Spatiotemporal Patterns and Diffusion of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in British India
Identifieur interne : 000E79 ( Pmc/Curation ); précédent : 000E78; suivant : 000E80Spatiotemporal Patterns and Diffusion of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in British India
Auteurs : Olivia Reyes [États-Unis] ; Elizabeth C. Lee [États-Unis] ; Pratha Sah [États-Unis] ; Cécile Viboud [États-Unis] ; Siddharth Chandra [États-Unis] ; Shweta Bansal [États-Unis]Source :
- American Journal of Epidemiology [ 0002-9262 ] ; 2018.
Abstract
The factors that drive spatial heterogeneity and diffusion of pandemic influenza remain debated. We characterized the spatiotemporal mortality patterns of the 1918 influenza pandemic in British India and studied the role of demographic factors, environmental variables, and mobility processes on the observed patterns of spread. Fever-related and all-cause excess mortality data across 206 districts in India from January 1916 to December 1920 were analyzed while controlling for variation in seasonality particular to India. Aspects of the 1918 autumn wave in India matched signature features of influenza pandemics, with high disease burden among young adults, (moderate) spatial heterogeneity in burden, and highly synchronized outbreaks across the country deviating from annual seasonality. Importantly, we found population density and rainfall explained the spatial variation in excess mortality, and long-distance travel via railroad was predictive of the observed spatial diffusion of disease. A spatiotemporal analysis of mortality patterns during the 1918 influenza pandemic in India was integrated in this study with data on underlying factors and processes to reveal transmission mechanisms in a large, intensely connected setting with significant climatic variability. The characterization of such heterogeneity during historical pandemics is crucial to prepare for future pandemics.
Url:
DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwy209
PubMed: 30252017
PubMed Central: 6269240
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
- to stream Pmc, to step Corpus: Pour aller vers cette notice dans l'étape Curation :000E79
Links to Exploration step
PMC:6269240Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Spatiotemporal Patterns and Diffusion of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in British India</title>
<author><name sortKey="Reyes, Olivia" sort="Reyes, Olivia" uniqKey="Reyes O" first="Olivia" last="Reyes">Olivia Reyes</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0001">Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington, DC</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">District de Columbia</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Lee, Elizabeth C" sort="Lee, Elizabeth C" uniqKey="Lee E" first="Elizabeth C" last="Lee">Elizabeth C. Lee</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0001">Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington, DC</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">District de Columbia</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Sah, Pratha" sort="Sah, Pratha" uniqKey="Sah P" first="Pratha" last="Sah">Pratha Sah</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0001">Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington, DC</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">District de Columbia</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Viboud, Cecile" sort="Viboud, Cecile" uniqKey="Viboud C" first="Cécile" last="Viboud">Cécile Viboud</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0002">Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Maryland</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Chandra, Siddharth" sort="Chandra, Siddharth" uniqKey="Chandra S" first="Siddharth" last="Chandra">Siddharth Chandra</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0003">Asian Studies Center, James Madison College, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Michigan</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Asian Studies Center, James Madison College, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Michigan State University, East Lansing</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Bansal, Shweta" sort="Bansal, Shweta" uniqKey="Bansal S" first="Shweta" last="Bansal">Shweta Bansal</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0001">Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington, DC</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">District de Columbia</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0002">Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Maryland</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
</titleStmt>
<publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno>
<idno type="pmid">30252017</idno>
<idno type="pmc">6269240</idno>
<idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6269240</idno>
<idno type="RBID">PMC:6269240</idno>
<idno type="doi">10.1093/aje/kwy209</idno>
<date when="2018">2018</date>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">000E79</idno>
<idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">000E79</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">000E79</idno>
<idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Curation">000E79</idno>
</publicationStmt>
<sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Spatiotemporal Patterns and Diffusion of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in British India</title>
