PandemieGrippaleV1, Main, Exploration, bibRecordById, Hal:hal-02562181

Climate Change and Social Unrest: A 6,000‐Year Chronicle From the Eastern Mediterranean

Identifieur interne : 000078 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000077; suivant : 000079

Climate Change and Social Unrest: A 6,000‐Year Chronicle From the Eastern Mediterranean

Auteurs : Kaniewski David [France] ; Nick Marriner [France] ; Rachid Cheddadi [France] ; Peter M. Fischer [Suède] ; Thierry Otto [France] ; Frédéric Luce [France] ; Elise Van Campo [France]

Source :

Geophysical Research Letters [ 0094-8276 ] ; 2020-04-16.

RBID : Hal:hal-02562181

Abstract

The history of the Eastern Mediterranean is punctuated by major crises that have influenced many of the region's established socioeconomic models. Recent studies have underscored the role of drought and temperature oscillations in driving changes but attempts to quantify their magnitude remain equivocal, hindering long‐term assessments of the potential interplay between climate and society. Here, we fill this knowledge gap using a 6,000‐year pollen‐based reconstruction of temperature and precipitation from Hala Sultan Tekke, Cyprus. We find that major social changes and plague outbreaks often occurred in tandem with cooler climate conditions, with anomalies ranging from −3 ± 0.4 °C to −1 ± 0.5 °C, coupled with changing precipitation patterns. We suggest that major climate changes may weaken societies by affecting primary livelihood systems. This long‐term view highlights recurrent cold periods in the Eastern Mediterranean's climate history and advocates that, despite frequent adversity and pandemics, Near Eastern populations adapted and were ultimately resilient to major climate changes

Url:

https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02562181

DOI: 10.1029/2020GL087496

Affiliations:

Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)

