Effect of Climate Change on Mediterranean Winter Ranges of Two Migratory Passerines
Identifieur interne : 000013 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000012; suivant : 000014Effect of Climate Change on Mediterranean Winter Ranges of Two Migratory Passerines
Auteurs : José L. Tellería [Espagne] ; Javier Fernández-L Pez [Espagne] ; Guillermo Fandos [Espagne]Source :
- PLoS ONE [ 1932-6203 ] ; 2016.
Abstract
We studied the effect of climate change on the distribution of two insectivorous passerines (the meadow pipit
Url:
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0146958
PubMed: 26761791
PubMed Central: 4711986
Affiliations:
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Tellería</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Madrid</settlement><region nuts="2" type="region">Communauté de Madrid</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fernandez L Pez, Javier" sort="Fernandez L Pez, Javier" uniqKey="Fernandez L Pez J" first="Javier" last="Fernández-L Pez">Javier Fernández-L Pez</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Madrid</settlement><region nuts="2" type="region">Communauté de Madrid</region></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff002"><addr-line>Real Jardín Botánico de Madrid, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Real Jardín Botánico de Madrid, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Madrid</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Madrid</settlement><region nuts="2" type="region">Communauté de Madrid</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fandos, Guillermo" sort="Fandos, Guillermo" uniqKey="Fandos G" first="Guillermo" last="Fandos">Guillermo Fandos</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Madrid</settlement><region nuts="2" type="region">Communauté de Madrid</region></placeName></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno><idno type="pmid">26761791</idno><idno type="pmc">4711986</idno><idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4711986</idno><idno type="RBID">PMC:4711986</idno><idno type="doi">10.1371/journal.pone.0146958</idno><date when="2016">2016</date><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">000046</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">000046</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">000046</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Curation">000046</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Checkpoint">000009</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Checkpoint">000009</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Merge">000303</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Curation">000303</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Checkpoint">000303</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Merge">000013</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Curation">000013</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Exploration">000013</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Effect of Climate Change on Mediterranean Winter Ranges of Two Migratory Passerines</title><author><name sortKey="Telleria, Jose L" sort="Telleria, Jose L" uniqKey="Telleria J" first="José L." last="Tellería">José L. Tellería</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Madrid</settlement><region nuts="2" type="region">Communauté de Madrid</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fernandez L Pez, Javier" sort="Fernandez L Pez, Javier" uniqKey="Fernandez L Pez J" first="Javier" last="Fernández-L Pez">Javier Fernández-L Pez</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Madrid</settlement><region nuts="2" type="region">Communauté de Madrid</region></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff002"><addr-line>Real Jardín Botánico de Madrid, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Real Jardín Botánico de Madrid, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Madrid</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Madrid</settlement><region nuts="2" type="region">Communauté de Madrid</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fandos, Guillermo" sort="Fandos, Guillermo" uniqKey="Fandos G" first="Guillermo" last="Fandos">Guillermo Fandos</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Complutense, Madrid</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Madrid</settlement><region nuts="2" type="region">Communauté de Madrid</region></placeName></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">PLoS ONE</title><idno type="eISSN">1932-6203</idno><imprint><date when="2016">2016</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>We studied the effect of climate change on the distribution of two insectivorous passerines (the meadow pipit <italic>Anthus pratensis</italic> and the chiffchaff <italic>Phylloscopus collybita</italic>) in wintering grounds of the Western Mediterranean basin. In this region, precipitation and temperature can affect the distribution of these birds through direct (thermoregulation costs) or indirect effects (primary productivity). Thus, it can be postulated that projected climate changes in the region will affect the extent and suitability of their wintering grounds. We studied pipit and chiffchaff abundance in several hundred localities along a belt crossing Spain and Morocco and assessed the effects of climate and other geographical and habitat predictors on bird distribution. Multivariate analyses reported a positive effect of temperature on the present distribution of the two species, with an additional effect of precipitation on the meadow pipit. These climate variables were used with Maxent to model the occurrence probabilities of species using ring recoveries as presence data. Abundance and occupancy of the two species in the study localities adjusted to the distribution models, with more birds in sectors of high climate suitability. After validation, these models were used to forecast the distribution of climate suitability according to climate projections for 2050–2070 (temperature increase and precipitation reduction). Results show an expansion of climatically suitable sectors into the highlands by the effect of warming on the two species, and a retreat of the meadow pipit from southern sectors related to rain reduction. The predicted patterns show a mean increase in climate suitability for the two species due to the warming of the large highland expanses typical of the western Mediterranean.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Parmesan, C" uniqKey="Parmesan C">C Parmesan</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Stenseth, Nc" uniqKey="Stenseth N">NC Stenseth</name></author><author><name sortKey="Mysterud, A" uniqKey="Mysterud A">A Mysterud</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ottersen, G" uniqKey="Ottersen G">G Ottersen</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hurrell, Jw" uniqKey="Hurrell J">JW Hurrell</name></author><author><name sortKey="Chan, Ks" uniqKey="Chan K">KS Chan</name></author><author><name sortKey="Lima, M" uniqKey="Lima M">M Lima</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Walther, Gr" uniqKey="Walther G">GR 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uniqKey="Miller J">JR Miller</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Clavero, M" uniqKey="Clavero M">M Clavero</name></author><author><name sortKey="Villero, D" uniqKey="Villero D">D Villero</name></author><author><name sortKey="Brotons, L" uniqKey="Brotons L">L Brotons</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hawkins, Ba" uniqKey="Hawkins B">BA Hawkins</name></author><author><name sortKey="Porter, Ee" uniqKey="Porter E">EE Porter</name></author><author><name sortKey="Diniz Filho, Jaf" uniqKey="Diniz Filho J">JAF Diniz-Filho</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Pearce Iggins, Jw" uniqKey="Pearce Iggins J">JW Pearce‐Higgins</name></author><author><name sortKey="Eglington, Sm" uniqKey="Eglington S">SM Eglington</name></author><author><name sortKey="Martay, B" uniqKey="Martay B">B Martay</name></author><author><name sortKey="Chamberlain, De" uniqKey="Chamberlain D">DE Chamberlain</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="La Sorte, F" uniqKey="La Sorte F">F La Sorte</name></author><author><name sortKey="Butchart, Shm" uniqKey="Butchart S">SHM Butchart</name></author><author><name sortKey="Jetz, W" uniqKey="Jetz W">W Jetz</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bohning Gaese, K" uniqKey="Bohning Gaese K">K Böhning-Gaese</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hampe, A" uniqKey="Hampe A">A Hampe</name></author><author><name sortKey="Petit, Rj" uniqKey="Petit R">RJ Petit</name></author></analytic></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>Espagne</li></country><region><li>Communauté de Madrid</li></region><settlement><li>Madrid</li></settlement></list><tree><country name="Espagne"><region name="Communauté de Madrid"><name sortKey="Telleria, Jose L" sort="Telleria, Jose L" uniqKey="Telleria J" first="José L." last="Tellería">José L. Tellería</name></region><name sortKey="Fandos, Guillermo" sort="Fandos, Guillermo" uniqKey="Fandos G" first="Guillermo" last="Fandos">Guillermo Fandos</name><name sortKey="Fernandez L Pez, Javier" sort="Fernandez L Pez, Javier" uniqKey="Fernandez L Pez J" first="Javier" last="Fernández-L Pez">Javier Fernández-L Pez</name><name sortKey="Fernandez L Pez, Javier" sort="Fernandez L Pez, Javier" uniqKey="Fernandez L Pez J" first="Javier" last="Fernández-L Pez">Javier Fernández-L Pez</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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