Effect of Climate Change on Mediterranean Winter Ranges of Two Migratory Passerines
Identifieur interne : 000046 ( Pmc/Curation ); précédent : 000045; suivant : 000047Effect of Climate Change on Mediterranean Winter Ranges of Two Migratory Passerines
Auteurs : José L. Tellería [Espagne] ; Javier Fernández-L Pez [Espagne] ; Guillermo Fandos [Espagne]Source :
- PLoS ONE [ 1932-6203 ] ; 2016.
Abstract
We studied the effect of climate change on the distribution of two insectivorous passerines (the meadow pipit
Url:
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0146958
PubMed: 26761791
PubMed Central: 4711986
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
- to stream Pmc, to step Corpus: Pour aller vers cette notice dans l'étape Curation :000046
Links to Exploration step
PMC:4711986Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Effect of Climate Change on Mediterranean Winter Ranges of Two Migratory Passerines</title><author><name sortKey="Telleria, Jose L" sort="Telleria, Jose L" uniqKey="Telleria J" first="José L." last="Tellería">José L. Tellería</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fernandez L Pez, Javier" sort="Fernandez L Pez, Javier" uniqKey="Fernandez L Pez J" first="Javier" last="Fernández-L Pez">Javier Fernández-L Pez</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff002"><addr-line>Real Jardín Botánico de Madrid, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Real Jardín Botánico de Madrid, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Madrid</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fandos, Guillermo" sort="Fandos, Guillermo" uniqKey="Fandos G" first="Guillermo" last="Fandos">Guillermo Fandos</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno><idno type="pmid">26761791</idno><idno type="pmc">4711986</idno><idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4711986</idno><idno type="RBID">PMC:4711986</idno><idno type="doi">10.1371/journal.pone.0146958</idno><date when="2016">2016</date><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">000046</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">000046</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">000046</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Curation">000046</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Effect of Climate Change on Mediterranean Winter Ranges of Two Migratory Passerines</title><author><name sortKey="Telleria, Jose L" sort="Telleria, Jose L" uniqKey="Telleria J" first="José L." last="Tellería">José L. Tellería</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fernandez L Pez, Javier" sort="Fernandez L Pez, Javier" uniqKey="Fernandez L Pez J" first="Javier" last="Fernández-L Pez">Javier Fernández-L Pez</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff002"><addr-line>Real Jardín Botánico de Madrid, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Real Jardín Botánico de Madrid, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Madrid</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fandos, Guillermo" sort="Fandos, Guillermo" uniqKey="Fandos G" first="Guillermo" last="Fandos">Guillermo Fandos</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">PLoS ONE</title><idno type="eISSN">1932-6203</idno><imprint><date when="2016">2016</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>We studied the effect of climate change on the distribution of two insectivorous passerines (the meadow pipit <italic>Anthus pratensis</italic> and the chiffchaff <italic>Phylloscopus collybita</italic>) in wintering grounds of the Western Mediterranean basin. In this region, precipitation and temperature can affect the distribution of these birds through direct (thermoregulation costs) or indirect effects (primary productivity). Thus, it can be postulated that projected climate changes in the region will affect the extent and suitability of their wintering grounds. We studied pipit and chiffchaff abundance in several hundred localities along a belt crossing Spain and Morocco and assessed the effects of climate and other geographical and habitat predictors on bird distribution. Multivariate analyses reported a positive effect of temperature on the present distribution of the two species, with an additional effect of precipitation on the meadow pipit. These climate variables were used