Timely identification of optimal control strategies for emerging infectious diseases.
Identifieur interne : 001752 ( PubMed/Checkpoint ); précédent : 001751; suivant : 001753Timely identification of optimal control strategies for emerging infectious diseases.
Auteurs : Zhilan Feng [États-Unis] ; Yiding Yang ; Dashun Xu ; Pei Zhang ; Mary Mason Mccauley ; John W. GlasserSource :
- Journal of theoretical biology [ 1095-8541 ] ; 2009.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Facteurs temps, Flambées de maladies (), Humains, Lutte contre l'infection (), Maladies transmissibles émergentes (), Maladies transmissibles émergentes (transmission), Modèles théoriques, Quarantaine, Santé publique, Simulation numérique, Syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère (), Syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère (transmission), Traçage des contacts, Virus du SRAS (pathogénicité).
- MESH :
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Communicable Diseases, Emerging (prevention & control), Communicable Diseases, Emerging (transmission), Computer Simulation, Contact Tracing, Disease Outbreaks (prevention & control), Humans, Infection Control (methods), Models, Theoretical, Public Health, Quarantine, SARS Virus (pathogenicity), Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (prevention & control), Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (transmission), Time Factors.
- MESH :
- methods : Infection Control.
- pathogenicity : SARS Virus.
- prevention & control : Communicable Diseases, Emerging, Disease Outbreaks, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome.
- transmission : Communicable Diseases, Emerging, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome.
- Computer Simulation, Contact Tracing, Humans, Models, Theoretical, Public Health, Quarantine, Time Factors.
Abstract
Health authorities must rely on quarantine, isolation, and other non-pharmaceutical interventions to contain outbreaks of newly emerging human diseases.
DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.03.006
PubMed: 19289133
Affiliations:
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
Links to Exploration step
pubmed:19289133Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Timely identification of optimal control strategies for emerging infectious diseases.</title><author><name sortKey="Feng, Zhilan" sort="Feng, Zhilan" uniqKey="Feng Z" first="Zhilan" last="Feng">Zhilan Feng</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Mathematics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Mathematics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Indiana</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Yang, Yiding" sort="Yang, Yiding" uniqKey="Yang Y" first="Yiding" last="Yang">Yiding Yang</name></author><author><name sortKey="Xu, Dashun" sort="Xu, Dashun" uniqKey="Xu D" first="Dashun" last="Xu">Dashun Xu</name></author><author><name sortKey="Zhang, Pei" sort="Zhang, Pei" uniqKey="Zhang P" first="Pei" last="Zhang">Pei Zhang</name></author><author><name sortKey="Mccauley, Mary Mason" sort="Mccauley, Mary Mason" uniqKey="Mccauley M" first="Mary Mason" last="Mccauley">Mary Mason Mccauley</name></author><author><name sortKey="Glasser, John W" sort="Glasser, John W" uniqKey="Glasser J" first="John W" last="Glasser">John W. Glasser</name></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2009">2009</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:19289133</idno><idno type="pmid">19289133</idno><idno type="doi">10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.03.006</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">001943</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">001943</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Curation">001943</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Curation">001943</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Checkpoint">001752</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Checkpoint" wicri:step="PubMed">001752</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">Timely identification of optimal control strategies for emerging infectious diseases.</title><author><name sortKey="Feng, Zhilan" sort="Feng, Zhilan" uniqKey="Feng Z" first="Zhilan" last="Feng">Zhilan Feng</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Mathematics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Mathematics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Indiana</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Yang, Yiding" sort="Yang, Yiding" uniqKey="Yang Y" first="Yiding" last="Yang">Yiding Yang</name></author><author><name sortKey="Xu, Dashun" sort="Xu, Dashun" uniqKey="Xu D" first="Dashun" last="Xu">Dashun Xu</name></author><author><name sortKey="Zhang, Pei" sort="Zhang, Pei" uniqKey="Zhang P" first="Pei" last="Zhang">Pei Zhang</name></author><author><name sortKey="Mccauley, Mary Mason" sort="Mccauley, Mary Mason" uniqKey="Mccauley M" first="Mary Mason" last="Mccauley">Mary Mason Mccauley</name></author><author><name sortKey="Glasser, John W" sort="Glasser, John W" uniqKey="Glasser J" first="John W" last="Glasser">John W. Glasser</name></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Journal of theoretical biology</title><idno type="eISSN">1095-8541</idno><imprint><date when="2009" type="published">2009</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Communicable Diseases, Emerging (prevention & control)</term><term>Communicable Diseases, Emerging (transmission)</term><term>Computer Simulation</term><term>Contact Tracing</term><term>Disease Outbreaks (prevention & control)</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infection Control (methods)</term><term>Models, Theoretical</term><term>Public Health</term><term>Quarantine</term><term>SARS Virus (pathogenicity)</term><term>Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (prevention & control)</term><term>Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (transmission)</term><term>Time Factors</term></keywords><keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Facteurs temps</term><term>Flambées de maladies ()</term><term>Humains</term><term>Lutte contre l'infection ()</term><term>Maladies transmissibles émergentes ()</term><term>Maladies transmissibles émergentes (transmission)</term><term>Modèles théoriques</term><term>Quarantaine</term><term>Santé publique</term><term>Simulation numérique</term><term>Syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère ()</term><term>Syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère (transmission)</term><term>Traçage des contacts</term><term>Virus du SRAS (pathogénicité)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="methods" xml:lang="en"><term>Infection Control</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="pathogenicity" xml:lang="en"><term>SARS Virus</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="pathogénicité" xml:lang="fr"><term>Virus du SRAS</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="prevention & control" xml:lang="en"><term>Communicable Diseases, Emerging</term><term>Disease Outbreaks</term><term>Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="transmission" xml:lang="en"><term>Communicable Diseases, Emerging</term><term>Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Computer Simulation</term><term>Contact Tracing</term><term>Humans</term><term>Models, Theoretical</term><term>Public Health</term><term>Quarantine</term><term>Time Factors</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Facteurs temps</term><term>Flambées de maladies</term><term>Humains</term><term>Lutte contre l'infection</term><term>Maladies transmissibles émergentes</term><term>Modèles théoriques</term><term>Quarantaine</term><term>Santé publique</term><term>Simulation numérique</term><term>Syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère</term><term>Traçage des contacts</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Health authorities must rely on quarantine, isolation, and other non-pharmaceutical interventions to contain outbreaks of newly emerging human diseases.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">19289133</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2009</Year><Month>08</Month><Day>05</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2020</Year><Month>04</Month><Day>07</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print-Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1095-8541</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>259</Volume><Issue>1</Issue><PubDate><Year>2009</Year><Month>Jul</Month><Day>07</Day></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Journal of theoretical biology</Title><ISOAbbreviation>J. Theor. Biol.</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Timely identification of optimal control strategies for emerging infectious diseases.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>165-71</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.03.006</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText Label="BACKGROUND" NlmCategory="BACKGROUND">Health authorities must rely on quarantine, isolation, and other non-pharmaceutical interventions to contain outbreaks of newly emerging human diseases.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="METHODS" NlmCategory="METHODS">We modeled a generic disease caused by a pathogen apparently transmitted by close interpersonal contact, but about which little else is known. In our model, people may be infectious while incubating or during their prodrome or acute illness. We derived an expression for Re, the reproduction number, took its partial derivatives with respect to control parameters, and encoded these analytical results in a user-friendly Mathematica notebook. With biological parameters for SARS estimated from the initial case series in Hong Kong and infection rates from hospitalizations in Singapore, we determined Re's sensitivity to control parameters.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">Stage-specific infection rate estimates from cases hospitalized before quarantine began exceed those from the entire outbreak, but are qualitatively similar: infectiousness was negligible until symptom onset, and increased 10-fold from prodrome to acute illness. Given such information, authorities might instead have emphasized a strategy whose efficiency more than compensates for any possible reduction in efficacy.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="CONCLUSIONS" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">In future outbreaks of new human diseases transmitted via close interpersonal contact, it should be possible to identify the optimal intervention early enough to facilitate effective decision-making.</AbstractText></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Feng</LastName><ForeName>Zhilan</ForeName><Initials>Z</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Mathematics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Yang</LastName><ForeName>Yiding</ForeName><Initials>Y</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Xu</LastName><ForeName>Dashun</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Zhang</LastName><ForeName>Pei</ForeName><Initials>P</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>McCauley</LastName><ForeName>Mary Mason</ForeName><Initials>MM</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Glasser</LastName><ForeName>John W</ForeName><Initials>JW</Initials></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D013486">Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D013487">Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2009</Year><Month>03</Month><Day>14</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>England</Country><MedlineTA>J Theor Biol</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>0376342</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>0022-5193</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><MeshHeadingList><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D021821" MajorTopicYN="N">Communicable Diseases, Emerging</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000517" MajorTopicYN="Y">prevention & control</QualifierName><QualifierName UI="Q000635" MajorTopicYN="N">transmission</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D003198" MajorTopicYN="Y">Computer Simulation</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D016358" MajorTopicYN="N">Contact Tracing</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D004196" MajorTopicYN="N">Disease