Effects of Timely Control Intervention on the Spread of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection.
Identifieur interne : 000A14 ( PubMed/Corpus ); précédent : 000A13; suivant : 000A15Effects of Timely Control Intervention on the Spread of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection.
Auteurs : Ilsu Choi ; Dong Ho Lee ; Yongkuk KimSource :
- Osong public health and research perspectives [ 2210-9099 ] ; 2017.
Abstract
The 2015 Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) outbreak in Korea caused major economic and social problems. The control intervention was conducted during the MERS-CoV outbreak in Korea immediately after the confirmation of the index case. This study investigates whether the early risk communication with the general public and mass media is an effective preventive strategy.
DOI: 10.24171/j.phrp.2017.8.6.03
PubMed: 29354394
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<author><name sortKey="Choi, Ilsu" sort="Choi, Ilsu" uniqKey="Choi I" first="Ilsu" last="Choi">Ilsu Choi</name>
<affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Statistics, Chonnam National University, Gwangju, Korea.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Lee, Dong Ho" sort="Lee, Dong Ho" uniqKey="Lee D" first="Dong Ho" last="Lee">Dong Ho Lee</name>
<affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Mathematics, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, Korea.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Kim, Yongkuk" sort="Kim, Yongkuk" uniqKey="Kim Y" first="Yongkuk" last="Kim">Yongkuk Kim</name>
<affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Mathematics, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, Korea.</nlm:affiliation>
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<author><name sortKey="Lee, Dong Ho" sort="Lee, Dong Ho" uniqKey="Lee D" first="Dong Ho" last="Lee">Dong Ho Lee</name>
<affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Mathematics, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, Korea.</nlm:affiliation>
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<author><name sortKey="Kim, Yongkuk" sort="Kim, Yongkuk" uniqKey="Kim Y" first="Yongkuk" last="Kim">Yongkuk Kim</name>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The 2015 Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) outbreak in Korea caused major economic and social problems. The control intervention was conducted during the MERS-CoV outbreak in Korea immediately after the confirmation of the index case. This study investigates whether the early risk communication with the general public and mass media is an effective preventive strategy.</div>
</front>
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<pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="PubMed-not-MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">29354394</PMID>
<DateRevised><Year>2019</Year>
<Month>11</Month>
<Day>20</Day>
</DateRevised>
<Article PubModel="Print-Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Print">2210-9099</ISSN>
<JournalIssue CitedMedium="Print"><Volume>8</Volume>
<Issue>6</Issue>
<PubDate><Year>2017</Year>
<Month>Dec</Month>
</PubDate>
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<Title>Osong public health and research perspectives</Title>
<ISOAbbreviation>Osong Public Health Res Perspect</ISOAbbreviation>
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<ArticleTitle>Effects of Timely Control Intervention on the Spread of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection.</ArticleTitle>
<Pagination><MedlinePgn>373-376</MedlinePgn>
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<ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.24171/j.phrp.2017.8.6.03</ELocationID>
<Abstract><AbstractText Label="Objectives" NlmCategory="UNASSIGNED">The 2015 Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) outbreak in Korea caused major economic and social problems. The control intervention was conducted during the MERS-CoV outbreak in Korea immediately after the confirmation of the index case. This study investigates whether the early risk communication with the general public and mass media is an effective preventive strategy.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="Methods" NlmCategory="UNASSIGNED">The SEIR (Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, Recovered) model with estimated parameters for the time series data of the daily MERS-CoV incidence in Korea was considered from May to December 2015. For 10,000 stochastic simulations, the SEIR model was computed using the Gillespie algorithm. Depending on the time of control intervention on the 20th, 40th, and 60th days after the identification of the index case, the box plots of MERS-CoV incidences in Korea were computed, and the results were analyzed via ANOVA.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="Results" NlmCategory="UNASSIGNED">The box plots showed that there was a significant difference between the non-intervention and intervention groups (the 20th day, 40th day, and 60th day groups) and seemed to show no significant difference based on the time of intervention. However, the ANOVA revealed that early intervention was a good strategy to control the disease.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="Conclusion" NlmCategory="UNASSIGNED">Appropriate risk communication can secure the confidence of the general public in the public health authorities.</AbstractText>
</Abstract>
<AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Choi</LastName>
<ForeName>Ilsu</ForeName>
<Initials>I</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Statistics, Chonnam National University, Gwangju, Korea.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
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<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Lee</LastName>
<ForeName>Dong Ho</ForeName>
<Initials>DH</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Mathematics, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, Korea.</Affiliation>
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<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Kim</LastName>
<ForeName>Yongkuk</ForeName>
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<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Mathematics, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, Korea.</Affiliation>
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<Language>eng</Language>
<PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType>
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<ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2017</Year>
<Month>12</Month>
<Day>31</Day>
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<MedlineJournalInfo><Country>Korea (South)</Country>
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<NlmUniqueID>101563309</NlmUniqueID>
<ISSNLinking>2210-9099</ISSNLinking>
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<KeywordList Owner="NOTNLM"><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">basic reproduction number</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">infectious disease transmission</Keyword>
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<CoiStatement>CONFLICTS OF INTEREST No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.</CoiStatement>
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