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Le document en format XML

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</hal:affiliation>
<country>France</country>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Van Campo, Elise" sort="Van Campo, Elise" uniqKey="Van Campo E" first="Elise" last="Van Campo">Elise Van Campo</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><hal:affiliation type="laboratory" xml:id="struct-24486" status="VALID">          <idno type="IdRef">188392696</idno>
          <idno type="ISNI">0000 0004 0383 1184</idno>
          <idno type="RNSR">200711910V</idno>
          <orgName>Laboratoire Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Environnement</orgName>
          <orgName type="acronym">ECOLAB</orgName>
          <date type="start">2007-01-01</date>
          <desc>            <address>              <addrLine>118 Route de Narbonne 31062 Toulouse</addrLine>
              <country key="FR"></country>
            </address>
            <ref type="url">http://www.ecolab.omp.eu/</ref>
          </desc>
          <listRelation>            <relation active="#struct-302940" type="direct"></relation>
            <relation active="#struct-443875" type="indirect"></relation>
            <relation name="UMR5245" active="#struct-441569" type="direct"></relation>
            <relation active="#struct-217752" type="direct"></relation>
            <relation active="#struct-448187" type="direct"></relation>
          </listRelation>
        <tutelles><tutelle active="#struct-302940" type="direct"><org type="institution" xml:id="struct-302940" status="VALID">          <idno type="RNSR">200719584L</idno>
          <idno type="IdRef">027921417</idno>
          <orgName>Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées</orgName>
          <orgName type="acronym">OMP</orgName>
          <desc>            <address>              <addrLine>14 avenue Edouard Belin, 31400 TOULOUSE</addrLine>
              <country key="FR"></country>
            </address>
            <ref type="url">http://www.obs-mip.fr</ref>
          </desc>
          <listRelation>            <relation active="#struct-443875" type="direct"></relation>
          </listRelation>
        </org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle active="#struct-443875" type="indirect"><org type="regroupinstitution" xml:id="struct-443875" status="VALID">          <orgName>Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées</orgName>
          <desc>            <address>              <addrLine>41 Allée Jules Guesde, 31000 Toulouse</addrLine>
              <country key="FR"></country>
            </address>
          </desc>
        </org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle name="UMR5245" active="#struct-441569" type="direct"><org type="institution" xml:id="struct-441569" status="VALID">          <idno type="IdRef">02636817X</idno>
          <idno type="ISNI">0000000122597504</idno>
          <orgName>Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique</orgName>
          <orgName type="acronym">CNRS</orgName>
          <date type="start">1939-10-19</date>
          <desc>            <address>              <country key="FR"></country>
            </address>
            <ref type="url">http://www.cnrs.fr/</ref>
          </desc>
        </org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle active="#struct-217752" type="direct"><org type="institution" xml:id="struct-217752" status="VALID">          <idno type="IdRef">026404672</idno>
          <idno type="ISNI">0000000121617331</idno>
          <orgName>Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier</orgName>
          <orgName type="acronym">UT3</orgName>
          <desc>            <address>              <addrLine>118 route de Narbonne - 31062 Toulouse</addrLine>
              <country key="FR"></country>
            </address>
            <ref type="url">http://www.univ-tlse3.fr/</ref>
          </desc>
          <listRelation>            <relation active="#struct-443875" type="direct"></relation>
          </listRelation>
        </org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle active="#struct-448187" type="direct"><org type="institution" xml:id="struct-448187" status="VALID">          <idno type="IdRef">026388820</idno>
          <idno type="ISNI">0000000121766169</idno>
          <orgName>Institut National Polytechnique (Toulouse)</orgName>
          <orgName type="acronym">Toulouse INP</orgName>
          <desc>            <address>              <country key="FR"></country>
            </address>
          </desc>
          <listRelation>            <relation active="#struct-443875" type="direct"></relation>
          </listRelation>
        </org>
</tutelle>
</tutelles>
</hal:affiliation>
<country>France</country>
</affiliation>
</author>
</analytic>
<idno type="DOI">10.1029/2020GL087496</idno>
<series><title level="j">Geophysical Research Letters</title>
<idno type="ISSN">0094-8276</idno>
<imprint><date type="datePub">2020-04-16</date>
</imprint>
</series>
</biblStruct>
</sourceDesc>
</fileDesc>
<profileDesc><textClass></textClass>
</profileDesc>
</teiHeader>
<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">              <p>The history of the Eastern Mediterranean is punctuated by major crises that have influenced many of the region's established socioeconomic models. Recent studies have underscored the role of drought and temperature oscillations in driving changes but attempts to quantify their magnitude remain equivocal, hindering long‐term assessments of the potential interplay between climate and society. Here, we fill this knowledge gap using a 6,000‐year pollen‐based reconstruction of temperature and precipitation from Hala Sultan Tekke, Cyprus. We find that major social changes and plague outbreaks often occurred in tandem with cooler climate conditions, with anomalies ranging from −3 ± 0.4 °C to −1 ± 0.5 °C, coupled with changing precipitation patterns. We suggest that major climate changes may weaken societies by affecting primary livelihood systems. This long‐term view highlights recurrent cold periods in the Eastern Mediterranean's climate history and advocates that, despite frequent adversity and pandemics, Near Eastern populations adapted and were ultimately resilient to major climate changes</p>
            </div>
</front>
</TEI>
<affiliations><list><country><li>France</li>
<li>Suède</li>
</country>
<region><li>Franche-Comté</li>
<li>Région Bourgogne</li>
</region>
<settlement><li>Besançon</li>
<li>Dijon</li>
</settlement>
<orgName><li>Université de Bourgogne</li>
<li>Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté</li>
<li>Université de Franche-Comté</li>
</orgName>
</list>
<tree><country name="France"><noRegion><name sortKey="David, Kaniewski" sort="David, Kaniewski" uniqKey="David K" first="Kaniewski" last="David">Kaniewski David</name>
</noRegion>
<name sortKey="Cheddadi, Rachid" sort="Cheddadi, Rachid" uniqKey="Cheddadi R" first="Rachid" last="Cheddadi">Rachid Cheddadi</name>
<name sortKey="Luce, Frederic" sort="Luce, Frederic" uniqKey="Luce F" first="Frédéric" last="Luce">Frédéric Luce</name>
<name sortKey="Marriner, Nick" sort="Marriner, Nick" uniqKey="Marriner N" first="Nick" last="Marriner">Nick Marriner</name>
<name sortKey="Otto, Thierry" sort="Otto, Thierry" uniqKey="Otto T" first="Thierry" last="Otto">Thierry Otto</name>
<name sortKey="Van Campo, Elise" sort="Van Campo, Elise" uniqKey="Van Campo E" first="Elise" last="Van Campo">Elise Van Campo</name>
</country>
<country name="Suède"><noRegion><name sortKey="Fischer, Peter M" sort="Fischer, Peter M" uniqKey="Fischer P" first="Peter M." last="Fischer">Peter M. Fischer</name>
</noRegion>
</country>
</tree>
</affiliations>
</record>

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Climate Change and Social Unrest: A 6,000‐Year Chronicle From the Eastern Mediterranean

Climate Change and Social Unrest: A 6,000‐Year Chronicle From the Eastern Mediterranean

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