Estimating the impact of the next influenza pandemic on population health and health sector capacity in New Zealand.
Identifieur interne : 001E74 ( PubMed/Corpus ); précédent : 001E73; suivant : 001E75Estimating the impact of the next influenza pandemic on population health and health sector capacity in New Zealand.
Auteurs : Nick Wilson ; Osman Mansoor ; Michael BakerSource :
- The New Zealand medical journal [ 1175-8716 ] ; 2004.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- epidemiology : Influenza, Human.
- mortality : Influenza, Human.
- statistics & numerical data : Health Resources, Hospitalization.
- Computer Simulation, Disease Outbreaks, Health Planning, Humans, Incidence, Models, Biological, New Zealand, Software.
Abstract
To estimate the impact of the next influenza pandemic on population health and health sector capacity in New Zealand.
PubMed: 15778744
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<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Estimating the impact of the next influenza pandemic on population health and health sector capacity in New Zealand.</title><author><name sortKey="Wilson, Nick" sort="Wilson, Nick" uniqKey="Wilson N" first="Nick" last="Wilson">Nick Wilson</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Public Health, Wellington School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Otago University,Wellington South, New Zealand. nwilson@actrix.gen.nz</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mansoor, Osman" sort="Mansoor, Osman" uniqKey="Mansoor O" first="Osman" last="Mansoor">Osman Mansoor</name></author><author><name sortKey="Baker, Michael" sort="Baker, Michael" uniqKey="Baker M" first="Michael" last="Baker">Michael Baker</name></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2004">2004</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:15778744</idno><idno type="pmid">15778744</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">001E74</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">001E74</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">Estimating the impact of the next influenza pandemic on population health and health sector capacity in New Zealand.</title><author><name sortKey="Wilson, Nick" sort="Wilson, Nick" uniqKey="Wilson N" first="Nick" last="Wilson">Nick Wilson</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Public Health, Wellington School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Otago University,Wellington South, New Zealand. nwilson@actrix.gen.nz</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mansoor, Osman" sort="Mansoor, Osman" uniqKey="Mansoor O" first="Osman" last="Mansoor">Osman Mansoor</name></author><author><name sortKey="Baker, Michael" sort="Baker, Michael" uniqKey="Baker M" first="Michael" last="Baker">Michael Baker</name></author></analytic><series><title level="j">The New Zealand medical journal</title><idno type="eISSN">1175-8716</idno><imprint><date when="2004" type="published">2004</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Computer Simulation</term><term>Disease Outbreaks</term><term>Health Planning</term><term>Health Resources (statistics & numerical data)</term><term>Hospitalization (statistics & numerical data)</term><term>Humans</term><term>Incidence</term><term>Influenza, Human (epidemiology)</term><term>Influenza, Human (mortality)</term><term>Models, Biological</term><term>New Zealand</term><term>Software</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortality" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="statistics & numerical data" xml:lang="en"><term>Health Resources</term><term>Hospitalization</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Computer Simulation</term><term>Disease Outbreaks</term><term>Health Planning</term><term>Humans</term><term>Incidence</term><term>Models, Biological</term><term>New Zealand</term><term>Software</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">To estimate the impact of the next influenza pandemic on population health and health sector capacity in New Zealand.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">15778744</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2005</Year><Month>07</Month><Day>06</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2018</Year><Month>12</Month><Day>01</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1175-8716</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>118</Volume><Issue>1211</Issue><PubDate><Year>2004</Year><Month>Mar</Month><Day>11</Day></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>The New Zealand medical journal</Title><ISOAbbreviation>N. Z. Med. J.</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Estimating the impact of the next influenza pandemic on population health and health sector capacity in New Zealand.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>U1346</MedlinePgn></Pagination><Abstract><AbstractText Label="AIM" NlmCategory="OBJECTIVE">To estimate the impact of the next influenza pandemic on population health and health sector capacity in New Zealand.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="METHOD" NlmCategory="METHODS">Population data for New Zealand was used with the software package 'FluAid' (CDC, Atlanta). Additional data was used to provide estimates of impacts on health sector capacity.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">For incidence rates in the 15% to 35% range for the first pandemic wave, the modelling results give a range of 1600 to 3700 deaths attributable to pandemic influenza. The estimated range of hospitalisations was between 6900 and 16,200. The estimated number of cases of illness requiring medical consultation ranged from 325,000 to 759,000. For the peak week of an 8-week epidemic (35% incidence scenario), it was estimated that 42% of all public hospital beds would be required at least for some proportion of the week and that the average general practitioner would be consulted by around 80 people with influenza.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="CONCLUSION" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">This modelling work has a number of limitations and so these results could still substantially over- or under-estimate the impact of the next influenza pandemic. Nevertheless, the potentially severe impact of pandemic influenza on population health and health sector capacity provides a strong case for health authorities to intensify preparatory efforts and to strengthen health sector infrastructure.</AbstractText></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Wilson</LastName><ForeName>Nick</ForeName><Initials>N</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Public Health, Wellington School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Otago University,Wellington South, New Zealand. nwilson@actrix.gen.nz</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Mansoor</LastName><ForeName>Osman</ForeName><Initials>O</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Baker</LastName><ForeName>Michael</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D013485">Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2004</Year><Month>03</Month><Day>11</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>New Zealand</Country><MedlineTA>N Z Med J</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>0401067</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>0028-8446</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><CommentsCorrectionsList><CommentsCorrections RefType="CommentIn"><RefSource>N Z Med J. 2005 Mar 11;118(1211):U1343</RefSource><PMID Version="1">15778745</PMID></CommentsCorrections></CommentsCorrectionsList><MeshHeadingList><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D003198" MajorTopicYN="Y">Computer Simulation</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D004196" MajorTopicYN="Y">Disease Outbreaks</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006285" MajorTopicYN="Y">Health Planning</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006295" MajorTopicYN="N">Health Resources</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000706" MajorTopicYN="N">statistics & numerical data</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006760" MajorTopicYN="N">Hospitalization</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000706" MajorTopicYN="N">statistics & numerical data</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006801" MajorTopicYN="N">Humans</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D015994" MajorTopicYN="N">Incidence</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D007251" MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza, Human</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="Y">epidemiology</QualifierName><QualifierName UI="Q000401" MajorTopicYN="N">mortality</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D008954" MajorTopicYN="Y">Models, Biological</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D009520" MajorTopicYN="N">New Zealand</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D012984" MajorTopicYN="N">Software</DescriptorName></MeshHeading></MeshHeadingList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2005</Year><Month>3</Month><Day>22</Day><Hour>9</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2005</Year><Month>7</Month><Day>7</Day><Hour>9</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2005</Year><Month>3</Month><Day>22</Day><Hour>9</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>epublish</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">15778744</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></PubmedData></pubmed></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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