Serveur d'exploration sur les pandémies grippales

Attention, ce site est en cours de développement !
Attention, site généré par des moyens informatiques à partir de corpus bruts.
Les informations ne sont donc pas validées.

Influenza-attributable deaths in south-eastern France (1999 to 2010): mortality predictions were undependable

Identifieur interne : 000399 ( Hal/Checkpoint ); précédent : 000398; suivant : 000400

Influenza-attributable deaths in south-eastern France (1999 to 2010): mortality predictions were undependable

Auteurs : Simon-Djamel Thiberville [France] ; Jean Gaudart [France] ; Didier Raoult [France] ; Remi Charrel [France]

Source :

RBID : Hal:hal-01307316

English descriptors

Abstract

Background: Following the 2009 influenza pandemic, several studies showed that the mortality pattern associated with the A(H1N1)2009 virus primarily affected children and young adults. In this study, we aimed to estimate the influenza-attributable deaths during the periods from 1999 to 2010, in the Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur (PACA) region of southeastern France in order to corroborate the hypothesis that (i) influenza-attributable deaths caused by A(H1N1)2009 strain were much lower than initially expected. Methods: In order to compare our results with published data, we used the same statistical model of an Austrian team, using a Poisson model adjusted on co-circulating respiratory syncytial virus to explain the weekly mortality. Results: We assessed that 5.7 % of the respiratory deaths were attributable to influenza virus during the 2009–2010 pandemic season. This mortality was lower than that observed during the ten preceding epidemic periods (13.8 % on average). Age group-based analysis revealed that during the pandemic period, the groups under 65 had a systematically higher excess of respiratory mortality while the age group over 65 had a much lower mortality than during the seasonal epidemic seasons. Similarly, among the less specific outcome (non violent and cardiovascular mortality) the age groups over 45 had higher excess of mortality during the seasonal epidemics than during the pandemic period. Conclusions: Since most of the influenza mortality is commonly observed in the elderly group (>65 year-old), the moderate elderly mortality during the 2009 pandemic period has impacted the total mortality, and has resulted in a reduced total mortality despite an increased mortality in the young age group. Despite using identical parameters and the same approach as in a previously published study using an Austrian population sample, we observed a lower excess respiratory mortality in the southeastern France than in Vienna. Thus, the pandemic virus caused less death than the epidemic viruses that circulated during the preceding years. In contrast with catastrophic predictions made in the early phase of the pandemic, human lives were saved during the circulation period of A(H1N1)2009 virus, resulting in a lower overall mortality.


Url:
DOI: 10.1186/s12889-015-1887-y

Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)


