Global backtracking of anthropogenic radionuclides by means of a receptor oriented ensemble dispersion modelling system in support of Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty verification
Identifieur interne : 003A95 ( PascalFrancis/Corpus ); précédent : 003A94; suivant : 003A96Global backtracking of anthropogenic radionuclides by means of a receptor oriented ensemble dispersion modelling system in support of Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty verification
Auteurs : Andreas Becker ; Gerhard Wotawa ; Lars-Erik De Geer ; Petra Seibert ; Roland R. Draxler ; Craig Sloan ; Real D'Amours ; Matthew Hort ; Hubert Glaab ; Philippe Heinrich ; Yves Grillon ; Vyacheslav Shershakov ; Keiichi Katayama ; YUETANG ZHANG ; Paul Stewart ; Marcus Hirtl ; Michel Jean ; Peter ChenSource :
- Atmospheric environment : (1994) [ 1352-2310 ] ; 2007.
Descripteurs français
- Pascal (Inist)
- Pollution air, Pollution radioactive, Radioisotope, Source pollution, Source ponctuelle, Localisation source, Trajectoire, Modélisation, Etude comparative, Simulation numérique, Modèle Lagrange, Dispersion atmosphérique, Evaluation performance logiciel, Performance algorithme, Système urgence, Simulation ensemble.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Air pollution, Algorithm performance, Atmospheric dispersion, Comparative study, Emergency system, Ensemble simulation, Lagrangian model, Modeling, Numerical simulation, Point source, Pollution source, Radioactive pollution, Radioisotope, Software performance evaluation, Source localization, Trajectory.
Abstract
In this paper, we introduce a methodology for quality assessment of backtracking models. We present results illustrating the level of agreement between the backtracking models, and the accuracy of each model and the ensemble model in resolving the geo-temporal reference of a single point source. Both assessments are based on an ensemble of 12 different Lagrangian particle dispersion modelling (LPDM) systems utilized in receptor oriented (adjoint) mode during an international numerical experiment dedicated to source region estimation. As major result, we can confirm that the findings of Galmarini et al. [2004b. Ensemble prediction forecasting-Part II: application and evaluation. Atmospheric Environment 38, 4619-4632] and Delle Monache and Stull [2003. An ensemble air-quality forecast over Europe during an ozone episode. Atmospheric Environment 37, 3469-3474], regarding the superiority of the ensemble dispersion forecast over a single forecast, do also apply to LPDM when utilized for backtracking purposes, in particular if only vague a priori knowledge of the source time is available. This, however, is a likely situation in the context of the global nuclear monitoring performed by the Provisional Technical Secretariat (PTS) of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO), where quick but reliable source location identification is required. We introduce a simple methodology as a template for a future electronic emergency response system in the field of dispersion modelling.
Notice en format standard (ISO 2709)
Pour connaître la documentation sur le format Inist Standard.
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Format Inist (serveur)
NO : | PASCAL 07-0359784 INIST |
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ET : | Global backtracking of anthropogenic radionuclides by means of a receptor oriented ensemble dispersion modelling system in support of Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty verification |
AU : | BECKER (Andreas); WOTAWA (Gerhard); DE GEER (Lars-Erik); SEIBERT (Petra); DRAXLER (Roland R.); SLOAN (Craig); D'AMOURS (Real); HORT (Matthew); GLAAB (Hubert); HEINRICH (Philippe); GRILLON (Yves); SHERSHAKOV (Vyacheslav); KATAYAMA (Keiichi); YUETANG ZHANG; STEWART (Paul); HIRTL (Marcus); JEAN (Michel); CHEN (Peter) |
AF : | Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization, Provisional Technical Secrétariat, Vienna International Data Centre, P.O. Box 1200/1400 Vienna/Autriche (1 aut., 2 aut., 3 aut.); Institute of Meteorology, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Science, Peter-Jordan-Street 82/1190 Vienna/Autriche (4 aut.); National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 1325 East West Highway/Silver Spring, MD 20910-3283/Etats-Unis (5 aut.); US National Data Centre, HQ Air Force Technical Applications Centre (AFTAC)/TMAR Patrick AFB/FL 32925-3002/Etats-Unis (6 aut.); Canadian Meteorological Centre, Environmental Emergency Response Division, 2121 Trans-Canada Highway/Dorval, Que., H9P IJ3/Canada (7 aut., 17 aut.); Met Office, FitzRoy Road/Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB/Royaume-Uni (8 aut.); Deutscher Wetterdienst, Frankfurter Strasse 135/63067 Offenbach/Main/Allemagne (9 aut.); Commissariat à l'énergie atomique (CEA) B.P. 12/91680 Bruyères-le-Châtel/France (10 aut.); Federal Emergency Response Centre (FEERC/Roshydromet), Scientific Production Association (SPA) "Typhoon", 82 Lenin Prospekt/249038 Obinsk, Kaluga Région/Russie (11 aut.); Japan Meteorological Agency, 1-3-4 Otemachi/Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8122/Japon (12 aut.); National Meteorological Centre, China Meteorological Administration, 46 Zhongguancun Nandajie/Haidian District, Beijing 100081/Chine (13 aut.); National Meteorological and Oceanographic Centre, Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins Street/Melbourne, Victoria 3000/Australie (14 aut.); Zentrafanstalt für Météorologie und Geodynamik (ZAMG), Hohe Warte 38/1190 Vienna/Autriche (16 aut.); World Meteorological Organization, 7bis, rue de la Paix, PO Box 2300/1211 Geneva/Suisse (18 aut.) |