with Maxent to model the occurrence probabilities of species using ring recoveries as presence data. Abundance and occupancy of the two species in the study localities adjusted to the distribution models, with more birds in sectors of high climate suitability. After validation, these models were used to forecast the distribution of climate suitability according to climate projections for 2050–2070 (temperature increase and precipitation reduction). Results show an expansion of climatically suitable sectors into the highlands by the effect of warming on the two species, and a retreat of the meadow pipit from southern sectors related to rain reduction. The predicted patterns show a mean increase in climate suitability for the two species due to the warming of the large highland expanses typical of the western Mediterranean.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Parmesan, C" uniqKey="Parmesan C">C Parmesan</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Stenseth, Nc" uniqKey="Stenseth N">NC Stenseth</name></author><author><name sortKey="Mysterud, A" uniqKey="Mysterud A">A Mysterud</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ottersen, G" uniqKey="Ottersen G">G Ottersen</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hurrell, Jw" uniqKey="Hurrell J">JW Hurrell</name></author><author><name sortKey="Chan, Ks" uniqKey="Chan K">KS Chan</name></author><author><name sortKey="Lima, M" uniqKey="Lima M">M Lima</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Walther, Gr" uniqKey="Walther G">GR Walther</name></author><author><name sortKey="Post, E" uniqKey="Post E">E Post</name></author><author><name sortKey="Convey, P" uniqKey="Convey P">P Convey</name></author><author><name sortKey="Menzel, A" uniqKey="Menzel A">A Menzel</name></author><author><name sortKey="Parmesan, C" uniqKey="Parmesan C">C Parmesan</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bairlein, F" uniqKey="Bairlein F">F Bairlein</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Heller, Ne" uniqKey="Heller N">NE Heller</name></author><author><name sortKey="Zavaleta, Es" uniqKey="Zavaleta E">ES Zavaleta</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Moritz, C" uniqKey="Moritz C">C Moritz</name></author><author><name sortKey="Agudo, R" uniqKey="Agudo R">R Agudo</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Knudsen, E" uniqKey="Knudsen E">E Knudsen</name></author><author><name sortKey="Linden, A" uniqKey="Linden A">A Lindén</name></author><author><name sortKey="Both, C" uniqKey="Both C">C Both</name></author><author><name sortKey="Jonzen, N" uniqKey="Jonzen N">N Jonzén</name></author><author><name sortKey="Pulido, F" uniqKey="Pulido F">F Pulido</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Sanderson, Fj" uniqKey="Sanderson F">FJ Sanderson</name></author><author><name sortKey="Donald, Pf" uniqKey="Donald P">PF Donald</name></author><author><name sortKey="Pain, Dj" uniqKey="Pain D">DJ Pain</name></author><author><name sortKey="Burfield, Ij" uniqKey="Burfield I">IJ Burfield</name></author><author><name sortKey="Van Bommel, Fp" uniqKey="Van Bommel F">FP Van Bommel</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Barbet Massin, M" uniqKey="Barbet Massin M">M Barbet-Massin</name></author><author><name sortKey="Walther, Ba" uniqKey="Walther B">BA Walther</name></author><author><name sortKey="Thuiller, W" uniqKey="Thuiller W">W Thuiller</name></author><author><name sortKey="Rahbek, C" uniqKey="Rahbek C">C Rahbek</name></author><author><name sortKey="Jiguet, J" uniqKey="Jiguet J">J Jiguet</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Pautasso, M" uniqKey="Pautasso M">M Pautasso</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Busse, P" uniqKey="Busse P">P Busse</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Nahal, I" uniqKey="Nahal I">I Nahal</name></author><author><name sortKey="Di Castri, F" uniqKey="Di Castri F">F Di Castri</name></author><author><name sortKey="Goodall, Dw" uniqKey="Goodall D">DW Goodall</name></author><author><name sortKey="Specht, Rl" uniqKey="Specht R">RL Specht</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Giorgi, F" uniqKey="Giorgi F">F Giorgi</name></author><author><name sortKey="Lionello, P" uniqKey="Lionello P">P Lionello</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Schilling, J" uniqKey="Schilling