Synthesis in land change science: methodological patterns, challenges, and guidelines
Identifieur interne : 000613 ( Ncbi/Merge ); précédent : 000612; suivant : 000614Synthesis in land change science: methodological patterns, challenges, and guidelines
Auteurs : Nicholas R. Magliocca [États-Unis] ; Thomas K. Rudel [États-Unis] ; Peter H. Verburg [Pays-Bas] ; William J. Mcconnell [États-Unis] ; Ole Mertz [Danemark] ; Katharina Gerstner [Allemagne] ; Andreas Heinimann [Suisse] ; Erle C. Ellis [États-Unis]Source :
- Regional Environmental Change [ 1436-3798 ] ; 2014.
Abstract
Global and regional economic and environmental changes are increasingly influencing local land-use, livelihoods, and ecosystems. At the same time, cumulative local land changes are driving global and regional changes in biodiversity and the environment. To understand the causes and consequences of these changes, land change science (LCS) draws on a wide array synthetic and meta-study techniques to generate global and regional knowledge from local case studies of land change. Here, we review the characteristics and applications of synthesis methods in LCS and assess the current state of synthetic research based on a meta-analysis of synthesis studies from 1995 to 2012. Publication of synthesis research is accelerating, with a clear trend toward increasingly sophisticated and quantitative methods, including meta-analysis. Detailed trends in synthesis objectives, methods, and land change phenomena and world regions most commonly studied are presented. Significant challenges to successful synthesis research in LCS are also identified, including issues of interpretability and comparability across case-studies and the limits of and biases in the geographic coverage of case studies. Nevertheless, synthesis methods based on local case studies will remain essential for generating systematic global and regional understanding of local land change for the foreseeable future, and multiple opportunities exist to accelerate and enhance the reliability of synthetic LCS research in the future. Demand for global and regional knowledge generation will continue to grow to support adaptation and mitigation policies consistent with both the local realities and regional and global environmental and economic contexts of land change.
The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s10113-014-0626-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Url:
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-014-0626-8
PubMed: 25821402
PubMed Central: 4372122
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Global and regional economic and environmental changes are increasingly influencing local land-use, livelihoods, and ecosystems. At the same time, cumulative local land changes are driving global and regional changes in biodiversity and the environment. To understand the causes and consequences of these changes, land change science (LCS) draws on a wide array synthetic and meta-study techniques to generate global and regional knowledge from local case studies of land change. Here, we review the characteristics and applications of synthesis methods in LCS and assess the current state of synthetic research based on a meta-analysis of synthesis studies from 1995 to 2012. Publication of synthesis research is accelerating, with a clear trend toward increasingly sophisticated and quantitative methods, including meta-analysis. Detailed trends in synthesis objectives, methods, and land change phenomena and world regions most commonly studied are presented. Significant challenges to successful synthesis research in LCS are also identified, including issues of interpretability and comparability across case-studies and the limits of and biases in the geographic coverage of case studies. Nevertheless, synthesis methods based on local case studies will remain essential for generating systematic global and regional understanding of local land change for the foreseeable future, and multiple opportunities exist to accelerate and enhance the reliability of synthetic LCS research in the future. Demand for global and regional knowledge generation will continue to grow to support adaptation and mitigation policies consistent with both the local realities and regional and global environmental and economic contexts of land change.</p>
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<p>The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s10113-014-0626-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.</p>
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</TEI>
<pmc article-type="review-article"><pmc-dir>properties open_access</pmc-dir>
<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Reg Environ Change</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">Reg Environ Change</journal-id>
<journal-title-group><journal-title>Regional Environmental Change</journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="ppub">1436-3798</issn>
<issn pub-type="epub">1436-378X</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Berlin/Heidelberg</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">25821402</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="pmc">4372122</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">626</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1007/s10113-014-0626-8</article-id>
<article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Review</subject>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group><article-title>Synthesis in land change science: methodological patterns, challenges, and guidelines</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name><surname>Magliocca</surname>
<given-names>Nicholas R.</given-names>
</name>
<address><phone>+1-410-4552806</phone>
<fax>+1-410-4551056</fax>
<email>nmag1@umbc.edu</email>
</address>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff1"></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff8"></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Rudel</surname>
<given-names>Thomas K.</given-names>
</name>
<address><email>rudel@aesop.rutgers.edu</email>
</address>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff2"></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Verburg</surname>
<given-names>Peter H.</given-names>
</name>
<address><email>peter.verburg@vu.nl</email>
</address>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff3"></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>McConnell</surname>
<given-names>William J.</given-names>
</name>
<address><email>mcconn64@msu.edu</email>
</address>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff4"></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Mertz</surname>
<given-names>Ole</given-names>
</name>
<address><email>om@geo.ku.dk</email>
</address>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff5"></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Gerstner</surname>
<given-names>Katharina</given-names>
</name>
<address><email>katharina.gerstner@ufz.de</email>
