On case-fatality rate: review and hypothesis.
Identifieur interne : 001337 ( PubMed/Curation ); précédent : 001336; suivant : 001338On case-fatality rate: review and hypothesis.
Auteurs : Hiroshi Yoshikura [Japon]Source :
- Japanese journal of infectious diseases [ 1884-2836 ] ; 2012.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- MESH :
- mortalité : Maladies virales.
- épidémiologie : Grippe humaine, Maladies virales, Mexique, Syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère.
- Facteurs temps, Humains, Modèles statistiques, Épidémies.
- Wicri :
- geographic : Mexique.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Mexico.
- epidemiology : Influenza, Human, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, Virus Diseases.
- mortality : Virus Diseases.
- Epidemics, Humans, Models, Statistical, Time Factors.
Abstract
The relationship between log cumulative number of patients (X) and that of deaths (Y) in an epidemic follows the equation logY = klogX - klogN(0), where k is a constant determining the slope and N(0) is the value of X when Y = 1. Diseases with k = 1 are Ebola hemorrhagic fever, avian influenza H5N1, cholera, and hand, foot, and mouth disease; those with k > 1 are the influenza H1N1 2009 pandemic in countries other than Mexico and the SARS epidemic in some countries; and those with k < 1 include the influenza H1N1 2009 pandemic in Mexico. Epidemics with k > 1 can be simulated by postulating two subpopulations (normal population [NP] and vulnerable population [VP]), where the epidemic proceeds at higher speed and at higher mortality in VP than in NP. Epidemics with k < 1 can be simulated by postulating coexisting high virulence virus (HVV) and low virulence virus (LVV), with the former being propagated at slower speed and with a higher mortality rate than the latter. An epidemic with k > 1 was simulated using parameters that are fractions of subpopulations NP or VP from the total population (f) and NP- or VP-specific patient multiplication (M) and mortality (D) rates. An epidemic with k < 1 was simulated using parameters that are fractions of HVV- or LVV-infected human populations (f), and HVV- or LVV-specific M and D.
DOI: 10.7883/yoken.65.279
PubMed: 22814148
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
- to stream PubMed, to step Corpus: Pour aller vers cette notice dans l'étape Curation :001337
Links to Exploration step
pubmed:22814148Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">On case-fatality rate: review and hypothesis.</title><author><name sortKey="Yoshikura, Hiroshi" sort="Yoshikura, Hiroshi" uniqKey="Yoshikura H" first="Hiroshi" last="Yoshikura">Hiroshi Yoshikura</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan. yoshikura-hiroshi@mhlw.go.jp</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country><wicri:regionArea>National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2012">2012</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:22814148</idno><idno type="pmid">22814148</idno><idno type="doi">10.7883/yoken.65.279</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">001337</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">001337</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Curation">001337</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Curation">001337</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">On case-fatality rate: review and hypothesis.</title><author><name sortKey="Yoshikura, Hiroshi" sort="Yoshikura, Hiroshi" uniqKey="Yoshikura H" first="Hiroshi" last="Yoshikura">Hiroshi Yoshikura</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan. yoshikura-hiroshi@mhlw.go.jp</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country><wicri:regionArea>National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Japanese journal of infectious diseases</title><idno type="eISSN">1884-2836</idno><imprint><date when="2012" type="published">2012</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Epidemics</term><term>Humans</term><term>Influenza, Human (epidemiology)</term><term>Mexico (epidemiology)</term><term>Models, Statistical</term><term>Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (epidemiology)</term><term>Time Factors</term><term>Virus Diseases (epidemiology)</term><term>Virus Diseases (mortality)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Facteurs temps</term><term>Grippe humaine (épidémiologie)</term><term>Humains</term><term>Maladies virales (mortalité)</term><term>Maladies virales (épidémiologie)</term><term>Mexique (épidémiologie)</term><term>Modèles statistiques</term><term>Syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère (épidémiologie)</term><term>Épidémies</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Mexico</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term><term>Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome</term><term>Virus Diseases</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortality" xml:lang="en"><term>Virus Diseases</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortalité" xml:lang="fr"><term>Maladies virales</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Grippe humaine</term><term>Maladies virales</term><term>Mexique</term><term>Syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Epidemics</term><term>Humans</term><term>Models, Statistical</term><term>Time Factors</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Facteurs temps</term><term>Humains</term><term>Modèles statistiques</term><term>Épidémies</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Mexique</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The relationship between log cumulative number of patients (X) and that of deaths (Y) in an epidemic follows the equation logY = klogX - klogN(0), where k is a constant determining the slope and N(0) is the value of X when Y = 1. Diseases with k = 1 are Ebola hemorrhagic fever, avian influenza H5N1, cholera, and hand, foot, and mouth disease; those with k > 1 are the influenza H1N1 