J">J Schilling</name></author><author><name sortKey="Freier, Kp" uniqKey="Freier K">KP Freier</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hertig, E" uniqKey="Hertig E">E Hertig</name></author><author><name sortKey="Scheffran, J" uniqKey="Scheffran J">J Scheffran</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Rappole, Jh" uniqKey="Rappole J">JH Rappole</name></author><author><name sortKey="King, Di" uniqKey="King D">DI King</name></author><author><name sortKey="Diez, J" uniqKey="Diez J">J Diez</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Norris, Dr" uniqKey="Norris D">DR Norris</name></author><author><name sortKey="Marra, Pp" uniqKey="Marra P">PP Marra</name></author><author><name sortKey="Kyser, Tk" uniqKey="Kyser T">TK Kyser</name></author><author><name sortKey="Sherry, Tw" uniqKey="Sherry T">TW Sherry</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ratcliffe, Lm" uniqKey="Ratcliffe L">LM Ratcliffe</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Kirby, Js" uniqKey="Kirby J">JS Kirby</name></author><author><name sortKey="Stattersfield, Aj" uniqKey="Stattersfield A">AJ Stattersfield</name></author><author><name sortKey="Butchart, Sh" uniqKey="Butchart S">SH Butchart</name></author><author><name sortKey="Evans, Mi" uniqKey="Evans M">MI Evans</name></author><author><name sortKey="Grimmett, Rf" uniqKey="Grimmett R">RF Grimmett</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Lennon, Jj" uniqKey="Lennon J">JJ Lennon</name></author><author><name sortKey="Greenwood, Jjd" uniqKey="Greenwood J">JJD Greenwood</name></author><author><name sortKey="Turner, Jrg" uniqKey="Turner J">JRG Turner</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Evans, Kl" uniqKey="Evans K">KL Evans</name></author><author><name sortKey="James, Na" uniqKey="James N">NA James</name></author><author><name sortKey="Gaston, Kj" uniqKey="Gaston K">KJ Gaston</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Calder, Wa" uniqKey="Calder W">WA Calder</name></author><author><name sortKey="King, Jr" uniqKey="King J">JR King</name></author><author><name sortKey="Farner, Ds" uniqKey="Farner D">DS Farner</name></author><author><name sortKey="King, J" uniqKey="King J">J King</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Schmidt Nielsen, K" uniqKey="Schmidt Nielsen K">K Schmidt-Nielsen</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Wright, Dh" uniqKey="Wright D">DH Wright</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Meehan, Td" uniqKey="Meehan T">TD Meehan</name></author><author><name sortKey="Jetz, W" uniqKey="Jetz W">W Jetz</name></author><author><name sortKey="Brown, Jh" uniqKey="Brown J">JH Brown</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Seoane, J" uniqKey="Seoane J">J Seoane</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bustamante, J" uniqKey="Bustamante J">J Bustamante</name></author><author><name sortKey="Diaz Delgado, R" uniqKey="Diaz Delgado R">R Díaz-Delgado</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Melles, Sj" uniqKey="Melles S">SJ Melles</name></author><author><name sortKey="Fortin, Mj" uniqKey="Fortin M">MJ Fortin</name></author><author><name sortKey="Lindsay, K" uniqKey="Lindsay K">K Lindsay</name></author><author><name sortKey="Badzinski, D" uniqKey="Badzinski D">D Badzinski</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Wikelski, M" uniqKey="Wikelski M">M Wikelski</name></author><author><name sortKey="Tarlow, Em" uniqKey="Tarlow E">EM Tarlow</name></author><author><name sortKey="Raim, A" uniqKey="Raim A">A Raim</name></author><author><name sortKey="Diehl, Rh" uniqKey="Diehl R">RH Diehl</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Newton, I" uniqKey="Newton I">I Newton</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Telleria, Jl" uniqKey="Telleria J">JL Tellería</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ramirez, A" uniqKey="Ramirez A">A Ramírez</name></author><author><name sortKey="Galarza, A" uniqKey="Galarza A">A Galarza</name></author><author><name sortKey="Carbonell, R" uniqKey="Carbonell R">R Carbonell</name></author><author><name sortKey="Perez Tris, J" uniqKey="Perez Tris J">J Pérez-Tris</name></author><author><name sortKey="Santos, T" uniqKey="Santos T">T Santos</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Cano, Ls" uniqKey="Cano L">LS