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Global warming impacts and conservation responses for the critically endangered European Atlantic sturgeon

Identifieur interne : 000101 ( PascalFrancis/Corpus ); précédent : 000100; suivant : 000102

Global warming impacts and conservation responses for the critically endangered European Atlantic sturgeon

Auteurs : Géraldine Lassalle ; Philippe Crouzet ; Jörn Gessner ; Eric Rochard

Source :

RBID : Pascal:10-0498988

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

Due to anthropogenic actions, species have become endangered or have been driven to the verge of extinction, requiring conservation plans to be developed and implemented. These plans include measures to protect and enhance remaining populations and to reintroduce populations within the native ranges. However, future habitat suitability in the face of climate change is rarely assessed, despite the fact that it could compromise conservation opportunities. It is attempted to carry this task out for the critically endangered European Atlantic sturgeon (Acipenser sturio). Species presence/absence was documented for 196 basins between 1750 and 1850 over the Western Palearctic. A predictive distribution model was established from this database using Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) and a pool of relevant environmental variables. Projections were performed at two time-steps, 2050 and 2100, using the HadCM3 Global Climate Model (GCM) and the A2 and A1F1 emissions scenarios. The BRT model incorporated two general climatic descriptors, summer precipitation and annual air temperature, average slope served as a topographic predictor, and marine provinces as a macroecological variable. The statistical model performance allowed projections with the predictive deviance being 29 ± 2.80 and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) being 0.86 ± 0.02. The results obtained are in accordance with the species thermal preferences and with its hydrological habitat requirements. Most of the former sturgeon distribution range was assessed as being strongly affected by climate change, especially basins along the southern limit of its range. On this basis, proposals to integrate the climate change dimension into conservation strategy are discussed.

Notice en format standard (ISO 2709)

Pour connaître la documentation sur le format Inist Standard.

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A02 01      @0 BICOBK
A03   1    @0 Biol. conserv.
A05       @2 143
A06       @2 11
A08 01  1  ENG  @1 Global warming impacts and conservation responses for the critically endangered European Atlantic sturgeon
A11 01  1    @1 LASSALLE (Géraldine)
A11 02  1    @1 CROUZET (Philippe)
A11 03  1    @1 GESSNER (Jörn)
A11 04  1    @1 ROCHARD (Eric)
A14 01      @1 Cemagref, Agricultural and Environmental Engineering Research Institute, UR EPBX, 50 Avenue de Verdun @2 33612 Cestas @3 FRA @Z 1 aut. @Z 4 aut.
A14 02      @1 EEA, European Environment Agency, Kongens Nytorv 6 @2 1050 Copenhagen @3 DNK @Z 2 aut.
A14 03      @1 IGB, Leibniz-Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries, Muggelseedamm 310 @2 12587 Berlin @3 DEU @Z 3 aut.
A20       @1 2441-2452
A21       @1 2010
A23 01      @0 ENG
A43 01      @1 INIST @2 14169 @5 354000192482110040
A44       @0 0000 @1 © 2010 INIST-CNRS. All rights reserved.
A45       @0 1 p.1/2
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C01 01    ENG  @0 Due to anthropogenic actions, species have become endangered or have been driven to the verge of extinction, requiring conservation plans to be developed and implemented. These plans include measures to protect and enhance remaining populations and to reintroduce populations within the native ranges. However, future habitat suitability in the face of climate change is rarely assessed, despite the fact that it could compromise conservation opportunities. It is attempted to carry this task out for the critically endangered European Atlantic sturgeon (Acipenser sturio). Species presence/absence was documented for 196 basins between 1750 and 1850 over the Western Palearctic. A predictive distribution model was established from this database using Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) and a pool of relevant environmental variables. Projections were performed at two time-steps, 2050 and 2100, using the HadCM3 Global Climate Model (GCM) and the A2 and A1F1 emissions scenarios. The BRT model incorporated two general climatic descriptors, summer precipitation and annual air temperature, average slope served as a topographic predictor, and marine provinces as a macroecological variable. The statistical model performance allowed projections with the predictive deviance being 29 ± 2.80 and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) being 0.86 ± 0.02. The results obtained are in accordance with the species thermal preferences and with its hydrological habitat requirements. Most of the former sturgeon distribution range was assessed as being strongly affected by climate change, especially basins along the southern limit of its range. On this basis, proposals to integrate the climate change dimension into conservation strategy are discussed.
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Format Inist (serveur)

