Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999.
Identifieur interne : 000108 ( Ncbi/Curation ); précédent : 000107; suivant : 000109Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999.
Auteurs : Thomas A. Reichert [États-Unis] ; Lone Simonsen ; Ashutosh Sharma ; Scott A. Pardo ; David S. Fedson ; Mark A. MillerSource :
- American journal of epidemiology [ 0002-9262 ] ; 2004.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- MESH :
- mortalité : Diabète, Grippe humaine, Ischémie myocardique, Maladies cardiovasculaires.
- épidémiologie : Grippe humaine, États-Unis d'Amérique.
- Certificats de décès, Humains, Méthodes épidémiologiques, Saisons, Sujet âgé.
- Wicri :
- geographic : États-Unis.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : United States.
- epidemiology : Influenza, Human.
- mortality : Cardiovascular Diseases, Diabetes Mellitus, Influenza, Human, Myocardial Ischemia.
- Aged, Death Certificates, Epidemiologic Methods, Humans, Seasons.
Abstract
In economically developed countries, mortality increases distinctly during winter. Many causes have been suggested, including light-dark cycles, temperature/weather, and infectious agents. The authors analyzed monthly mortality in the United States during the period 1959-1999 for four major disease classes. The authors isolated the seasonal component of mortality by removing trends and standardizing the time series. They evaluated four properties: coincidence in mortality peaks, autocorrelation structure and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, magnitude, and age distribution. Peak months of mortality for ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and diabetes mellitus coincided appropriately with peaks in pneumonia and influenza, and coefficients of autocorrelation and ARIMA models were essentially indistinguishable. The magnitude of the seasonal component was highly correlated with traditional measures of excess mortality and was significantly larger in seasons dominated by influenza A(H2N2) and A(H3N2) viruses than in seasons dominated by A(H1N1) or B viruses. There was an age shift in mortality during and after the 1968/69 pandemic in each disease class, with features specific to influenza A(H3N2). These findings suggest that the cause of the winter increase in US mortality is singular and probably influenza. Weather and other factors may determine the timing and modulate the magnitude of the winter-season increase in mortality, but the primary determinant appears to be the influenza virus.
DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwh227
PubMed: 15321847
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
- to stream PubMed, to step Corpus: Pour aller vers cette notice dans l'étape Curation :000327
- to stream PubMed, to step Curation: Pour aller vers cette notice dans l'étape Curation :000327
- to stream PubMed, to step Checkpoint: Pour aller vers cette notice dans l'étape Curation :000300
- to stream Ncbi, to step Merge: Pour aller vers cette notice dans l'étape Curation :000108
Links to Exploration step
pubmed:15321847Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999.</title><author><name sortKey="Reichert, Thomas A" sort="Reichert, Thomas A" uniqKey="Reichert T" first="Thomas A" last="Reichert">Thomas A. Reichert</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Entropy Research Institute, 262 West Saddle River Road, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458, USA. treichert@entropylimited.com</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Entropy Research Institute, 262 West Saddle River Road, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>NJ 07458</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Simonsen, Lone" sort="Simonsen, Lone" uniqKey="Simonsen L" first="Lone" last="Simonsen">Lone Simonsen</name></author><author><name sortKey="Sharma, Ashutosh" sort="Sharma, Ashutosh" uniqKey="Sharma A" first="Ashutosh" last="Sharma">Ashutosh Sharma</name></author><author><name sortKey="Pardo, Scott A" sort="Pardo, Scott A" uniqKey="Pardo S" first="Scott A" last="Pardo">Scott A. Pardo</name></author><author><name sortKey="Fedson, David S" sort="Fedson, David S" uniqKey="Fedson D" first="David S" last="Fedson">David S. Fedson</name></author><author><name sortKey="Miller, Mark A" sort="Miller, Mark A" uniqKey="Miller M" first="Mark A" last="Miller">Mark A. Miller</name></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2004">2004</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:15321847</idno><idno type="pmid">15321847</idno><idno type="doi">10.1093/aje/kwh227</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">000327</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000327</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Curation">000327</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Curation">000327</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Checkpoint">000300</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Checkpoint" wicri:step="PubMed">000300</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Merge">000108</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Curation">000108</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999.