DT : | Publication en série; Niveau analytique |
SO : | Atmospheric environment : (1994); ISSN 1352-2310; Royaume-Uni; Da. 2007; Vol. 41; No. 21; Pp. 4520-4534; Bibl. 1 p.3/4 |
LA : | Anglais |
EA : | In this paper, we introduce a methodology for quality assessment of backtracking models. We present results illustrating the level of agreement between the backtracking models, and the accuracy of each model and the ensemble model in resolving the geo-temporal reference of a single point source. Both assessments are based on an ensemble of 12 different Lagrangian particle dispersion modelling (LPDM) systems utilized in receptor oriented (adjoint) mode during an international numerical experiment dedicated to source region estimation. As major result, we can confirm that the findings of Galmarini et al. [2004b. Ensemble prediction forecasting-Part II: application and evaluation. Atmospheric Environment 38, 4619-4632] and Delle Monache and Stull [2003. An ensemble air-quality forecast over Europe during an ozone episode. Atmospheric Environment 37, 3469-3474], regarding the superiority of the ensemble dispersion forecast over a single forecast, do also apply to LPDM when utilized for backtracking purposes, in particular if only vague a priori knowledge of the source time is available. This, however, is a likely situation in the context of the global nuclear monitoring performed by the Provisional Technical Secretariat (PTS) of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO), where quick but reliable source location identification is required. We introduce a simple methodology as a template for a future electronic emergency response system in the field of dispersion modelling. |
CC : | 001D16C03 |
FD : | Pollution air; Pollution radioactive; Radioisotope; Source pollution; Source ponctuelle; Localisation source; Trajectoire; Modélisation; Etude comparative; Simulation numérique; Modèle Lagrange; Dispersion atmosphérique; Evaluation performance logiciel; Performance algorithme; Système urgence; Simulation ensemble |
ED : | Air pollution; Radioactive pollution; Radioisotope; Pollution source; Point source; Source localization; Trajectory; Modeling; Comparative study; Numerical simulation; Lagrangian model; Atmospheric dispersion; Software performance evaluation; Algorithm performance; Emergency system; Ensemble simulation |
SD : | Contaminación aire; Polución radioactiva; Radionúclido; Fuente polución; Fuente puntual; Localización fuente; Trayectoria; Modelización; Estudio comparativo; Simulación numérica; Modelo Lagrange; Dispersión atmosférica; Resultado algoritmo; Sistema urgencia |
LO : | INIST-8940B.354000149876150140 |
ID : | 07-0359784 |
Links to Exploration step
Pascal:07-0359784Le document en format XML
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<author><name sortKey="Shershakov, Vyacheslav" sort="Shershakov, Vyacheslav" uniqKey="Shershakov V" first="Vyacheslav" last="Shershakov">Vyacheslav Shershakov</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Katayama, Keiichi" sort="Katayama, Keiichi" uniqKey="Katayama K" first="Keiichi" last="Katayama">Keiichi Katayama</name>
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<seriesStmt><title level="j" type="main">Atmospheric environment : (1994)</title>
<title level="j" type="abbreviated">Atmos. environ. : (1994)</title>
<idno type="ISSN">1352-2310</idno>
</seriesStmt>
</fileDesc>
<profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Air pollution</term>
<term>Algorithm performance</term>
<term>Atmospheric dispersion</term>
<term>Comparative study</term>
<term>Emergency system</term>
<term>Ensemble simulation</term>
<term>Lagrangian model</term>
<term>Modeling</term>
<term>Numerical simulation</term>
<term>Point source</term>
<term>Pollution source</term>
<term>Radioactive pollution</term>
<term>Radioisotope</term>
<term>Software performance evaluation</term>
<term>Source localization</term>
<term>Trajectory</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="Pascal" xml:lang="fr"><term>Pollution air</term>
<term>Pollution radioactive</term>
<term>Radioisotope</term>
<term>Source pollution</term>
<term>Source ponctuelle</term>
<term>Localisation source</term>
<term>Trajectoire</term>
<term>Modélisation</term>