NO : PASCAL 10-0498988 INIST
ET : Global warming impacts and conservation responses for the critically endangered European Atlantic sturgeon
AU : LASSALLE (Géraldine); CROUZET (Philippe); GESSNER (Jörn); ROCHARD (Eric)
AF : Cemagref, Agricultural and Environmental Engineering Research Institute, UR EPBX, 50 Avenue de Verdun/33612 Cestas/France (1 aut., 4 aut.); EEA, European Environment Agency, Kongens Nytorv 6/1050 Copenhagen/Danemark (2 aut.); IGB, Leibniz-Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries, Muggelseedamm 310/12587 Berlin/Allemagne (3 aut.)
DT : Publication en série; Niveau analytique
SO : Biological conservation; ISSN 0006-3207; Coden BICOBK; Royaume-Uni; Da. 2010; Vol. 143; No. 11; Pp. 2441-2452; Bibl. 1 p.1/2
LA : Anglais
EA : Due to anthropogenic actions, species have become endangered or have been driven to the verge of extinction, requiring conservation plans to be developed and implemented. These plans include measures to protect and enhance remaining populations and to reintroduce populations within the native ranges. However, future habitat suitability in the face of climate change is rarely assessed, despite the fact that it could compromise conservation opportunities. It is attempted to carry this task out for the critically endangered European Atlantic sturgeon (Acipenser sturio). Species presence/absence was documented for 196 basins between 1750 and 1850 over the Western Palearctic. A predictive distribution model was established from this database using Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) and a pool of relevant environmental variables. Projections were performed at two time-steps, 2050 and 2100, using the HadCM3 Global Climate Model (GCM) and the A2 and A1F1 emissions scenarios. The BRT model incorporated two general climatic descriptors, summer precipitation and annual air temperature, average slope served as a topographic predictor, and marine provinces as a macroecological variable. The statistical model performance allowed projections with the predictive deviance being 29 ± 2.80 and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) being 0.86 ± 0.02. The results obtained are in accordance with the species thermal preferences and with its hydrological habitat requirements. Most of the former sturgeon distribution range was assessed as being strongly affected by climate change, especially basins along the southern limit of its range. On this basis, proposals to integrate the climate change dimension into conservation strategy are discussed.
CC : 002A14D02B; 001E02D10
FD : Changement global; Réchauffement; Changement climatique; Conservation; Espèce menacée; Réhabilitation; Aire de distribution; Arbre décision; Analyse régression; Modèle prévision; Protection environnement; Acipenser sturio; Océan Atlantique Nord Est Europe
FG : Climatologie dynamique; Répartition géographique; Pisces; Vertebrata; Acipenseridae
ED : Global change; Warming; Climate change; Conservation; Endangered species; Rehabilitation; Distribution range; Decision tree; Regression analysis; Forecast model; Environmental protection; Acipenser sturio; European Atlantic
EG : Dynamical climatology; Geographic distribution; Pisces; Vertebrata
SD : Cambio global; Calefacción; Cambio climático; Conservación; Especie amenazada; Rehabilitación; Area de distribución; Arbol decisión; Análisis regresión; Modelo previsión; Protección medio ambiente; Acipenser sturio
LO : INIST-14169.354000192482110040
ID : 10-0498988

