Gryphon: A Hybrid Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation Platform for Infectious Diseases
Identifieur interne : 000160 ( Pmc/Corpus ); précédent : 000159; suivant : 000161Gryphon: A Hybrid Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation Platform for Infectious Diseases
Auteurs :Source :
- Advances in Social Computing ; 2010.
Abstract
In this paper we present Gryphon, a hybrid agent-based stochastic modeling and simulation platform developed for characterizing the geographic spread of infectious diseases and the effects of interventions. We study both local and non-local transmission dynamics of stochastic simulations based on the published parameters and data for SARS. The results suggest that the expected numbers of infections and the timeline of control strategies predicted by our stochastic model are in reasonably good agreement with previous studies. These preliminary results indicate that Gryphon is able to characterize other future infectious diseases and identify endangered regions in advance.
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-12079-4_26
PubMed: NONE
PubMed Central: 7122863
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<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Gryphon: A Hybrid Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation Platform for Infectious Diseases</title></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno><idno type="pmc">7122863</idno><idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7122863</idno><idno type="RBID">PMC:7122863</idno><idno type="doi">10.1007/978-3-642-12079-4_26</idno><idno type="pmid">NONE</idno><date when="2010">2010</date><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">000160</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">000160</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Gryphon: A Hybrid Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation Platform for Infectious Diseases</title></analytic><series><title level="j">Advances in Social Computing</title><imprint><date when="2010">2010</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>In this paper we present Gryphon, a hybrid agent-based stochastic modeling and simulation platform developed for characterizing the geographic spread of infectious diseases and the effects of interventions. We study both local and non-local transmission dynamics of stochastic simulations based on the published parameters and data for SARS. The results suggest that the expected numbers of infections and the timeline of control strategies predicted by our stochastic model are in reasonably good agreement with previous studies. These preliminary results indicate that Gryphon is able to characterize other future infectious diseases and identify endangered regions in advance.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Anderson, R M" uniqKey="Anderson R">R.M. Anderson</name></author><author><name sortKey="May, R M" uniqKey="May R">R.M. May</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Rvachev, L A" uniqKey="Rvachev L">L.A. Rvachev</name></author><author><name sortKey="Longini, I M" uniqKey="Longini I">I.M. Longini</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Sattenspiel, L" uniqKey="Sattenspiel L">L. Sattenspiel</name></author><author><name sortKey="Simon, C P" uniqKey="Simon C">C.P. Simon</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Eubank, S" uniqKey="Eubank S">S. Eubank</name></author><author><name sortKey="Guclu, H" uniqKey="Guclu H">H. Guclu</name></author><author><name sortKey="Kumar, V S A" uniqKey="Kumar V">V.S.A. Kumar</name></author><author><name sortKey="Marathe, M" uniqKey="Marathe M">M. Marathe</name></author><author><name sortKey="Srinivasan, A" uniqKey="Srinivasan A">A. Srinivasan</name></author><author><name sortKey="Toroczkai, Z" uniqKey="Toroczkai Z">Z. Toroczkai</name></author><author><name sortKey="Wang, N" uniqKey="Wang N">N. Wang</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hufnagel, L" uniqKey="Hufnagel L">L. Hufnagel</name></author><author><name sortKey="Brockmann, D" uniqKey="Brockmann D">D. Brockmann</name></author><author><name sortKey="Geisel, T" uniqKey="Geisel T">T. Geisel</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Chowell, G" uniqKey="Chowell G">G. Chowell</name></author><author><name sortKey="Fenimore, P W" uniqKey="Fenimore P">P.W. Fenimore</name></author><author><name sortKey="Castillo Garsow, M A" uniqKey="Castillo Garsow M">M.A. Castillo-Garsow</name></author><author><name sortKey="Castillo Chavez, C" uniqKey="Castillo Chavez C">C. Castillo-Chavez</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Chowell, G" uniqKey="Chowell G">G. Chowell</name></author><author><name sortKey="Castillo Chavez, C" uniqKey="Castillo Chavez C">C. Castillo-Chavez</name></author><author><name