Serveur d'exploration sur les pandémies grippales

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COVID 19's impact on crude oil and natural gas S&P GS Indexes

Identifieur interne : 000014 ( Hal/Checkpoint ); précédent : 000013; suivant : 000015

COVID 19's impact on crude oil and natural gas S&P GS Indexes

Auteurs : Donia Aloui ; Stéphane Goutte [France] ; Khaled Guesmi [France] ; Rafla Hchaichi

Source :

RBID : Hal:halshs-02613280

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Abstract

On 12 March 2020, the sharp fell of U.S. crude oil price to 30 dollars was explained by the outspreads of coronavirus pandemic and the OPEC's inability to reach a production quota agreement. We employ the structural VAR model with time-varying coefficients and stochastic volatility (TVP-SVAR model) developed by Primiceri (2005) to asses the impact of COVID-19 shocks on the energy futures markets, particularly on crude oil and natural gas S&P GS Indexes. The findings confirm that energy commodities S&P GS Indexes respond to COVID-19 shock that varying over time due to fundamentals factors as well as behavioral and psychological factors.


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Hal:halshs-02613280

Le document en format XML

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