<term>Etude comparative</term>
<term>Simulation numérique</term>
<term>Modèle Lagrange</term>
<term>Dispersion atmosphérique</term>
<term>Evaluation performance logiciel</term>
<term>Performance algorithme</term>
<term>Système urgence</term>
<term>Simulation ensemble</term>
</keywords>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">In this paper, we introduce a methodology for quality assessment of backtracking models. We present results illustrating the level of agreement between the backtracking models, and the accuracy of each model and the ensemble model in resolving the geo-temporal reference of a single point source. Both assessments are based on an ensemble of 12 different Lagrangian particle dispersion modelling (LPDM) systems utilized in receptor oriented (adjoint) mode during an international numerical experiment dedicated to source region estimation. As major result, we can confirm that the findings of Galmarini et al. [2004b. Ensemble prediction forecasting-Part II: application and evaluation. Atmospheric Environment 38, 4619-4632] and Delle Monache and Stull [2003. An ensemble air-quality forecast over Europe during an ozone episode. Atmospheric Environment 37, 3469-3474], regarding the superiority of the ensemble dispersion forecast over a single forecast, do also apply to LPDM when utilized for backtracking purposes, in particular if only vague a priori knowledge of the source time is available. This, however, is a likely situation in the context of the global nuclear monitoring performed by the Provisional Technical Secretariat (PTS) of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO), where quick but reliable source location identification is required. We introduce a simple methodology as a template for a future electronic emergency response system in the field of dispersion modelling.</div>
</front>
</TEI>
<inist><standard h6="B"><pA><fA01 i1="01" i2="1"><s0>1352-2310</s0>
</fA01>
<fA03 i2="1"><s0>Atmos. environ. : (1994)</s0>
</fA03>
<fA05><s2>41</s2>
</fA05>
<fA06><s2>21</s2>
</fA06>
<fA08 i1="01" i2="1" l="ENG"><s1>Global backtracking of anthropogenic radionuclides by means of a receptor oriented ensemble dispersion modelling system in support of Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty verification</s1>
</fA08>
<fA11 i1="01" i2="1"><s1>BECKER (Andreas)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="02" i2="1"><s1>WOTAWA (Gerhard)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="03" i2="1"><s1>DE GEER (Lars-Erik)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="04" i2="1"><s1>SEIBERT (Petra)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="05" i2="1"><s1>DRAXLER (Roland R.)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="06" i2="1"><s1>SLOAN (Craig)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="07" i2="1"><s1>D'AMOURS (Real)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="08" i2="1"><s1>HORT (Matthew)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="09" i2="1"><s1>GLAAB (Hubert)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="10" i2="1"><s1>HEINRICH (Philippe)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="11" i2="1"><s1>GRILLON (Yves)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="12" i2="1"><s1>SHERSHAKOV (Vyacheslav)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="13" i2="1"><s1>KATAYAMA (Keiichi)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="14" i2="1"><s1>YUETANG ZHANG</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="15" i2="1"><s1>STEWART (Paul)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="16" i2="1"><s1>HIRTL (Marcus)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="17" i2="1"><s1>JEAN (Michel)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="18" i2="1"><s1>CHEN (Peter)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA14 i1="01"><s1>Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization, Provisional Technical Secrétariat, Vienna International Data Centre, P.O. Box 1200</s1>
<s2>1400 Vienna</s2>
<s3>AUT</s3>
<sZ>1 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>2 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>3 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="02"><s1>Institute of Meteorology, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Science, Peter-Jordan-Street 82</s1>
<s2>1190 Vienna</s2>
<s3>AUT</s3>
<sZ>4 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="03"><s1>National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 1325 East West Highway</s1>
<s2>Silver Spring, MD 20910-3283</s2>
<s3>USA</s3>
<sZ>5 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="04"><s1>US National Data Centre, HQ Air Force Technical Applications Centre (AFTAC)/TMAR Patrick AFB</s1>
<s2>FL 32925-3002</s2>
<s3>USA</s3>
<sZ>6 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="05"><s1>Canadian Meteorological Centre, Environmental Emergency Response Division, 2121 Trans-Canada Highway</s1>
