Force of infection of Middle East respiratory syndrome in dromedary camels in Kenya.
Identifieur interne : 000414 ( PubMed/Corpus ); précédent : 000413; suivant : 000415Force of infection of Middle East respiratory syndrome in dromedary camels in Kenya.
Auteurs : E G Gardner ; S. Kiambi ; R. Sitawa ; D. Kelton ; J. Kimutai ; Z. Poljak ; Z. Tadesse ; S. Von Dobschuetz ; L. Wiersma ; A L GreerSource :
- Epidemiology and infection [ 1469-4409 ] ; 2019.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Kenya.
- epidemiology : Asymptomatic Infections, Coronavirus Infections.
- isolation & purification : Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus.
- veterinary : Coronavirus Infections.
- Animals, Camelus, Cross-Sectional Studies, Prevalence.
Abstract
Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) is a zoonotic disease transmitted from dromedary camels to people, which can result in outbreaks with human-to-human transmission. Because it is a subclinical infection in camels, epidemiological measures other than prevalence are challenging to assess. This study estimated the force of infection (FOI) of MERS-CoV in camel populations from age-stratified serological data. A cross-sectional study of MERS-CoV was conducted in Kenya from July 2016 to July 2017. Seroprevalence was stratified into four age groups: <1, 1-2, 2-3 and >3 years old. Age-independent and age-dependent linear and quadratic generalised linear models were used to estimate FOI in pastoral and ranching camel herds. Models were compared based on computed AIC values. Among pastoral herds, the age-dependent quadratic FOI was the best fit model, while the age-independent FOI was the best fit for the ranching herd data. FOI provides an indirect estimate of infection risk, which is especially valuable where direct estimates of incidence and other measures of infection are challenging to obtain. The FOIs estimated in this study provide important insight about MERS-CoV dynamics in the reservoir species, and contribute to our understanding of the zoonotic risks of this important public health threat.
DOI: 10.1017/S0950268819001663
PubMed: 31547888
Links to Exploration step
pubmed:31547888Le document en format XML
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<term>Asymptomatic Infections (epidemiology)</term>
<term>Camelus</term>
<term>Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology)</term>
<term>Coronavirus Infections (veterinary)</term>
<term>Cross-Sectional Studies</term>
<term>Kenya (epidemiology)</term>
<term>Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (isolation & purification)</term>
<term>Prevalence</term>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) is a zoonotic disease transmitted from dromedary camels to people, which can result in outbreaks with human-to-human transmission. Because it is a subclinical infection in camels, epidemiological measures other than prevalence are challenging to assess. This study estimated the force of infection (FOI) of MERS-CoV in camel populations from age-stratified serological data. A cross-sectional study of MERS-CoV was conducted in Kenya from July 2016 to July 2017. Seroprevalence was stratified into four age groups: <1, 1-2, 2-3 and >3 years old. Age-independent and age-dependent linear and quadratic generalised linear models were used to estimate FOI in pastoral and ranching camel herds. Models were compared based on computed AIC values. Among pastoral herds, the age-dependent quadratic FOI was the best fit model, while the age-independent FOI was the best fit for the ranching herd data. FOI provides an indirect estimate of infection risk, which is especially valuable where direct estimates of incidence and other measures of infection are challenging to obtain. The FOIs estimated in this study provide important insight about MERS-CoV dynamics in the reservoir species, and contribute to our understanding of the zoonotic risks of this important public health threat.</div>
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<Abstract><AbstractText>Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) is a zoonotic disease transmitted from dromedary camels to people, which can result in outbreaks with human-to-human transmission. Because it is a subclinical infection in camels, epidemiological measures other than prevalence are challenging to assess. This study estimated the force of infection (FOI) of MERS-CoV in camel populations from age-stratified serological data. A cross-sectional study of MERS-CoV was conducted in Kenya from July 2016 to July 2017. Seroprevalence was stratified into four age groups: <1, 1-2, 2-3 and >3 years old. Age-independent and age-dependent linear and quadratic generalised linear models were used to estimate FOI in pastoral and ranching camel herds. Models were compared based on computed AIC values. Among pastoral herds, the age-dependent quadratic FOI was the best fit model, while the age-independent FOI was the best fit for the ranching herd data. FOI provides an indirect estimate of infection risk, which is especially valuable where direct estimates of incidence and other measures of infection are challenging to obtain. The FOIs estimated in this study provide important insight about MERS-CoV dynamics in the reservoir species, and contribute to our understanding of the zoonotic risks of this important public health threat.</AbstractText>
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