Links to Exploration step

Hal:hal-01307316

Le document en format XML

<record>
<TEI>
<teiHeader>
<fileDesc>
<titleStmt>
<title xml:lang="en">Influenza-attributable deaths in south-eastern France (1999 to 2010): mortality predictions were undependable</title>
<author>
<name sortKey="Thiberville, Simon Djamel" sort="Thiberville, Simon Djamel" uniqKey="Thiberville S" first="Simon-Djamel" last="Thiberville">Simon-Djamel Thiberville</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<hal:affiliation type="laboratory" xml:id="struct-86891" status="OLD">
<idno type="IdRef">124942504</idno>
<idno type="RNSR">200817677J</idno>
<orgName>Emergence des Pathologies Virales</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">EPV</orgName>
<date type="start">2008</date>
<date type="end">2017-12-31</date>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Faculté de médecine27 Bd jean Moulin13385 Marseille Cedex 5</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">https://www.ird.fr/la-recherche/liste-des-unites-de-recherche/190-emergence-des-pathologies-virales</ref>
</desc>
<listRelation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-303623" type="direct"></relation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-67872" type="direct"></relation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-198056" type="direct"></relation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-300073" type="direct"></relation>
</listRelation>
<tutelles>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-303623" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-303623" status="VALID">
<idno type="IdRef">026388278</idno>
<orgName>Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">INSERM</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>101, rue de Tolbiac, 75013 Paris </addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.inserm.fr</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-67872" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-67872" status="VALID">
<orgName>Institut de Recherche pour le Développement</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">IRD</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>SiègeLe Sextant 44, bd de DunkerqueCS 9000913572 Marseille cedex 02</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.ird.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-198056" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-198056" status="VALID">
<idno type="IdRef">15863621X</idno>
<idno type="ISNI">0000 0001 2176 4817</idno>
<orgName>Aix Marseille Université</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">AMU</orgName>
<date type="start">2012-01-01</date>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Aix-Marseille UniversitéJardins du Pharo58 Boulevard Charles Livon13284 Marseille cedex 7</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.univ-amu.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-300073" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-300073" status="VALID">
<orgName>Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Marseille</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">APHM</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Direction générale AP-HM80, rue Brochier13 354 Marseille Cedex 5</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://fr.ap-hm.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
</tutelles>
</hal:affiliation>
<country>France</country>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement>
<region type="region" nuts="2">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université d'Aix-Marseille</orgName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Gaudart, Jean" sort="Gaudart, Jean" uniqKey="Gaudart J" first="Jean" last="Gaudart">Jean Gaudart</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<hal:affiliation type="institution" xml:id="struct-198056" status="VALID">
<idno type="IdRef">15863621X</idno>
<idno type="ISNI">0000 0001 2176 4817</idno>
<orgName>Aix Marseille Université</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">AMU</orgName>
<date type="start">2012-01-01</date>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Aix-Marseille UniversitéJardins du Pharo58 Boulevard Charles Livon13284 Marseille cedex 7</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.univ-amu.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</hal:affiliation>
<country>France</country>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Raoult, Didier" sort="Raoult, Didier" uniqKey="Raoult D" first="Didier" last="Raoult">Didier Raoult</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<hal:affiliation type="institution" xml:id="struct-358615" status="VALID">
<orgName>Institut Hospitalier Universitaire Méditerranée Infection</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">IHU AMU</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Faculté de médecine27 Bd Jean Moulin13385 MARSEILLE Cedex 05FRANCE </addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.mediterranee-infection.com/</ref>
</desc>
</hal:affiliation>
<country>France</country>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Charrel, Remi" sort="Charrel, Remi" uniqKey="Charrel R" first="Remi" last="Charrel">Remi Charrel</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<hal:affiliation type="laboratory" xml:id="struct-86891" status="OLD">
<idno type="IdRef">124942504</idno>
