Abrupt transition to heightened poliomyelitis epidemicity in England and Wales, 1947–1957, associated with a pronounced increase in the geographical rate of disease propagation
Identifieur interne : 000C73 ( Ncbi/Checkpoint ); précédent : 000C72; suivant : 000C74Abrupt transition to heightened poliomyelitis epidemicity in England and Wales, 1947–1957, associated with a pronounced increase in the geographical rate of disease propagation
Auteurs : M. R. Smallman-Raynor [Royaume-Uni] ; A. D. Cliff [Royaume-Uni]Source :
- Epidemiology and Infection [ 0950-2688 ] ; 2013.
Abstract
The abrupt transition to heightened poliomyelitis epidemicity in England and Wales, 1947–1957, was associated with a profound change in the spatial dynamics of the disease. Drawing on the complete record of poliomyelitis notifications in England and Wales, we use a robust method of spatial epidemiological analysis (swash-backwash model) to evaluate the geographical rate of disease propagation in successive poliomyelitis seasons, 1940–1964. Comparisons with earlier and later time periods show that the period of heightened poliomyelitis epidemicity corresponded with a sudden and pronounced increase in the spatial rate of disease propagation. This change was observed for both urban and rural areas and points to an abrupt enhancement in the propensity for the geographical spread of polioviruses. Competing theories of the epidemic emergence of poliomyelitis in England and Wales should be assessed in the light of this evidence.
Url:
DOI: 10.1017/S0950268813001441
PubMed: 23809856
PubMed Central: 3915756
Affiliations:
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
- to stream Pmc, to step Corpus: 000333
- to stream Pmc, to step Curation: 000333
- to stream Pmc, to step Checkpoint: 000138
- to stream Ncbi, to step Merge: 000C73
- to stream Ncbi, to step Curation: 000C73
Links to Exploration step
PMC:3915756Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Abrupt transition to heightened poliomyelitis epidemicity in England and Wales, 1947–1957, associated with a pronounced increase in the geographical rate of disease propagation</title>
<author><name sortKey="Smallman Raynor, M R" sort="Smallman Raynor, M R" uniqKey="Smallman Raynor M" first="M. R." last="Smallman-Raynor">M. R. Smallman-Raynor</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1"><addr-line>School of Geography</addr-line>
,<institution>University of Nottingham</institution>
,<addr-line>Nottingham</addr-line>
,<country>UK</country>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
<wicri:regionArea># see nlm:aff country strict</wicri:regionArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Cliff, A D" sort="Cliff, A D" uniqKey="Cliff A" first="A. D." last="Cliff">A. D. Cliff</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Department of Geography</addr-line>
,<institution>University of Cambridge</institution>
,<addr-line>Cambridge</addr-line>
,<country>UK</country>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
<wicri:regionArea># see nlm:aff country strict</wicri:regionArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
</titleStmt>
<publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno>
<idno type="pmid">23809856</idno>
<idno type="pmc">3915756</idno>
<idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3915756</idno>
<idno type="RBID">PMC:3915756</idno>
<idno type="doi">10.1017/S0950268813001441</idno>
<date when="2013">2013</date>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">000333</idno>
<idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">000333</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">000333</idno>
<idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Curation">000333</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Checkpoint">000138</idno>
<idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Checkpoint">000138</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Merge">000C73</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Curation">000C73</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Checkpoint">000C73</idno>
</publicationStmt>
<sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Abrupt transition to heightened poliomyelitis epidemicity in England and Wales, 1947–1957, associated with a pronounced increase in the geographical rate of disease propagation</title>
<author><name sortKey="Smallman Raynor, M R" sort="Smallman Raynor, M R" uniqKey="Smallman Raynor M" first="M. R." last="Smallman-Raynor">M. R. Smallman-Raynor</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1"><addr-line>School of Geography</addr-line>
,<institution>University of Nottingham</institution>
,<addr-line>Nottingham</addr-line>
,<country>UK</country>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
<wicri:regionArea># see nlm:aff country strict</wicri:regionArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Cliff, A D" sort="Cliff, A D" uniqKey="Cliff A" first="A. D." last="Cliff">A. D. Cliff</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Department of Geography</addr-line>
,<institution>University of Cambridge</institution>
,<addr-line>Cambridge</addr-line>
,<country>UK</country>
</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
<wicri:regionArea># see nlm:aff country strict</wicri:regionArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
</analytic>
<series><title level="j">Epidemiology and Infection</title>
<idno type="ISSN">0950-2688</idno>
<idno type="eISSN">1469-4409</idno>
<imprint><date when="2013">2013</date>
</imprint>
</series>
</biblStruct>
</sourceDesc>
</fileDesc>
<profileDesc><textClass></textClass>
</profileDesc>
</teiHeader>
<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><title>SUMMARY</title>
<p>The abrupt transition to heightened poliomyelitis epidemicity in England and Wales, 1947–1957, was associated with a profound change in the spatial dynamics of the disease. Drawing on the complete record of poliomyelitis notifications in England and Wales, we use a robust method of spatial epidemiological analysis (swash-backwash model) to evaluate the geographical rate of disease propagation in successive poliomyelitis seasons, 1940–1964. Comparisons with earlier and later time periods show that the period of heightened poliomyelitis epidemicity corresponded with a sudden and pronounced increase in the spatial rate of disease propagation. This change was observed for both urban and rural areas and points to an abrupt enhancement in the propensity for the geographical spread of polioviruses. Competing theories of the epidemic emergence of poliomyelitis in England and Wales should be assessed in the light of this evidence.</p>
</div>
</front>
