The effects of past SARS experience and proximity on declines in numbers of travelers to the Republic of Korea during the 2015 MERS outbreak: A retrospective study.
Identifieur interne : 000535 ( PubMed/Corpus ); précédent : 000534; suivant : 000536The effects of past SARS experience and proximity on declines in numbers of travelers to the Republic of Korea during the 2015 MERS outbreak: A retrospective study.
Auteurs : Heesoo Joo ; Ronald E. Henry ; Yeon-Kyeng Lee ; Andre D. Berro ; Brian A. MaskerySource :
- Travel medicine and infectious disease [ 1873-0442 ]
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Republic of Korea.
- epidemiology : Coronavirus Infections, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome.
- statistics & numerical data : Travel.
- Humans, Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus, Regression Analysis, Retrospective Studies.
Abstract
The experience of previous sizable outbreaks may affect travelers' decisions to travel to an area with an ongoing outbreak.
DOI: 10.1016/j.tmaid.2019.05.009
PubMed: 31102656
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pubmed:31102656Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">The effects of past SARS experience and proximity on declines in numbers of travelers to the Republic of Korea during the 2015 MERS outbreak: A retrospective study.</title><author><name sortKey="Joo, Heesoo" sort="Joo, Heesoo" uniqKey="Joo H" first="Heesoo" last="Joo">Heesoo Joo</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA. Electronic address: hjoo@cdc.gov.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Henry, Ronald E" sort="Henry, Ronald E" uniqKey="Henry R" first="Ronald E" last="Henry">Ronald E. Henry</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Lee, Yeon Kyeng" sort="Lee, Yeon Kyeng" uniqKey="Lee Y" first="Yeon-Kyeng" last="Lee">Yeon-Kyeng Lee</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Cheongju-si, Chungcheongbuk-do, Republic of Korea.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Berro, Andre D" sort="Berro, Andre D" uniqKey="Berro A" first="Andre D" last="Berro">Andre D. Berro</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Maskery, Brian A" sort="Maskery, Brian A" uniqKey="Maskery B" first="Brian A" last="Maskery">Brian A. Maskery</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="????"><PubDate><MedlineDate>2019 Jul - Aug</MedlineDate></PubDate></date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:31102656</idno><idno type="pmid">31102656</idno><idno type="doi">10.1016/j.tmaid.2019.05.009</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">000535</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000535</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">The effects of past SARS experience and proximity on declines in numbers of travelers to the Republic of Korea during the 2015 MERS outbreak: A retrospective study.</title><author><name sortKey="Joo, Heesoo" sort="Joo, Heesoo" uniqKey="Joo H" first="Heesoo" last="Joo">Heesoo Joo</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA. Electronic address: hjoo@cdc.gov.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Henry, Ronald E" sort="Henry, Ronald E" uniqKey="Henry R" first="Ronald E" last="Henry">Ronald E. Henry</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Lee, Yeon Kyeng" sort="Lee, Yeon Kyeng" uniqKey="Lee Y" first="Yeon-Kyeng" last="Lee">Yeon-Kyeng Lee</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Cheongju-si, Chungcheongbuk-do, Republic of Korea.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Berro, Andre D" sort="Berro, Andre D" uniqKey="Berro A" first="Andre D" last="Berro">Andre D. Berro</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Maskery, Brian A" sort="Maskery, Brian A" uniqKey="Maskery B" first="Brian A" last="Maskery">Brian A. Maskery</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Travel medicine and infectious disease</title><idno type="eISSN">1873-0442</idno></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology)</term><term>Humans</term><term>Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus</term><term>Regression Analysis</term><term>Republic of Korea (epidemiology)</term><term>Retrospective Studies</term><term>Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (epidemiology)</term><term>Travel (statistics & numerical data)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Republic of Korea</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Coronavirus Infections</term><term>Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="statistics & numerical data" xml:lang="en"><term>Travel</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Humans</term><term>Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus</term><term>Regression Analysis</term><term>Retrospective Studies</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The experience of previous sizable outbreaks may affect travelers' decisions to travel to an area with an ongoing outbreak.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">31102656</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2019</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>24</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2020</Year><Month>04</Month><Day>03</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print-Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1873-0442</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>30</Volume><PubDate><MedlineDate>2019 Jul - Aug</MedlineDate></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Travel medicine and infectious disease</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Travel Med Infect Dis</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>The effects of past SARS experience and proximity on declines in numbers of travelers to the Republic of Korea during the 2015 MERS outbreak: A retrospective study.