Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020.
Identifieur interne : 000C01 ( PubMed/Curation ); précédent : 000C00; suivant : 000C02Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020.
Auteurs : Giulia Pullano [France] ; Francesco Pinotti [France] ; Eugenio Valdano [États-Unis] ; Pierre-Yves Boëlle [France] ; Chiara Poletto [France] ; Vittoria Colizza [France]Source :
- Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin [ 1560-7917 ] ; 2020.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Chine (épidémiologie), Europe (épidémiologie), Flambées de maladies, Humains, Infections à coronavirus (), Infections à coronavirus (transmission), Infections à coronavirus (épidémiologie), Modèles théoriques, Pneumopathie virale (), Pneumopathie virale (transmission), Pneumopathie virale (épidémiologie), Politique publique, Voyage aérien, Évaluation des risques.
- MESH :
- Wicri :
- geographic : République populaire de Chine.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Air Travel, Betacoronavirus, China (epidemiology), Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology), Coronavirus Infections (prevention & control), Coronavirus Infections (transmission), Disease Outbreaks, Europe (epidemiology), Humans, Models, Theoretical, Pneumonia, Viral (epidemiology), Pneumonia, Viral (prevention & control), Pneumonia, Viral (transmission), Public Policy, Risk Assessment.
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : China, Europe.
- epidemiology : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- prevention & control : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- transmission : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- Air Travel, Betacoronavirus, Disease Outbreaks, Humans, Models, Theoretical, Public Policy, Risk Assessment.
Abstract
As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Europe remains high. The United Kingdom, Germany and France are at highest risk. Importation from Beijing and Shanghai would lead to higher and widespread risk for Europe.
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057
PubMed: 32019667
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xml:lang="fr"><term>Flambées de maladies</term><term>Humains</term><term>Infections à coronavirus</term><term>Modèles théoriques</term><term>Pneumopathie virale</term><term>Politique publique</term><term>Voyage aérien</term><term>Évaluation des risques</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr"><term>République populaire de Chine</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Europe remains high. The United Kingdom, Germany and France are at highest risk. Importation from Beijing and Shanghai would lead to higher and widespread risk for Europe.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">32019667</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2020</Year><Month>03</Month><Day>18</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2020</Year><Month>03</Month><Day>25</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1560-7917</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>25</Volume><Issue>4</Issue><PubDate><Year>2020</Year><Month>01</Month></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Euro Surveill.</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020.</ArticleTitle><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText>As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Europe remains high. The United Kingdom, Germany and France are at highest risk. Importation from Beijing and Shanghai would lead to higher and widespread risk for Europe.</AbstractText></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Pullano</LastName><ForeName>Giulia</ForeName><Initials>G</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>INSERM, Sorbonne Université, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, IPLESP, Paris, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Pinotti</LastName><ForeName>Francesco</ForeName><Initials>F</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>INSERM, Sorbonne Université, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, IPLESP, Paris, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Valdano</LastName><ForeName>Eugenio</ForeName><Initials>E</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Center for Biomedical Modeling, The Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Boëlle</LastName><ForeName>Pierre-Yves</ForeName><Initials>PY</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>INSERM, Sorbonne Université, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, IPLESP, Paris, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Poletto</LastName><ForeName>Chiara</ForeName><Initials>C</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>INSERM, Sorbonne Université, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, IPLESP, Paris, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Colizza</LastName><ForeName>Vittoria</ForeName><Initials>V</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>INSERM, Sorbonne Université, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, IPLESP, Paris, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType 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control</QualifierName><QualifierName UI="Q000635" MajorTopicYN="N">transmission</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D011640" MajorTopicYN="Y">Public Policy</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D018570" MajorTopicYN="Y">Risk Assessment</DescriptorName></MeshHeading></MeshHeadingList><KeywordList Owner="NOTNLM"><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">2019-nCoV</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">Europe</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">importation risk</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">travel ban</Keyword></KeywordList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2020</Year><Month>2</Month><Day>6</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2020</Year><Month>2</Month><Day>6</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate 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