<back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Paul, Jr" uniqKey="Paul J">JR Paul</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Smallman Raynor, M" uniqKey="Smallman Raynor M">M Smallman-Raynor</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hamburger, O" uniqKey="Hamburger O">O Hamburger</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Henschen, F" uniqKey="Henschen F">F Henschen</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Dequeker, J" uniqKey="Dequeker J">J Dequeker</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Fabry, G" uniqKey="Fabry G">G Fabry</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Vanopdenbosch, L" uniqKey="Vanopdenbosch L">L Vanopdenbosch</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Wickman, I" uniqKey="Wickman I">I Wickman</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Holt, Le" uniqKey="Holt L">LE Holt</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Bartlett, Fh" uniqKey="Bartlett F">FH Bartlett</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Batten, Fe" uniqKey="Batten F">FE Batten</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Low, Rb" uniqKey="Low R">RB Low</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="May, Jm" uniqKey="May J">JM May</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Nathanson, N" uniqKey="Nathanson N">N Nathanson</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Kew, Om" uniqKey="Kew O">OM Kew</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Bradford Hill, A" uniqKey="Bradford Hill A">A Bradford Hill</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Macnalty, A" uniqKey="Macnalty A">A MacNalty</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Cruickshank, R" uniqKey="Cruickshank R">R Cruickshank</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Martin, Wj" uniqKey="Martin W">WJ Martin</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Trevelyan, B" uniqKey="Trevelyan B">B Trevelyan</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Smallman Raynor, M" uniqKey="Smallman Raynor M">M Smallman-Raynor</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Cliff, Ad" uniqKey="Cliff A">AD Cliff</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hardy, A" uniqKey="Hardy A">A Hardy</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Smallman Raynor, Mr" uniqKey="Smallman Raynor M">MR Smallman-Raynor</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Cliff, Ad" uniqKey="Cliff A">AD Cliff</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Cliff, Ad" uniqKey="Cliff A">AD Cliff</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Haggett, P" uniqKey="Haggett P">P Haggett</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Cliff, Ad" uniqKey="Cliff A">AD Cliff</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Haggett, P" uniqKey="Haggett P">P Haggett</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Smallman Raynor, Mr" uniqKey="Smallman Raynor M">MR Smallman-Raynor</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Cliff, Ad" uniqKey="Cliff A">AD Cliff</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Bailey, Ntj" uniqKey="Bailey N">NTJ Bailey</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Anderson, Rm" uniqKey="Anderson R">RM Anderson</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="May, Rm" uniqKey="May R">RM May</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct></biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Melnick, Jl" uniqKey="Melnick J">JL Melnick</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Evans, As" uniqKey="Evans A">AS Evans</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Kaslow, Ra" uniqKey="Kaslow R">RA Kaslow</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Dowell, Sf" uniqKey="Dowell S">SF Dowell</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Fisman, Dn" uniqKey="Fisman D">DN Fisman</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Goffe, Ap" uniqKey="Goffe A">AP Goffe</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Spicer, Cc" uniqKey="Spicer C">CC Spicer</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Heffernan, Jm" uniqKey="Heffernan J">JM Heffernan</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Smith, Rj" uniqKey="Smith R">RJ Smith</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Wahl, Lm" uniqKey="Wahl L">LM Wahl</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Heymann, Dl" uniqKey="Heymann D">DL Heymann</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Paul, Jr" uniqKey="Paul J">JR Paul</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Sabin, Ab" uniqKey="Sabin A">AB Sabin</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Nathanson, N" uniqKey="Nathanson N">N Nathanson</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Martin, Jr" uniqKey="Martin J">JR Martin</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Daley, A" uniqKey="Daley A">A Daley</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Benjamin, B" uniqKey="Benjamin B">B Benjamin</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Gale, Ah" uniqKey="Gale A">AH Gale</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Agerholm, M" uniqKey="Agerholm M">M Agerholm</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Murray, Lh" uniqKey="Murray L">LH Murray</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Gale, Ah" uniqKey="Gale A">AH Gale</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct></biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Cliff, Ad" uniqKey="Cliff A">AD Cliff</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Smallman Raynor, Mr" uniqKey="Smallman Raynor M">MR Smallman-Raynor</name>
</author>
</analytic>
</biblStruct>
</listBibl>
</div1>
</back>
</TEI>
<affiliations><list><country><li>Royaume-Uni</li>
</country>
</list>
<tree><country name="Royaume-Uni"><noRegion><name sortKey="Smallman Raynor, M R" sort="Smallman Raynor, M R" uniqKey="Smallman Raynor M" first="M. R." last="Smallman-Raynor">M. R. Smallman-Raynor</name>
</noRegion>
<name sortKey="Cliff, A D" sort="Cliff, A D" uniqKey="Cliff A" first="A. D." last="Cliff">A. D. Cliff</name>
</country>
</tree>
</affiliations>
</record>
Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Wicri/Archeologie/explor/PaleopathV1/Data/Ncbi/Checkpoint
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 000C73 | SxmlIndent | more
Ou
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Ncbi/Checkpoint/biblio.hfd -nk 000C73 | SxmlIndent | more
Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri
{{Explor lien |wiki= Wicri/Archeologie |area= PaleopathV1 |flux= Ncbi |étape= Checkpoint |type= RBID |clé= PMC:3915756 |texte= Abrupt transition to heightened poliomyelitis epidemicity in England and Wales, 1947–1957, associated with a pronounced increase in the geographical rate of disease propagation }}
Pour générer des pages wiki
HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Ncbi/Checkpoint/RBID.i -Sk "pubmed:23809856" \ | HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Ncbi/Checkpoint/biblio.hfd \ | NlmPubMed2Wicri -a PaleopathV1
This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.27. |