sortKey="Fenimore, P W" uniqKey="Fenimore P">P.W. Fenimore</name></author><author><name sortKey="Kribs Zaleta, C M" uniqKey="Kribs Zaleta C">C.M. Kribs-Zaleta</name></author><author><name sortKey="Arriola, L" uniqKey="Arriola L">L. Arriola</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hyman, J M" uniqKey="Hyman J">J.M. Hyman</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Feller, W" uniqKey="Feller W">W. Feller</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Wallinga, J" uniqKey="Wallinga J">J. Wallinga</name></author><author><name sortKey="Teunis, P" uniqKey="Teunis P">P. Teunis</name></author></analytic></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><pmc article-type="chapter-article"><pmc-dir>properties open_access</pmc-dir>
<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">978-3-642-12079-4</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="doi">10.1007/978-3-642-12079-4</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Advances in Social Computing</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Advances in Social Computing</journal-title><journal-subtitle>Third International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral Modeling, and Prediction, SBP 2010, Bethesda, MD, USA, March 30-31, 2010. Proceedings</journal-subtitle></journal-title-group><isbn publication-format="print">978-3-642-12078-7</isbn><isbn publication-format="electronic">978-3-642-12079-4</isbn></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">7122863</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">26</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1007/978-3-642-12079-4_26</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Gryphon: A Hybrid Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation Platform for Infectious Diseases</article-title></title-group><contrib-group content-type="book editors"><contrib contrib-type="editor"><name><surname>Chai</surname><given-names>Sun-Ki</given-names></name><address><email>sunki@hawaii.edu</email></address><xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff16">16</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="editor"><name><surname>Salerno</surname><given-names>John J.</given-names></name><address><email>john.salerno@rl.af.mil</email></address><xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff17">17</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="editor"><name><surname>Mabry</surname><given-names>Patricia L.</given-names></name><address><email>mabryp@od.nih.gov</email></address><xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff18">18</xref></contrib><aff id="Aff16"><label>16</label><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="GRID">grid.162346.4</institution-id><institution-id institution-id-type="ISNI">0000000114821895</institution-id><institution>Department of Sociology,</institution><institution>University of Hawaii,</institution></institution-wrap>2424 Maile Way, Saunders Hall 237, 956-7234 Honolulu, HI USA</aff><aff id="Aff17"><label>17</label><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="GRID">grid.417730.6</institution-id><institution-id institution-id-type="ISNI">0000 0004 0543 4035</institution-id><institution>Air Force Research Laboratory,</institution><institution>Rome Research Site, AFRL/RIEF,</institution></institution-wrap>525 Brooks Road, NY 13441 Rome, USA</aff><aff id="Aff18"><label>18</label><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="GRID">grid.94365.3d</institution-id><institution-id institution-id-type="ISNI">0000000122975165</institution-id><institution>Department of Behavioral and Social Sciences Research,</institution><institution>National Institute of Health (NIH),</institution></institution-wrap>31 Center Drive, 20892-2027 Bethesda, MD USA</aff></contrib-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Yu</surname><given-names>Bin</given-names></name><address><email>byu@quantumleap.us</email></address><xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff19"></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Wang</surname><given-names>Jijun</given-names></name><address><email>jw@quantumleap.us</email></address><xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff19"></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>McGowan</surname><given-names>Michael</given-names></name><address><email>mtm@quantumleap.us</email></address><xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff19"></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Vaidyanathan</surname><given-names>Ganesh</given-names></name><address><email>gv@quantumleap.us</email></address><xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff19"></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Younger</surname><given-names>Kristofer</given-names></name><address><email>ky@quantumleap.us</email></address><xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff19"></xref></contrib><aff id="Aff19"><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="GRID">grid.456013.5</institution-id><institution>Quantum Leap Innovations,</institution></institution-wrap>3 Innovation Way, Suite 100, Newark, DE 19711 USA</aff></contrib-group><pub-date pub-type="ppub"><year>2010</year></pub-date><volume>6007</volume><fpage>199</fpage><lpage>207</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2010</copyright-statement><license><license-p>This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.