A comparative study of the 1918-1920 influenza pandemic in Japan, USA and UK: mortality impact and implications for pandemic planning.
Identifieur interne : 001816 ( PubMed/Corpus ); précédent : 001815; suivant : 001817A comparative study of the 1918-1920 influenza pandemic in Japan, USA and UK: mortality impact and implications for pandemic planning.
Auteurs : S A Richard ; N. Sugaya ; L. Simonsen ; M A Miller ; C. ViboudSource :
- Epidemiology and infection [ 0950-2688 ] ; 2009.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- epidemiology : Japan, United Kingdom, United States.
- history : Disease Outbreaks, Influenza, Human.
- mortality : Influenza, Human.
- Age Distribution, History, 20th Century, Humans.
Abstract
Historical studies of influenza pandemics can provide insight into transmission and mortality patterns, and may aid in planning for a future pandemic. Here, we analyse historical vital statistics and quantify the age-specific mortality patterns associated with the 1918-1920 influenza pandemic in Japan, USA, and UK. All three countries showed highly elevated mortality risk in young adults relative to surrounding non-pandemic years. By contrast, the risk of death was low in the very young and very old. In Japan, the overall mortality impact was not limited to winter 1918-1919, and continued during winter 1919-1920. Mortality impact varied as much as threefold across the 47 Japanese prefectures, and differences in baseline mortality, population demographics, and density explained a small fraction of these variations. Our study highlights important geographical variations in timing and mortality impact of historical pandemics, in particular between the Eastern and Western hemispheres. In a future pandemic, vaccination in one region could save lives even months after the emergence of a pandemic virus in another region.
DOI: 10.1017/S0950268809002088
PubMed: 19215637
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pubmed:19215637Le document en format XML
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Here, we analyse historical vital statistics and quantify the age-specific mortality patterns associated with the 1918-1920 influenza pandemic in Japan, USA, and UK. All three countries showed highly elevated mortality risk in young adults relative to surrounding non-pandemic years. By contrast, the risk of death was low in the very young and very old. In Japan, the overall mortality impact was not limited to winter 1918-1919, and continued during winter 1919-1920. Mortality impact varied as much as threefold across the 47 Japanese prefectures, and differences in baseline mortality, population demographics, and density explained a small fraction of these variations. Our study highlights important geographical variations in timing and mortality impact of historical pandemics, in particular between the Eastern and Western hemispheres. In a future pandemic, vaccination in one region could save lives even months after the emergence of a pandemic virus in another region.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">19215637</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2009</Year><Month>09</Month><Day>17</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2019</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>03</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print-Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Print">0950-2688</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Print"><Volume>137</Volume><Issue>8</Issue><PubDate><Year>2009</Year><Month>Aug</Month></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Epidemiology and infection</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Epidemiol. 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