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The spatiotemporal association of non-prescription retail sales with cases during the 2009 influenza pandemic in Great Britain.

Identifieur interne : 000841 ( PubMed/Curation ); précédent : 000840; suivant : 000842

The spatiotemporal association of non-prescription retail sales with cases during the 2009 influenza pandemic in Great Britain.

Auteurs : Stacy Todd [Royaume-Uni] ; Peter J. Diggle ; Peter J. White ; Andrew Fearne ; Jonathan M. Read

Source :

RBID : pubmed:24780494

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English descriptors

Abstract

To assess whether retail sales of non-prescription products can be used for syndromic surveillance and whether it can detect influenza activity at different spatial scales. A secondary objective was to assess whether changes in purchasing behaviour were related to public health advice or levels of media or public interest.

DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2014-004869
PubMed: 24780494

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pubmed:24780494

Le document en format XML

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<title xml:lang="en">The spatiotemporal association of non-prescription retail sales with cases during the 2009 influenza pandemic in Great Britain.</title>
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<name sortKey="Todd, Stacy" sort="Todd, Stacy" uniqKey="Todd S" first="Stacy" last="Todd">Stacy Todd</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
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<name sortKey="Diggle, Peter J" sort="Diggle, Peter J" uniqKey="Diggle P" first="Peter J" last="Diggle">Peter J. Diggle</name>
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<name sortKey="White, Peter J" sort="White, Peter J" uniqKey="White P" first="Peter J" last="White">Peter J. White</name>
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<term>Influenza, Human (epidemiology)</term>
<term>Nonprescription Drugs (economics)</term>
<term>Pandemics</term>
<term>Time Factors</term>
<term>United Kingdom (epidemiology)</term>
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<term>Antiviraux (économie)</term>
<term>Commerce</term>
<term>Facteurs temps</term>
<term>Grippe humaine (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Humains</term>
<term>Médicaments sans ordonnance (économie)</term>
<term>Pandémies</term>
<term>Royaume-Uni (épidémiologie)</term>
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<term>Antiviral Agents</term>
<term>Nonprescription Drugs</term>
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<term>Influenza, Human</term>
<term>United Kingdom</term>
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<term>Antiviraux</term>
<term>Médicaments sans ordonnance</term>
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<term>Grippe humaine</term>
<term>Royaume-Uni</term>
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<term>Adult</term>
<term>Commerce</term>
<term>Humans</term>
<term>Pandemics</term>
<term>Time Factors</term>
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<term>Adulte</term>
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<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">To assess whether retail sales of non-prescription products can be used for syndromic surveillance and whether it can detect influenza activity at different spatial scales. A secondary objective was to assess whether changes in purchasing behaviour were related to public health advice or levels of media or public interest.</div>
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<Day>08</Day>
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<ISSN IssnType="Print">2044-6055</ISSN>
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<Volume>4</Volume>
<Issue>4</Issue>
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<Year>2014</Year>
<Month>Apr</Month>
<Day>29</Day>
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<Title>BMJ open</Title>
<ISOAbbreviation>BMJ Open</ISOAbbreviation>
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<ArticleTitle>The spatiotemporal association of non-prescription retail sales with cases during the 2009 influenza pandemic in Great Britain.</ArticleTitle>
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<AbstractText Label="OBJECTIVE" NlmCategory="OBJECTIVE">To assess whether retail sales of non-prescription products can be used for syndromic surveillance and whether it can detect influenza activity at different spatial scales. A secondary objective was to assess whether changes in purchasing behaviour were related to public health advice or levels of media or public interest.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="SETTING" NlmCategory="METHODS">The UK.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="PARTICIPANTS" NlmCategory="METHODS">National and regional influenza case estimates and retail sales from a major British supermarket.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="OUTCOME MEASURES" NlmCategory="METHODS">Weekly, seasonally adjusted sales of over-the-counter symptom remedies and non-pharmaceutical products; recommended as part of the advice offered by public health agencies; were compared with weekly influenza case estimates. Comparisons were made at national and regional spatial resolutions. We also compared sales to national measures of contemporaneous media output and public interest (Internet search volume) related to the pandemic.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">At a national scale there was no significant correlation between retail sales of symptom remedies and cases for the whole pandemic period in 2009. At the regional scale, a minority of regions showed statistically significant positive correlations between cases and sales of adult 'cold and flu' remedies and cough remedies (3.2%, 5/156, 3.8%, 6/156), but a greater number of regions showed a significant positive correlation between cases and symptomatic remedies for children (35.6%, 55/156). Significant positive correlations between cases and sales of thermometers and antiviral hand gels/wash were seen at both spatial scales (Cor 0.477 (95% CI 0.171 to 0.699); 0.711 (95% CI 0.495 to 0.844)). We found no significant association between retail sales and media reporting or Internet search volume.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="CONCLUSIONS" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">This study provides evidence that the British public responded appropriately to health messaging about hygiene. Non-prescription retail sales at a national level are not useful for the detection of cases. However, at finer spatial scales, in particular age-groups, retail sales may help augment existing surveillance and merit further study.</AbstractText>
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