</volume><issue>1</issue><elocation-id>305</elocation-id><history><date date-type="received"><day>24</day><month>11</month><year>2019</year></date><date date-type="accepted"><day>31</day><month>12</month><year>2019</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>© 2020 by the authors.</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2020</copyright-year><license license-type="open-access"><license-p>Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link>).</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p>This study examined the effect of disclosing a list of hospitals with Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) patients on the number of laboratory-confirmed MERS-CoV cases in South Korea. MERS-CoV data from 20 May 2015 to 5 July 2015 were from the Korean Ministry of Health & Welfare website and analyzed using segmented linear autoregressive error models for interrupted time series. This study showed that the number of laboratory-confirmed cases was increased by 9.632 on 5 June (<italic>p</italic> < 0.001). However, this number was significantly decreased following disclosure of a list of hospitals with MERS-CoV cases (Estimate = −0.699; <italic>p</italic> < 0.001). Disclosing the list of hospitals exposed to MERS-CoV was critical to the prevention of further infection. It reduced the number of confirmed MERS-CoV cases. Thus, providing accurate and timely information is a key to critical care response.</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Middle East respiratory syndrome</kwd><kwd>MERS-CoV</kwd><kwd>infectious disease</kwd><kwd>prevention</kwd><kwd>information disclosure policy</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><floats-group><fig id="ijerph-17-00305-f001" orientation="portrait" position="float"><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p>Daily statistics for laboratory-confirmed Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) cases, deaths, and quarantine.</p></caption><graphic xlink:href="ijerph-17-00305-g001"></graphic></fig><fig id="ijerph-17-00305-f002" orientation="portrait" position="float"><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p>Results of segmented regression for confirmed cases.</p></caption><graphic xlink:href="ijerph-17-00305-g002"></graphic></fig><table-wrap id="ijerph-17-00305-t001" orientation="portrait" position="float"><object-id pub-id-type="pii">ijerph-17-00305-t001_Table 1</object-id><label>Table 1</label><caption><p>Effects of disclosure of hospital list.</p></caption><table frame="hsides" rules="groups"><thead><tr><th rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top:solid thin;border-bottom:solid thin" colspan="1"></th><th colspan="3" align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top:solid thin;border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1">Laboratory-Confirmed Cases</th></tr><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Estimate</th><th align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Standard Error</th><th align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1" colspan="1"><italic>p</italic>-Value</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Intercept</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">−0.406</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">1.743</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.817</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Time</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.316</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.180</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.087</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Disclosure of the hospital name list</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">9.632</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">2.057</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1"><0.001</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Time after Disclosure</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">−0.699</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.198</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.001</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Quarantine<sub>t-8</sub></td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">−0.001</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.0004</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.012</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top:solid thin" rowspan="1" colspan="1">R-square</td><td colspan="3" align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top:solid thin" rowspan="1">0.64</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1" colspan="1">DW</td><td colspan="3" align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1">2.13 <sup>†</sup></td></tr></tbody></table><table-wrap-foot><fn><p><sup>†</sup><italic>p</italic> > 0.05.</p></fn></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap><table-wrap id="ijerph-17-00305-t002" orientation="portrait" position="float"><object-id pub-id-type="pii">ijerph-17-00305-t002_Table 2</object-id><label>Table 2</label><caption><p>Results of sensitivity analysis of the time taken to complete a PCR test.</p></caption><table frame="hsides" rules="groups"><thead><tr><th rowspan="3" align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top:solid thin;border-bottom:solid thin" colspan="1"></th><th colspan="4" align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top:solid thin;border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1">Time of PCR Test</th></tr><tr><th colspan="2" align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1">0 Day</th><th colspan="2" align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1">2 Days</th></tr><tr><th align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Estimate</th><th align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1" colspan="1"><italic>p</italic>-Value</th><th align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Estimate</th><th align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1" colspan="1"><italic>p</italic>-Value</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Intercept</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">−0.166</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.932</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">−0.543</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.731</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Time</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.274</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.205</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.339</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.032</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Disclosure of the hospital name list</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">9.785</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1"><0.001</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">9.463</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1"><0.001</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Time after Disclosure</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">−0.658</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.006</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">−0.727</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1"><0.001</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Quarantine<sub>t-7+time of PCR test</sub></td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">−0.001</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.062</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">−0.001</td><td align="center" valign="middle" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.004</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top:solid thin" rowspan="1" colspan="1">R-square</td><td colspan="2" align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top:solid thin" rowspan="1">0.59</td><td colspan="2" align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top:solid thin" rowspan="1">0.69</td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1" colspan="1">DW</td><td colspan="2" align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1">1.69 <sup>†</sup></td><td colspan="2" align="center" valign="middle" style="border-bottom:solid thin" rowspan="1">1.67 <sup>†</sup></td></tr></tbody></table><table-wrap-foot><fn><p><sup>† </sup><italic>p</italic> < 0.05.</p></fn></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap></floats-group></pmc></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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