<author><name sortKey="Reyes, Olivia" sort="Reyes, Olivia" uniqKey="Reyes O" first="Olivia" last="Reyes">Olivia Reyes</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0001">Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington, DC</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">District de Columbia</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Lee, Elizabeth C" sort="Lee, Elizabeth C" uniqKey="Lee E" first="Elizabeth C" last="Lee">Elizabeth C. Lee</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0001">Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington, DC</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">District de Columbia</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Sah, Pratha" sort="Sah, Pratha" uniqKey="Sah P" first="Pratha" last="Sah">Pratha Sah</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0001">Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington, DC</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">District de Columbia</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Viboud, Cecile" sort="Viboud, Cecile" uniqKey="Viboud C" first="Cécile" last="Viboud">Cécile Viboud</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0002">Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Maryland</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Chandra, Siddharth" sort="Chandra, Siddharth" uniqKey="Chandra S" first="Siddharth" last="Chandra">Siddharth Chandra</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0003">Asian Studies Center, James Madison College, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Michigan</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Asian Studies Center, James Madison College, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Michigan State University, East Lansing</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Bansal, Shweta" sort="Bansal, Shweta" uniqKey="Bansal S" first="Shweta" last="Bansal">Shweta Bansal</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0001">Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington, DC</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">District de Columbia</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="AF0002">Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Maryland</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
</analytic>
<series><title level="j">American Journal of Epidemiology</title>
<idno type="ISSN">0002-9262</idno>
<idno type="eISSN">1476-6256</idno>
<imprint><date when="2018">2018</date>
</imprint>
</series>
</biblStruct>
</sourceDesc>
</fileDesc>
<profileDesc><textClass></textClass>
</profileDesc>
</teiHeader>
<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><title>Abstract</title>
<p>The factors that drive spatial heterogeneity and diffusion of pandemic influenza remain debated. We characterized the spatiotemporal mortality patterns of the 1918 influenza pandemic in British India and studied the role of demographic factors, environmental variables, and mobility processes on the observed patterns of spread. Fever-related and all-cause excess mortality data across 206 districts in India from January 1916 to December 1920 were analyzed while controlling for variation in seasonality particular to India. Aspects of the 1918 autumn wave in India matched signature features of influenza pandemics, with high disease burden among young adults, (moderate) spatial heterogeneity in burden, and highly synchronized outbreaks across the country deviating from annual seasonality. Importantly, we found population density and rainfall explained the spatial variation in excess mortality, and long-distance travel via railroad was predictive of the observed spatial diffusion of disease. A spatiotemporal analysis of mortality patterns during the 1918 influenza pandemic in India was integrated in this study with data on underlying factors and processes to reveal transmission mechanisms in a large, intensely connected setting with significant climatic variability. The characterization of such heterogeneity during historical pandemics is crucial to prepare for future pandemics.</p>
</div>
</front>
</TEI>
<pmc article-type="review-article"><pmc-comment>The publisher of this article does not allow downloading of the full text in XML form.</pmc-comment>
<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Am J Epidemiol</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">Am. J. Epidemiol</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">aje</journal-id>
<journal-title-group><journal-title>American Journal of Epidemiology</journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="ppub">0002-9262</issn>
<issn pub-type="epub">1476-6256</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Oxford University Press</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">30252017</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="pmc">6269240</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1093/aje/kwy209</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">kwy209</article-id>
<article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Epidemiology in History</subject>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group><article-title>Spatiotemporal Patterns and Diffusion of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in British India</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Reyes</surname>
<given-names>Olivia</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="AF0001">1</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Lee</surname>
<given-names>Elizabeth C</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="AF0001">1</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Sah</surname>
<given-names>Pratha</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="AF0001">1</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Viboud</surname>
<given-names>Cécile</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="AF0002">2</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Chandra</surname>
<given-names>Siddharth</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="AF0003">3</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Bansal</surname>
<given-names>Shweta</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="kwy209cor1"></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="AF0001">1</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="AF0002">2</xref>
<pmc-comment>shweta.bansal@georgetown.edu </pmc-comment>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="AF0001"><label>1</label>
Department of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington, DC</aff>
