South African child deaths 1990-2011: have HIV services reversed the trend enough to meet Millennium Development Goal 4?
Identifieur interne : 001247 ( PubMed/Corpus ); précédent : 001246; suivant : 001248South African child deaths 1990-2011: have HIV services reversed the trend enough to meet Millennium Development Goal 4?
Auteurs : Kate J. Kerber ; Joy E. Lawn ; Leigh F. Johnson ; Mary Mahy ; Rob E. Dorrington ; Heston Phillips ; Debbie Bradshaw ; Nadine Nannan ; William Msemburi ; Mikkel Z. Oestergaard ; Neff P. Walker ; David Sanders ; Debra JacksonSource :
- AIDS (London, England) [ 1473-5571 ] ; 2013.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : South Africa.
- drug therapy : HIV Infections.
- epidemiology : HIV Infections.
- mortality : HIV Infections.
- prevention & control : HIV Infections.
- Child Mortality, Child, Preschool, Female, Health Services Research, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Male.
Abstract
To analyse trends in under-five mortality rate in South Africa (1990-2011), particularly the contribution of AIDS deaths.
DOI: 10.1097/01.aids.0000432987.53271.40
PubMed: 23863402
Links to Exploration step
pubmed:23863402Le document en format XML
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Kerber</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>aSchool of Public Health, University of the Western Cape, South Africa bSaving Newborn Lives, Save the Children, USA cChild Health Epidemiology Reference Group dMARCH (Maternal Reproductive & Child Health), London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UK eCentre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, University of Cape Town, South Africa fUNAIDS, Switzerland gCentre for Actuarial Research, University of Cape Town hUNAIDS iBurden of Disease Research Unit, Medical Research Council, South Africa jDepartment of Health Statistics and Informatics, World Health Organization, Switzerland kJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Lawn, Joy E" sort="Lawn, Joy E" uniqKey="Lawn J" first="Joy E" last="Lawn">Joy E. Lawn</name></author><author><name sortKey="Johnson, Leigh F" sort="Johnson, Leigh F" uniqKey="Johnson L" first="Leigh F" last="Johnson">Leigh F. Johnson</name></author><author><name sortKey="Mahy, Mary" sort="Mahy, Mary" uniqKey="Mahy M" first="Mary" last="Mahy">Mary Mahy</name></author><author><name sortKey="Dorrington, Rob E" sort="Dorrington, Rob E" uniqKey="Dorrington R" first="Rob E" last="Dorrington">Rob E. Dorrington</name></author><author><name sortKey="Phillips, Heston" sort="Phillips, Heston" uniqKey="Phillips H" first="Heston" last="Phillips">Heston Phillips</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bradshaw, Debbie" sort="Bradshaw, Debbie" uniqKey="Bradshaw D" first="Debbie" last="Bradshaw">Debbie Bradshaw</name></author><author><name sortKey="Nannan, Nadine" sort="Nannan, Nadine" uniqKey="Nannan N" first="Nadine" last="Nannan">Nadine Nannan</name></author><author><name sortKey="Msemburi, William" sort="Msemburi, William" uniqKey="Msemburi W" first="William" last="Msemburi">William Msemburi</name></author><author><name sortKey="Oestergaard, Mikkel Z" sort="Oestergaard, Mikkel Z" uniqKey="Oestergaard M" first="Mikkel Z" last="Oestergaard">Mikkel Z. Oestergaard</name></author><author><name sortKey="Walker, Neff P" sort="Walker, Neff P" uniqKey="Walker N" first="Neff P" last="Walker">Neff P. Walker</name></author><author><name sortKey="Sanders, David" sort="Sanders, David" uniqKey="Sanders D" first="David" last="Sanders">David Sanders</name></author><author><name sortKey="Jackson, Debra" sort="Jackson, Debra" uniqKey="Jackson D" first="Debra" last="Jackson">Debra Jackson</name></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2013">2013</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:23863402</idno><idno type="pmid">23863402</idno><idno type="doi">10.1097/01.aids.0000432987.53271.40</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">001247</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">001247</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">South African child deaths 1990-2011: have HIV services reversed the trend enough to meet Millennium Development Goal 4?</title><author><name sortKey="Kerber, Kate J" sort="Kerber, Kate J" uniqKey="Kerber K" first="Kate J" last="Kerber">Kate J. Kerber</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>aSchool of Public Health, University of the Western Cape, South Africa bSaving Newborn Lives, Save the Children, USA cChild Health Epidemiology Reference Group dMARCH (Maternal Reproductive & Child Health), London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UK eCentre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, University of Cape Town, South Africa fUNAIDS, Switzerland gCentre for Actuarial Research, University of Cape Town hUNAIDS iBurden of Disease Research Unit, Medical Research Council, South Africa jDepartment of Health Statistics and Informatics, World Health Organization, Switzerland kJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Lawn, Joy E" sort="Lawn, Joy E" uniqKey="Lawn