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Global backtracking of anthropogenic radionuclides by means of a receptor oriented ensemble dispersion modelling system in support of Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty verification

Identifieur interne : 003A95 ( PascalFrancis/Corpus ); précédent : 003A94; suivant : 003A96

Global backtracking of anthropogenic radionuclides by means of a receptor oriented ensemble dispersion modelling system in support of Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty verification

Auteurs : Andreas Becker ; Gerhard Wotawa ; Lars-Erik De Geer ; Petra Seibert ; Roland R. Draxler ; Craig Sloan ; Real D'Amours ; Matthew Hort ; Hubert Glaab ; Philippe Heinrich ; Yves Grillon ; Vyacheslav Shershakov ; Keiichi Katayama ; YUETANG ZHANG ; Paul Stewart ; Marcus Hirtl ; Michel Jean ; Peter Chen

Source :

RBID : Pascal:07-0359784

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce a methodology for quality assessment of backtracking models. We present results illustrating the level of agreement between the backtracking models, and the accuracy of each model and the ensemble model in resolving the geo-temporal reference of a single point source. Both assessments are based on an ensemble of 12 different Lagrangian particle dispersion modelling (LPDM) systems utilized in receptor oriented (adjoint) mode during an international numerical experiment dedicated to source region estimation. As major result, we can confirm that the findings of Galmarini et al. [2004b. Ensemble prediction forecasting-Part II: application and evaluation. Atmospheric Environment 38, 4619-4632] and Delle Monache and Stull [2003. An ensemble air-quality forecast over Europe during an ozone episode. Atmospheric Environment 37, 3469-3474], regarding the superiority of the ensemble dispersion forecast over a single forecast, do also apply to LPDM when utilized for backtracking purposes, in particular if only vague a priori knowledge of the source time is available. This, however, is a likely situation in the context of the global nuclear monitoring performed by the Provisional Technical Secretariat (PTS) of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO), where quick but reliable source location identification is required. We introduce a simple methodology as a template for a future electronic emergency response system in the field of dispersion modelling.

Notice en format standard (ISO 2709)

Pour connaître la documentation sur le format Inist Standard.