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>54-66</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="pii" ValidYN="Y">S1477-8939(18)30392-2</ELocationID><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1016/j.tmaid.2019.05.009</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText Label="BACKGROUND" NlmCategory="BACKGROUND">The experience of previous sizable outbreaks may affect travelers' decisions to travel to an area with an ongoing outbreak.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="METHODS" NlmCategory="METHODS">We estimated changes in monthly numbers of visitors to the Republic of Korea (ROK) in 2015 compared to projected values by selected areas. We tested whether areas' experience of a previous SARS outbreak of ≥100 cases or distance to the ROK had a significant effect on travel to the ROK during the MERS outbreak using t-tests and regression models.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">The percentage changes in visitors from areas with a previous SARS outbreak of ≥100 cases decreased more than the percentage changes in visitors from their counterparts in June (52.4% vs. 23.3%) and July (60.0% vs. 31.4%) during the 2015 MERS outbreak. The percentage changes in visitors from the close and intermediate categories decreased more than the far category. The results from regression models and sensitivity analyses demonstrated that areas with ≥100 SARS cases and closer proximity to the ROK had significantly larger percentage decreases in traveler volumes during the outbreak.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="CONCLUSIONS" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">During the 2015 MERS outbreak, areas with a previous sizable SARS outbreak and areas near the ROK showed greater decreases in percentage changes in visitors to the ROK.</AbstractText><CopyrightInformation>Published by Elsevier Ltd.</CopyrightInformation></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Joo</LastName><ForeName>Heesoo</ForeName><Initials>H</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA. Electronic address: hjoo@cdc.gov.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Henry</LastName><ForeName>Ronald E</ForeName><Initials>RE</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Lee</LastName><ForeName>Yeon-Kyeng</ForeName><Initials>YK</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Cheongju-si, Chungcheongbuk-do, Republic of Korea.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Berro</LastName><ForeName>Andre D</ForeName><Initials>AD</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Maskery</LastName><ForeName>Brian A</ForeName><Initials>BA</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><GrantList CompleteYN="Y"><Grant><GrantID>CC999999</GrantID><Agency>Intramural CDC HHS</Agency><Country>United States</Country></Grant></GrantList><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2019</Year><Month>05</Month><Day>15</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>Netherlands</Country><MedlineTA>Travel Med Infect Dis</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>101230758</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>1477-8939</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><MeshHeadingList><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D018352" MajorTopicYN="N">Coronavirus Infections</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="Y">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006801" MajorTopicYN="N">Humans</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D065207" MajorTopicYN="N">Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D012044" MajorTopicYN="N">Regression Analysis</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D056910" MajorTopicYN="N" Type="Geographic">Republic of Korea</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D012189" MajorTopicYN="N">Retrospective Studies</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D045169" MajorTopicYN="N">Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D014195" MajorTopicYN="N">Travel</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000706" MajorTopicYN="Y">statistics & numerical data</QualifierName></MeshHeading></MeshHeadingList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received"><Year>2018</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>05</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="revised"><Year>2019</Year><Month>05</Month><Day>09</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2019</Year><Month>05</Month><Day>10</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2019</Year><Month>5</Month><Day>19</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2019</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>28</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2019</Year><Month>5</Month><Day>19</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>ppublish</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">31102656</ArticleId><ArticleId 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