Cano</name></author><author><name sortKey="Pacheco, C" uniqKey="Pacheco C">C Pacheco</name></author><author><name sortKey="Refoyo, P" uniqKey="Refoyo P">P Refoyo</name></author><author><name sortKey="Telleria, Jl" uniqKey="Telleria J">JL Tellería</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hutto, Rl" uniqKey="Hutto R">RL Hutto</name></author><author><name sortKey="Cody, M" uniqKey="Cody M">M Cody</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Phillips, Sj" uniqKey="Phillips S">SJ Phillips</name></author><author><name sortKey="Anderson, Rp" uniqKey="Anderson R">RP Anderson</name></author><author><name sortKey="Schapire, Rp" uniqKey="Schapire R">RP Schapire</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Elith, J" uniqKey="Elith J">J Elith</name></author><author><name sortKey="Phillips, Sj" uniqKey="Phillips S">SJ Phillips</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hastie, T" uniqKey="Hastie T">T Hastie</name></author><author><name sortKey="Dudik, M" uniqKey="Dudik M">M Dudík</name></author><author><name sortKey="Chee, Y E" uniqKey="Chee Y">Y E Chee</name></author><author><name sortKey="Yates, Cj" uniqKey="Yates C">CJ Yates</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Gaston, Kj" uniqKey="Gaston K">KJ Gaston</name></author><author><name sortKey="Blackburn, Tm" uniqKey="Blackburn T">TM Blackburn</name></author><author><name sortKey="Greenwood, Jj" uniqKey="Greenwood J">JJ Greenwood</name></author><author><name sortKey="Gregory, Rd" uniqKey="Gregory R">RD Gregory</name></author><author><name sortKey="Quinn, Rm" uniqKey="Quinn R">RM Quinn</name></author><author><name sortKey="Lawton, Jh" uniqKey="Lawton J">JH Lawton</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="La Sorte, F" uniqKey="La Sorte F">F La Sorte</name></author><author><name sortKey="Lee, Tm" uniqKey="Lee T">TM Lee</name></author><author><name sortKey="Wilman, H" uniqKey="Wilman H">H Wilman</name></author><author><name sortKey="Jetz, W" uniqKey="Jetz W">W Jetz</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Seoane, J" uniqKey="Seoane J">J Seoane</name></author><author><name sortKey="Carrascal, Lm" uniqKey="Carrascal L">LM Carrascal</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Trivi O, M" uniqKey="Trivi O M">M Triviño</name></author><author><name sortKey="Cabeza, M" uniqKey="Cabeza M">M Cabeza</name></author><author><name sortKey="Thuiller, W" uniqKey="Thuiller W">W Thuiller</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hickler, T" uniqKey="Hickler T">T Hickler</name></author><author><name sortKey="Araujo, Mb" uniqKey="Araujo M">MB Araújo</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Carrascal, Lm" uniqKey="Carrascal L">LM Carrascal</name></author><author><name sortKey="Villen Perez, S" uniqKey="Villen Perez S">S Villén-Pérez</name></author><author><name sortKey="Seoane, J" uniqKey="Seoane J">J Seoane</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Garcia Ruiz, Jm" uniqKey="Garcia Ruiz J">JM García-Ruiz</name></author><author><name sortKey="L Pez Moreno, Ji" uniqKey="L Pez Moreno J">JI López-Moreno</name></author><author><name sortKey="Vicente Serrano, Sm" uniqKey="Vicente Serrano S">SM Vicente-Serrano</name></author><author><name sortKey="Lasanta Artinez, T" uniqKey="Lasanta Artinez T">T Lasanta–Martínez</name></author><author><name sortKey="Begueria, S" uniqKey="Begueria S">S Beguería</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Guo, Q" uniqKey="Guo Q">Q Guo</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hu, Z" uniqKey="Hu Z">Z Hu</name></author><author><name sortKey="Li, S" uniqKey="Li S">S Li</name></author><author><name sortKey="Li, X" uniqKey="Li X">X Li</name></author><author><name sortKey="Sun, X" uniqKey="Sun X">X Sun</name></author><author><name sortKey="Yu, G" uniqKey="Yu G">G Yu</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Carrascal, Lm" uniqKey="Carrascal L">LM Carrascal</name></author><author><name sortKey="Palomino, D" uniqKey="Palomino D">D Palomino</name></author><author><name sortKey="Del Moral, Jc" uniqKey="Del Moral J">JC del Moral</name></author><author><name sortKey="Molina, B" uniqKey="Molina B">B Molina</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bermejo, A" uniqKey="Bermejo A">A Bermejo</name></author><author><name sortKey="Palomino, D" uniqKey="Palomino D">D