<s2>Dorval, Que., H9P IJ3</s2>
<s3>CAN</s3>
<sZ>7 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>17 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="06"><s1>Met Office, FitzRoy Road</s1>
<s2>Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB</s2>
<s3>GBR</s3>
<sZ>8 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="07"><s1>Deutscher Wetterdienst, Frankfurter Strasse 135</s1>
<s2>63067 Offenbach/Main</s2>
<s3>DEU</s3>
<sZ>9 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="08"><s1>Commissariat à l'énergie atomique (CEA) B.P. 12</s1>
<s2>91680 Bruyères-le-Châtel</s2>
<s3>FRA</s3>
<sZ>10 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="09"><s1>Federal Emergency Response Centre (FEERC/Roshydromet), Scientific Production Association (SPA) "Typhoon", 82 Lenin Prospekt</s1>
<s2>249038 Obinsk, Kaluga Région</s2>
<s3>RUS</s3>
<sZ>11 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="10"><s1>Japan Meteorological Agency, 1-3-4 Otemachi</s1>
<s2>Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8122</s2>
<s3>JPN</s3>
<sZ>12 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="11"><s1>National Meteorological Centre, China Meteorological Administration, 46 Zhongguancun Nandajie</s1>
<s2>Haidian District, Beijing 100081</s2>
<s3>CHN</s3>
<sZ>13 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="12"><s1>National Meteorological and Oceanographic Centre, Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins Street</s1>
<s2>Melbourne, Victoria 3000</s2>
<s3>AUS</s3>
<sZ>14 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="13"><s1>Zentrafanstalt für Météorologie und Geodynamik (ZAMG), Hohe Warte 38</s1>
<s2>1190 Vienna</s2>
<s3>AUT</s3>
<sZ>16 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="14"><s1>World Meteorological Organization, 7bis, rue de la Paix, PO Box 2300</s1>
<s2>1211 Geneva</s2>
<s3>CHE</s3>
<sZ>18 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA20><s1>4520-4534</s1>
</fA20>
<fA21><s1>2007</s1>
</fA21>
<fA23 i1="01"><s0>ENG</s0>
</fA23>
<fA43 i1="01"><s1>INIST</s1>
<s2>8940B</s2>
<s5>354000149876150140</s5>
</fA43>
<fA44><s0>0000</s0>
<s1>© 2007 INIST-CNRS. All rights reserved.</s1>
</fA44>
<fA45><s0>1 p.3/4</s0>
</fA45>
<fA47 i1="01" i2="1"><s0>07-0359784</s0>
</fA47>
<fA60><s1>P</s1>
</fA60>
<fA61><s0>A</s0>
</fA61>
<fA64 i1="01" i2="1"><s0>Atmospheric environment : (1994)</s0>
</fA64>
<fA66 i1="01"><s0>GBR</s0>
</fA66>
<fC01 i1="01" l="ENG"><s0>In this paper, we introduce a methodology for quality assessment of backtracking models. We present results illustrating the level of agreement between the backtracking models, and the accuracy of each model and the ensemble model in resolving the geo-temporal reference of a single point source. Both assessments are based on an ensemble of 12 different Lagrangian particle dispersion modelling (LPDM) systems utilized in receptor oriented (adjoint) mode during an international numerical experiment dedicated to source region estimation. As major result, we can confirm that the findings of Galmarini et al. [2004b. Ensemble prediction forecasting-Part II: application and evaluation. Atmospheric Environment 38, 4619-4632] and Delle Monache and Stull [2003. An ensemble air-quality forecast over Europe during an ozone episode. Atmospheric Environment 37, 3469-3474], regarding the superiority of the ensemble dispersion forecast over a single forecast, do also apply to LPDM when utilized for backtracking purposes, in particular if only vague a priori knowledge of the source time is available. This, however, is a likely situation in the context of the global nuclear monitoring performed by the Provisional Technical Secretariat (PTS) of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO), where quick but reliable source location identification is required. We introduce a simple methodology as a template for a future electronic emergency response system in the field of dispersion modelling.</s0>
</fC01>
<fC02 i1="01" i2="X"><s0>001D16C03</s0>
</fC02>
<fC03 i1="01" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Pollution air</s0>
<s5>01</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="01" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Air pollution</s0>
<s5>01</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="01" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Contaminación aire</s0>
<s5>01</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="02" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Pollution radioactive</s0>
<s5>02</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="02" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Radioactive pollution</s0>
<s5>02</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="02" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Polución radioactiva</s0>
<s5>02</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="03" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Radioisotope</s0>