J" first="Joy E" last="Lawn">Joy E. Lawn</name></author><author><name sortKey="Johnson, Leigh F" sort="Johnson, Leigh F" uniqKey="Johnson L" first="Leigh F" last="Johnson">Leigh F. Johnson</name></author><author><name sortKey="Mahy, Mary" sort="Mahy, Mary" uniqKey="Mahy M" first="Mary" last="Mahy">Mary Mahy</name></author><author><name sortKey="Dorrington, Rob E" sort="Dorrington, Rob E" uniqKey="Dorrington R" first="Rob E" last="Dorrington">Rob E. Dorrington</name></author><author><name sortKey="Phillips, Heston" sort="Phillips, Heston" uniqKey="Phillips H" first="Heston" last="Phillips">Heston Phillips</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bradshaw, Debbie" sort="Bradshaw, Debbie" uniqKey="Bradshaw D" first="Debbie" last="Bradshaw">Debbie Bradshaw</name></author><author><name sortKey="Nannan, Nadine" sort="Nannan, Nadine" uniqKey="Nannan N" first="Nadine" last="Nannan">Nadine Nannan</name></author><author><name sortKey="Msemburi, William" sort="Msemburi, William" uniqKey="Msemburi W" first="William" last="Msemburi">William Msemburi</name></author><author><name sortKey="Oestergaard, Mikkel Z" sort="Oestergaard, Mikkel Z" uniqKey="Oestergaard M" first="Mikkel Z" last="Oestergaard">Mikkel Z. Oestergaard</name></author><author><name sortKey="Walker, Neff P" sort="Walker, Neff P" uniqKey="Walker N" first="Neff P" last="Walker">Neff P. Walker</name></author><author><name sortKey="Sanders, David" sort="Sanders, David" uniqKey="Sanders D" first="David" last="Sanders">David Sanders</name></author><author><name sortKey="Jackson, Debra" sort="Jackson, Debra" uniqKey="Jackson D" first="Debra" last="Jackson">Debra Jackson</name></author></analytic><series><title level="j">AIDS (London, England)</title><idno type="eISSN">1473-5571</idno><imprint><date when="2013" type="published">2013</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Child Mortality</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>Female</term><term>HIV Infections (drug therapy)</term><term>HIV Infections (epidemiology)</term><term>HIV Infections (mortality)</term><term>HIV Infections (prevention & control)</term><term>Health Services Research</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Infant, Newborn</term><term>Male</term><term>South Africa (epidemiology)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>South Africa</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="drug therapy" xml:lang="en"><term>HIV Infections</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>HIV Infections</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortality" xml:lang="en"><term>HIV Infections</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="prevention & control" xml:lang="en"><term>HIV Infections</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Child Mortality</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>Female</term><term>Health Services Research</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Infant, Newborn</term><term>Male</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">To analyse trends in under-five mortality rate in South Africa (1990-2011), particularly the contribution of AIDS deaths.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">23863402</PMID><DateCreated><Year>2013</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>07</Day></DateCreated><DateCompleted><Year>2014</Year><Month>04</Month><Day>30</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2017</Year><Month>02</Month><Day>20</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1473-5571</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>27</Volume><Issue>16</Issue><PubDate><Year>2013</Year><Month>Oct</Month><Day>23</Day></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>AIDS (London, England)</Title><ISOAbbreviation>AIDS</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>South African child deaths 1990-2011: have HIV services reversed the trend enough to meet Millennium Development Goal 4?</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>2637-48</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1097/01.aids.0000432987.53271.40</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText Label="OBJECTIVE" NlmCategory="OBJECTIVE">To analyse trends in under-five mortality rate in South Africa (1990-2011), particularly the contribution of AIDS deaths.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="METHODS" NlmCategory="METHODS">Three nationally used models for estimating AIDS deaths in children were systematically reviewed. The model outputs were compared with under-five mortality rate estimates for South Africa from two global estimation models. All estimates were compared with available empirical data.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">Differences between the models resulted in varying point estimates for under-five mortality but the trends were similar, with mortality increasing to a peak around 2005. The three models showing the contribution of AIDS suggest a maximum of 37-39% of child deaths were due to AIDS in 2004-2005 which has since declined. Although the rate of progress from 1990 is not the 4.4% needed to meet Millennium Development Goal 4 for child survival, South Africa's average annual rate of under-five mortality decline between 2006 and 2011 was between 6.3 and 10.2%.