Predicting Hotspots for Influenza Virus Reassortment
Identifieur interne : 000948 ( Pmc/Curation ); précédent : 000947; suivant : 000949Predicting Hotspots for Influenza Virus Reassortment
Auteurs : Trevon L. Fuller ; Marius Gilbert ; Vincent Martin ; Julien Cappelle ; Parviez Hosseini ; Kevin Y. Njabo ; Soad Abdel Aziz ; Xiangming Xiao ; Peter Daszak ; Thomas B. SmithSource :
- Emerging Infectious Diseases [ 1080-6040 ] ; 2013.
Abstract
TOC summary: Reassortment is most likely to occur in eastern China, central China, or the Nile Delta in Egypt.
Url:
DOI: 10.3201/eid1904.120903
PubMed: 23628436
PubMed Central: 3647410
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<author><name sortKey="Abdel Aziz, Soad" sort="Abdel Aziz, Soad" uniqKey="Abdel Aziz S" first="Soad" last="Abdel Aziz">Soad Abdel Aziz</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Xiao, Xiangming" sort="Xiao, Xiangming" uniqKey="Xiao X" first="Xiangming" last="Xiao">Xiangming Xiao</name>
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<series><title level="j">Emerging Infectious Diseases</title>
<idno type="ISSN">1080-6040</idno>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>TOC summary: Reassortment is most likely to occur in eastern China, central China, or the Nile Delta in Egypt.</p>
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<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Emerg Infect Dis</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">Emerging Infect. Dis</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">EID</journal-id>
<journal-title-group><journal-title>Emerging Infectious Diseases</journal-title>
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<issn pub-type="ppub">1080-6040</issn>
<issn pub-type="epub">1080-6059</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention</publisher-name>
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<article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">23628436</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="pmc">3647410</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">12-0903</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3201/eid1904.120903</article-id>
<article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research</subject>
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<subj-group subj-group-type="article-type"><subject>Research</subject>
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<title-group><article-title>Predicting Hotspots for Influenza Virus Reassortment</article-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="running-head">Hotspots for Influenza Virus Reassortment</alt-title>
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<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name><surname>Fuller</surname>
<given-names>Trevon L.</given-names>
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<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Gilbert</surname>
<given-names>Marius</given-names>
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<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Martin</surname>
<given-names>Vincent</given-names>
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<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Cappelle</surname>
<given-names>Julien</given-names>
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<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Hosseini</surname>
<given-names>Parviez</given-names>
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<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Njabo</surname>
<given-names>Kevin Y.</given-names>
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<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Abdel Aziz</surname>
<given-names>Soad</given-names>
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<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Xiao</surname>
<given-names>Xiangming</given-names>
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<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Daszak</surname>
<given-names>Peter</given-names>
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<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Smith</surname>
<given-names>Thomas B.</given-names>
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<aff id="aff1">University of California, Los Angeles, California, USA (T.L. Fuller, K.Y. Njabo, T.B. Smith);</aff>
<aff id="aff2">Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium (M. Gilbert);</aff>
<aff id="aff3">Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Beijing, People’s Republic of China (V. Martin);</aff>
<aff id="aff4">Centre de Cooperation International en Recherche Agronomique pour le Developpement, Montpellier, France (J. Cappelle);</aff>
<aff id="aff5">EcoHealth Alliance, New York, New York, USA (P. Hosseini, P. Daszak);</aff>
<aff id="aff6">National Laboratory for Quality Control on Poultry Production, Dokki, Giza, Egypt (S.A. Aziz);</aff>
<aff id="aff7">University of Oklahoma, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA (X. Xiao)</aff>
</contrib-group>
<author-notes><corresp id="cor1">Address for correspondence: Trevon L. Fuller, Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, University of California, Los Angeles, 619 Charles E. Young Dr East, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1496, USA; email: <email xlink:href="fullertl@ucla.edu">fullertl@ucla.edu</email>
</corresp>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="ppub"><month>4</month>
<year>2013</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>19</volume>
<issue>4</issue>
<fpage>581</fpage>
<lpage>588</lpage>
<abstract abstract-type="toc"><p>TOC summary: Reassortment is most likely to occur in eastern China, central China, or the Nile Delta in Egypt.</p>
</abstract>
<abstract><p>The 1957 and 1968 influenza pandemics, each of which killed ≈1 million persons, arose through reassortment events. Influenza virus in humans and domestic animals could reassort and cause another pandemic. To identify geographic areas where agricultural production systems are conducive to reassortment, we fitted multivariate regression models to surveillance data on influenza A virus subtype H5N1 among poultry in China and Egypt and subtype H3N2 among humans. We then applied the models across Asia and Egypt to predict where subtype H3N2 from humans and subtype H5N1 from birds overlap; this overlap serves as a proxy for co-infection and in vivo reassortment. For Asia, we refined the prioritization by identifying areas that also have high swine density. Potential geographic foci of reassortment include the northern plains of India, coastal and central provinces of China, the western Korean Peninsula and southwestern Japan in Asia, and the Nile Delta in Egypt.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group kwd-group-type="author"><title>Keywords: </title>
<kwd>influenza in birds</kwd>
<kwd>influenza A virus H3N2 subtype</kwd>
<kwd>influenza A virus H5N1 subtype</kwd>
<kwd>reassortant viruses</kwd>
<kwd>viruses</kwd>
<kwd>zoonoses</kwd>
<kwd>avian influenza</kwd>
<kwd>influenza</kwd>
</kwd-group>
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