<idno type="RNSR">200817677J</idno>
<orgName>Emergence des Pathologies Virales</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">EPV</orgName>
<date type="start">2008</date>
<date type="end">2017-12-31</date>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Faculté de médecine27 Bd jean Moulin13385 Marseille Cedex 5</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">https://www.ird.fr/la-recherche/liste-des-unites-de-recherche/190-emergence-des-pathologies-virales</ref>
</desc>
<listRelation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-303623" type="direct"></relation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-67872" type="direct"></relation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-198056" type="direct"></relation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-300073" type="direct"></relation>
</listRelation>
<tutelles>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-303623" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-303623" status="VALID">
<idno type="IdRef">026388278</idno>
<orgName>Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">INSERM</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>101, rue de Tolbiac, 75013 Paris </addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.inserm.fr</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-67872" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-67872" status="VALID">
<orgName>Institut de Recherche pour le Développement</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">IRD</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>SiègeLe Sextant 44, bd de DunkerqueCS 9000913572 Marseille cedex 02</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.ird.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-198056" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-198056" status="VALID">
<idno type="IdRef">15863621X</idno>
<idno type="ISNI">0000 0001 2176 4817</idno>
<orgName>Aix Marseille Université</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">AMU</orgName>
<date type="start">2012-01-01</date>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Aix-Marseille UniversitéJardins du Pharo58 Boulevard Charles Livon13284 Marseille cedex 7</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.univ-amu.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-300073" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-300073" status="VALID">
<orgName>Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Marseille</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">APHM</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Direction générale AP-HM80, rue Brochier13 354 Marseille Cedex 5</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://fr.ap-hm.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
</tutelles>
</hal:affiliation>
<country>France</country>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement>
<region type="region" nuts="2">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université d'Aix-Marseille</orgName>
</affiliation>
</author>
</titleStmt>
<publicationStmt>
<idno type="wicri:source">HAL</idno>
<idno type="RBID">Hal:hal-01307316</idno>
<idno type="halId">hal-01307316</idno>
<idno type="halUri">https://hal-amu.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01307316</idno>
<idno type="url">https://hal-amu.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01307316</idno>
<idno type="doi">10.1186/s12889-015-1887-y</idno>
<date when="2015">2015</date>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Hal/Corpus">000332</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Hal/Curation">000332</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Hal/Checkpoint">000399</idno>
<idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Hal" wicri:step="Checkpoint">000399</idno>
</publicationStmt>
<sourceDesc>
<biblStruct>
<analytic>
<title xml:lang="en">Influenza-attributable deaths in south-eastern France (1999 to 2010): mortality predictions were undependable</title>
<author>
<name sortKey="Thiberville, Simon Djamel" sort="Thiberville, Simon Djamel" uniqKey="Thiberville S" first="Simon-Djamel" last="Thiberville">Simon-Djamel Thiberville</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<hal:affiliation type="laboratory" xml:id="struct-86891" status="OLD">
<idno type="IdRef">124942504</idno>
<idno type="RNSR">200817677J</idno>
<orgName>Emergence des Pathologies Virales</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">EPV</orgName>
<date type="start">2008</date>
<date type="end">2017-12-31</date>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Faculté de médecine27 Bd jean Moulin13385 Marseille Cedex 5</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">https://www.ird.fr/la-recherche/liste-des-unites-de-recherche/190-emergence-des-pathologies-virales</ref>
</desc>
<listRelation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-303623" type="direct"></relation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-67872" type="direct"></relation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-198056" type="direct"></relation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-300073" type="direct"></relation>
</listRelation>
<tutelles>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-303623" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-303623" status="VALID">
<idno type="IdRef">026388278</idno>