</title><author><name sortKey="Reichert, Thomas A" sort="Reichert, Thomas A" uniqKey="Reichert T" first="Thomas A" last="Reichert">Thomas A. Reichert</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Entropy Research Institute, 262 West Saddle River Road, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458, USA. treichert@entropylimited.com</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Entropy Research Institute, 262 West Saddle River Road, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>NJ 07458</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Simonsen, Lone" sort="Simonsen, Lone" uniqKey="Simonsen L" first="Lone" last="Simonsen">Lone Simonsen</name></author><author><name sortKey="Sharma, Ashutosh" sort="Sharma, Ashutosh" uniqKey="Sharma A" first="Ashutosh" last="Sharma">Ashutosh Sharma</name></author><author><name sortKey="Pardo, Scott A" sort="Pardo, Scott A" uniqKey="Pardo S" first="Scott A" last="Pardo">Scott A. Pardo</name></author><author><name sortKey="Fedson, David S" sort="Fedson, David S" uniqKey="Fedson D" first="David S" last="Fedson">David S. Fedson</name></author><author><name sortKey="Miller, Mark A" sort="Miller, Mark A" uniqKey="Miller M" first="Mark A" last="Miller">Mark A. Miller</name></author></analytic><series><title level="j">American journal of epidemiology</title><idno type="ISSN">0002-9262</idno><imprint><date when="2004" type="published">2004</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Aged</term><term>Cardiovascular Diseases (mortality)</term><term>Death Certificates</term><term>Diabetes Mellitus (mortality)</term><term>Epidemiologic Methods</term><term>Humans</term><term>Influenza, Human (epidemiology)</term><term>Influenza, Human (mortality)</term><term>Myocardial Ischemia (mortality)</term><term>Seasons</term><term>United States (epidemiology)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Certificats de décès</term><term>Diabète (mortalité)</term><term>Grippe humaine (mortalité)</term><term>Grippe humaine (épidémiologie)</term><term>Humains</term><term>Ischémie myocardique (mortalité)</term><term>Maladies cardiovasculaires (mortalité)</term><term>Méthodes épidémiologiques</term><term>Saisons</term><term>Sujet âgé</term><term>États-Unis d'Amérique (épidémiologie)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>United States</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortality" xml:lang="en"><term>Cardiovascular Diseases</term><term>Diabetes Mellitus</term><term>Influenza, Human</term><term>Myocardial Ischemia</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortalité" xml:lang="fr"><term>Diabète</term><term>Grippe humaine</term><term>Ischémie myocardique</term><term>Maladies cardiovasculaires</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Grippe humaine</term><term>États-Unis d'Amérique</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Aged</term><term>Death Certificates</term><term>Epidemiologic Methods</term><term>Humans</term><term>Seasons</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Certificats de décès</term><term>Humains</term><term>Méthodes épidémiologiques</term><term>Saisons</term><term>Sujet âgé</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr"><term>États-Unis</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">In economically developed countries, mortality increases distinctly during winter. Many causes have been suggested, including light-dark cycles, temperature/weather, and infectious agents. The authors analyzed monthly mortality in the United States during the period 1959-1999 for four major disease classes. The authors isolated the seasonal component of mortality by removing trends and standardizing the time series. They evaluated four properties: coincidence in mortality peaks, autocorrelation structure and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, magnitude, and age distribution. Peak months of mortality for ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and diabetes mellitus coincided appropriately with peaks in pneumonia and influenza, and coefficients of autocorrelation and ARIMA models were essentially indistinguishable. The magnitude of the seasonal component was highly correlated with traditional measures of excess mortality and was significantly larger in seasons dominated by influenza A(H2N2) and A(H3N2) viruses than in seasons dominated by A(H1N1) or B viruses. There was an age shift in mortality during and after the 1968/69 pandemic in each disease class, with features specific to influenza A(H3N2). These findings suggest that the cause of the winter increase in US mortality is singular and probably influenza. Weather and other factors may determine the timing and modulate the magnitude of the winter-season increase in mortality, but the primary determinant appears to be the influenza virus.</div></front></TEI></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Sante/explor/H2N2V1/Data/Ncbi/Curation
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 000108 | SxmlIndent | more
Ou
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Ncbi/Curation/biblio.hfd -nk 000108 | SxmlIndent | more
Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri
{{Explor lien
|wiki= Sante
|area= H2N2V1
|flux= Ncbi
|étape= Curation
|type= RBID
|clé= pubmed:15321847
|texte= Influenza and the winter increase in mortality in the United States, 1959-1999.
}}
Pour générer des pages wiki
HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Ncbi/Curation/RBID.i -Sk "pubmed:15321847" \
| HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Ncbi/Curation/biblio.hfd \
| NlmPubMed2Wicri -a H2N2V1
| This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.33. |  |