Palomino</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Telleria, Jl" uniqKey="Telleria J">JL Tellería</name></author><author><name sortKey="Fandos, G" uniqKey="Fandos G">G Fandos</name></author><author><name sortKey="L Pez, Jf" uniqKey="L Pez J">JF López</name></author><author><name sortKey="Onrubia, A" uniqKey="Onrubia A">A Onrubia</name></author><author><name sortKey="Refoyo, P" uniqKey="Refoyo P">P Refoyo</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Dunning, Jb" uniqKey="Dunning J">JB Dunning</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Cramp, S" uniqKey="Cramp S">S Cramp</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Cramp, S" uniqKey="Cramp S">S Cramp</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Cuesta, M" uniqKey="Cuesta M">M Cuesta</name></author><author><name sortKey="Balmori, A" uniqKey="Balmori A">A Balmori</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Telleria, Jl" uniqKey="Telleria J">JL Tellería</name></author><author><name sortKey="Asensio, B" uniqKey="Asensio B">B Asensio</name></author><author><name sortKey="Diaz, M" uniqKey="Diaz M">M Díaz</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Thevenot, M" uniqKey="Thevenot M">M Thévenot</name></author><author><name sortKey="Vernon, Jdr" uniqKey="Vernon J">JDR Vernon</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bergier, P" uniqKey="Bergier P">P Bergier</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Del Moral, Jc" uniqKey="Del Moral J">JC Del Moral</name></author><author><name sortKey="Molina, B" uniqKey="Molina B">B Molina</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bermejo, A" uniqKey="Bermejo A">A Bermejo</name></author><author><name sortKey="Palomino, D" uniqKey="Palomino D">D Palomino</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="De La Hera, I" uniqKey="De La Hera I">I De la Hera</name></author><author><name sortKey="Perez Tris, J" uniqKey="Perez Tris J">J Pérez-Tris</name></author><author><name sortKey="Telleria, Jl" uniqKey="Telleria J">JL Tellería</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Telleria, Jl" uniqKey="Telleria J">JL Tellería</name></author><author><name sortKey="Fernandez L Pez, J" uniqKey="Fernandez L Pez J">J Fernández-López</name></author><author><name sortKey="Fandos, G" uniqKey="Fandos G">G Fandos</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Levey, D" uniqKey="Levey D">D Levey</name></author><author><name sortKey="Stiles, Fg" uniqKey="Stiles F">FG Stiles</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Bibby, Cj" uniqKey="Bibby C">CJ Bibby</name></author><author><name sortKey="Burgess, Nd" uniqKey="Burgess N">ND Burgess</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hill, Da" uniqKey="Hill D">DA Hill</name></author><author><name sortKey="Mustoe, Sh" uniqKey="Mustoe S">SH Mustoe</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hijmans, Rj" uniqKey="Hijmans R">RJ Hijmans</name></author><author><name sortKey="Cameron, Se" uniqKey="Cameron S">SE Cameron</name></author><author><name sortKey="Parra, Jl" uniqKey="Parra J">JL Parra</name></author><author><name sortKey="Jones, Pg" uniqKey="Jones P">PG Jones</name></author><author><name sortKey="Jarvis, A" uniqKey="Jarvis A">A Jarvis</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Alerstam, T" uniqKey="Alerstam T">T Alerstam</name></author><author><name sortKey="Enckell, P" uniqKey="Enckell P">P Enckell</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Wisz, Ms" uniqKey="Wisz M">MS Wisz</name></author><author><name sortKey="Walther, Ba" uniqKey="Walther B">BA Walther</name></author><author><name sortKey="Rahbek, C" uniqKey="Rahbek C">C Rahbek</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Legendre, P" uniqKey="Legendre P">P Legendre</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Zuur, A" uniqKey="Zuur A">A Zuur</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ieno, En" uniqKey="Ieno E">EN Ieno</name></author><author><name sortKey="Walker, N" uniqKey="Walker N">N Walker</name></author><author><name sortKey="Saveliev, Aa" uniqKey="Saveliev A">AA Saveliev</name></author><author><name sortKey="Smith, Gm" uniqKey="Smith G">GM Smith</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Burnham, Kp" uniqKey="Burnham K">KP Burnham</name></author><author><name sortKey="Anderson, Dr" uniqKey="Anderson D">DR