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A03   1    @0 Atmos. environ. : (1994)
A05       @2 41
A06       @2 21
A08 01  1  ENG  @1 Global backtracking of anthropogenic radionuclides by means of a receptor oriented ensemble dispersion modelling system in support of Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty verification
A11 01  1    @1 BECKER (Andreas)
A11 02  1    @1 WOTAWA (Gerhard)
A11 03  1    @1 DE GEER (Lars-Erik)
A11 04  1    @1 SEIBERT (Petra)
A11 05  1    @1 DRAXLER (Roland R.)
A11 06  1    @1 SLOAN (Craig)
A11 07  1    @1 D'AMOURS (Real)
A11 08  1    @1 HORT (Matthew)
A11 09  1    @1 GLAAB (Hubert)
A11 10  1    @1 HEINRICH (Philippe)
A11 11  1    @1 GRILLON (Yves)
A11 12  1    @1 SHERSHAKOV (Vyacheslav)
A11 13  1    @1 KATAYAMA (Keiichi)
A11 14  1    @1 YUETANG ZHANG
A11 15  1    @1 STEWART (Paul)
A11 16  1    @1 HIRTL (Marcus)
A11 17  1    @1 JEAN (Michel)
A11 18  1    @1 CHEN (Peter)
A14 01      @1 Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization, Provisional Technical Secrétariat, Vienna International Data Centre, P.O. Box 1200 @2 1400 Vienna @3 AUT @Z 1 aut. @Z 2 aut. @Z 3 aut.
A14 02      @1 Institute of Meteorology, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Science, Peter-Jordan-Street 82 @2 1190 Vienna @3 AUT @Z 4 aut.
A14 03      @1 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 1325 East West Highway @2 Silver Spring, MD 20910-3283 @3 USA @Z 5 aut.
A14 04      @1 US National Data Centre, HQ Air Force Technical Applications Centre (AFTAC)/TMAR Patrick AFB @2 FL 32925-3002 @3 USA @Z 6 aut.
A14 05      @1 Canadian Meteorological Centre, Environmental Emergency Response Division, 2121 Trans-Canada Highway @2 Dorval, Que., H9P IJ3 @3 CAN @Z 7 aut. @Z 17 aut.
A14 06      @1 Met Office, FitzRoy Road @2 Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB @3 GBR @Z 8 aut.
A14 07      @1 Deutscher Wetterdienst, Frankfurter Strasse 135 @2 63067 Offenbach/Main @3 DEU @Z 9 aut.
A14 08      @1 Commissariat à l'énergie atomique (CEA) B.P. 12 @2 91680 Bruyères-le-Châtel @3 FRA @Z 10 aut.
A14 09      @1 Federal Emergency Response Centre (FEERC/Roshydromet), Scientific Production Association (SPA) "Typhoon", 82 Lenin Prospekt @2 249038 Obinsk, Kaluga Région @3 RUS @Z 11 aut.
A14 10      @1 Japan Meteorological Agency, 1-3-4 Otemachi @2 Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8122 @3 JPN @Z 12 aut.
A14 11      @1 National Meteorological Centre, China Meteorological Administration, 46 Zhongguancun Nandajie @2 Haidian District, Beijing 100081 @3 CHN @Z 13 aut.
A14 12      @1 National Meteorological and Oceanographic Centre, Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins Street @2 Melbourne, Victoria 3000 @3 AUS @Z 14 aut.
A14 13      @1 Zentrafanstalt für Météorologie und Geodynamik (ZAMG), Hohe Warte 38 @2 1190 Vienna @3 AUT @Z 16 aut.
A14 14      @1 World Meteorological Organization, 7bis, rue de la Paix, PO Box 2300 @2 1211 Geneva @3 CHE @Z 18 aut.
A20       @1 4520-4534
A21       @1 2007
A23 01      @0 ENG
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C01 01    ENG  @0 In this paper, we introduce a methodology for quality assessment of backtracking models. We present results illustrating the level of agreement between the backtracking models, and the accuracy of each model and the ensemble model in resolving the geo-temporal reference of a single point source. Both assessments are based on an ensemble of 12 different Lagrangian particle dispersion modelling (LPDM) systems utilized in receptor oriented (adjoint) mode during an international numerical experiment dedicated to source region estimation. As major result, we can confirm that the findings of Galmarini et al. [2004b. Ensemble prediction forecasting-Part II: application and evaluation. Atmospheric Environment 38, 4619-4632] and Delle Monache and Stull [2003. An ensemble air-quality forecast over Europe during an ozone episode. Atmospheric Environment 37, 3469-3474], regarding the superiority of the ensemble dispersion forecast over a single forecast, do also apply to LPDM when utilized for backtracking purposes, in particular if only vague a priori knowledge of the source time is available. This, however, is a likely situation in the context of the global nuclear monitoring performed by the Provisional Technical Secretariat (PTS) of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO), where quick but reliable source location identification is required. We introduce a simple methodology as a template for a future electronic emergency response system in the field of dispersion modelling.
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C03 12  X  FRE  @0 Dispersion atmosphérique @5 12
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C03 12  X  SPA  @0 Dispersión atmosférica @5 12
C03 13  3  FRE  @0 Evaluation performance logiciel @5 13
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Format Inist (serveur)

