SARS-CoV-2: fear versus data
Identifieur interne : 003475 ( Ncbi/Merge ); précédent : 003474; suivant : 003476SARS-CoV-2: fear versus data
Auteurs : Yanis Roussel [France] ; Audrey Giraud-Gatineau [France] ; Marie-Thérèse Jimeno [France] ; Jean-Marc Rolain [France] ; Christine Zandotti [France] ; Philippe Colson [France] ; Didier Raoult [France]Source :
- International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents [ 0924-8579 ] ; 2020.
Abstract
Comparison of incidence and mortality rates of four common coronaviruses circulating in France with those of SARS-CoV-2 in OECD countries. As of 2 March 2020, 90 307 patients had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 worldwide, with 3086 deaths (mortality rate 3.4%). As of 2 March 2020, among OECD countries, 7476 patients had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, with 96 deaths (mortality rate 1.3%) As of 2 March 2020, in France, 191 people had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, with three deaths (mortality rate 1.6%). In OECD countries. the mortality rate for SARS-CoV-2 (1.3%) is not significantly different from that for common coronaviruses identified in public hospitals of Marseille, France (0.8%; The problem of SARS-CoV-2 is probably overestimated, as 2.6 million people die of respiratory infections each year compared with less than 4000 deaths for SARS-CoV-2 at the time of writing.
Url:
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijantimicag.2020.105947
PubMed: 32201354
PubMed Central: 7102597
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Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Aix Marseille Université, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Microbes Evolution Phylogénie et Infections, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université d'Aix-Marseille</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Giraud Gatineau, Audrey" sort="Giraud Gatineau, Audrey" uniqKey="Giraud Gatineau A" first="Audrey" last="Giraud-Gatineau">Audrey Giraud-Gatineau</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff0001">Institut Hospitalo-universitaire Méditerranée Infection, Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Institut Hospitalo-universitaire Méditerranée Infection, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff0003">Aix Marseille Université, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Service de Santé des Armées, Vecteurs - Infections Tropicales et Méditerranéennes, Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Aix Marseille Université, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Service de Santé des Armées, Vecteurs - Infections Tropicales et Méditerranéennes, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université d'Aix-Marseille</orgName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff0004">Centre d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique des Armées, Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Centre d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique des Armées, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff0005">Assistance Publique – Hôpitaux de Marseille, Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Assistance Publique – Hôpitaux de Marseille, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jimeno, Marie Therese" sort="Jimeno, Marie Therese" uniqKey="Jimeno M" first="Marie-Thérèse" last="Jimeno">Marie-Thérèse Jimeno</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff0005">Assistance Publique – Hôpitaux de Marseille, Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Assistance Publique – Hôpitaux de Marseille, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Rolain, Jean Marc" sort="Rolain, Jean Marc" uniqKey="Rolain J" first="Jean-Marc" last="Rolain">Jean-Marc Rolain</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff0001">Institut Hospitalo-universitaire Méditerranée Infection, Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Institut Hospitalo-universitaire Méditerranée Infection, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff0002">Aix Marseille Université, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Microbes Evolution Phylogénie et Infections, Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Aix Marseille Université, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Microbes Evolution Phylogénie et Infections, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université d'Aix-Marseille</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zandotti, Christine" sort="Zandotti, Christine" uniqKey="Zandotti C" first="Christine" last="Zandotti">Christine Zandotti</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff0001">Institut Hospitalo-universitaire Méditerranée Infection, Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Institut Hospitalo-universitaire Méditerranée Infection, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff0002">Aix Marseille Université, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Microbes Evolution Phylogénie et Infections, Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Aix Marseille Université, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Microbes Evolution Phylogénie et Infections, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université d'Aix-Marseille</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Colson, Philippe" sort="Colson, Philippe" uniqKey="Colson P" first="Philippe" last="Colson">Philippe Colson</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff0001">Institut Hospitalo-universitaire Méditerranée Infection, Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Institut Hospitalo-universitaire Méditerranée Infection, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff0002">Aix Marseille Université, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Microbes Evolution Phylogénie et Infections, Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Aix Marseille Université, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Microbes Evolution Phylogénie et Infections, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université