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A dynamic model of the marriage market-Part 2: simulation of marital states and application to empirical data.

Identifieur interne : 001270 ( PubMed/Checkpoint ); précédent : 001269; suivant : 001271

A dynamic model of the marriage market-Part 2: simulation of marital states and application to empirical data.

Auteurs : A P Matthews [Afrique du Sud] ; M L Garenne

Source :

RBID : pubmed:23689022

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English descriptors

Abstract

A dynamic, two-sex, age-structured marriage model is presented. Part 1 focused on first marriage only and described a marriage market matching algorithm. In Part 2 the model is extended to include divorce, widowing, and remarriage. The model produces a self-consistent set of marital states distributed by age and sex in a stable population by means of a gender-symmetric numerical method. The model is compared with empirical data for the case of Zambia. Furthermore, a dynamic marriage function for a changing population is demonstrated in simulations of three hypothetical scenarios of elevated mortality in young to middle adulthood. The marriage model has its primary application to simulation of HIV-AIDS epidemics in African countries.

DOI: 10.1016/j.tpb.2013.05.002
PubMed: 23689022


Affiliations:


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pubmed:23689022

Le document en format XML

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