NO : PASCAL 07-0359784 INIST
ET : Global backtracking of anthropogenic radionuclides by means of a receptor oriented ensemble dispersion modelling system in support of Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty verification
AU : BECKER (Andreas); WOTAWA (Gerhard); DE GEER (Lars-Erik); SEIBERT (Petra); DRAXLER (Roland R.); SLOAN (Craig); D'AMOURS (Real); HORT (Matthew); GLAAB (Hubert); HEINRICH (Philippe); GRILLON (Yves); SHERSHAKOV (Vyacheslav); KATAYAMA (Keiichi); YUETANG ZHANG; STEWART (Paul); HIRTL (Marcus); JEAN (Michel); CHEN (Peter)
AF : Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization, Provisional Technical Secrétariat, Vienna International Data Centre, P.O. Box 1200/1400 Vienna/Autriche (1 aut., 2 aut., 3 aut.); Institute of Meteorology, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Science, Peter-Jordan-Street 82/1190 Vienna/Autriche (4 aut.); National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 1325 East West Highway/Silver Spring, MD 20910-3283/Etats-Unis (5 aut.); US National Data Centre, HQ Air Force Technical Applications Centre (AFTAC)/TMAR Patrick AFB/FL 32925-3002/Etats-Unis (6 aut.); Canadian Meteorological Centre, Environmental Emergency Response Division, 2121 Trans-Canada Highway/Dorval, Que., H9P IJ3/Canada (7 aut., 17 aut.); Met Office, FitzRoy Road/Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB/Royaume-Uni (8 aut.); Deutscher Wetterdienst, Frankfurter Strasse 135/63067 Offenbach/Main/Allemagne (9 aut.); Commissariat à l'énergie atomique (CEA) B.P. 12/91680 Bruyères-le-Châtel/France (10 aut.); Federal Emergency Response Centre (FEERC/Roshydromet), Scientific Production Association (SPA) "Typhoon", 82 Lenin Prospekt/249038 Obinsk, Kaluga Région/Russie (11 aut.); Japan Meteorological Agency, 1-3-4 Otemachi/Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8122/Japon (12 aut.); National Meteorological Centre, China Meteorological Administration, 46 Zhongguancun Nandajie/Haidian District, Beijing 100081/Chine (13 aut.); National Meteorological and Oceanographic Centre, Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins Street/Melbourne, Victoria 3000/Australie (14 aut.); Zentrafanstalt für Météorologie und Geodynamik (ZAMG), Hohe Warte 38/1190 Vienna/Autriche (16 aut.); World Meteorological Organization, 7bis, rue de la Paix, PO Box 2300/1211 Geneva/Suisse (18 aut.)
DT : Publication en série; Niveau analytique
SO : Atmospheric environment : (1994); ISSN 1352-2310; Royaume-Uni; Da. 2007; Vol. 41; No. 21; Pp. 4520-4534; Bibl. 1 p.3/4
LA : Anglais
EA : In this paper, we introduce a methodology for quality assessment of backtracking models. We present results illustrating the level of agreement between the backtracking models, and the accuracy of each model and the ensemble model in resolving the geo-temporal reference of a single point source. Both assessments are based on an ensemble of 12 different Lagrangian particle dispersion modelling (LPDM) systems utilized in receptor oriented (adjoint) mode during an international numerical experiment dedicated to source region estimation. As major result, we can confirm that the findings of Galmarini et al. [2004b. Ensemble prediction forecasting-Part II: application and evaluation. Atmospheric Environment 38, 4619-4632] and Delle Monache and Stull [2003. An ensemble air-quality forecast over Europe during an ozone episode. Atmospheric Environment 37, 3469-3474], regarding the superiority of the ensemble dispersion forecast over a single forecast, do also apply to LPDM when utilized for backtracking purposes, in particular if only vague a priori knowledge of the source time is available. This, however, is a likely situation in the context of the global nuclear monitoring performed by the Provisional Technical Secretariat (PTS) of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO), where quick but reliable source location identification is required. We introduce a simple methodology as a template for a future electronic emergency response system in the field of dispersion modelling.
CC : 001D16C03
FD : Pollution air; Pollution radioactive; Radioisotope; Source pollution; Source ponctuelle; Localisation source; Trajectoire; Modélisation; Etude comparative; Simulation numérique; Modèle Lagrange; Dispersion atmosphérique; Evaluation performance logiciel; Performance algorithme; Système urgence; Simulation ensemble
ED : Air pollution; Radioactive pollution; Radioisotope; Pollution source; Point source; Source localization; Trajectory; Modeling; Comparative study; Numerical simulation; Lagrangian model; Atmospheric dispersion; Software performance evaluation; Algorithm performance; Emergency system; Ensemble simulation
SD : Contaminación aire; Polución radioactiva; Radionúclido; Fuente polución; Fuente puntual; Localización fuente; Trayectoria; Modelización; Estudio comparativo; Simulación numérica; Modelo Lagrange; Dispersión atmosférica; Resultado algoritmo; Sistema urgencia
LO : INIST-8940B.354000149876150140
ID : 07-0359784