Outbreaks</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000517" MajorTopicYN="Y">prevention & control</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006801" MajorTopicYN="N">Humans</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D017053" MajorTopicYN="N">Infection Control</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000379" MajorTopicYN="Y">methods</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D008962" MajorTopicYN="Y">Models, Theoretical</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D011634" MajorTopicYN="Y">Public Health</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D011790" MajorTopicYN="N">Quarantine</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D045473" MajorTopicYN="N">SARS Virus</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000472" MajorTopicYN="N">pathogenicity</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D045169" MajorTopicYN="N">Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000517" MajorTopicYN="N">prevention & control</QualifierName><QualifierName UI="Q000635" MajorTopicYN="N">transmission</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D013997" MajorTopicYN="N">Time Factors</DescriptorName></MeshHeading></MeshHeadingList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received"><Year>2008</Year><Month>12</Month><Day>04</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="revised"><Year>2009</Year><Month>02</Month><Day>24</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2009</Year><Month>03</Month><Day>03</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2009</Year><Month>3</Month><Day>18</Day><Hour>9</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2009</Year><Month>3</Month><Day>18</Day><Hour>9</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2009</Year><Month>8</Month><Day>6</Day><Hour>9</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>ppublish</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">19289133</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pii">S0022-5193(09)00111-8</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="doi">10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.03.006</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pmc">PMC7126620</ArticleId></ArticleIdList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>N Engl J Med. 2003 May 15;348(20):1977-85</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">12671062</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>Am J Epidemiol. 2004 Sep 15;160(6):509-16</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">15353409</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2004 Apr 20;101(16):6146-51</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">15071187</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>N Engl J Med. 2003 May 15;348(20):2030-1</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">12672880</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>Emerg Infect Dis. 2005 Nov;11(11):1738-41</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">16318726</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>Bull Math Biol. 2007 Jul;69(5):1511-36</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">17237913</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>Science. 2004 Feb 6;303(5659):790-3</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">14764866</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>JAMA. 2003 Dec 24;290(24):3215-21</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">14693874</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>Emerg Infect Dis. 2005 Feb;11(2):278-82</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">15752447</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2003 May 9;52(18):405-11</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">12807088</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>Science. 2003 Jun 20;300(5627):1966-70</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">12766207</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>Am J Epidemiol. 2006 Mar 1;163(5):479-85</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">16421244</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>N Engl J Med. 2003 May 15;348(20):1986-94</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">12682352</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>Lancet. 2003 May 24;361(9371):1767-72</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">12781535</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList></PubmedData></pubmed><affiliations><list><country><li>États-Unis</li></country><region><li>Indiana</li></region></list><tree><noCountry><name sortKey="Glasser, John W" sort="Glasser, John W" uniqKey="Glasser J" first="John W" last="Glasser">John W. Glasser</name><name sortKey="Mccauley, Mary Mason" sort="Mccauley, Mary Mason" uniqKey="Mccauley M" first="Mary Mason" last="Mccauley">Mary Mason Mccauley</name><name sortKey="Xu, Dashun" sort="Xu, Dashun" uniqKey="Xu D" first="Dashun" last="Xu">Dashun Xu</name><name sortKey="Yang, Yiding" sort="Yang, Yiding" uniqKey="Yang Y" first="Yiding" last="Yang">Yiding Yang</name><name sortKey="Zhang, Pei" sort="Zhang, Pei" uniqKey="Zhang P" first="Pei" last="Zhang">Pei Zhang</name></noCountry><country name="États-Unis"><region name="Indiana"><name sortKey="Feng, Zhilan" sort="Feng, Zhilan" uniqKey="Feng Z" first="Zhilan" last="Feng">Zhilan Feng</name></region></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Sante/explor/SrasV1/Data/PubMed/Checkpoint
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 001752 | SxmlIndent | more
Ou
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/PubMed/Checkpoint/biblio.hfd -nk 001752 | SxmlIndent | more
Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri
{{Explor lien
|wiki= Sante
|area= SrasV1
|flux= PubMed
|étape= Checkpoint
|type= RBID
|clé= pubmed:19289133
|texte= Timely identification of optimal control strategies for emerging infectious diseases.
}}
Pour générer des pages wiki
HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/PubMed/Checkpoint/RBID.i -Sk "pubmed:19289133" \
| HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/PubMed/Checkpoint/biblio.hfd \
| NlmPubMed2Wicri -a SrasV1
| This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.33. |  |