<orgName>Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">INSERM</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>101, rue de Tolbiac, 75013 Paris </addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.inserm.fr</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-67872" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-67872" status="VALID">
<orgName>Institut de Recherche pour le Développement</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">IRD</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>SiègeLe Sextant 44, bd de DunkerqueCS 9000913572 Marseille cedex 02</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.ird.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-198056" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-198056" status="VALID">
<idno type="IdRef">15863621X</idno>
<idno type="ISNI">0000 0001 2176 4817</idno>
<orgName>Aix Marseille Université</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">AMU</orgName>
<date type="start">2012-01-01</date>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Aix-Marseille UniversitéJardins du Pharo58 Boulevard Charles Livon13284 Marseille cedex 7</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.univ-amu.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-300073" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-300073" status="VALID">
<orgName>Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Marseille</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">APHM</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Direction générale AP-HM80, rue Brochier13 354 Marseille Cedex 5</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://fr.ap-hm.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
</tutelles>
</hal:affiliation>
<country>France</country>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement>
<region type="region" nuts="2">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université d'Aix-Marseille</orgName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Gaudart, Jean" sort="Gaudart, Jean" uniqKey="Gaudart J" first="Jean" last="Gaudart">Jean Gaudart</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<hal:affiliation type="institution" xml:id="struct-198056" status="VALID">
<idno type="IdRef">15863621X</idno>
<idno type="ISNI">0000 0001 2176 4817</idno>
<orgName>Aix Marseille Université</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">AMU</orgName>
<date type="start">2012-01-01</date>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Aix-Marseille UniversitéJardins du Pharo58 Boulevard Charles Livon13284 Marseille cedex 7</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.univ-amu.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</hal:affiliation>
<country>France</country>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Raoult, Didier" sort="Raoult, Didier" uniqKey="Raoult D" first="Didier" last="Raoult">Didier Raoult</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<hal:affiliation type="institution" xml:id="struct-358615" status="VALID">
<orgName>Institut Hospitalier Universitaire Méditerranée Infection</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">IHU AMU</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Faculté de médecine27 Bd Jean Moulin13385 MARSEILLE Cedex 05FRANCE </addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.mediterranee-infection.com/</ref>
</desc>
</hal:affiliation>
<country>France</country>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Charrel, Remi" sort="Charrel, Remi" uniqKey="Charrel R" first="Remi" last="Charrel">Remi Charrel</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<hal:affiliation type="laboratory" xml:id="struct-86891" status="OLD">
<idno type="IdRef">124942504</idno>
<idno type="RNSR">200817677J</idno>
<orgName>Emergence des Pathologies Virales</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">EPV</orgName>
<date type="start">2008</date>
<date type="end">2017-12-31</date>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Faculté de médecine27 Bd jean Moulin13385 Marseille Cedex 5</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">https://www.ird.fr/la-recherche/liste-des-unites-de-recherche/190-emergence-des-pathologies-virales</ref>
</desc>
<listRelation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-303623" type="direct"></relation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-67872" type="direct"></relation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-198056" type="direct"></relation>
<relation name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-300073" type="direct"></relation>
</listRelation>
<tutelles>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-303623" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-303623" status="VALID">
<idno type="IdRef">026388278</idno>
<orgName>Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">INSERM</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>101, rue de Tolbiac, 75013 Paris </addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.inserm.fr</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-67872" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-67872" status="VALID">