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="CONCLUSION" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">In 2005, South Africa was one of only four countries globally with an under-five mortality rate higher than the 1990 Millennium Development Goal baseline. Over the past 5 years, the country has achieved a rate of child mortality reduction exceeded by only three other countries. This rapid turnaround is likely due to scale-up of prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV, and to a lesser degree, the expanded roll-out of antiretroviral therapy. Emphasis on these programmes must continue, but failure to address other aspects of care including integrated high-quality maternal and neonatal care means that the decline in child mortality could stall.</AbstractText></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Kerber</LastName><ForeName>Kate J</ForeName><Initials>KJ</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>aSchool of Public Health, University of the Western Cape, South Africa bSaving Newborn Lives, Save the Children, USA cChild Health Epidemiology Reference Group dMARCH (Maternal Reproductive & Child Health), London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UK eCentre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, University of Cape Town, South Africa fUNAIDS, Switzerland gCentre for Actuarial Research, University of Cape Town hUNAIDS iBurden of Disease Research Unit, Medical Research Council, South Africa jDepartment of Health Statistics and Informatics, World Health Organization, Switzerland kJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Lawn</LastName><ForeName>Joy E</ForeName><Initials>JE</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Johnson</LastName><ForeName>Leigh F</ForeName><Initials>LF</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Mahy</LastName><ForeName>Mary</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Dorrington</LastName><ForeName>Rob E</ForeName><Initials>RE</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Phillips</LastName><ForeName>Heston</ForeName><Initials>H</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Bradshaw</LastName><ForeName>Debbie</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Nannan</LastName><ForeName>Nadine</ForeName><Initials>N</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Msemburi</LastName><ForeName>William</ForeName><Initials>W</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Oestergaard</LastName><ForeName>Mikkel Z</ForeName><Initials>MZ</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Walker</LastName><ForeName>Neff P</ForeName><Initials>NP</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Sanders</LastName><ForeName>David</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Jackson</LastName><ForeName>Debra</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D013485">Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>England</Country><MedlineTA>AIDS</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>8710219</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>0269-9370</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><CitationSubset>X</CitationSubset><CommentsCorrectionsList><CommentsCorrections RefType="Cites"><RefSource>Lancet. 2012 Jun 9;379(9832):2151-61</RefSource><PMID Version="1">22579125</PMID></CommentsCorrections><CommentsCorrections RefType="Cites"><RefSource>Lancet. 2012 Dec 8;380(9858):2029-43</RefSource><PMID Version="1">23201214</PMID></CommentsCorrections><CommentsCorrections RefType="Cites"><RefSource>Sex Transm Infect. 2010 Dec;86 Suppl 2:ii16-21</RefSource><PMID Version="1">21106510</PMID></CommentsCorrections><CommentsCorrections RefType="Cites"><RefSource>Bull World Health Organ. 2005 Mar;83(3):171-7</RefSource><PMID Version="1">15798840</PMID></CommentsCorrections><CommentsCorrections RefType="Cites"><RefSource>Popul Health Metr. 2011 Aug 05;9:46</RefSource><PMID Version="1">21819601</PMID></CommentsCorrections><CommentsCorrections RefType="Cites"><RefSource>Lancet. 2009 Sep 5;374(9692):835-46</RefSource><PMID Version="1">19709729</PMID></CommentsCorrections><CommentsCorrections RefType="Cites"><RefSource>AIDS. 2009 Jan 2;23(1):101-6</RefSource><PMID Version="1">19065753</PMID></CommentsCorrections><CommentsCorrections RefType="Cites"><RefSource>Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2012 May;31(5):474-80</RefSource><PMID Version="1">22189531</PMID></CommentsCorrections><CommentsCorrections RefType="Cites"><RefSource>Lancet. 2012 Dec 15;380(9859):2071-94</RefSource><PMID Version="1">23245603</PMID></CommentsCorrections><CommentsCorrections RefType="Cites"><RefSource>PLoS Med. 2012;9(8):e1001298</RefSource><PMID Version="1">22952437</PMID></CommentsCorrections><CommentsCorrections RefType="Cites"><RefSource>Lancet. 2012 Mar 31;379(9822):1193; 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