Global Mortality Impact of the 1957-1959 Influenza Pandemic.
Identifieur interne : 000555 ( PubMed/Curation ); précédent : 000554; suivant : 000556Global Mortality Impact of the 1957-1959 Influenza Pandemic.
Auteurs : Cécile Viboud [États-Unis] ; Lone Simonsen [Danemark] ; Rodrigo Fuentes ; Jose Flores [Chili] ; Mark A. Miller [États-Unis] ; Gerardo ChowellSource :
- The Journal of infectious diseases [ 1537-6613 ] ; 2016.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Grippe humaine (histoire), Grippe humaine (mortalité), Grippe humaine (virologie), Grippe humaine (épidémiologie), Histoire du 20ème siècle, Humains, Jeune adulte, Nourrisson, Pandémies (histoire), Santé mondiale, Sous-type H2N2 du virus de la grippe A.
- MESH :
- histoire : Grippe humaine, Pandémies.
- mortalité : Grippe humaine.
- virologie : Grippe humaine.
- épidémiologie : Grippe humaine.
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Histoire du 20ème siècle, Humains, Jeune adulte, Nourrisson, Santé mondiale, Sous-type H2N2 du virus de la grippe A.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- epidemiology : Influenza, Human.
- history : Influenza, Human, Pandemics.
- mortality : Influenza, Human.
- virology : Influenza, Human.
- Adolescent, Adult, Child, Child, Preschool, Global Health, History, 20th Century, Humans, Infant, Influenza A Virus, H2N2 Subtype, Middle Aged, Young Adult.
Abstract
Quantitative estimates of the global burden of the 1957 influenza pandemic are lacking. Here we fill this gap by modeling historical mortality statistics.
DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiv534
PubMed: 26908781
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Rodrigo Fuentes<affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Epidemiology, Ministerio de Salud, and.</nlm:affiliation>
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<wicri:noCountry code="subField">Atlanta</wicri:noCountry>
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Le document en format XML
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Quantitative estimates of the global burden of the 1957 influenza pandemic are lacking. Here we fill this gap by modeling historical mortality statistics.</div>
</front>
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<Month>03</Month>
<Day>06</Day>
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<Title>The Journal of infectious diseases</Title>
<ISOAbbreviation>J. Infect. Dis.</ISOAbbreviation>
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<ArticleTitle>Global Mortality Impact of the 1957-1959 Influenza Pandemic.</ArticleTitle>
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<Abstract><AbstractText Label="BACKGROUND" NlmCategory="BACKGROUND">Quantitative estimates of the global burden of the 1957 influenza pandemic are lacking. Here we fill this gap by modeling historical mortality statistics.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="METHODS" NlmCategory="METHODS">We used annual rates of age- and cause-specific deaths to estimate pandemic-related mortality in excess of background levels in 39 countries in Europe, the Asia-Pacific region, and the Americas. We modeled the relationship between excess mortality and development indicators to extrapolate the global burden of the pandemic.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">The pandemic-associated excess respiratory mortality rate was 1.9/10,000 population (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2-2.6 cases/10,000 population) on average during 1957-1959. Excess mortality rates varied 70-fold across countries; Europe and Latin America experienced the lowest and highest rates, respectively. Excess mortality was delayed by 1-2 years in 18 countries (46%). Increases in the mortality rate relative to baseline were greatest in school-aged children and young adults, with no evidence that elderly population was spared from excess mortality. Development indicators were moderate predictors of excess mortality, explaining 35%-77% of the variance. Overall, we attribute 1.1 million excess deaths (95% CI, .7 million-1.5 million excess deaths) globally to the 1957-1959 pandemic.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="CONCLUSIONS" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">The global mortality rate of the 1957-1959 influenza pandemic was moderate relative to that of the 1918 pandemic but was approximately 10-fold greater than that of the 2009 pandemic. The impact of the pandemic on mortality was delayed in several countries, pointing to a window of opportunity for vaccination in a future pandemic.</AbstractText>
<CopyrightInformation>Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America 2016. This work is written by (a) US Government employee(s) and is in the public domain in the US.</CopyrightInformation>
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<ForeName>Cécile</ForeName>
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<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland.</Affiliation>
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</AffiliationInfo>
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<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Flores</LastName>
<ForeName>Jose</ForeName>
<Initials>J</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of South Dakota, Vermillion Biodiversity Laboratories, National Center for the Environment, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
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