<orgName>Institut de Recherche pour le Développement</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">IRD</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>SiègeLe Sextant 44, bd de DunkerqueCS 9000913572 Marseille cedex 02</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.ird.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-198056" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-198056" status="VALID">
<idno type="IdRef">15863621X</idno>
<idno type="ISNI">0000 0001 2176 4817</idno>
<orgName>Aix Marseille Université</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">AMU</orgName>
<date type="start">2012-01-01</date>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Aix-Marseille UniversitéJardins du Pharo58 Boulevard Charles Livon13284 Marseille cedex 7</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.univ-amu.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
<tutelle name="UMR_D 190" active="#struct-300073" type="direct">
<org type="institution" xml:id="struct-300073" status="VALID">
<orgName>Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Marseille</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">APHM</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Direction générale AP-HM80, rue Brochier13 354 Marseille Cedex 5</addrLine>
<country key="FR"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://fr.ap-hm.fr/</ref>
</desc>
</org>
</tutelle>
</tutelles>
</hal:affiliation>
<country>France</country>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement>
<region type="region" nuts="2">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université d'Aix-Marseille</orgName>
</affiliation>
</author>
</analytic>
<idno type="DOI">10.1186/s12889-015-1887-y</idno>
<series>
<title level="j">BMC Public Health</title>
<idno type="ISSN">1471-2458</idno>
<imprint>
<date type="datePub">2015</date>
</imprint>
</series>
</biblStruct>
</sourceDesc>
</fileDesc>
<profileDesc>
<textClass>
<keywords scheme="mix" xml:lang="en">
<term>Influenza attributable deaths</term>
<term>Influenza in France</term>
<term>Influenza mortality</term>
<term>Pandemic influenza A(H1N1)2009</term>
</keywords>
</textClass>
</profileDesc>
</teiHeader>
<front>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>Background: Following the 2009 influenza pandemic, several studies showed that the mortality pattern associated with the A(H1N1)2009 virus primarily affected children and young adults. In this study, we aimed to estimate the influenza-attributable deaths during the periods from 1999 to 2010, in the Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur (PACA) region of southeastern France in order to corroborate the hypothesis that (i) influenza-attributable deaths caused by A(H1N1)2009 strain were much lower than initially expected. Methods: In order to compare our results with published data, we used the same statistical model of an Austrian team, using a Poisson model adjusted on co-circulating respiratory syncytial virus to explain the weekly mortality. Results: We assessed that 5.7 % of the respiratory deaths were attributable to influenza virus during the 2009–2010 pandemic season. This mortality was lower than that observed during the ten preceding epidemic periods (13.8 % on average). Age group-based analysis revealed that during the pandemic period, the groups under 65 had a systematically higher excess of respiratory mortality while the age group over 65 had a much lower mortality than during the seasonal epidemic seasons. Similarly, among the less specific outcome (non violent and cardiovascular mortality) the age groups over 45 had higher excess of mortality during the seasonal epidemics than during the pandemic period. Conclusions: Since most of the influenza mortality is commonly observed in the elderly group (>65 year-old), the moderate elderly mortality during the 2009 pandemic period has impacted the total mortality, and has resulted in a reduced total mortality despite an increased mortality in the young age group. Despite using identical parameters and the same approach as in a previously published study using an Austrian population sample, we observed a lower excess respiratory mortality in the southeastern France than in Vienna. Thus, the pandemic virus caused less death than the epidemic viruses that circulated during the preceding years. In contrast with catastrophic predictions made in the early phase of the pandemic, human lives were saved during the circulation period of A(H1N1)2009 virus, resulting in a lower overall mortality.</p>
</div>
</front>
</TEI>
<hal api="V3">
<titleStmt>
<title xml:lang="en">Influenza-attributable deaths in south-eastern France (1999 to 2010): mortality predictions were undependable</title>
<author role="aut">
<persName>
<forename type="first">Simon-Djamel</forename>
<surname>Thiberville</surname>
</persName>
<idno type="halauthorid">1256926</idno>
<affiliation ref="#struct-86891"></affiliation>
</author>
<author role="aut">
<persName>
<forename type="first">Jean</forename>
<surname>Gaudart</surname>
</persName>
<email type="md5">46559e06e208edb3d06b3671d7f2a83a</email>
<email type="domain">univ-amu.fr</email>
<idno type="idhal" notation="string">jean-gaudart</idno>
<idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">5302</idno>
<idno type="halauthorid">119095</idno>
<idno type="ISNI">http://isni.org/isni/0000000359177188</idno>
<idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9006-5729</idno>
<idno type="ResearcherId">http://www.researcherid.com/rid/D-9071-2013</idno>
<affiliation ref="#struct-198056"></affiliation>
