PandemieGrippaleV1, PubMed, Curation, bibRecord, 000977

Estimating the reproductive number in the presence of spatial heterogeneity of transmission patterns.

Identifieur interne : 000977 ( PubMed/Curation ); précédent : 000976; suivant : 000978

Estimating the reproductive number in the presence of spatial heterogeneity of transmission patterns.

Auteurs : Laura F. White [États-Unis] ; Brett Archer ; Marcello Pagano

Source :

International journal of health geographics [ 1476-072X ] ; 2013.

RBID : pubmed:23890514

Descripteurs français

KwdFr :
- Analyse spatiale, Grippe humaine (diagnostic), Grippe humaine (transmission), Grippe humaine (épidémiologie), Humains, Pandémies (), République d'Afrique du Sud (épidémiologie), Transmission de maladie infectieuse ().
MESH :
- diagnostic : Grippe humaine.
- épidémiologie : Grippe humaine, République d'Afrique du Sud.
- Analyse spatiale, Humains, Pandémies, Transmission de maladie infectieuse.
Wicri :
- geographic : Afrique du Sud.

English descriptors

KwdEn :
- Disease Transmission, Infectious (statistics & numerical data), Humans, Influenza, Human (diagnosis), Influenza, Human (epidemiology), Influenza, Human (transmission), Pandemics (statistics & numerical data), South Africa (epidemiology), Spatial Analysis.
MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : South Africa.
- diagnosis : Influenza, Human.
- epidemiology : Influenza, Human.
- statistics & numerical data : Disease Transmission, Infectious, Pandemics.
- transmission : Influenza, Human.
- Humans, Spatial Analysis.

Abstract

Estimates of parameters for disease transmission in large-scale infectious disease outbreaks are often obtained to represent large groups of people, providing an average over a potentially very diverse area. For control measures to be more effective, a measure of the heterogeneity of the parameters is desirable.

