Enhancement of Collective Immunity in Tokyo Metropolitan Area by Selective Vaccination against an Emerging Influenza Pandemic
Identifieur interne : 001736 ( Ncbi/Curation ); précédent : 001735; suivant : 001737Enhancement of Collective Immunity in Tokyo Metropolitan Area by Selective Vaccination against an Emerging Influenza Pandemic
Auteurs : Masaya M. Saito [Japon] ; Seiya Imoto [Japon] ; Rui Yamaguchi [Japon] ; Masaharu Tsubokura [Japon] ; Masahiro Kami [Japon] ; Haruka Nakada [Japon] ; Hiroki Sato [Japon] ; Satoru Miyano [Japon] ; Tomoyuki Higuchi [Japon]Source :
- PLoS ONE [ 1932-6203 ] ; 2013.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Femelle, Grippe humaine (), Grippe humaine (immunologie), Grippe humaine (épidémiologie), Humains, Modèles statistiques, Mâle, Nourrisson, Pandémies, Population urbaine, Simulation numérique, Sujet âgé, Tokyo (épidémiologie), Transports, Vaccination, Vaccins antigrippaux (administration et posologie), Vaccins antigrippaux (immunologie).
- MESH :
- administration et posologie : Vaccins antigrippaux.
- immunologie : Grippe humaine, Vaccins antigrippaux.
- épidémiologie : Grippe humaine, Tokyo.
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Femelle, Grippe humaine, Humains, Modèles statistiques, Mâle, Nourrisson, Pandémies, Population urbaine, Simulation numérique, Sujet âgé, Transports, Vaccination.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Child, Child, Preschool, Computer Simulation, Female, Humans, Infant, Influenza Vaccines (administration & dosage), Influenza Vaccines (immunology), Influenza, Human (epidemiology), Influenza, Human (immunology), Influenza, Human (prevention & control), Male, Middle Aged, Models, Statistical, Pandemics, Tokyo (epidemiology), Transportation, Urban Population, Vaccination.
- MESH :
- chemical , administration & dosage : Influenza Vaccines.
- chemical , immunology : Influenza Vaccines.
- geographic , epidemiology : Tokyo.
- epidemiology : Influenza, Human.
- immunology : Influenza, Human.
- prevention & control : Influenza, Human.
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Child, Child, Preschool, Computer Simulation, Female, Humans, Infant, Male, Middle Aged, Models, Statistical, Pandemics, Transportation, Urban Population, Vaccination.
Abstract
Vaccination is a preventive measure against influenza that does not require placing restrictions on social activities. However, since the stockpile of vaccine that can be prepared before the arrival of an emerging pandemic strain is generally quite limited, one has to select priority target groups to which the first stockpile is distributed. In this paper, we study a simulation-based priority target selection method with the goal of enhancing the collective immunity of the whole population. To model the region in which the disease spreads, we consider an urban area composed of suburbs and central areas connected by a single commuter train line. Human activity is modelled following an agent-based approach. The degree to which collective immunity is enhanced is judged by the attack rate in unvaccinated people. The simulation results show that if students and office workers are given exclusive priority in the first three months, the attack rate can be reduced from
Url:
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0072866
PubMed: 24058445
PubMed Central: 3776821
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PMC:3776821Le document en format XML
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Vaccination is a preventive measure against influenza that does not require placing restrictions on social activities. However, since the stockpile of vaccine that can be prepared before the arrival of an emerging pandemic strain is generally quite limited, one has to select priority target groups to which the first stockpile is distributed. In this paper, we study a simulation-based priority target selection method with the goal of enhancing the collective immunity of the whole population. To model the region in which the disease spreads, we consider an urban area composed of suburbs and central areas connected by a single commuter train line. Human activity is modelled following an agent-based approach. The degree to which collective immunity is enhanced is judged by the attack rate in unvaccinated people. The simulation results show that if students and office workers are given exclusive priority in the first three months, the attack rate can be reduced from <inline-formula><inline-graphic xlink:href="pone.0072866.e001.jpg"></inline-graphic>
</inline-formula>
in the baseline case down to 1–2%. In contrast, random vaccination only slightly reduces the attack rate. It should be noted that giving preference to active social groups does not mean sacrificing those at high risk, which corresponds to the elderly in our simulation model. Compared with the random administration of vaccine to all social groups, this design successfully reduces the attack rate across all age groups.</p>
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<back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Kerkhove, Mdv" uniqKey="Kerkhove M">MDV Kerkhove</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Vandemaele, Kah" uniqKey="Vandemaele K">KAH Vandemaele</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Shinde, V" uniqKey="Shinde V">V Shinde</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Jaramillo Gutierrez, G" uniqKey="Jaramillo Gutierrez G">G Jaramillo-Gutierrez</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Koukounari, A" uniqKey="Koukounari A">A Koukounari</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Sha, L" uniqKey="Sha L">L Sha</name>
</author>
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