Anderson</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Zeileis, A" uniqKey="Zeileis A">A Zeileis</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hothorn, T" uniqKey="Hothorn T">T Hothorn</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Sanderson, Ew" uniqKey="Sanderson E">EW Sanderson</name></author><author><name sortKey="Jaiteh, M" uniqKey="Jaiteh M">M Jaiteh</name></author><author><name sortKey="Levy, Ma" uniqKey="Levy M">MA Levy</name></author><author><name sortKey="Redford, Kh" uniqKey="Redford K">KH Redford</name></author><author><name sortKey="Wannebo, Av" uniqKey="Wannebo A">AV Wannebo</name></author><author><name sortKey="Woolmer, G" uniqKey="Woolmer G">G Woolmer</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Stocker, Tf" uniqKey="Stocker T">TF Stocker</name></author><author><name sortKey="Qin, D" uniqKey="Qin D">D Qin</name></author><author><name sortKey="Plattner, Gk" uniqKey="Plattner G">GK Plattner</name></author><author><name sortKey="Tignor, M" uniqKey="Tignor M">M Tignor</name></author><author><name sortKey="Allen, Sk" uniqKey="Allen S">SK Allen</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Harris, Rmb" uniqKey="Harris R">RMB Harris</name></author><author><name sortKey="Grose, Mr" uniqKey="Grose M">MR Grose</name></author><author><name sortKey="Lee, G" uniqKey="Lee G">G Lee</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bindoff, Nl" uniqKey="Bindoff N">NL Bindoff</name></author><author><name sortKey="Porfirio, Ll" uniqKey="Porfirio L">LL Porfirio</name></author><author><name sortKey="Fox Hughes, P" uniqKey="Fox Hughes P">P Fox-Hughes</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Mcgill, Bj" uniqKey="Mcgill B">BJ McGill</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Zink, Rm" uniqKey="Zink R">RM Zink</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Trivi O, M" uniqKey="Trivi O M">M Triviño</name></author><author><name sortKey="Thuiller, W" uniqKey="Thuiller W">W Thuiller</name></author><author><name sortKey="Cabeza, M" uniqKey="Cabeza M">M Cabeza</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hickler, T" uniqKey="Hickler T">T Hickler</name></author><author><name sortKey="Araujo, Mb" uniqKey="Araujo M">MB Araújo</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Khaliq, I" uniqKey="Khaliq I">I Khaliq</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hof, C" uniqKey="Hof C">C Hof</name></author><author><name sortKey="Prinzinger, R" uniqKey="Prinzinger R">R Prinzinger</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bohning Gaese, K" uniqKey="Bohning Gaese K">K Böhning-Gaese</name></author><author><name sortKey="Pfenninger, M" uniqKey="Pfenninger M">M Pfenninger</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Swanson, Dl" uniqKey="Swanson D">DL Swanson</name></author><author><name sortKey="Garland, T" uniqKey="Garland T">T Garland</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Root, Tl" uniqKey="Root T">TL Root</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Fernandez Ales, R" uniqKey="Fernandez Ales R">R Fernández- Alés</name></author><author><name sortKey="Laffarga, Jm" uniqKey="Laffarga J">JM Laffarga</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ortega, F" uniqKey="Ortega F">F Ortega</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Doblas Miranda, E" uniqKey="Doblas Miranda E">E Doblas-Miranda</name></author><author><name sortKey="Sanchez Pi Ero, F" uniqKey="Sanchez Pi Ero F">F Sánchez-Piñero</name></author><author><name sortKey="Gonzalez Megias, A" uniqKey="Gonzalez Megias A">A González-Megías</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Kotlaski, S" uniqKey="Kotlaski S">S Kotlaski</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bosshard, T" uniqKey="Bosshard T">T Bosshard</name></author><author><name sortKey="Lithi, D" uniqKey="Lithi D">D Lïthi</name></author><author><name sortKey="Pall, P" uniqKey="Pall P">P Pall</name></author><author><name sortKey="Sch R, C" uniqKey="Sch R C">C Schär</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Rangwala, I" uniqKey="Rangwala I">I Rangwala</name></author><author><name sortKey="Miller, Jr" uniqKey="Miller J">JR Miller</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Clavero, M" uniqKey="Clavero M">M Clavero</name></author><author><name sortKey="Villero, D" uniqKey="Villero D">D