DOI: 10.1186/1476-072X-12-35
PubMed: 23890514

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Le document en format XML

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<author><name sortKey="White, Laura F" sort="White, Laura F" uniqKey="White L" first="Laura F" last="White">Laura F. White</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, 801 Massachussetts Ave, Boston, MA 02118, USA. lfwhite@bu.edu</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, 801 Massachussetts Ave, Boston, MA 02118</wicri:regionArea>
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<author><name sortKey="Archer, Brett" sort="Archer, Brett" uniqKey="Archer B" first="Brett" last="Archer">Brett Archer</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Pagano, Marcello" sort="Pagano, Marcello" uniqKey="Pagano M" first="Marcello" last="Pagano">Marcello Pagano</name>
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<author><name sortKey="White, Laura F" sort="White, Laura F" uniqKey="White L" first="Laura F" last="White">Laura F. White</name>
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<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, 801 Massachussetts Ave, Boston, MA 02118</wicri:regionArea>
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<author><name sortKey="Archer, Brett" sort="Archer, Brett" uniqKey="Archer B" first="Brett" last="Archer">Brett Archer</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Pagano, Marcello" sort="Pagano, Marcello" uniqKey="Pagano M" first="Marcello" last="Pagano">Marcello Pagano</name>
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<series><title level="j">International journal of health geographics</title>
<idno type="eISSN">1476-072X</idno>
<imprint><date when="2013" type="published">2013</date>
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<profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Disease Transmission, Infectious (statistics & numerical data)</term>
<term>Humans</term>
<term>Influenza, Human (diagnosis)</term>
<term>Influenza, Human (epidemiology)</term>
<term>Influenza, Human (transmission)</term>
<term>Pandemics (statistics & numerical data)</term>
<term>South Africa (epidemiology)</term>
<term>Spatial Analysis</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Analyse spatiale</term>
<term>Grippe humaine (diagnostic)</term>
<term>Grippe humaine (transmission)</term>
<term>Grippe humaine (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Humains</term>
<term>Pandémies ()</term>
<term>République d'Afrique du Sud (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Transmission de maladie infectieuse ()</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>South Africa</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="diagnosis" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="diagnostic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Grippe humaine</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="statistics & numerical data" xml:lang="en"><term>Disease Transmission, Infectious</term>
<term>Pandemics</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="transmission" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Grippe humaine</term>
<term>République d'Afrique du Sud</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Humans</term>
<term>Spatial Analysis</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Analyse spatiale</term>
<term>Humains</term>
<term>Pandémies</term>
<term>Transmission de maladie infectieuse</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Afrique du Sud</term>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Estimates of parameters for disease transmission in large-scale infectious disease outbreaks are often obtained to represent large groups of people, providing an average over a potentially very diverse area. For control measures to be more effective, a measure of the heterogeneity of the parameters is desirable.</div>
</front>
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<pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">23890514</PMID>
<DateCompleted><Year>2014</Year>
<Month>02</Month>
<Day>10</Day>
</DateCompleted>
<DateRevised><Year>2020</Year>
<Month>03</Month>
<Day>05</Day>
</DateRevised>
<Article PubModel="Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1476-072X</ISSN>
<JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>12</Volume>
<PubDate><Year>2013</Year>
<Month>Jul</Month>
<Day>26</Day>
</PubDate>
</JournalIssue>
<Title>International journal of health geographics</Title>
<ISOAbbreviation>Int J Health Geogr</ISOAbbreviation>
</Journal>
<ArticleTitle>Estimating the reproductive number in the presence of spatial heterogeneity of transmission patterns.</ArticleTitle>
<Pagination><MedlinePgn>35</MedlinePgn>
</Pagination>
<ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1186/1476-072X-12-35</ELocationID>
<Abstract><AbstractText Label="BACKGROUND" NlmCategory="BACKGROUND">Estimates of parameters for disease transmission in large-scale infectious disease outbreaks are often obtained to represent large groups of people, providing an average over a potentially very diverse area. For control measures to be more effective, a measure of the heterogeneity of the parameters is desirable.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="METHODS" NlmCategory="METHODS">We propose a novel extension of a network-based approach to estimating the reproductive number. With this we can incorporate spatial and/or demographic information through a similarity matrix. We apply this to the 2009 Influenza pandemic in South Africa to understand the spatial variability across provinces. We explore the use of five similarity matrices to illustrate their impact on the subsequent epidemic parameter estimates.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">When treating South Africa as a single entity with homogeneous transmission characteristics across the country, the basic reproductive number, R0, (and imputation range) is 1.33 (1.31, 1.36). When fitting a new model for each province with no inter-province connections this estimate varies little (1.23-1.37). Using the proposed method with any of the four similarity measures yields an overall R0 that varies little across the four new models (1.33 to 1.34). However, when allowed to vary across provinces, the estimated R0 is greater than one consistently in only two of the nine provinces, the most densely populated provinces of Gauteng and Western Cape.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="CONCLUSIONS" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">Our results suggest that the spatial heterogeneity of influenza transmission was compelling in South Africa during the 2009 pandemic. This variability makes a qualitative difference in our understanding of the epidemic. While the cause of this fluctuation might be partially due to reporting differences, there is substantial evidence to warrant further investigation.</AbstractText>
</Abstract>
<AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>White</LastName>
<ForeName>Laura F</ForeName>
<Initials>LF</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, 801 Massachussetts Ave, Boston, MA 02118, USA. lfwhite@bu.edu</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Archer</LastName>
<ForeName>Brett</ForeName>
<Initials>B</Initials>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Pagano</LastName>
<ForeName>Marcello</ForeName>
<Initials>M</Initials>
</Author>
</AuthorList>
<Language>eng</Language>
<GrantList CompleteYN="Y"><Grant><GrantID>U54GM088558</GrantID>
<Acronym>GM</Acronym>
<Agency>NIGMS NIH HHS</Agency>
<Country>United States</Country>
</Grant>
</GrantList>
<PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType>
<PublicationType UI="D052061">Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural</PublicationType>
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<ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2013</Year>
<Month>07</Month>
<Day>26</Day>
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<MedlineJournalInfo><Country>England</Country>
<MedlineTA>Int J Health Geogr</MedlineTA>
<NlmUniqueID>101152198</NlmUniqueID>
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<QualifierName UI="Q000706" MajorTopicYN="Y">statistics & numerical data</QualifierName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006801" MajorTopicYN="N">Humans</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D007251" MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza, Human</DescriptorName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000175" MajorTopicYN="N">diagnosis</QualifierName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="Y">epidemiology</QualifierName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000635" MajorTopicYN="Y">transmission</QualifierName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D058873" MajorTopicYN="N">Pandemics</DescriptorName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000706" MajorTopicYN="Y">statistics & numerical data</QualifierName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D013019" MajorTopicYN="N" Type="Geographic">South Africa</DescriptorName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D062206" MajorTopicYN="Y">Spatial Analysis</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
</MeshHeadingList>
</MedlineCitation>
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<Month>04</Month>
<Day>30</Day>
</PubMedPubDate>
<PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2013</Year>
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Serveur d'exploration sur les pandémies grippales

Estimating the reproductive number in the presence of spatial heterogeneity of transmission patterns.

Estimating the reproductive number in the presence of spatial heterogeneity of transmission patterns.

Source :

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)

Links to Exploration step

Le document en format XML

Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)

Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri

Pour générer des pages wiki