<aff id="AF0002"><label>2</label>
Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland</aff>
<aff id="AF0003"><label>3</label>
Asian Studies Center, James Madison College, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan</aff>
<author-notes><corresp id="kwy209cor1">Correspondence to Dr. Shweta Bansal, Department of Biology, Georgetown University, 37th and O Streets NW, Washington, DC 20057 (e-mail: <email>shweta.bansal@georgetown.edu</email>
).</corresp>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="ppub"><month>12</month>
<year>2018</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub" iso-8601-date="2018-09-25"><day>25</day>
<month>9</month>
<year>2018</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="pmc-release"><day>01</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<pmc-comment> PMC Release delay is 12 months and
0 days and was based on the . </pmc-comment>
<volume>187</volume>
<issue>12</issue>
<fpage>2550</fpage>
<lpage>2560</lpage>
<history><date date-type="received"><day>23</day>
<month>4</month>
<year>2018</year>
</date>
<date date-type="rev-recd"><day>05</day>
<month>9</month>
<year>2018</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted"><day>07</day>
<month>9</month>
<year>2018</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions><copyright-statement>Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 2018.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2018</copyright-year>
<license license-type="us-gov"><license-p>This work is written by (a) US Government employee(s) and is in the public domain in the US.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="kwy209.pdf"></self-uri>
<abstract><title>Abstract</title>
<p>The factors that drive spatial heterogeneity and diffusion of pandemic influenza remain debated. We characterized the spatiotemporal mortality patterns of the 1918 influenza pandemic in British India and studied the role of demographic factors, environmental variables, and mobility processes on the observed patterns of spread. Fever-related and all-cause excess mortality data across 206 districts in India from January 1916 to December 1920 were analyzed while controlling for variation in seasonality particular to India. Aspects of the 1918 autumn wave in India matched signature features of influenza pandemics, with high disease burden among young adults, (moderate) spatial heterogeneity in burden, and highly synchronized outbreaks across the country deviating from annual seasonality. Importantly, we found population density and rainfall explained the spatial variation in excess mortality, and long-distance travel via railroad was predictive of the observed spatial diffusion of disease. A spatiotemporal analysis of mortality patterns during the 1918 influenza pandemic in India was integrated in this study with data on underlying factors and processes to reveal transmission mechanisms in a large, intensely connected setting with significant climatic variability. The characterization of such heterogeneity during historical pandemics is crucial to prepare for future pandemics.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group><kwd>diffusion</kwd>
<kwd>environment</kwd>
<kwd>influenza</kwd>
<kwd>mobility</kwd>
<kwd>pandemic</kwd>
<kwd>spatial heterogeneity</kwd>
<kwd>transportation</kwd>
<kwd>tropics</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<funding-group><award-group award-type="grant"><funding-source><named-content content-type="funder-name">National Science Foundation</named-content>
<named-content content-type="funder-identifier">10.13039/100000001</named-content>
</funding-source>
<award-id>BCS-1244796</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group award-type="grant"><funding-source><named-content content-type="funder-name">National Institutes of Health</named-content>
<named-content content-type="funder-identifier">10.13039/100000002</named-content>
</funding-source>
<award-id>1-R21-DA025917</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group award-type="grant"><funding-source><named-content content-type="funder-name">Science & Technology Directorate</named-content>
<named-content content-type="funder-identifier">10.13039/100008287</named-content>
</funding-source>
</award-group>
<award-group award-type="grant"><funding-source><named-content content-type="funder-name">Department of Homeland Security</named-content>
<named-content content-type="funder-identifier">10.13039/100000180</named-content>
</funding-source>
</award-group>
<award-group award-type="grant"><funding-source><named-content content-type="funder-name">Fogarty International Center</named-content>
<named-content content-type="funder-identifier">10.13039/100000061</named-content>
</funding-source>
</award-group>
<award-group award-type="grant"><funding-source><named-content content-type="funder-name">NIH</named-content>
<named-content content-type="funder-identifier">10.13039/100000002</named-content>
</funding-source>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
<counts><page-count count="11"></page-count>
</counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
</pmc>
</record>
Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Sante/explor/PandemieGrippaleV1/Data/Pmc/Curation
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 000E79 | SxmlIndent | more
Ou
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Pmc/Curation/biblio.hfd -nk 000E79 | SxmlIndent | more
Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri
{{Explor lien |wiki= Sante |area= PandemieGrippaleV1 |flux= Pmc |étape= Curation |type= RBID |clé= PMC:6269240 |texte= Spatiotemporal Patterns and Diffusion of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in British India }}
Pour générer des pages wiki
HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Pmc/Curation/RBID.i -Sk "pubmed:30252017" \ | HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Pmc/Curation/biblio.hfd \ | NlmPubMed2Wicri -a PandemieGrippaleV1
![]() | This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.34. | ![]() |