Does the weather play a role in the spread of pandemic influenza? A study of H1N1pdm09 infections in France during 2009-2010.
Identifieur interne : 000638 ( PubMed/Corpus ); précédent : 000637; suivant : 000639Does the weather play a role in the spread of pandemic influenza? A study of H1N1pdm09 infections in France during 2009-2010.
Auteurs : M. Vittecoq ; B. Roche ; J-M Cohen ; F. Renaud ; F. Thomas ; M. Gauthier-ClercSource :
- Epidemiology and infection [ 1469-4409 ] ; 2015.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : France.
- epidemiology : Influenza, Human.
- isolation & purification : Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype.
- virology : Influenza, Human.
- Demography, Humans, Meteorological Concepts, Pandemics, Socioeconomic Factors.
Abstract
Understanding patterns of influenza spread and persistence is crucial for pandemic preparedness. The H1N1pdm09 virus caused the first influenza pandemic of the 21st century which resulted in at least 18500 deaths. Based on laboratory-confirmed primary-care case reports we investigated the role of weather conditions and socio-demographic variables in its initial spread and subsequent presence in France. Our findings suggest that low relative humidity and high population density were determinants in shaping the early spread of the virus at the national level. Those conditions also favoured the persistence of viral presence throughout the first 33 weeks of the pandemic. Additionally this persistence was significantly favoured by low insolation. These results confirm the increasingly recognized role of humidity in influenza dynamics and underlie the concomitant effect of insolation. Therefore climatic factors should be taken into account when designing influenza control and prevention measures.
DOI: 10.1017/S0950268815000941
PubMed: 26112598
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pubmed:26112598Le document en format XML
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Renaud</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Maladies Infectieuses et Vecteurs: Ecologie,Génétique,Evolution et Contrôle,UMR (IRD/CNRS/UM) 5290,Montpellier,France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Thomas, F" sort="Thomas, F" uniqKey="Thomas F" first="F" last="Thomas">F. Thomas</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Maladies Infectieuses et Vecteurs: Ecologie,Génétique,Evolution et Contrôle,UMR (IRD/CNRS/UM) 5290,Montpellier,France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Gauthier Clerc, M" sort="Gauthier Clerc, M" uniqKey="Gauthier Clerc M" first="M" last="Gauthier-Clerc">M. Gauthier-Clerc</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre de Recherche de la Tour du Valat,Le Sambuc,Arles,France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2015">2015</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:26112598</idno><idno type="pmid">26112598</idno><idno type="doi">10.1017/S0950268815000941</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">000638</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000638</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">Does the weather play a role in the spread of pandemic influenza? A study of H1N1pdm09 infections in France during 2009-2010.</title><author><name sortKey="Vittecoq, M" sort="Vittecoq, M" uniqKey="Vittecoq M" first="M" last="Vittecoq">M. Vittecoq</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre de Recherche de la Tour du Valat,Le Sambuc,Arles,France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Roche, B" sort="Roche, B" uniqKey="Roche B" first="B" last="Roche">B. Roche</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>UMMISCO (UMI IRD/UPMC),Bondy Cedex,France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Cohen, J M" sort="Cohen, J M" uniqKey="Cohen J" first="J-M" last="Cohen">J-M Cohen</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Réseau des GROG & OpenRome,Paris,France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Renaud, F" sort="Renaud, F" uniqKey="Renaud F" first="F" last="Renaud">F. Renaud</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Maladies Infectieuses et Vecteurs: Ecologie,Génétique,Evolution et Contrôle,UMR (IRD/CNRS/UM) 5290,Montpellier,France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Thomas, F" sort="Thomas, F" uniqKey="Thomas F" first="F" last="Thomas">F. Thomas</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Maladies Infectieuses et Vecteurs: Ecologie,Génétique,Evolution et Contrôle,UMR (IRD/CNRS/UM) 5290,Montpellier,France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Gauthier Clerc, M" sort="Gauthier Clerc, M" uniqKey="Gauthier Clerc M" first="M" last="Gauthier-Clerc">M. Gauthier-Clerc</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre de Recherche de la Tour du Valat,Le Sambuc,Arles,France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Epidemiology and infection</title><idno type="eISSN">1469-4409</idno><imprint><date when="2015" type="published">2015</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Demography</term><term>France (epidemiology)</term><term>Humans</term><term>Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype (isolation & purification)</term><term>Influenza, Human (epidemiology)</term><term>Influenza, Human (virology)</term><term>Meteorological Concepts</term><term>Pandemics</term><term>Socioeconomic Factors</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>France</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="isolation & purification" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="virology" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Demography</term><term>Humans</term><term>Meteorological Concepts</term><term>Pandemics</term><term>Socioeconomic Factors</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Understanding patterns of influenza spread and persistence is crucial for pandemic preparedness. The H1N1pdm09 virus caused the first influenza pandemic of the 21st century which resulted in at least 18500 deaths. Based on laboratory-confirmed primary-care case reports we investigated the role of weather conditions and socio-demographic variables in its initial spread and subsequent presence in France. Our findings suggest that low relative humidity and high population density were determinants in shaping the early spread of the virus at the national level. Those conditions