d'Aix-Marseille</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Raoult, Didier" sort="Raoult, Didier" uniqKey="Raoult D" first="Didier" last="Raoult">Didier Raoult</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff0001">Institut Hospitalo-universitaire Méditerranée Infection, Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Institut Hospitalo-universitaire Méditerranée Infection, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff0002">Aix Marseille Université, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Microbes Evolution Phylogénie et Infections, Marseille, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Aix Marseille Université, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Microbes Evolution Phylogénie et Infections, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université d'Aix-Marseille</orgName></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents</title><idno type="ISSN">0924-8579</idno><idno type="eISSN">1872-7913</idno><imprint><date when="2020">2020</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><title>Highlights</title><p><list list-type="simple" id="celist0001"><list-item id="celistitem0001"><label>•</label><p id="para0001">Comparison of incidence and mortality rates of four common coronaviruses circulating in France with those of SARS-CoV-2 in OECD countries.</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0002"><label>•</label><p id="para0002">As of 2 March 2020, 90 307 patients had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 worldwide, with 3086 deaths (mortality rate 3.4%).</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0003"><label>•</label><p id="para0003">As of 2 March 2020, among OECD countries, 7476 patients had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, with 96 deaths (mortality rate 1.3%)</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0004"><label>•</label><p id="para0004">As of 2 March 2020, in France, 191 people had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, with three deaths (mortality rate 1.6%).</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0005"><label>•</label><p id="para0005">In OECD countries. the mortality rate for SARS-CoV-2 (1.3%) is not significantly different from that for common coronaviruses identified in public hospitals of Marseille, France (0.8%; <italic>P</italic>=0.11).</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0006"><label>•</label><p id="para0006">The problem of SARS-CoV-2 is probably overestimated, as 2.6 million people die of respiratory infections each year compared with less than 4000 deaths for SARS-CoV-2 at the time of writing.</p></list-item></list></p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="To, K K" uniqKey="To K">K.K. 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<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Int J Antimicrob Agents</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">Int. J. Antimicrob. Agents</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0924-8579</issn><issn pub-type="epub">1872-7913</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Elsevier B.V. and International Society of Chemotherapy.</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">32201354</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">7102597</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">S0924-8579(20)30097-2</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1016/j.ijantimicag.2020.105947</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">105947</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>SARS-CoV-2: fear versus data</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" id="au0001"><name><surname>Roussel</surname><given-names>Yanis</given-names></name><xref rid="aff0001" ref-type="aff">a</xref><xref rid="aff0002" ref-type="aff">b</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" id="au0002"><name><surname>Giraud-Gatineau</surname><given-names>Audrey</given-names></name><xref rid="aff0001" ref-type="aff">a</xref><xref rid="aff0003" ref-type="aff">c</xref><xref rid="aff0004" ref-type="aff">d</xref><xref rid="aff0005" ref-type="aff">e</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" id="au0003"><name><surname>Jimeno</surname><given-names>Marie-Thérèse</given-names></name><xref rid="aff0005" ref-type="aff">e</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" id="au0004"><name><surname>Rolain</surname><given-names>Jean-Marc</given-names></name><xref rid="aff0001" ref-type="aff">a</xref><xref rid="aff0002" ref-type="aff">b</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" id="au0005"><name><surname>Zandotti</surname><given-names>Christine</given-names></name><xref rid="aff0001" ref-type="aff">a</xref><xref rid="aff0002" ref-type="aff">b</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" id="au0006"><name><surname>Colson</surname><given-names>Philippe</given-names></name><xref rid="aff0001" ref-type="aff">a</xref><xref rid="aff0002" ref-type="aff">b</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" id="au0007"><name><surname>Raoult</surname><given-names>Didier</given-names></name><email>didier.raoult@gmail.com</email><xref rid="aff0001" ref-type="aff">a</xref><xref rid="aff0002" ref-type="aff">b</xref><xref rid="cor0001" ref-type="corresp">⁎</xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff0001"><label>a</label>Institut Hospitalo-universitaire Méditerranée Infection, Marseille, France</aff><aff id="aff0002"><label>b</label>Aix Marseille Université, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Microbes Evolution Phylogénie et Infections, Marseille, France</aff><aff id="aff0003"><label>c</label>Aix Marseille Université, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Service de Santé des Armées, Vecteurs - Infections Tropicales et Méditerranéennes, Marseille, France</aff><aff id="aff0004"><label>d</label>Centre d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique des Armées, Marseille, France</aff><aff id="aff0005"><label>e</label>Assistance Publique – Hôpitaux de Marseille, Marseille, France</aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor0001"><label>⁎</label>Corresponding author. Address: IHU Méditerranée Infection, Faculté de Médecine, Aix-Marseille Université, 27 Boulevard Jean Moulin, 13385 Marseille, CEDEX 5, France. Tel.: +33 (0)4 91 32 43 75; fax: + 33 (0)4 91 38 77 72. <email>didier.raoult@gmail.com</email></corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="pmc-release"><day>19</day><month>3</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><pmc-comment> PMC Release delay is 0 months and 0 days and was based on .</pmc-comment>
<pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>19</day><month>3</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><elocation-id>105947</elocation-id><permissions><copyright-statement>© 2020 Elsevier B.V. and International Society of Chemotherapy. All rights reserved.</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2020</copyright-year><copyright-holder>Elsevier Ltd</copyright-holder><license><license-p>Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.</license-p></license></permissions><abstract abstract-type="author-highlights" id="abs0001"><title>Highlights</title><p><list list-type="simple" id="celist0001"><list-item id="celistitem0001"><label>•</label><p id="para0001">Comparison of incidence and mortality rates of four common coronaviruses circulating in France with those of SARS-CoV-2 in OECD countries.</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0002"><label>•</label><p id="para0002">As of 2 March 2020, 90 307 patients had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 worldwide, with 3086 deaths (mortality rate 3.4%).</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0003"><label>•</label><p id="para0003">As of 2 March 2020, among OECD countries, 7476 patients had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, with 96 deaths (mortality rate 1.3%)</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0004"><label>•</label><p id="para0004">As of 2 March 2020, in France, 191 people had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, with three deaths (mortality rate 1.6%).</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0005"><label>•</label><p id="para0005">In OECD countries. the mortality rate for SARS-CoV-2 (1.3%) is not significantly different from that for common coronaviruses identified in public hospitals of Marseille, France (0.8%; <italic>P</italic>=0.11).</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0006"><label>•</label><p id="para0006">The problem of SARS-CoV-2 is probably overestimated, as 2.6 million people die of respiratory infections each year compared with less than 4000 deaths for SARS-CoV-2 at the time of writing.</p></list-item></list></p></abstract><abstract id="abs0002"><p>SARS-CoV-2, the novel coronavirus from China, is spreading around the world, causing a huge reaction despite its current low incidence outside China and the Far East. Four common coronaviruses are in current circulation and cause millions of cases worldwide. This article compares the incidence and mortality rates of these four common coronaviruses with those of SARS-CoV-2 in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries. It is concluded that the problem of SARS-CoV-2 is probably being overestimated, as 2.6 million people die of respiratory infections each year compared with less than 4000 deaths for SARS-CoV-2 at the time of writing.</p></abstract><kwd-group id="keys0001"><title>Keywords</title><kwd>COVID-19</kwd><kwd>Coronavirus</kwd><kwd>SARS-CoV-2</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta><notes><p id="mis0001">Dr. Po-Ren Hsueh</p></notes></front></pmc><affiliations><list><country><li>France</li></country><region><li>Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</li></region><settlement><li>Marseille</li></settlement><orgName><li>Université d'Aix-Marseille</li></orgName></list><tree><country name="France"><region name="Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur"><name sortKey="Roussel, Yanis" sort="Roussel, Yanis" uniqKey="Roussel Y" first="Yanis" last="Roussel">Yanis Roussel</name></region><name sortKey="Colson, Philippe" sort="Colson, Philippe" uniqKey="Colson P" first="Philippe" last="Colson">Philippe Colson</name><name sortKey="Colson, Philippe" sort="Colson, Philippe" uniqKey="Colson P" first="Philippe" last="Colson">Philippe Colson</name><name sortKey="Giraud Gatineau, Audrey" sort="Giraud Gatineau, Audrey" uniqKey="Giraud Gatineau A" first="Audrey" last="Giraud-Gatineau">Audrey Giraud-Gatineau</name><name sortKey="Giraud Gatineau, Audrey" sort="Giraud Gatineau, Audrey" uniqKey="Giraud Gatineau A" first="Audrey" last="Giraud-Gatineau">Audrey Giraud-Gatineau</name><name sortKey="Giraud Gatineau, Audrey" sort="Giraud Gatineau, Audrey" uniqKey="Giraud Gatineau A" first="Audrey" last="Giraud-Gatineau">Audrey Giraud-Gatineau</name><name sortKey="Giraud Gatineau, Audrey" sort="Giraud Gatineau, Audrey" uniqKey="Giraud Gatineau A" first="Audrey" last="Giraud-Gatineau">Audrey Giraud-Gatineau</name><name sortKey="Jimeno, Marie Therese" sort="Jimeno, Marie Therese" uniqKey="Jimeno M" first="Marie-Thérèse" last="Jimeno">Marie-Thérèse Jimeno</name><name sortKey="Raoult, Didier" sort="Raoult, Didier" uniqKey="Raoult D" first="Didier" last="Raoult">Didier Raoult</name><name sortKey="Raoult, Didier" sort="Raoult, Didier" uniqKey="Raoult D" first="Didier" last="Raoult">Didier Raoult</name><name sortKey="Rolain, Jean Marc" sort="Rolain, Jean Marc" uniqKey="Rolain J" first="Jean-Marc" last="Rolain">Jean-Marc Rolain</name><name sortKey="Rolain, Jean Marc" sort="Rolain, Jean Marc" uniqKey="Rolain J" first="Jean-Marc" last="Rolain">Jean-Marc Rolain</name><name sortKey="Roussel, Yanis" sort="Roussel, Yanis" uniqKey="Roussel Y" first="Yanis" last="Roussel">Yanis Roussel</name><name sortKey="Zandotti, Christine" sort="Zandotti, Christine" uniqKey="Zandotti C" first="Christine" last="Zandotti">Christine Zandotti</name><name sortKey="Zandotti, Christine" sort="Zandotti, Christine" uniqKey="Zandotti C" first="Christine" last="Zandotti">Christine Zandotti</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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