<affiliation ref="#struct-540465"></affiliation>
</author>
<author role="aut">
<persName>
<forename type="first">Didier</forename>
<surname>Raoult</surname>
</persName>
<email type="md5">abc63f7fcbd5e9057e83bbb1c49ebfd2</email>
<email type="domain">univ-amu.fr</email>
<idno type="idhal" notation="string">didier-raoult</idno>
<idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">8465</idno>
<idno type="halauthorid">769021</idno>
<affiliation ref="#struct-358615"></affiliation>
</author>
<author role="aut">
<persName>
<forename type="first">Remi</forename>
<surname>Charrel</surname>
</persName>
<idno type="halauthorid">705342</idno>
<affiliation ref="#struct-86891"></affiliation>
</author>
<editor role="depositor">
<persName>
<forename>Jean</forename>
<surname>Gaudart</surname>
</persName>
<email type="md5">46559e06e208edb3d06b3671d7f2a83a</email>
<email type="domain">univ-amu.fr</email>
</editor>
</titleStmt>
<editionStmt>
<edition n="v1" type="current">
<date type="whenSubmitted">2016-04-26 16:28:07</date>
<date type="whenModified">2019-02-07 15:11:08</date>
<date type="whenReleased">2016-04-26 16:52:11</date>
<date type="whenProduced">2015</date>
<date type="whenEndEmbargoed">2016-04-26</date>
<ref type="file" target="https://hal-amu.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01307316/document">
<date notBefore="2016-04-26"></date>
</ref>
<ref type="file" subtype="publisherAgreement" n="1" target="https://hal-amu.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01307316/file/12889_2015_Article_1887.pdf">
<date notBefore="2016-04-26"></date>
</ref>
<ref type="externalLink" target="https://bmcpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.1186/s12889-015-1887-y"></ref>
</edition>
<respStmt>
<resp>contributor</resp>
<name key="322464">
<persName>
<forename>Jean</forename>
<surname>Gaudart</surname>
</persName>
<email type="md5">46559e06e208edb3d06b3671d7f2a83a</email>
<email type="domain">univ-amu.fr</email>
</name>
</respStmt>
</editionStmt>
<publicationStmt>
<distributor>CCSD</distributor>
<idno type="halId">hal-01307316</idno>
<idno type="halUri">https://hal-amu.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01307316</idno>
<idno type="halBibtex">thiberville:hal-01307316</idno>
<idno type="halRefHtml">BMC Public Health, BioMed Central, 2015, ⟨10.1186/s12889-015-1887-y⟩</idno>
<idno type="halRef">BMC Public Health, BioMed Central, 2015, ⟨10.1186/s12889-015-1887-y⟩</idno>
<availability status="restricted">
<licence target="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/">Attribution - NonCommercial - NoDerivatives</licence>
</availability>
</publicationStmt>
<seriesStmt>
<idno type="stamp" n="UNIV-AMU">Aix Marseille Université</idno>
<idno type="stamp" n="TDS-MACS">Réseau de recherche en Théorie des Systèmes Distribués, Modélisation, Analyse et Contrôle des Systèmes</idno>
<idno type="stamp" n="SDE">Sciences De l'Environnement</idno>
<idno type="stamp" n="INSMI">CNRS-INSMI - INstitut des Sciences Mathématiques et de leurs Interactions</idno>
<idno type="stamp" n="SANTE_PUB_INSERM" corresp="INSERM">Santé Publique à l'Inserm</idno>
<idno type="stamp" n="IRD">IRD - Institut de recherche pour le développement</idno>
<idno type="stamp" n="FRANTIQ">FRANTIQ Fédération et ressources sur l’Antiquité</idno>
<idno type="stamp" n="GIP-BE">GIP Bretagne Environnement</idno>
<idno type="stamp" n="INSERM">INSERM - Institut national de la santé et de la recherche médicale</idno>
<idno type="stamp" n="TEST-AMU">Espace de test AMU</idno>
<idno type="stamp" n="U1252" corresp="INSERM">Sciences économique et sociales de la santé et traitement de l'information médicale - SESSTIM</idno>
</seriesStmt>
<notesStmt>
<note type="audience" n="2">International</note>
<note type="popular" n="0">No</note>
<note type="peer" n="1">Yes</note>
</notesStmt>
<sourceDesc>
<biblStruct>
<analytic>
<title xml:lang="en">Influenza-attributable deaths in south-eastern France (1999 to 2010): mortality predictions were undependable</title>
<author role="aut">
<persName>
<forename type="first">Simon-Djamel</forename>
<surname>Thiberville</surname>
</persName>
<idno type="halauthorid">1256926</idno>
<affiliation ref="#struct-86891"></affiliation>
</author>
<author role="aut">
<persName>
<forename type="first">Jean</forename>
<surname>Gaudart</surname>
</persName>
<email type="md5">46559e06e208edb3d06b3671d7f2a83a</email>
<email type="domain">univ-amu.fr</email>
<idno type="idhal" notation="string">jean-gaudart</idno>
<idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">5302</idno>
<idno type="halauthorid">119095</idno>
<idno type="ISNI">http://isni.org/isni/0000000359177188</idno>
<idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9006-5729</idno>
<idno type="ResearcherId">http://www.researcherid.com/rid/D-9071-2013</idno>
<affiliation ref="#struct-198056"></affiliation>
<affiliation ref="#struct-540465"></affiliation>
</author>
<author role="aut">
<persName>
<forename type="first">Didier</forename>
<surname>Raoult</surname>
</persName>
<email type="md5">abc63f7fcbd5e9057e83bbb1c49ebfd2</email>
<email type="domain">univ-amu.fr</email>
<idno type="idhal" notation="string">didier-raoult</idno>
<idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">8465</idno>
<idno type="halauthorid">769021</idno>
<affiliation ref="#struct-358615"></affiliation>
</author>
<author role="aut">
<persName>