Villero</name></author><author><name sortKey="Brotons, L" uniqKey="Brotons L">L Brotons</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hawkins, Ba" uniqKey="Hawkins B">BA Hawkins</name></author><author><name sortKey="Porter, Ee" uniqKey="Porter E">EE Porter</name></author><author><name sortKey="Diniz Filho, Jaf" uniqKey="Diniz Filho J">JAF Diniz-Filho</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Pearce Iggins, Jw" uniqKey="Pearce Iggins J">JW Pearce‐Higgins</name></author><author><name sortKey="Eglington, Sm" uniqKey="Eglington S">SM Eglington</name></author><author><name sortKey="Martay, B" uniqKey="Martay B">B Martay</name></author><author><name sortKey="Chamberlain, De" uniqKey="Chamberlain D">DE Chamberlain</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="La Sorte, F" uniqKey="La Sorte F">F La Sorte</name></author><author><name sortKey="Butchart, Shm" uniqKey="Butchart S">SHM Butchart</name></author><author><name sortKey="Jetz, W" uniqKey="Jetz W">W Jetz</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bohning Gaese, K" uniqKey="Bohning Gaese K">K Böhning-Gaese</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hampe, A" uniqKey="Hampe A">A Hampe</name></author><author><name sortKey="Petit, Rj" uniqKey="Petit R">RJ Petit</name></author></analytic></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><pmc article-type="research-article"><pmc-dir>properties open_access</pmc-dir>
<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">PLoS One</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">PLoS ONE</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">plos</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="pmc">plosone</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>PLoS ONE</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1932-6203</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Public Library of Science</publisher-name><publisher-loc>San Francisco, CA USA</publisher-loc></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">26761791</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">4711986</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pone.0146958</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">PONE-D-15-45319</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Effect of Climate Change on Mediterranean Winter Ranges of Two Migratory Passerines</article-title><alt-title alt-title-type="running-head">Climate Effects on Wintering Birds</alt-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Tellería</surname><given-names>José L.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff001"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref rid="cor001" ref-type="corresp">*</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Fernández-López</surname><given-names>Javier</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff001"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff002"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Fandos</surname><given-names>Guillermo</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff001"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff001"><label>1</label><addr-line>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff002"><label>2</label><addr-line>Real Jardín Botánico de Madrid, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></aff><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="editor"><name><surname>Ambrosini</surname><given-names>Roberto</given-names></name><role>Editor</role><xref ref-type="aff" rid="edit1"></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="edit1"><addr-line>Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, ITALY</addr-line></aff><author-notes><fn fn-type="conflict" id="coi001"><p><bold>Competing Interests: </bold>The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.</p></fn><fn fn-type="con" id="contrib001"><p>Conceived and designed the experiments: JLT. Performed the experiments: JLT JF-L GF. Analyzed the data: JLT JF-L GF. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: JLT JF-L GF. Wrote the paper: JLT.