</license-p></license></permissions><abstract id="Abs1"><p>In this paper we present Gryphon, a hybrid agent-based stochastic modeling and simulation platform developed for characterizing the geographic spread of infectious diseases and the effects of interventions. We study both local and non-local transmission dynamics of stochastic simulations based on the published parameters and data for SARS. The results suggest that the expected numbers of infections and the timeline of control strategies predicted by our stochastic model are in reasonably good agreement with previous studies. These preliminary results indicate that Gryphon is able to characterize other future infectious diseases and identify endangered regions in advance.</p></abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><title>Keywords</title><kwd>Group Agent</kwd><kwd>Stochastic Simulation</kwd><kwd>Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome</kwd><kwd>Simulation Platform</kwd><kwd>Secondary Group</kwd></kwd-group><custom-meta-group><custom-meta><meta-name>issue-copyright-statement</meta-name><meta-value>© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2010</meta-value></custom-meta></custom-meta-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list id="Bib1"><title>References</title><ref id="CR1"><label>1.</label><element-citation publication-type="book"><person-group person-group-type="author"><name><surname>Anderson</surname><given-names>R.M.</given-names></name><name><surname>May</surname><given-names>R.M.</given-names></name></person-group><source>Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control</source><year>1992</year><publisher-loc>Oxford</publisher-loc><publisher-name>Oxford University Press</publisher-name></element-citation></ref><ref id="CR2"><label>2.</label><element-citation publication-type="journal"><person-group person-group-type="author"><name><surname>Rvachev</surname><given-names>L.A.</given-names></name><name><surname>Longini</surname><given-names>I.M.</given-names></name></person-group><article-title>A mathematical model for the global spread of influenza</article-title><source>Mathematical BioSciences</source><year>1985</year><volume>75</volume><fpage>3</fpage><lpage>22</lpage><pub-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1016/0025-5564(85)90064-1</pub-id></element-citation></ref><ref id="CR3"><label>3.</label><element-citation publication-type="journal"><person-group person-group-type="author"><name><surname>Sattenspiel</surname><given-names>L.</given-names></name><name><surname>Simon</surname><given-names>C.P.</given-names></name></person-group><article-title>The spread and persistence of infectious diseases in structured populations</article-title><source>Mathematical BioSciences</source><year>1988</year><volume>90</volume><fpage>341</fpage><lpage>366</lpage><pub-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1016/0025-5564(88)90074-0</pub-id></element-citation></ref><ref id="CR4"><label>4.</label><element-citation publication-type="journal"><person-group person-group-type="author"><name><surname>Eubank</surname><given-names>S.</given-names></name><name><surname>Guclu</surname><given-names>H.</given-names></name><name><surname>Kumar</surname><given-names>V.S.A.</given-names></name><name><surname>Marathe</surname><given-names>M.</given-names></name><name><surname>Srinivasan</surname><given-names>A.</given-names></name><name><surname>Toroczkai</surname><given-names>Z.</given-names></name><name><surname>Wang</surname><given-names>N.</given-names></name></person-group><article-title>Modelling disease outbreaks in realistic urban social networks</article-title><source>Nature</source><year>2004</year><volume>429</volume><fpage>180</fpage><lpage>184</lpage><pub-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1038/nature02541</pub-id><pub-id pub-id-type="pmid">15141212</pub-id></element-citation></ref><ref id="CR5"><label>5.</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other">Colizza, V., Barrat, A., Barthelemy, M., Valleron, A.J., Vespignani, A.: Modeling the worldwide spread of pandemic influenza: Baseline case and containment intervention. 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