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Pascal:07-0359784

Le document en format XML

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<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">In this paper, we introduce a methodology for quality assessment of backtracking models. We present results illustrating the level of agreement between the backtracking models, and the accuracy of each model and the ensemble model in resolving the geo-temporal reference of a single point source. Both assessments are based on an ensemble of 12 different Lagrangian particle dispersion modelling (LPDM) systems utilized in receptor oriented (adjoint) mode during an international numerical experiment dedicated to source region estimation. As major result, we can confirm that the findings of Galmarini et al. [2004b. Ensemble prediction forecasting-Part II: application and evaluation. Atmospheric Environment 38, 4619-4632] and Delle Monache and Stull [2003. An ensemble air-quality forecast over Europe during an ozone episode. Atmospheric Environment 37, 3469-3474], regarding the superiority of the ensemble dispersion forecast over a single forecast, do also apply to LPDM when utilized for backtracking purposes, in particular if only vague a priori knowledge of the source time is available. This, however, is a likely situation in the context of the global nuclear monitoring performed by the Provisional Technical Secretariat (PTS) of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO), where quick but reliable source location identification is required. We introduce a simple methodology as a template for a future electronic emergency response system in the field of dispersion modelling.</div>
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<ET>Global backtracking of anthropogenic radionuclides by means of a receptor oriented ensemble dispersion modelling system in support of Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty verification</ET>
<AU>BECKER (Andreas); WOTAWA (Gerhard); DE GEER (Lars-Erik); SEIBERT (Petra); DRAXLER (Roland R.); SLOAN (Craig); D'AMOURS (Real); HORT (Matthew); GLAAB (Hubert); HEINRICH (Philippe); GRILLON (Yves); SHERSHAKOV (Vyacheslav); KATAYAMA (Keiichi); YUETANG ZHANG; STEWART (Paul); HIRTL (Marcus); JEAN (Michel); CHEN (Peter)</AU>
<AF>Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization, Provisional Technical Secrétariat, Vienna International Data Centre, P.O. Box 1200/1400 Vienna/Autriche (1 aut., 2 aut., 3 aut.); Institute of Meteorology, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Science, Peter-Jordan-Street 82/1190 Vienna/Autriche (4 aut.); National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 1325 East West Highway/Silver Spring, MD 20910-3283/Etats-Unis (5 aut.); US National Data Centre, HQ Air Force Technical Applications Centre (AFTAC)/TMAR Patrick AFB/FL 32925-3002/Etats-Unis (6 aut.); Canadian Meteorological Centre, Environmental Emergency Response Division, 2121 Trans-Canada Highway/Dorval, Que., H9P IJ3/Canada (7 aut., 17 aut.); Met Office, FitzRoy Road/Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB/Royaume-Uni (8 aut.); Deutscher Wetterdienst, Frankfurter Strasse 135/63067 Offenbach/Main/Allemagne (9 aut.); Commissariat à l'énergie atomique (CEA) B.P. 12/91680 Bruyères-le-Châtel/France (10 aut.); Federal Emergency Response Centre (FEERC/Roshydromet), Scientific Production Association (SPA) "Typhoon", 82 Lenin Prospekt/249038 Obinsk, Kaluga Région/Russie (11 aut.); Japan Meteorological Agency, 1-3-4 Otemachi/Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8122/Japon (12 aut.); National Meteorological Centre, China Meteorological Administration, 46 Zhongguancun Nandajie/Haidian District, Beijing 100081/Chine (13 aut.); National Meteorological and Oceanographic Centre, Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins Street/Melbourne, Victoria 3000/Australie (14 aut.); Zentrafanstalt für Météorologie und Geodynamik (ZAMG), Hohe Warte 38/1190 Vienna/Autriche (16 aut.); World Meteorological Organization, 7bis, rue de la Paix, PO Box 2300/1211 Geneva/Suisse (18 aut.)</AF>
<DT>Publication en série; Niveau analytique</DT>
<SO>Atmospheric environment : (1994); ISSN 1352-2310; Royaume-Uni; Da. 2007; Vol. 41; No. 21; Pp. 4520-4534; Bibl. 1 p.3/4</SO>
<LA>Anglais</LA>
<EA>In this paper, we introduce a methodology for quality assessment of backtracking models. We present results illustrating the level of agreement between the backtracking models, and the accuracy of each model and the ensemble model in resolving the geo-temporal reference of a single point source. Both assessments are based on an ensemble of 12 different Lagrangian particle dispersion modelling (LPDM) systems utilized in receptor oriented (adjoint) mode during an international numerical experiment dedicated to source region estimation. As major result, we can confirm that the findings of Galmarini et al. [2004b. Ensemble prediction forecasting-Part II: application and evaluation. Atmospheric Environment 38, 4619-4632] and Delle Monache and Stull [2003. An ensemble air-quality forecast over Europe during an ozone episode. Atmospheric Environment 37, 3469-3474], regarding the superiority of the ensemble dispersion forecast over a single forecast, do also apply to LPDM when utilized for backtracking purposes, in particular if only vague a priori knowledge of the source time is available. This, however, is a likely situation in the context of the global nuclear monitoring performed by the Provisional Technical Secretariat (PTS) of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO), where quick but reliable source location identification is required. We introduce a simple methodology as a template for a future electronic emergency response system in the field of dispersion modelling.</EA>
<CC>001D16C03</CC>
<FD>Pollution air; Pollution radioactive; Radioisotope; Source pollution; Source ponctuelle; Localisation source; Trajectoire; Modélisation; Etude comparative; Simulation numérique; Modèle Lagrange; Dispersion atmosphérique; Evaluation performance logiciel; Performance algorithme; Système urgence; Simulation ensemble</FD>
<ED>Air pollution; Radioactive pollution; Radioisotope; Pollution source; Point source; Source localization; Trajectory; Modeling; Comparative study; Numerical simulation; Lagrangian model; Atmospheric dispersion; Software performance evaluation; Algorithm performance; Emergency system; Ensemble simulation</ED>
<SD>Contaminación aire; Polución radioactiva; Radionúclido; Fuente polución; Fuente puntual; Localización fuente; Trayectoria; Modelización; Estudio comparativo; Simulación numérica; Modelo Lagrange; Dispersión atmosférica; Resultado algoritmo; Sistema urgencia</SD>
<LO>INIST-8940B.354000149876150140</LO>
<ID>07-0359784</ID>
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