<s5>03</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="03" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Radioisotope</s0>
<s5>03</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="03" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Radionúclido</s0>
<s5>03</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="04" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Source pollution</s0>
<s5>04</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="04" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Pollution source</s0>
<s5>04</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="04" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Fuente polución</s0>
<s5>04</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="05" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Source ponctuelle</s0>
<s5>05</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="05" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Point source</s0>
<s5>05</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="05" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Fuente puntual</s0>
<s5>05</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="06" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Localisation source</s0>
<s5>06</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="06" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Source localization</s0>
<s5>06</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="06" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Localización fuente</s0>
<s5>06</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="07" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Trajectoire</s0>
<s5>07</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="07" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Trajectory</s0>
<s5>07</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="07" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Trayectoria</s0>
<s5>07</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="08" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Modélisation</s0>
<s5>08</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="08" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Modeling</s0>
<s5>08</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="08" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Modelización</s0>
<s5>08</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="09" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Etude comparative</s0>
<s5>09</s5>
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<s5>09</s5>
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<s5>09</s5>
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<s5>10</s5>
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<s5>10</s5>
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<s5>10</s5>
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<s5>11</s5>
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<s5>11</s5>
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<fC03 i1="11" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Modelo Lagrange</s0>
<s5>11</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="12" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Dispersion atmosphérique</s0>
<s5>12</s5>
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<fC03 i1="12" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Atmospheric dispersion</s0>
<s5>12</s5>
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<fC03 i1="12" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Dispersión atmosférica</s0>
<s5>12</s5>
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<fC03 i1="13" i2="3" l="FRE"><s0>Evaluation performance logiciel</s0>
<s5>13</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="13" i2="3" l="ENG"><s0>Software performance evaluation</s0>
<s5>13</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="14" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Performance algorithme</s0>
<s5>14</s5>
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<fC03 i1="14" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Algorithm performance</s0>
<s5>14</s5>
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<fC03 i1="15" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Système urgence</s0>
<s5>16</s5>
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<s5>16</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="15" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Sistema urgencia</s0>
<s5>16</s5>
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<fC03 i1="16" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Simulation ensemble</s0>
<s4>CD</s4>
<s5>96</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="16" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Ensemble simulation</s0>
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<server><NO>PASCAL 07-0359784 INIST</NO>
<ET>Global backtracking of anthropogenic radionuclides by means of a receptor oriented ensemble dispersion modelling system in support of Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty verification</ET>