<forename type="first">Remi</forename>
<surname>Charrel</surname>
</persName>
<idno type="halauthorid">705342</idno>
<affiliation ref="#struct-86891"></affiliation>
</author>
</analytic>
<monogr>
<idno type="halJournalId" status="VALID">363</idno>
<idno type="issn">1471-2458</idno>
<idno type="eissn">1471-2458</idno>
<title level="j">BMC Public Health</title>
<imprint>
<publisher>BioMed Central</publisher>
<date type="datePub">2015</date>
</imprint>
</monogr>
<idno type="doi">10.1186/s12889-015-1887-y</idno>
</biblStruct>
</sourceDesc>
<profileDesc>
<langUsage>
<language ident="en">English</language>
</langUsage>
<textClass>
<keywords scheme="author">
<term xml:lang="en">Influenza attributable deaths</term>
<term xml:lang="en">Pandemic influenza A(H1N1)2009</term>
<term xml:lang="en">Influenza mortality</term>
<term xml:lang="en">Influenza in France</term>
</keywords>
<classCode scheme="halDomain" n="math.math-ds">Mathematics [math]/Dynamical Systems [math.DS]</classCode>
<classCode scheme="halDomain" n="math.math-pr">Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR]</classCode>
<classCode scheme="halDomain" n="stat.ap">Statistics [stat]/Applications [stat.AP]</classCode>
<classCode scheme="halDomain" n="stat.me">Statistics [stat]/Methodology [stat.ME]</classCode>
<classCode scheme="halDomain" n="math.math-st">Mathematics [math]/Statistics [math.ST]</classCode>
<classCode scheme="halDomain" n="sde.es">Environmental Sciences/Environmental and Society</classCode>
<classCode scheme="halDomain" n="sdv.ee.sant">Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment/Health</classCode>
<classCode scheme="halDomain" n="sdv.mhep.mi">Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Infectious diseases</classCode>
<classCode scheme="halDomain" n="sdv.mhep.me">Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Emerging diseases</classCode>
<classCode scheme="halDomain" n="sdv.mp.par">Life Sciences [q-bio]/Microbiology and Parasitology/Parasitology</classCode>
<classCode scheme="halDomain" n="sdv.spee">Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologie</classCode>
<classCode scheme="halTypology" n="ART">Journal articles</classCode>
</textClass>
<abstract xml:lang="en">
<p>Background: Following the 2009 influenza pandemic, several studies showed that the mortality pattern associated with the A(H1N1)2009 virus primarily affected children and young adults. In this study, we aimed to estimate the influenza-attributable deaths during the periods from 1999 to 2010, in the Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur (PACA) region of southeastern France in order to corroborate the hypothesis that (i) influenza-attributable deaths caused by A(H1N1)2009 strain were much lower than initially expected. Methods: In order to compare our results with published data, we used the same statistical model of an Austrian team, using a Poisson model adjusted on co-circulating respiratory syncytial virus to explain the weekly mortality. Results: We assessed that 5.7 % of the respiratory deaths were attributable to influenza virus during the 2009–2010 pandemic season. This mortality was lower than that observed during the ten preceding epidemic periods (13.8 % on average). Age group-based analysis revealed that during the pandemic period, the groups under 65 had a systematically higher excess of respiratory mortality while the age group over 65 had a much lower mortality than during the seasonal epidemic seasons. Similarly, among the less specific outcome (non violent and cardiovascular mortality) the age groups over 45 had higher excess of mortality during the seasonal epidemics than during the pandemic period. Conclusions: Since most of the influenza mortality is commonly observed in the elderly group (>65 year-old), the moderate elderly mortality during the 2009 pandemic period has impacted the total mortality, and has resulted in a reduced total mortality despite an increased mortality in the young age group. Despite using identical parameters and the same approach as in a previously published study using an Austrian population sample, we observed a lower excess respiratory mortality in the southeastern France than in Vienna. Thus, the pandemic virus caused less death than the epidemic viruses that circulated during the preceding years. In contrast with catastrophic predictions made in the early phase of the pandemic, human lives were saved during the circulation period of A(H1N1)2009 virus, resulting in a lower overall mortality.</p>
</abstract>
</profileDesc>
</hal>
</record>

Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)

EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Sante/explor/PandemieGrippaleV1/Data/Hal/Checkpoint
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 000399 | SxmlIndent | more

Ou

HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Hal/Checkpoint/biblio.hfd -nk 000399 | SxmlIndent | more

Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri

{{Explor lien
   |wiki=    Sante
   |area=    PandemieGrippaleV1
   |flux=    Hal
   |étape=   Checkpoint
   |type=    RBID
   |clé=     Hal:hal-01307316
   |texte=   Influenza-attributable deaths in south-eastern France (1999 to 2010): mortality predictions were undependable
}}

Wicri

This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.34.
Data generation: Wed Jun 10 11:04:28 2020. Site generation: Sun Mar 28 09:10:28 2021