</p></fn><corresp id="cor001">* E-mail: <email>telleria@bio.ucm.es</email></corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>13</day><month>1</month><year>2016</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2016</year></pub-date><volume>11</volume><issue>1</issue><elocation-id>e0146958</elocation-id><history><date date-type="received"><day>15</day><month>10</month><year>2015</year></date><date date-type="accepted"><day>23</day><month>12</month><year>2015</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>© 2016 Tellería et al</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2016</copyright-year><copyright-holder>Tellería et al</copyright-holder><license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><license-p>This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution License</ext-link>, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri content-type="pdf" xlink:type="simple" xlink:href="pone.0146958.pdf"></self-uri><abstract><p>We studied the effect of climate change on the distribution of two insectivorous passerines (the meadow pipit <italic>Anthus pratensis</italic> and the chiffchaff <italic>Phylloscopus collybita</italic>) in wintering grounds of the Western Mediterranean basin. In this region, precipitation and temperature can affect the distribution of these birds through direct (thermoregulation costs) or indirect effects (primary productivity). Thus, it can be postulated that projected climate changes in the region will affect the extent and suitability of their wintering grounds. We studied pipit and chiffchaff abundance in several hundred localities along a belt crossing Spain and Morocco and assessed the effects of climate and other geographical and habitat predictors on bird distribution. Multivariate analyses reported a positive effect of temperature on the present distribution of the two species, with an additional effect of precipitation on the meadow pipit. These climate variables were used with Maxent to model the occurrence probabilities of species using ring recoveries as presence data. Abundance and occupancy of the two species in the study localities adjusted to the distribution models, with more birds in sectors of high climate suitability. After validation, these models were used to forecast the distribution of climate suitability according to climate projections for 2050–2070 (temperature increase and precipitation reduction). Results show an expansion of climatically suitable sectors into the highlands by the effect of warming on the two species, and a retreat of the meadow pipit from southern sectors related to rain reduction. The predicted patterns show a mean increase in climate suitability for the two species due to the warming of the large highland expanses typical of the western Mediterranean.</p></abstract><funding-group><funding-statement>This paper was funded by project CGL2011- 22953/BOS (Conservation of migratory birds in Iberia and the Maghreb: present patterns and future changes) of the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness. JFL and GF were supported by predoctoral grants from the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness.</funding-statement></funding-group><counts><fig-count count="5"></fig-count><table-count count="4"></table-count><page-count count="18"></page-count></counts><custom-meta-group><custom-meta id="data-availability"><meta-name>Data Availability</meta-name><meta-value>All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information files.</meta-value></custom-meta></custom-meta-group></article-meta><notes><title>Data Availability</title><p>All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information files.</p></notes></front></pmc></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Wicri/Bois/explor/CheneBelgiqueV2/Data/Pmc/Curation
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 000046 | SxmlIndent | more
Ou
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Pmc/Curation/biblio.hfd -nk 000046 | SxmlIndent | more
Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri
{{Explor lien
|wiki= Wicri/Bois
|area= CheneBelgiqueV2
|flux= Pmc
|étape= Curation
|type= RBID
|clé= PMC:4711986
|texte= Effect of Climate Change on Mediterranean Winter Ranges of Two Migratory Passerines
}}
Pour générer des pages wiki
HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Pmc/Curation/RBID.i -Sk "pubmed:26761791" \
| HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Pmc/Curation/biblio.hfd \
| NlmPubMed2Wicri -a CheneBelgiqueV2
| This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.27. |  |