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Pascal:10-0498988

Le document en format XML

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<s5>04</s5>
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<s5>04</s5>
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<s5>05</s5>
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<s5>05</s5>
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<s5>05</s5>
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<s5>06</s5>
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<s5>06</s5>
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<s5>06</s5>
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<s5>07</s5>
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<s5>07</s5>
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<s0>Area de distribución</s0>
<s5>07</s5>
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<s5>08</s5>
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<s5>08</s5>
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<s5>09</s5>
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<s5>09</s5>
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<s5>09</s5>
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<s5>10</s5>
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<s5>10</s5>
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<s5>10</s5>
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<s5>11</s5>
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<fC03 i1="11" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Environmental protection</s0>
<s5>11</s5>
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<s5>11</s5>
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<fC03 i1="12" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Acipenser sturio</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
<s5>49</s5>
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<fC03 i1="12" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Acipenser sturio</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
<s5>49</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="12" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Acipenser sturio</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
<s5>49</s5>
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<s0>Océan Atlantique Nord Est Europe</s0>
<s4>CD</s4>
<s5>96</s5>
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<s0>European Atlantic</s0>
<s4>CD</s4>
<s5>96</s5>
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<fC07 i1="01" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Climatología dinámica</s0>
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<fC07 i1="02" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Répartition géographique</s0>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="02" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Geographic distribution</s0>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="02" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Distribución geográfica</s0>
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<fC07 i1="03" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Pisces</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
<s5>29</s5>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="03" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Pisces</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
<s5>29</s5>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="03" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Pisces</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
<s5>29</s5>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="04" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Vertebrata</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="04" i2="X" l="ENG">
<s0>Vertebrata</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="04" i2="X" l="SPA">
<s0>Vertebrata</s0>
<s2>NS</s2>
</fC07>
<fC07 i1="05" i2="X" l="FRE">
<s0>Acipenseridae</s0>
<s4>INC</s4>
<s5>70</s5>
</fC07>
<fN21>
<s1>333</s1>
</fN21>
<fN44 i1="01">
<s1>OTO</s1>
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<s1>OTO</s1>
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<server>
<NO>PASCAL 10-0498988 INIST</NO>
<ET>Global warming impacts and conservation responses for the critically endangered European Atlantic sturgeon</ET>
<AU>LASSALLE (Géraldine); CROUZET (Philippe); GESSNER (Jörn); ROCHARD (Eric)</AU>
<AF>Cemagref, Agricultural and Environmental Engineering Research Institute, UR EPBX, 50 Avenue de Verdun/33612 Cestas/France (1 aut., 4 aut.); EEA, European Environment Agency, Kongens Nytorv 6/1050 Copenhagen/Danemark (2 aut.); IGB, Leibniz-Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries, Muggelseedamm 310/12587 Berlin/Allemagne (3 aut.)</AF>
<DT>Publication en série; Niveau analytique</DT>
<SO>Biological conservation; ISSN 0006-3207; Coden BICOBK; Royaume-Uni; Da. 2010; Vol. 143; No. 11; Pp. 2441-2452; Bibl. 1 p.1/2</SO>
<LA>Anglais</LA>
<EA>Due to anthropogenic actions, species have become endangered or have been driven to the verge of extinction, requiring conservation plans to be developed and implemented. These plans include measures to protect and enhance remaining populations and to reintroduce populations within the native ranges. However, future habitat suitability in the face of climate change is rarely assessed, despite the fact that it could compromise conservation opportunities. It is attempted to carry this task out for the critically endangered European Atlantic sturgeon (Acipenser sturio). Species presence/absence was documented for 196 basins between 1750 and 1850 over the Western Palearctic. A predictive distribution model was established from this database using Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) and a pool of relevant environmental variables. Projections were performed at two time-steps, 2050 and 2100, using the HadCM3 Global Climate Model (GCM) and the A2 and A1F1 emissions scenarios. The BRT model incorporated two general climatic descriptors, summer precipitation and annual air temperature, average slope served as a topographic predictor, and marine provinces as a macroecological variable. The statistical model performance allowed projections with the predictive deviance being 29 ± 2.80 and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) being 0.86 ± 0.02. The results obtained are in accordance with the species thermal preferences and with its hydrological habitat requirements. Most of the former sturgeon distribution range was assessed as being strongly affected by climate change, especially basins along the southern limit of its range. On this basis, proposals to integrate the climate change dimension into conservation strategy are discussed.</EA>
<CC>002A14D02B; 001E02D10</CC>
<FD>Changement global; Réchauffement; Changement climatique; Conservation; Espèce menacée; Réhabilitation; Aire de distribution; Arbre décision; Analyse régression; Modèle prévision; Protection environnement; Acipenser sturio; Océan Atlantique Nord Est Europe</FD>
<FG>Climatologie dynamique; Répartition géographique; Pisces; Vertebrata; Acipenseridae</FG>
<ED>Global change; Warming; Climate change; Conservation; Endangered species; Rehabilitation; Distribution range; Decision tree; Regression analysis; Forecast model; Environmental protection; Acipenser sturio; European Atlantic</ED>
<EG>Dynamical climatology; Geographic distribution; Pisces; Vertebrata</EG>
<SD>Cambio global; Calefacción; Cambio climático; Conservación; Especie amenazada; Rehabilitación; Area de distribución; Arbol decisión; Análisis regresión; Modelo previsión; Protección medio ambiente; Acipenser sturio</SD>
<LO>INIST-14169.354000192482110040</LO>
<ID>10-0498988</ID>
</server>
</inist>
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