Does homologous reinfection drive multiple-wave influenza outbreaks? Accounting for immunodynamics in epidemiological models☆
Identifieur interne : 001769 ( Ncbi/Curation ); précédent : 001768; suivant : 001770Does homologous reinfection drive multiple-wave influenza outbreaks? Accounting for immunodynamics in epidemiological models☆
Auteurs : A. Camacho [France, Royaume-Uni] ; B. Cazelles [France]Source :
- Epidemics [ 1755-4365 ] ; 2013.
Abstract
We model the primary immune responses to influenza infection in humans. We examine the interplay between immunological and epidemiological dynamics. The model explains cases of homologous reinfection reported during past pandemics. Three epidemic profiles can arise depending on the degree of population mixing. A substantial proportion of infected host would remain unprotected after the 2009 influenza pandemic.
Url:
DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2013.09.003
PubMed: 24267875
PubMed Central: 3863957
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<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Does homologous reinfection drive multiple-wave influenza outbreaks? Accounting for immunodynamics in epidemiological models<sup><xref ref-type="fn" rid="d32e809">☆</xref></sup></title><author><name sortKey="Camacho, A" sort="Camacho, A" uniqKey="Camacho A" first="A." last="Camacho">A. 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Accounting for immunodynamics in epidemiological models<sup><xref ref-type="fn" rid="d32e809">☆</xref></sup></title><author><name sortKey="Camacho, A" sort="Camacho, A" uniqKey="Camacho A" first="A." last="Camacho">A. Camacho</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff0005">Eco-Evolution Mathématique, UMR 7625, CNRS-UPMC-ENS, 75230 Paris Cedex 05, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Eco-Evolution Mathématique, UMR 7625, CNRS-UPMC-ENS, 75230 Paris Cedex 05</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region" nuts="2">Île-de-France</region><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff0010">Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Cazelles, B" sort="Cazelles, B" uniqKey="Cazelles B" first="B." last="Cazelles">B. Cazelles</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff0005">Eco-Evolution Mathématique, UMR 7625, CNRS-UPMC-ENS, 75230 Paris Cedex 05, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Eco-Evolution Mathématique, UMR 7625, CNRS-UPMC-ENS, 75230 Paris Cedex 05</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region" nuts="2">Île-de-France</region><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff0015">UMMISCO UMI 209 IRD-UPMC, F-93142 Bondy, France</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>UMMISCO UMI 209 IRD-UPMC, F-93142 Bondy</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region" nuts="2">Île-de-France</region><settlement type="city">Bondy</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Epidemics</title><idno type="ISSN">1755-4365</idno><idno type="eISSN">1878-0067</idno><imprint><date when="2013">2013</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><title>Highlights</title><p><list list-type="simple"><list-item id="listitem0005"><label>•</label><p>We model the primary immune responses to influenza infection in humans.</p></list-item><list-item id="listitem0010"><label>•</label><p>We examine the interplay between immunological and epidemiological dynamics.</p></list-item><list-item id="listitem0015"><label>•</label><p>The model explains cases of homologous reinfection reported during past pandemics.</p></list-item><list-item id="listitem0020"><label>•</label><p>Three epidemic profiles can arise depending on the degree of population mixing.</p></list-item><list-item id="listitem0025"><label>•</label><p>A substantial proportion of infected host would remain unprotected after the 2009 influenza pandemic.</p></list-item></list></p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Anonymous" uniqKey="Anonymous">Anonymous</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Baguelin, M" uniqKey="Baguelin M">M. 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