also favoured the persistence of viral presence throughout the first 33 weeks of the pandemic. Additionally this persistence was significantly favoured by low insolation. These results confirm the increasingly recognized role of humidity in influenza dynamics and underlie the concomitant effect of insolation. Therefore climatic factors should be taken into account when designing influenza control and prevention measures. </div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">26112598</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2016</Year><Month>01</Month><Day>25</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2015</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>23</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print-Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1469-4409</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>143</Volume><Issue>16</Issue><PubDate><Year>2015</Year><Month>Dec</Month></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Epidemiology and infection</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Epidemiol. Infect.</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Does the weather play a role in the spread of pandemic influenza? A study of H1N1pdm09 infections in France during 2009-2010.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>3384-93</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1017/S0950268815000941</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText>Understanding patterns of influenza spread and persistence is crucial for pandemic preparedness. The H1N1pdm09 virus caused the first influenza pandemic of the 21st century which resulted in at least 18500 deaths. Based on laboratory-confirmed primary-care case reports we investigated the role of weather conditions and socio-demographic variables in its initial spread and subsequent presence in France. Our findings suggest that low relative humidity and high population density were determinants in shaping the early spread of the virus at the national level. Those conditions also favoured the persistence of viral presence throughout the first 33 weeks of the pandemic. Additionally this persistence was significantly favoured by low insolation. These results confirm the increasingly recognized role of humidity in influenza dynamics and underlie the concomitant effect of insolation. Therefore climatic factors should be taken into account when designing influenza control and prevention measures. </AbstractText></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Vittecoq</LastName><ForeName>M</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Centre de Recherche de la Tour du Valat,Le Sambuc,Arles,France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Roche</LastName><ForeName>B</ForeName><Initials>B</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>UMMISCO (UMI IRD/UPMC),Bondy Cedex,France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Cohen</LastName><ForeName>J-M</ForeName><Initials>JM</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Réseau des GROG & OpenRome,Paris,France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Renaud</LastName><ForeName>F</ForeName><Initials>F</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Maladies Infectieuses et Vecteurs: Ecologie,Génétique,Evolution et Contrôle,UMR (IRD/CNRS/UM) 5290,Montpellier,France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Thomas</LastName><ForeName>F</ForeName><Initials>F</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Maladies Infectieuses et Vecteurs: Ecologie,Génétique,Evolution et Contrôle,UMR (IRD/CNRS/UM) 5290,Montpellier,France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Gauthier-Clerc</LastName><ForeName>M</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Centre de Recherche de la Tour du Valat,Le Sambuc,Arles,France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D013485">Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2015</Year><Month>06</Month><Day>26</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>England</Country><MedlineTA>Epidemiol Infect</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>8703737</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>0950-2688</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><MeshHeadingList><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D003710" MajorTopicYN="N">Demography</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D005602" MajorTopicYN="N" Type="Geographic">France</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006801" MajorTopicYN="N">Humans</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D053118" MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000302" MajorTopicYN="Y">isolation & purification</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D007251" MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza, Human</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="Y">epidemiology</QualifierName><QualifierName UI="Q000821" MajorTopicYN="Y">virology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D008685" MajorTopicYN="Y">Meteorological Concepts</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D058873" MajorTopicYN="Y">Pandemics</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D012959" MajorTopicYN="N">Socioeconomic Factors</DescriptorName></MeshHeading></MeshHeadingList><KeywordList Owner="NOTNLM"><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza A</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">modelling</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">pandemic</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">spread of disease</Keyword></KeywordList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2015</Year><Month>6</Month><Day>27</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2015</Year><Month>6</Month><Day>27</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2016</Year><Month>1</Month><Day>26</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>ppublish</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">26112598</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pii">S0950268815000941</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="doi">10.1017/S0950268815000941</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></PubmedData></pubmed></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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