Anatomy of Scientific Evolution
Identifieur interne : 000054 ( Main/Merge ); précédent : 000053; suivant : 000055Anatomy of Scientific Evolution
Auteurs : Jinhyuk Yun [Corée du Sud] ; Pan-Jun Kim [Corée du Sud] ; Hawoong Jeong [Corée du Sud]Source :
- PLoS ONE [ 1932-6203 ] ; 2015.
Abstract
The quest for historically impactful science and technology provides invaluable insight into the innovation dynamics of human society, yet many studies are limited to qualitative and small-scale approaches. Here, we investigate scientific evolution through systematic analysis of a massive corpus of digitized English texts between 1800 and 2008. Our analysis reveals great predictability for long-prevailing scientific concepts based on the levels of their prior usage. Interestingly, once a threshold of early adoption rates is passed even slightly, scientific concepts can exhibit sudden leaps in their eventual lifetimes. We developed a mechanistic model to account for such results, indicating that slowly-but-commonly adopted science and technology surprisingly tend to have higher innate strength than fast-and-commonly adopted ones. The model prediction for disciplines other than science was also well verified. Our approach sheds light on unbiased and quantitative analysis of scientific evolution in society, and may provide a useful basis for policy-making.
Url:
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0117388
PubMed: 25671617
PubMed Central: 4325003
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
- to stream Pmc, to step Corpus: 000008
- to stream Pmc, to step Curation: 000008
- to stream Pmc, to step Checkpoint: 000031
- to stream Ncbi, to step Merge: 000220
- to stream Ncbi, to step Curation: 000220
- to stream Ncbi, to step Checkpoint: 000220
Links to Exploration step
PMC:4325003Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Anatomy of Scientific Evolution</title>
<author><name sortKey="Yun, Jinhyuk" sort="Yun, Jinhyuk" uniqKey="Yun J" first="Jinhyuk" last="Yun">Jinhyuk Yun</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Department of Physics, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Physics, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Daejeon</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Kim, Pan Jun" sort="Kim, Pan Jun" uniqKey="Kim P" first="Pan-Jun" last="Kim">Pan-Jun Kim</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff002"><addr-line>Asia Pacific Center for Theoretical Physics, Pohang, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Asia Pacific Center for Theoretical Physics, Pohang</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Pohang</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff003"><addr-line>Department of Physics, Pohang University of Science and Technology, Pohang, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Physics, Pohang University of Science and Technology, Pohang</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Pohang</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Jeong, Hawoong" sort="Jeong, Hawoong" uniqKey="Jeong H" first="Hawoong" last="Jeong">Hawoong Jeong</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Department of Physics, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Physics, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Daejeon</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff002"><addr-line>Asia Pacific Center for Theoretical Physics, Pohang, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Asia Pacific Center for Theoretical Physics, Pohang</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Pohang</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff004"><addr-line>Institute for the BioCentury, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Institute for the BioCentury, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Daejeon</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
</titleStmt>
<publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno>
<idno type="pmid">25671617</idno>
<idno type="pmc">4325003</idno>
<idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4325003</idno>
<idno type="RBID">PMC:4325003</idno>
<idno type="doi">10.1371/journal.pone.0117388</idno>
<date when="2015">2015</date>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">000008</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">000008</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Checkpoint">000031</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Merge">000220</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Curation">000220</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Checkpoint">000220</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Merge">000054</idno>
</publicationStmt>
<sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Anatomy of Scientific Evolution</title>
<author><name sortKey="Yun, Jinhyuk" sort="Yun, Jinhyuk" uniqKey="Yun J" first="Jinhyuk" last="Yun">Jinhyuk Yun</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Department of Physics, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Physics, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Daejeon</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Kim, Pan Jun" sort="Kim, Pan Jun" uniqKey="Kim P" first="Pan-Jun" last="Kim">Pan-Jun Kim</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff002"><addr-line>Asia Pacific Center for Theoretical Physics, Pohang, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Asia Pacific Center for Theoretical Physics, Pohang</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Pohang</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff003"><addr-line>Department of Physics, Pohang University of Science and Technology, Pohang, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Physics, Pohang University of Science and Technology, Pohang</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Pohang</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Jeong, Hawoong" sort="Jeong, Hawoong" uniqKey="Jeong H" first="Hawoong" last="Jeong">Hawoong Jeong</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff001"><addr-line>Department of Physics, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Physics, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Daejeon</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff002"><addr-line>Asia Pacific Center for Theoretical Physics, Pohang, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Asia Pacific Center for Theoretical Physics, Pohang</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Pohang</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff004"><addr-line>Institute for the BioCentury, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Institute for the BioCentury, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Daejeon</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
</analytic>
<series><title level="j">PLoS ONE</title>
<idno type="eISSN">1932-6203</idno>
<imprint><date when="2015">2015</date>
</imprint>
</series>
</biblStruct>
</sourceDesc>
</fileDesc>
<profileDesc><textClass></textClass>
</profileDesc>
</teiHeader>
<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>The quest for historically impactful science and technology provides invaluable insight into the innovation dynamics of human society, yet many studies are limited to qualitative and small-scale approaches. Here, we investigate scientific evolution through systematic analysis of a massive corpus of digitized English texts between 1800 and 2008. Our analysis reveals great predictability for long-prevailing scientific concepts based on the levels of their prior usage. Interestingly, once a threshold of early adoption rates is passed even slightly, scientific concepts can exhibit sudden leaps in their eventual lifetimes. We developed a mechanistic model to account for such results, indicating that slowly-but-commonly adopted science and technology surprisingly tend to have higher innate strength than fast-and-commonly adopted ones. The model prediction for disciplines other than science was also well verified. Our approach sheds light on unbiased and quantitative analysis of scientific evolution in society, and may provide a useful basis for policy-making.</p>