<AU>BECKER (Andreas); WOTAWA (Gerhard); DE GEER (Lars-Erik); SEIBERT (Petra); DRAXLER (Roland R.); SLOAN (Craig); D'AMOURS (Real); HORT (Matthew); GLAAB (Hubert); HEINRICH (Philippe); GRILLON (Yves); SHERSHAKOV (Vyacheslav); KATAYAMA (Keiichi); YUETANG ZHANG; STEWART (Paul); HIRTL (Marcus); JEAN (Michel); CHEN (Peter)</AU>
<AF>Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization, Provisional Technical Secrétariat, Vienna International Data Centre, P.O. Box 1200/1400 Vienna/Autriche (1 aut., 2 aut., 3 aut.); Institute of Meteorology, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Science, Peter-Jordan-Street 82/1190 Vienna/Autriche (4 aut.); National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 1325 East West Highway/Silver Spring, MD 20910-3283/Etats-Unis (5 aut.); US National Data Centre, HQ Air Force Technical Applications Centre (AFTAC)/TMAR Patrick AFB/FL 32925-3002/Etats-Unis (6 aut.); Canadian Meteorological Centre, Environmental Emergency Response Division, 2121 Trans-Canada Highway/Dorval, Que., H9P IJ3/Canada (7 aut., 17 aut.); Met Office, FitzRoy Road/Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB/Royaume-Uni (8 aut.); Deutscher Wetterdienst, Frankfurter Strasse 135/63067 Offenbach/Main/Allemagne (9 aut.); Commissariat à l'énergie atomique (CEA) B.P. 12/91680 Bruyères-le-Châtel/France (10 aut.); Federal Emergency Response Centre (FEERC/Roshydromet), Scientific Production Association (SPA) "Typhoon", 82 Lenin Prospekt/249038 Obinsk, Kaluga Région/Russie (11 aut.); Japan Meteorological Agency, 1-3-4 Otemachi/Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8122/Japon (12 aut.); National Meteorological Centre, China Meteorological Administration, 46 Zhongguancun Nandajie/Haidian District, Beijing 100081/Chine (13 aut.); National Meteorological and Oceanographic Centre, Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins Street/Melbourne, Victoria 3000/Australie (14 aut.); Zentrafanstalt für Météorologie und Geodynamik (ZAMG), Hohe Warte 38/1190 Vienna/Autriche (16 aut.); World Meteorological Organization, 7bis, rue de la Paix, PO Box 2300/1211 Geneva/Suisse (18 aut.)</AF>
<DT>Publication en série; Niveau analytique</DT>
<SO>Atmospheric environment : (1994); ISSN 1352-2310; Royaume-Uni; Da. 2007; Vol. 41; No. 21; Pp. 4520-4534; Bibl. 1 p.3/4</SO>
<LA>Anglais</LA>
<EA>In this paper, we introduce a methodology for quality assessment of backtracking models. We present results illustrating the level of agreement between the backtracking models, and the accuracy of each model and the ensemble model in resolving the geo-temporal reference of a single point source. Both assessments are based on an ensemble of 12 different Lagrangian particle dispersion modelling (LPDM) systems utilized in receptor oriented (adjoint) mode during an international numerical experiment dedicated to source region estimation. As major result, we can confirm that the findings of Galmarini et al. [2004b. Ensemble prediction forecasting-Part II: application and evaluation. Atmospheric Environment 38, 4619-4632] and Delle Monache and Stull [2003. An ensemble air-quality forecast over Europe during an ozone episode. Atmospheric Environment 37, 3469-3474], regarding the superiority of the ensemble dispersion forecast over a single forecast, do also apply to LPDM when utilized for backtracking purposes, in particular if only vague a priori knowledge of the source time is available. This, however, is a likely situation in the context of the global nuclear monitoring performed by the Provisional Technical Secretariat (PTS) of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO), where quick but reliable source location identification is required. We introduce a simple methodology as a template for a future electronic emergency response system in the field of dispersion modelling.</EA>
<CC>001D16C03</CC>
<FD>Pollution air; Pollution radioactive; Radioisotope; Source pollution; Source ponctuelle; Localisation source; Trajectoire; Modélisation; Etude comparative; Simulation numérique; Modèle Lagrange; Dispersion atmosphérique; Evaluation performance logiciel; Performance algorithme; Système urgence; Simulation ensemble</FD>
<ED>Air pollution; Radioactive pollution; Radioisotope; Pollution source; Point source; Source localization; Trajectory; Modeling; Comparative study; Numerical simulation; Lagrangian model; Atmospheric dispersion; Software performance evaluation; Algorithm performance; Emergency system; Ensemble simulation</ED>
<SD>Contaminación aire; Polución radioactiva; Radionúclido; Fuente polución; Fuente puntual; Localización fuente; Trayectoria; Modelización; Estudio comparativo; Simulación numérica; Modelo Lagrange; Dispersión atmosférica; Resultado algoritmo; Sistema urgencia</SD>
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<ID>07-0359784</ID>
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