</address>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff6"></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Heinimann</surname>
<given-names>Andreas</given-names>
</name>
<address><email>andreas.heinimann@cde.unibe.ch</email>
</address>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff7"></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Ellis</surname>
<given-names>Erle C.</given-names>
</name>
<address><email>ece@umbc.edu</email>
</address>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff1"></xref>
</contrib>
<aff id="Aff1"><label></label>
Department of Geography and Environmental Systems, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, 211 Sondheim, 1000 Hilltop Circle, Baltimore, MD USA</aff>
<aff id="Aff2"><label></label>
Department of Sociology, Rutgers University, 26 Nichol Avenue, New Brunswick, NJ USA</aff>
<aff id="Aff3"><label></label>
Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1087, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The Netherlands</aff>
<aff id="Aff4"><label></label>
Center for Systems Integration and Sustainability, Michigan State University, Manly Miles Building, Suite 115, 1405 South Harrison Road, East Lansing, MI USA</aff>
<aff id="Aff5"><label></label>
Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Oster Voldgade 10, 1350, Copenhagen K, Denmark</aff>
<aff id="Aff6"><label></label>
Department of Computational Landscape Ecology, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ, Permoserstraße 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany</aff>
<aff id="Aff7"><label></label>
Swiss National Centre of Research (NCCR) North–South, Centre for Development and Environment (CDE), University of Bern, Hallerstrasse 10, 3012 Bern, Switzerland</aff>
<aff id="Aff8"><label></label>
The National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center, University of Maryland, College Park, 1 Park Place, Annapolis, MD USA</aff>
</contrib-group>
<author-notes><fn fn-type="com"><p>Editor: Wolfgang Cramer.</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>6</day>
<month>6</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="pmc-release"><day>6</day>
<month>6</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="ppub"><year>2015</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>15</volume>
<issue>2</issue>
<fpage>211</fpage>
<lpage>226</lpage>
<history><date date-type="received"><day>1</day>
<month>2</month>
<year>2014</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted"><day>16</day>
<month>4</month>
<year>2014</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions><copyright-statement>© The Author(s) 2014</copyright-statement>
<license license-type="OpenAccess"><license-p><bold>Open Access</bold>
This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits any use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s) and the source are credited.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract id="Abs1"><p>Global and regional economic and environmental changes are increasingly influencing local land-use, livelihoods, and ecosystems. At the same time, cumulative local land changes are driving global and regional changes in biodiversity and the environment. To understand the causes and consequences of these changes, land change science (LCS) draws on a wide array synthetic and meta-study techniques to generate global and regional knowledge from local case studies of land change. Here, we review the characteristics and applications of synthesis methods in LCS and assess the current state of synthetic research based on a meta-analysis of synthesis studies from 1995 to 2012. Publication of synthesis research is accelerating, with a clear trend toward increasingly sophisticated and quantitative methods, including meta-analysis. Detailed trends in synthesis objectives, methods, and land change phenomena and world regions most commonly studied are presented. Significant challenges to successful synthesis research in LCS are also identified, including issues of interpretability and comparability across case-studies and the limits of and biases in the geographic coverage of case studies. Nevertheless, synthesis methods based on local case studies will remain essential for generating systematic global and regional understanding of local land change for the foreseeable future, and multiple opportunities exist to accelerate and enhance the reliability of synthetic LCS research in the future. Demand for global and regional knowledge generation will continue to grow to support adaptation and mitigation policies consistent with both the local realities and regional and global environmental and economic contexts of land change.</p>
<sec><title>Electronic supplementary material</title>
<p>The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s10113-014-0626-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.</p>
</sec>
</abstract>
<kwd-group xml:lang="en"><title>Keywords</title>
<kwd>Land-use change</kwd>
<kwd>Meta-study</kwd>
<kwd>Meta-analysis</kwd>
<kwd>Case studies</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<custom-meta-group><custom-meta><meta-name>issue-copyright-statement</meta-name>
<meta-value>© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015</meta-value>
</custom-meta>
</custom-meta-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
</pmc>
<affiliations><list><country><li>Allemagne</li>
<li>Danemark</li>
<li>Pays-Bas</li>
<li>Suisse</li>
<li>États-Unis</li>
</country>
<region><li>Canton de Berne</li>
<li>District de Leipzig</li>
<li>Maryland</li>
<li>Michigan</li>
<li>New Jersey</li>
<li>Saxe (Land)</li>
</region>
<settlement><li>Berne</li>
<li>Leipzig</li>
</settlement>
<orgName><li>Université de Berne</li>
</orgName>
</list>
<tree><country name="États-Unis"><region name="Maryland"><name sortKey="Magliocca, Nicholas R" sort="Magliocca, Nicholas R" uniqKey="Magliocca N" first="Nicholas R." last="Magliocca">Nicholas R. Magliocca</name>
</region>
<name sortKey="Ellis, Erle C" sort="Ellis, Erle C" uniqKey="Ellis E" first="Erle C." last="Ellis">Erle C. Ellis</name>
<name sortKey="Magliocca, Nicholas R" sort="Magliocca, Nicholas R" uniqKey="Magliocca N" first="Nicholas R." last="Magliocca">Nicholas R. Magliocca</name>
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<name sortKey="Rudel, Thomas K" sort="Rudel, Thomas K" uniqKey="Rudel T" first="Thomas K." last="Rudel">Thomas K. Rudel</name>
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<country name="Allemagne"><region name="Saxe (Land)"><name sortKey="Gerstner, Katharina" sort="Gerstner, Katharina" uniqKey="Gerstner K" first="Katharina" last="Gerstner">Katharina Gerstner</name>
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<country name="Suisse"><region name="Canton de Berne"><name sortKey="Heinimann, Andreas" sort="Heinimann, Andreas" uniqKey="Heinimann A" first="Andreas" last="Heinimann">Andreas Heinimann</name>
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