</div>
</front>
<back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Kuhn, Ts" uniqKey="Kuhn T">TS Kuhn</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Toffler, A" uniqKey="Toffler A">A Toffler</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Wang, D" uniqKey="Wang D">D Wang</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Song, C" uniqKey="Song C">C Song</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Barabasi, A L" uniqKey="Barabasi A">A-L Barabási</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hirsch, Je" uniqKey="Hirsch J">JE Hirsch</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Egghe, L" uniqKey="Egghe L">L Egghe</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Garfield, E" uniqKey="Garfield E">E Garfield</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Bornholdt, S" uniqKey="Bornholdt S">S Bornholdt</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Jensen, Mh" uniqKey="Jensen M">MH Jensen</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Sneppen, K" uniqKey="Sneppen K">K Sneppen</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Michel, J B" uniqKey="Michel J">J-B Michel</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Shen, Yk" uniqKey="Shen Y">YK Shen</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Aiden, Ap" uniqKey="Aiden A">AP Aiden</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Veres, A" uniqKey="Veres A">A Veres</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Gray, Mk" uniqKey="Gray M">MK Gray</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct></biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Porter, Mf" uniqKey="Porter M">MF Porter</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct></biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Engelhardt, Ht" uniqKey="Engelhardt H">HT Engelhardt</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Mehrotra, C" uniqKey="Mehrotra C">C Mehrotra</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Remington, Pl" uniqKey="Remington P">PL Remington</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Naimi, Ts" uniqKey="Naimi T">TS Naimi</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Washington, W" uniqKey="Washington W">W Washington</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Miller, R" uniqKey="Miller R">R Miller</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct></biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Perc, M" uniqKey="Perc M">M Perc</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Arthur, Wb" uniqKey="Arthur W">WB Arthur</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Mcpherson, M" uniqKey="Mcpherson M">M McPherson</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Smith Lovin, L" uniqKey="Smith Lovin L">L Smith-Lovin</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Cook, Jm" uniqKey="Cook J">JM Cook</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Blumm, N" uniqKey="Blumm N">N Blumm</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Ghoshal, G" uniqKey="Ghoshal G">G Ghoshal</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Forr, Z" uniqKey="Forr Z">Z Forró</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Schich, M" uniqKey="Schich M">M Schich</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Bianconi, G" uniqKey="Bianconi G">G Bianconi</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Acerbi, A" uniqKey="Acerbi A">A Acerbi</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Bentley, Ra" uniqKey="Bentley R">RA Bentley</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Bentley, Ra" uniqKey="Bentley R">RA Bentley</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Hahn, Mw" uniqKey="Hahn M">MW Hahn</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Shennan, Sj" uniqKey="Shennan S">SJ Shennan</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Schuyler, Rl" uniqKey="Schuyler R">RL Schuyler</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Krieger, K" uniqKey="Krieger K">K Krieger</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Yamamoto, S" uniqKey="Yamamoto S">S Yamamoto</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Sobue, T" uniqKey="Sobue T">T Sobue</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Kobayashi, M" uniqKey="Kobayashi M">M Kobayashi</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Sasaki, S" uniqKey="Sasaki S">S Sasaki</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Tsugane, S" uniqKey="Tsugane S">S Tsugane</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Deschamps, J Y" uniqKey="Deschamps J">J-Y Deschamps</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Bender, Da" uniqKey="Bender D">DA Bender</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Chilvers, I" uniqKey="Chilvers I">I Chilvers</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Rutherford Johnson, T" uniqKey="Rutherford Johnson T">T Rutherford-Johnson</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Kennedy, M" uniqKey="Kennedy M">M Kennedy</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Kennedy, Jb" uniqKey="Kennedy J">JB Kennedy</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hicks, D" uniqKey="Hicks D">D Hicks</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Fuyuno, I" uniqKey="Fuyuno I">I Fuyuno</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Cyranoski, D" uniqKey="Cyranoski D">D Cyranoski</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Eom, Y H" uniqKey="Eom Y">Y-H Eom</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Fortunato, S" uniqKey="Fortunato S">S Fortunato</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Dance, A" uniqKey="Dance A">A Dance</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Piwowar, H" uniqKey="Piwowar H">H Piwowar</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Saito, K" uniqKey="Saito K">K Saito</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Masuda, N" uniqKey="Masuda N">N Masuda</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Rocha, Lec" uniqKey="Rocha L">LEC Rocha</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Holme, P" uniqKey="Holme P">P Holme</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct></biblStruct>
<biblStruct></biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Erd S, P" uniqKey="Erd S P">P Erdős</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Renyi, A" uniqKey="Renyi A">A Rényi</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Gilbert, En" uniqKey="Gilbert E">EN Gilbert</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Goh, K I" uniqKey="Goh K">K-I Goh</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Kahng, B" uniqKey="Kahng B">B Kahng</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Kim, D" uniqKey="Kim D">D Kim</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
</listBibl>
</div1>
</back>
</TEI>
</record>
Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Ticri/CIDE/explor/OcrV1/Data/Main/Merge
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 000054 | SxmlIndent | more
Ou
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Merge/biblio.hfd -nk 000054 | SxmlIndent | more
Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri
{{Explor lien |wiki= Ticri/CIDE |area= OcrV1 |flux= Main |étape= Merge |type= RBID |clé= PMC:4325003 |texte= Anatomy of Scientific Evolution }}
Pour générer des pages wiki
HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Merge/RBID.i -Sk "pubmed:25671617" \ | HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Merge/biblio.hfd \ | NlmPubMed2Wicri -a OcrV1
![]() | This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.32. | ![]() |