2009 pandemic in countries other than Mexico and the SARS epidemic in some countries; and those with k < 1 include the influenza H1N1 2009 pandemic in Mexico. Epidemics with k > 1 can be simulated by postulating two subpopulations (normal population [NP] and vulnerable population [VP]), where the epidemic proceeds at higher speed and at higher mortality in VP than in NP. Epidemics with k < 1 can be simulated by postulating coexisting high virulence virus (HVV) and low virulence virus (LVV), with the former being propagated at slower speed and with a higher mortality rate than the latter. An epidemic with k > 1 was simulated using parameters that are fractions of subpopulations NP or VP from the total population (f) and NP- or VP-specific patient multiplication (M) and mortality (D) rates. An epidemic with k < 1 was simulated using parameters that are fractions of HVV- or LVV-infected human populations (f), and HVV- or LVV-specific M and D.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">22814148</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2012</Year><Month>12</Month><Day>10</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2019</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>12</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1884-2836</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>65</Volume><Issue>4</Issue><PubDate><Year>2012</Year><Month>Jul</Month></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Japanese journal of infectious diseases</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Jpn. J. Infect. Dis.</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>On case-fatality rate: review and hypothesis.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>279-88</MedlinePgn></Pagination><Abstract><AbstractText>The relationship between log cumulative number of patients (X) and that of deaths (Y) in an epidemic follows the equation logY = klogX - klogN(0), where k is a constant determining the slope and N(0) is the value of X when Y = 1. Diseases with k = 1 are Ebola hemorrhagic fever, avian influenza H5N1, cholera, and hand, foot, and mouth disease; those with k > 1 are the influenza H1N1 2009 pandemic in countries other than Mexico and the SARS epidemic in some countries; and those with k < 1 include the influenza H1N1 2009 pandemic in Mexico. Epidemics with k > 1 can be simulated by postulating two subpopulations (normal population [NP] and vulnerable population [VP]), where the epidemic proceeds at higher speed and at higher mortality in VP than in NP. Epidemics with k < 1 can be simulated by postulating coexisting high virulence virus (HVV) and low virulence virus (LVV), with the former being propagated at slower speed and with a higher mortality rate than the latter. An epidemic with k > 1 was simulated using parameters that are fractions of subpopulations NP or VP from the total population (f) and NP- or VP-specific patient multiplication (M) and mortality (D) rates. An epidemic with k < 1 was simulated using parameters that are fractions of HVV- or LVV-infected human populations (f), and HVV- or LVV-specific M and D.</AbstractText></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Yoshikura</LastName><ForeName>Hiroshi</ForeName><Initials>H</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan. yoshikura-hiroshi@mhlw.go.jp</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D016454">Review</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>Japan</Country><MedlineTA>Jpn J Infect Dis</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>100893704</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>1344-6304</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><MeshHeadingList><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D058872" MajorTopicYN="N">Epidemics</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006801" MajorTopicYN="N">Humans</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D007251" MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza, Human</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D008800" MajorTopicYN="N" Type="Geographic">Mexico</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D015233" MajorTopicYN="Y">Models, Statistical</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D045169" MajorTopicYN="N">Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D013997" MajorTopicYN="N">Time Factors</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D014777" MajorTopicYN="N">Virus Diseases</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName><QualifierName UI="Q000401" MajorTopicYN="Y">mortality</QualifierName></MeshHeading></MeshHeadingList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2012</Year><Month>7</Month><Day>21</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2012</Year><Month>7</Month><Day>21</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2012</Year><Month>12</Month><Day>12</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>ppublish</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">22814148</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="doi">10.7883/yoken.65.279</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></PubmedData></pubmed></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Sante/explor/SrasV1/Data/PubMed/Curation
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 001337 | SxmlIndent | more
Ou
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/PubMed/Curation/biblio.hfd -nk 001337 | SxmlIndent | more
Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri
{{Explor lien
|wiki= Sante
|area= SrasV1
|flux= PubMed
|étape= Curation
|type= RBID
|clé= pubmed:22814148
|texte= On case-fatality rate: review and hypothesis.
}}
Pour générer des pages wiki
HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/PubMed/Curation/RBID.i -Sk "pubmed:22814148" \
| HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/PubMed/Curation/biblio.hfd \
| NlmPubMed2Wicri -a SrasV1
| This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.33. |  |